Pendle: A DeFi tool for risk and revenue sharingPendle is not just another DeFi project, it's a tool that cuts to the heart of the cryptocurrency profitability problem. Most people in the industry are chasing quick profits, not realizing that the market is a zero-sum game in which most people lose. Pendle, on the other hand, offers something different: the ability to split an asset into principal and future gains by tokenizing them. It's not just clever, it's brilliant. Why? Because it allows traders and investors to manage risk and return in a way that no one else can. Most DeFi protocols are just pretty wrappers for high-risk schemes. They promise you returns, but they don't tell you that you're risking everything, especially in a bear market. Pendle solves this problem by allowing you to lock in a return in advance or speculate on it. It's like insurance against volatility, but with the opportunity to earn more if you know what you're doing. And here's the paradox: the DeFi market is growing, but most participants don't even understand how the underlying economics work. Pendle gives you the tools to stay one step ahead. One more point: tokenizing yield through PT (base token) and YT (yield token) is not just a technical trick. It's a way to separate risks and opportunities. You can sell YT if you want to get rid of uncertainty, or buy it if you believe in yield growth. It's like options, but in the DeFi world where the rules aren't settled yet. And guess what? Most investors don't realize this. They only see the price of the PENDLE token, but they don't see what's behind it.
Alex Kostenich,
Horban Brothers.
PENDLEUSDT trade ideas
Pendle Long PositionPendle Long Position Thesis
Emotion & Narrative:
Pendle has experienced a ~50% correction, presenting a strong entry opportunity. I believe Real-World Assets (RWA) will be a key narrative in the upcoming bull cycle, and Pendle is well-positioned to benefit from this trend.
Risk Management:
Entry: $3
Stop Loss: $2.46 (below the long-term trendline from January 2024)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 12
Take Profit: $9.8 (just below the psychological resistance at $10)
Leverage:
No leverage on this trade. The potential upside is substantial, and I prefer to minimize unnecessary risk.
Technical Analysis:
Support Bounce: Pendle has rebounded off a key support level on the weekly timeframe.
RSI Divergence: Hidden bullish RSI divergence is visible on the weekly chart.
Stoch RSI: Currently in oversold territory on the weekly timeframe.
MACD: Showing early signs of recovery this week (not yet confirmed).
Inverse Head & Shoulders: If Pendle reaches ~$7, it would confirm a bullish inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, with a projected target of $12. I plan to take out 80-90% of my position before this level to front-run the market.
Bearish View: Pendle remains in a downtrend and must close above $3.75 to confirm a trend reversal. If this happens, I will deploy more capital into the trade.
PENDLE/USDTKey Level Zone: 3.8200 - 3.8340
HMT v5 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity.
HMT (High Momentum Trending):
HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards.
Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note :
Role of Key Levels:
- These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns.
- Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa).
My Trading Rules
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%.
- Leverage: 5x.
Exit Strategy
Profit-Taking:
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike.
- Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
- If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
HMT v2.0:
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
PENDLE target $8.64h time frame
-
Entry: $3.9
TP: $8.6
SL: $3.05
RR: 5.41
-
(1) PENDLE is building a descending wedge which is a standard correction from previous pump
(2) Currently stand on a comparable low point
(3) Fibonacci provides first target at $8.6 and final target at $12.5
(4) Stop loss once going below $3.05
PENDLE/USDT | Potential Bounce from Demand ZoneThis trade idea for PENDLE/USDT on the 4-hour timeframe highlights a possible bullish opportunity. The price is approaching a strong order block (OB) zone around $4.89–$4.75, indicating potential demand. The setup includes:
Entry in the order block for optimal positioning.
Stop-loss placed below the $4.7559 level to mitigate risk.
Targeting $5.5648 as the initial take-profit zone, aligning with prior resistance levels.
This setup is based on bullish price action and demand zone dynamics. As always, ensure proper risk management and adapt based on market behavior. Comments and feedback are welcome!
PendleUSDT Long IdeaIf Pendle comes to fill the 50% of the 4hr wick which is where the 1hr 50ema sits, I'll attempt a long for 7.12RR towards the nearest available 1D 50% of an unfilled wick, which is at 7.265.
Please, share your opinion on this bias in the comments section. If you take it, let me know.
