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GER40 trade ideas
DAX strong bullish conditions. Targeting 24200.DAX is trading inside a Channel Up since the October 15th 2024 High.
Since March 11th 2025 it is on a MA200 (4h) rebound and the last time it did so was on January 13th 2025.
It then initiated a +9.12% rebound, which throughout the Channel Up pattern, has been a quite common bullish wave.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 24200 (+9.12% rise from the MA200 low).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) has print a Channel Up pattern that is seen on the last three major Lows of the pattern. Strong bullish signal.
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Technical Analysis of DAX Index (March 13, 2025, 15-Minute ChartTrend Identification:
The price action is moving within a rising channel (highlighted in purple), indicating a potential short-term bullish trend.
The 200-period moving average (maroon line) is above the price action, suggesting a larger timeframe bearish bias, but price is attempting to reclaim higher levels.
The Point of Control (POC) at 22,658.69 indicates the area of highest traded volume and a key decision zone.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 22,720 (upper boundary of the rising channel).
Major Resistance: 22,800 (previous swing high).
Immediate Support: 22,560 (lower boundary of the channel).
Key Support: 22,440 (recent swing low and potential reversal area).
Chart Patterns & Market Structure:
The price recently bounced from the lower boundary of the channel, suggesting buying pressure at support.
A Volume Profile (VPVR) shows strong volume concentration around 22,658, reinforcing it as a key pivot zone.
The recent sharp rejection from the lows aligns with potential bullish continuation, targeting the upper channel boundary.
Trade Setup & Risk Management:
📈 Bullish Trade Setup (Trend Continuation)
Entry: Buy near 22,600–22,620 on minor pullbacks.
Stop-Loss: Below 22,540 (previous swing low).
Target 1: 22,720 (upper channel boundary).
Target 2: 22,800 (major resistance zone).
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:2.5
📉 Bearish Trade Setup (Reversal Play)
Entry: Sell near 22,720–22,740 if price rejects resistance with strong bearish candles.
Stop-Loss: Above 22,780.
Target 1: 22,600 (POC and key support).
Target 2: 22,440 (lower channel boundary).
RRR: ~1:2
Risk Management & Position Sizing:
Risk 1-2% of capital per trade to maintain disciplined exposure.
Adjust position size based on stop-loss distance to keep risk consistent.
Monitor volume dynamics for confirmation of trade direction.
GERMANY 40 MOVED AS ANTICPATEDPrice moved from our anticipated POI . Was a bit choppy but good momentum eventually kicked in,, Drop me a comment on what you think.. Thanks
GERMANY40 LONG price reacting from a significant demand area . will be looking for longs targeting the high 23400. Drop a comment on what you think .
DAX40 Bullish on planned defense and infrastructure spend. The DAX40 index is showing positive momentum this morning, driven by optimism around a debt-financed spending plan targeting defense and infrastructure. The bill is on track for parliamentary approval, with strong backing from both conservative and Social Democrat lawmakers. Meanwhile, the European Union is advancing discussions on seizing frozen Russian assets to increase defense funding, aiming to boost economic pressure on Russia. Additionally, U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are expected to discuss peace negotiations regarding the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
Technical Outlook: Bullish Breakout
The DAX40 continues to exhibit bullish sentiment, breaking out from a period of sideways consolidation and pushing toward previous resistance and all-time highs (ATH). The prevailing uptrend supports further upside potential, with key resistance levels in focus.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23,446
Resistance Level 2: 23,815
Resistance Level 3: 24,000 - 24,420
Support Level 1: 22,842
Support Level 2: 22,467
Support Level 3: 22,204
Conclusion:
The positive reaction to fiscal spending plans and geopolitical developments reinforces the bullish sentiment for DAX40. A sustained move above the nearest resistance at 23,446 could pave the way toward higher targets, while holding above support at 22,842 is crucial to maintaining the uptrend.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
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GER40/DAX "Germany40" CFD Index Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend to Bearish., driven by several key factors.
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GER40-SELL strategy 6 Hourly KAGIGER40 has upward pressure, and this will continue short-term. There are sufficient evidence to see a test of 23,150 again, and perhaps little higher.
Strategy SELL @ 23,250-23,450 and take profit near 22,750 again.
DAX40 The Week Ahead 17th March '25DAX40 INTRADAY bullish & oversold, key trading level is at 22300
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Bullish continuation. With Friday's bull run on the DAX, I see either a retracement to the two most obvious fib levels and then a bullish continuation. Alternatively this view this chart could look like the right shoulder of a head and shoulders pattern with a retest of the uptrend at about 23,400; but I think this is less likely, and a pullback with a bullish continuation to test all-time highs is most likely. Either way, I am bullish on the DAX/GER40.
DAX40 INTRADAY Bullish Breakout retest at 22300The DAX (DE40) equity index is exhibiting a bullish sentiment, driven by the prevailing longer-term uptrend. The recent intraday price action indicates a sideways consolidation near the breakout level, which previously acted as resistance and has now transformed into a new support zone.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Zone: The primary support level to watch is at 22,300, which marks the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback towards this level, followed by a bullish rebound, could signal a continuation of the upward momentum.
Upside Targets: If the bullish bounce from the 22,300 level holds, the index may target the next resistance at 23,000, followed by 23,460 and 23,686 over a longer timeframe.
Bearish Scenario: A confirmed loss of the 22,300 support level, with a daily close below it, would negate the bullish outlook and potentially trigger a deeper retracement. In this case, the index could retest the next support levels at 22,129 and 21,828.
