Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) – Technical & Fundamental OutlookTencent Holdings Limited (TCEHY) is currently trading between $62–$64, maintaining structure within a well-defined ascending channel. After testing the $73 resistance level—a key price from 2020—the stock faced rejection, triggering a retracement phase and a shift into a daily consolidation range.
This range now appears to be forming a short-term descending pullback channel, potentially continuing into June–July. Based on historical price action, the next key demand zone sits between $55–$60, a level that served as multi-year support and resistance from 2018 to 2024. A revisit of this zone would likely draw strong buying interest, making it a high-probability long opportunity.
Technical Levels to Watch:
Buy Zone: $55–$59 (long-term structural support)
Mid-Term Resistance: $73 (tested and rejected, but weak)
Breakout Target: $80–$81 (resistance from 2020)
Major Upside Level: $99 (2021 all-time high)
From a macro perspective, Tencent is strongly positioned in China’s growing tech ecosystem, with diversified operations across gaming, artificial intelligence, and quantum technologies. These sectors remain critical to the country's long-term innovation strategy.
If Tencent successfully holds the $55–$60 support zone and regains momentum, a move toward $80–$81 by September becomes plausible. A confirmed breakout above that range would put $99 back on the map, opening the door for new all-time highs into late 2025.
Conclusion:
Current market structure suggests we may be entering a healthy retracement phase within a larger bullish trend. The $55–$59 zone offers a favorable risk-reward area for long-term positions, with strong upside potential as Tencent continues to align with China’s tech-driven growth narrative.
TCTZF trade ideas
Tencent: Significant Decline!Tencent's stock took a significant hit, creating a noticeable gap in the chart. Nevertheless, for now, our primary assumption remains that the price is currently working on the turquoise wave 3 and will soon move toward the resistance at HK$715. Afterward, a corrective movement should follow during wave 4. However, if the stock falls below the support at HK$364.80, downward pressure will mount significantly and make it increasingly likely that the price will drop to new lows below the nearest marks at HK$261 and HK$188.60 to develop a new low of the large wave alt. in green (probability: 36%).
Tencent Holdings LtdIs Tencent Stock a Buy Now?
Tencent posted its third quarter earnings report on Nov. 16. The Chinese tech giant's revenue fell 2% year over year to 140.1 billion yuan ($19.8 billion), which represented its second consecutive quarter of declining revenue since its IPO in 2004. Its net profit rose 1% to 39.9 billion yuan ($5.6 billion). On an adjusted basis, which excludes its investments and other one-time items, its net profit grew 2% to 32.3 billion yuan ($4.5 billion). Those growth rates seem anemic, but Tencent's stock had already been cut in half over the past two years amid concerns about China's tightening regulations, slowing economic growth, and COVID19 lockdowns. So is it the right time to take the contrarian view and buy Tencent as a turnaround play? Let's review its core businesses and valuations to decide.
Tencent generated 31% of its third quarter revenue from its video game business. Domestic games, which include its blockbuster game Honor of Kings, accounted for 73% of that total. The remaining 27% came from overseas hits like League of Legends, Valorant, and PUBG Mobile.Its domestic gaming revenue fell 7% year over year, representing its third consecutive quarter of shrinking revenue, as it grappled with tighter playtime restrictions for minors in China over the past year. Those restrictions also coincided with a temporary suspension on new video game approvals in China, which started last July and ended this April.Its international gaming revenue rose 3% year over year, accelerating from its 1% decline in the second quarter, as new games like Tower of Fantasy and Goddess of Victory: Nikke attracted new players. Unfortunately, its overseas growth still couldn't offset its declining domestic revenue.
As a result, Tencent's total VAS (value-added service) revenue which includes its gaming divisions, social media platforms, and streaming media subscriptions -- declined by 3% in the third quarter but still accounted for more than half of its top line. This core business might gradually stabilize as Tencent expands its international gaming business, but it will likely remain under intense pressure as long as the Chinese government continues to scrutinize the gaming industry.
200$ was one of the biggest support and great opportunity to buying the dip. 300-320$ is a big resistance level for tencent and if bulls win that battle then 350$ is next but
can we back 250 or even 200$ again? YES
Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) Poised for a Breakout Toward New HighsTencent Holdings Limited (TCEHY) is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action averaging $68–$69. The key resistance level at $73—a price last seen in 2020—appears weak and could be easily broken, given the company’s strong positioning in China’s expanding economy.
With Tencent’s involvement in gaming, artificial intelligence, and quantum technologies, its growth prospects remain robust. If the $73 resistance is cleared, the next major target is $81. A decisive move beyond this level would set the stage for a potential retest of its 2021 high of $99, with the possibility of surpassing it as Tencent continues to capitalize on new technological advancements.
Given these factors, Tencent could be on track to reach new all-time highs by the end of 2025, making it a key stock to watch in the evolving global tech landscape.
TENCENT Buy signal at the bottom of the Channel Up.Tencent Holding (TCEHY) has been trading within a Channel Up since the November 15 2023 High and on Monday it made contact with the pattern's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). As the 1D RSI turned oversold and rebounded, we believe that this is the best buy opportunity in almost 1 year.