PENDLEUSDT Long Setup Setting / Spot TradeBINANCE:RDNTUSDT
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(For beginners, I suggest low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
7.41
8.08
8.70
9.42
🔴SL:
5.579
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
PENDLEUSDT: Where Opportunity Meets Precision! Total risk will be 1.5R on both trades. This areas are valuable in my opinion lower areas may come and I will still join as a buyer from spot market.
The blue boxes represent key demand zones, which I consider valuable for potential entries. If the price moves into these areas or even lower, I plan to join as a buyer, including through the spot market. This approach allows me to leverage favorable price action while maintaining disciplined risk management.
I don't overcomplicate things and add a ton of dirty crap to my charts, but you can check out the success of my analysis below.
I approach trading with confidence backed by experience and past success in identifying high-probability setups.
While I don’t claim to be the best, my track record speaks for itself, and I strive to let my analysis and results do the talking. Watch these levels closely—markets can confirm what charts already whisper. Let’s see how this plays out together.
My Previous Hits
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P | 4 Reward for 1 Risk (or more if you’re bold).
DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P | HTF Sniper Precision
RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P | Buyer Zone So Accurate You’ll Double Check
ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P | Buyer Zone Mastery (CZ vibes).
BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 Bitcoin Dominance | Called it Like a Pro
BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P | The Blue Box: A Demand Zone with Potential
WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P | Long-Term Trade
UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
Now sit back, relax, and watch the market do its thing. Or don’t, FOMO is real. 😉
PENDLE Long Spot Trade (Bullish Continuation) Market Context:
PENDLE, a standout in the Ethereum ecosystem, is maintaining bullish momentum, printing higher lows while holding above the 200-day EMA. These signals point toward a continuation of the uptrend, with a likely retest of prior highs.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Around $4.50
Take Profit Targets:
First target: $6.80
Second target: $9.40
Stop Loss: Daily close below $4.00
This trade focuses on strength in a trending market, with well-defined support and upside targets. Monitor for volume confirmation and any deviations below the 200-day EMA.
Pendle techinical analise!!!30% in a few days??Trade Idea:
BINANCE:PENDLEUSDT is currently in an ascending channel on the daily chart and is at its support level. I've also marked (red arrows) previous instances where the stochastic was oversold while Pendle was at the channel's support. This is a trade I would consider taking now, with a stop loss slightly below $4.78.
For targets:
Conservative traders might aim for a partial take-profit at the previous high of $5.83, with a final target at $7.
Aggressive traders could look for the entire position to be closed at $7.
When might it reach the targets?
Pendle's price action is closely tied to BINANCE:ETHUSD performance. Based on this correlation, the partial target is estimated to be reached within 7 to 10 days, assuming Ethereum strengthens relative to Bitcoin and that either rises or remains range-bound during this period. This analysis also assumes that BINANCE:BTCUSD does not experience significant corrections and stays above $84,000.
Pullback or Rally? Key Levels to Watch in PENDLE/USDT
The price of PENDLE/USDT has displayed consistent bullish momentum, bouncing from support zones and breaking through key resistance levels. A prominent bullish ribbon reinforces this trend, with multiple exponential moving averages (EMAs) layered beneath the price, acting as dynamic support.
Currently, the main focus is on the resistance level at 4797. A breakout here would signal continued bullish strength, opening the path towards the next major target at 6877. However, if the price fails to break this resistance, we could observe a potential retracement.
To maintain this bullish outlook, it’s crucial for the price to stay above the 3625 support level. The EMAs are providing a robust foundation, suggesting that any pullback could present a buying opportunity, especially if it aligns with these dynamic supports.
The chart’s structure and the bullish ribbon suggest a favorable trend for long positions, provided key levels hold. Keep an eye on 4797 for a decisive breakout, and watch the support levels closely in case of any corrections.
👨🏻💻💭 What’s your move? Share your thoughts and give this idea a boost if you're bullish!
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PENDLEUSDT Bearish Wedge PatternPENDLEUSDT Technical analysis update
PENDLE has formed a Raising wedge pattern on the daily chart, and the price has recently broken below the wedge's support line in day chart. This breakdown suggests potential bearish momentum in the coming days, with a possible decline toward lower support levels.