Conclusion:
The bullish sentiment on the DAX (DE40) remains intact as long as the 22,300 support level holds. Traders should monitor the price action closely at this key level. A successful bounce may offer long opportunities toward the upside targets. However, a break below 22,300 could open the path for further downside correction, warranting caution for bullish positions.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX to rise further?DAX Poised for Further Gains
Risk sentiment remains positive, and the DAX could benefit from a potential market turnaround. Despite recent weakness, hedging options suggest a recovery, with put option levels possibly marking a bottom. Meanwhile, a declining VIX signals easing market anxiety.
DAX Outlook:
- Supported by improving global sentiment
- Potential Ukraine ceasefire could boost momentum
- Falling oil prices may further support economic growth
At the same time, uncertainty could drive gold and silver higher, with silver benefiting from the positive stock market environment.
Conclusion: The DAX remains well-positioned for further gains. A decisive breakout above resistance levels could fuel the next leg of the rally.
GER40-SELL strategy Daily chart - KAGIIt feels we may see further downward movement, as we are still above regression channel, and MACD is negative and a high RSI still.
Strategy SELL @ 22,500-22,750 and take profit near 21,450 for now.
Rising channel and trendline breakThe price to make a lower low after a false break and a price rejection at the bearish trendline, now the price has broken a small pullback trendline and made a deep pullback, now after the lower low, it will go bearish
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
GER40 LONG SETUP IDEA - BUY THE DIP📈 LONG SETUP - BUY THE DIP (Swing Trade)
Entry: 22,350 - 22,400
Take Profit (TP): 23,500 (first target), 24,000 (extended target)
Stop Loss (SL): 22,150
Reasoning:
Strong historical support at 22,300 - 22,400.
Bullish divergence on MACD and RSI on 1H and 4H charts.
High timeframe trend remains bullish; expecting continuation after the retracement.
📈 Market Overview & Bias
Daily & 4H Charts:
The GER40 has been in a strong bullish trend over the past few months but is currently experiencing a retracement.
The 21 EMA and 8 EMA are converging, signaling indecision or potential trend exhaustion.
200 EMA remains below price, suggesting long-term uptrend remains intact.
The 100 EMA is acting as resistance on lower timeframes.
Key support zones: 22,300 and 21,900.
Key resistance zones: 23,000 and 23,500.
Lower Timeframes (1H & 15M)
The price is consolidating between the 22,400 - 22,700 range.
A potential reversal pattern is forming on the 15M chart with bullish divergence on RSI and MACD.
ATR values suggest increased volatility, so tight stop losses are necessary.
Key Economic & Geopolitical Considerations
ECB Rate Decision (March 21, 2025)
Hawkish stance → Might push GER40 lower.
Dovish stance → GER40 could break resistance.
US CPI & NFP Reports
Inflation data affecting European stock sentiment.
Strong USD could pressure GER40 downward.
Geopolitical Risks
German & EU economic policies affecting investor sentiment.
Tensions between China/EU and EU/USA on trade policies could add volatility.
mportant: this is not personalized financial advice. It’s an illustration of how one might combine risk management principles with the support/resistance zones in play.
Final Note & Disclaimer
All market scenarios carry probabilities, not certainties. Technical signals are best combined with macro fundamentals (e.g., interest rates, USD behavior, geopolitical risks) to form a well‐rounded market view. This consolidated analysis serves an educational purpose—always do additional research or consult a licensed professional before making trading or investment decisions.
DAX Rally in site?With the DAX currently making higher lows and lower highs, I see this as a possible end to the current correction. The DAX has not seen anything like the sell-off of the US30, and with some underlying positive fundamentals, I see a retest of the descending pattern, a fake-out to re-test 22,244, and the a rally back to 23,00 and beyond. Or possibly (tomorrow) a rally straight back through the 22,707s.
Booze Wars... How DAX could react?Now it's time for US and EU to have their public tariff battle. Given that wine, champagne and beer are a huge part of EU export into the US, there might be some pain felt among the MARKETSCOM:DE30 bulls. Let's dig in.
XETR:DAX
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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DAX , re-test of major trendlineGermany 40 (DE40) - 4H Analysis
Technical Overview:
The price broke below an ascending trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
Currently, it's retesting the broken trendline, which could act as resistance.
A drop towards the 21,709 support level is possible if sellers maintain control.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 22,719 (Current price area - retest zone)
Support: 21,709 (Major level to the downside)
Indicators:
RSI (14) is at 50.46, slightly below the neutral zone, indicating weak momentum.
If RSI continues to drop below 40, it would confirm further downside pressure.
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Continuation (Higher Probability)
If price rejects the retest of the broken trendline, expect a drop toward 21,709.
RSI moving lower would confirm this move.
Bullish Rebound (Lower Probability)
If price reclaims the broken trendline and closes above 22,800, then buyers could push it higher.
Trading Plan:
Short below 22,719 with a target of 21,709.
Stop loss above 22,900 (invalidates bearish thesis).
Buy only if price breaks back above 22,800 with RSI confirming strength.
GERMANY 3O LONGGERMANY 30 playing along as anticipated in previous analysis .. Drop a comment and interact
LONG GERMANY 40In my opionion, a reversal is likely.
Good risk/reweard ratio.
Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose.
This is not financial advice, make your own decisions.
GER40 Short 1. This trade is with the H4 trend
2. There is no pattern on this trade which could make it a big risk
3. It is overbought on M15 and there is divergence with the next top
4. Stop loss of 200 pips
5. First target profit when M15 goes oversold