Technically we should see the new Bullish Leg emerge now and a break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) would confirm that, as it did on March 11 2024, which was only broken under again after the new Higher High was priced.
We are targeting a little below the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $73.00.
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What catalyst can drives Tencent shares ?Nov 16 2022 will be its Q3 earning report. You can choose to buy before or after depending on how comfortable you are with this company.
The China Tech stocks have been badly bashed due to the regulation clamp down. But, the business model remains strong. Let's be patient as the 20th CPC National Congress will end this week and we can expect to hear some positive news about where they are going to put their focus on moving forward.
I believe the digital economy has a lot of potential in China and more room to grow given the support of the Chinese government.
Please DYODD.
FOMO : Should we chase or not chase ?Using one of my favourite stock as an example, we can see from the weekly chart that price has gone up by 42% from the low of 190.6 which was the first buy zone.
Second buy zone was at 264 price level and the third price was at 348. We can witness the 4th buy zone soon after it breaks above the resistance at 458. As it is a week long holidays in China, the market remain closed. What will happen after a week? I think the FOMO will continue as consumers are not gaining confidence from the government stimulus in both property and stock purchase.
It could also retrace to the 400+ price level , afterall it has rallied continuously for a few consecutive days. A pull back is good !
Don't beat yourself up for missing the lowest price level at buy zone 1 ,it is fine so long as you ride the trend at buy zone 2 and/or 3.
Tencent Holdings (TCEHY) Analysis Company Overview: Tencent Holdings OTC:TCEHY is poised for growth as the regulatory environment in China becomes more favorable, particularly in the gaming sector. The resumption of gaming license approvals has revitalized the market, allowing Tencent to launch new titles that resonate with consumers.
Key Catalysts:
Regulatory Recovery: The easing of regulatory scrutiny around gaming licenses has set the stage for Tencent to reinvigorate its gaming portfolio.
Success of Dungeon & Fighter Mobile: The release of Dungeon & Fighter Mobile has been a standout success, generating $270 million in iOS revenue within the first 30 days. This performance highlights strong consumer demand and effective marketing strategies.
Future Revenue Potential: Analysts forecast that Dungeon & Fighter Mobile could generate between RMB 15-18 billion in 2024, positioning it as Tencent’s most commercially successful game in five years, which bodes well for the company's overall revenue growth.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on Tencent above $47.00-$48.00, reflecting confidence in its ability to capitalize on the resurgent gaming market. Upside Potential: Our target for TCEHY is $70.00-$72.00, driven by the anticipated success of new game launches and a healthier regulatory landscape.
🚀 TCEHY—Unlocking Growth in Gaming and Beyond. #Gaming #Tencent #MarketRecovery
longer term for Tencent is BullishReferring to the weekly chart, we can see a strong bullish candle piercing above the resistance line at 396.6. With the strong government measures benefitting all sectors (not Banks) , I expect the rally in Tencent to continue with more sales revenues coming in for Labour Day (1st Oct ) and Singles Day......
Let's wait for a good pullback and add more to this amazing company....
ICT Long setup of a Hong Kong stock: Tencent (700)👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in Hong Kong stock : 700 for Swing trade.
Please refer to the details Stop loss, FVG(Buy Zone),open for take profit.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
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Tencent Holdings updateAfter falling from the peak at 416 on Jan 2023 to a low of 260, it has since recovered by more than 10%. We can see the price level has broke out of the descending wedge and an important support at 295.80 must hold else it will falls back into the channel.
I will be monitoring closely before adding more.....
Please DYODD
Tencent (700): Ambitious Targets - Preparing for a BreakoutFor Tencent Holdings Ltd. on the Hong Kong Exchange, we're seeing a scenario where the subordinate Wave (2) has likely concluded between the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels around 260 HKD. We anticipate a breakout from this range heading upwards, ideally reaching the target zone for Wave (3) between 227% and 361.8% Fibonacci extensions, which translates to approximately 870 HKD to 1100 HKD. Though this target is quite ambitious, it remains plausible in the long-term scenario for Tencent.
On the 4-hour chart for Tencent Holdings, we are observing a subordinate Wave 1 structure, which should be formed as a 5-wave structure heading upwards. The wave ((iii)) in this sequence has likely concluded at the high-volume node edge, fitting neatly between the 227.2% and 261.8% extension levels for Wave ((iii)).
For the anticipated Wave ((iv)), we expect a more pronounced sell-off to between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, reaching down to our point of control, indicating significant buying interest at these levels. We'll place our stop-loss below the 61.8% Fibonacci level and beneath the maximum level where Wave ((iv)) can feasibly fall without invalidating our scenario. A brief dip into the level of Wave ((i)) is tolerable, but a prolonged stay would challenge the validity of our setup.
We've also respected the trendline well, attempting a retest that should hold if valid, hence not anticipating a further drop. Our upward target is initially set at 416 HKD, beyond which we will look for new entries for a superior Wave 2 and continue to adjust our stop-loss from Wave ((iv)) accordingly.