NASDAQ Might Recover From Massive LossesWohooo... These days are wild!
Now let's take a look at how the day can develop, because... the market, at least the NASDAQ, doesn't look that bad anymore.
We are seeing the first signs of a bottom. However, it can be assumed that the market will dip again at the opening.
There is a bullish order block in the area shown, which coincides pretty much exactly with the POC of the last recovery attempt.
An excellent RRR for long trades could be taken here.
NAS100 trade ideas
NASDAQ - Bounce here could mean strength.The chart is self - explanatory as always.
Nasdaq is sitting at a critical zone — the previous all-time high area — with the 200-week EMA just below.
📊 From a technical standpoint, a bounce here would signal potential strength.
⚠️ But when panic sets in, technicals can take a back seat.
Stay sharp. Manage risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purposes and does not constitute trading advice. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor, and trading involves significant risk. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Understand Trump tariff war, Assess if market rebound is likelyIf you want to better understand Trump’s strategy for the tariff war and the underlying intentions—especially to assess whether a rapid market rebound is likely—you may refer to a paper by Trump’s economic advisor Stephen Miran, titled “A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System.”
Here’s a brief summary of the key points from the paper regarding the trade war:
1. Market Volatility Is Anticipated
The paper acknowledges that sharply raising tariffs may trigger financial market turbulence, increase uncertainty, lead to rising inflation, potential interest rate hikes, and a stronger U.S. dollar—all of which could cause broader ripple effects. (In other words, the Trump administration is aware that such moves will shake the markets.)
2. Second Term: Focus Shifts to Legacy
While Trump and his team prioritized stock market performance during the first term, in a second term—when re-election is no longer a concern—he may focus more on leaving a political legacy. This includes reshoring manufacturing, tax reform, reducing national debt, and shrinking the trade deficit.
3. Tariffs as a Strategic and Fiscal Tool
This new round of tariffs serves not only as a pressure tactic , but also as a potential revenue source to fund Trump’s desired tax cuts. As such, the Trump administration may not rush to finalize new trade deals. Instead, tariff reductions would likely occur gradually, and only after securing substantial economic benefits.
4. Trade and Security Will Be Linked
Future trade negotiations will likely tie economic cooperation to national security. The U.S. could use a dual standard—“tariffs + security”—to compel other nations to follow U.S.-defined trade and geopolitical rules.
For example: Countries might be forced to join a tariff alliance against China. In exchange for market access, they would either have to tax Chinese goods or accept high U.S. tariffs and reduced security cooperation. For the EU, if it does not meet U.S. demands, tariffs would become a key revenue stream for the U.S., while freeing up American resources to focus on China’s rise rather than spending time and money on European security.
5. Big Picture Strategy: Build a Global “Tariff Wall”
This paper lays out a grand strategy to use tariff warfare to pressure countries into forming a global “tariff wall” encircling China, aimed at constraining China’s economic influence.
Strategic Implications
Based on this approach, the U.S. goal in trade negotiations is not merely tariff reductions or market access, but achieving:
1. Market access for U.S. goods via lowered barriers abroad.
2. Adoption of U.S.-led trade and geopolitical rules, including encircling China and sidelining nations like Iran and Russia.
3. Increased U.S. government revenue— meaning tariffs might persist throughout Trump’s term and not be eliminated outright!
Market Outlook
If the U.S. follows this roadmap, it’s unlikely that a consensus with China or other China-dependent economies (like the EU) will be reached quickly. This suggests that market volatility could persist for some time if these strategies are enacted.
Given the current asset declines showing signs of a liquidity crunch, without a clear positive catalyst (e.g., successful trade deals, tax cuts, or rate cuts), it may be difficult for equities, crypto, or even gold to see a meaningful rebound in the short term.
As markets remain highly sensitive to news, it’s crucial to focus on risk control in trading and consider reducing position sizes when needed.
Let’s keep the discussion going—what do you think about the future direction of U.S. trade policy under Trump?
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💯 11 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
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👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
NASDAQ Black Monday or a Massive Rally??Nasdaq (NDX) opened on early Monday futures trade below both its August 05 2024 and April 19 2024 Lows. All technical Supports have been broken and the market made new 12-month Lows. The market sentiment is extremely bearish, technically oversold, even the 1W RSI is below the 30.00 oversold barrier and the prevailing fundamentals regarding the back-and-forth Tariffs between nations don't leave much room for encouragement.
The index is more than -25% off the February 17 2025 All Time High (ATH), technically Bear Market territory, and the last time it dropped more this fast is during the lockdowns of the COVID crash (February 20 - March 23 2020). The market dropped by -32%, below also all known technical Supports (including its August low) before finding support and forming a bottom just above the 1W MA200 (red trend-line).
The two time events are virtually identical with the only notable difference is that Nasdaq is about to form the 1D Death Cross now while in 2020 it did about 1 month after the low.
The only technical development that leaves room for encouragement is that the 1W RSI during COVID got oversold just a day before the eventual market bottom.
Does today's 1W RSI drop into oversold territory mean that we are about to form a bottom? Unknown. But what we do know is that on March 03 and 16 2020 on two urgent, out-of-schedule meetings, the Fed stepped in to save the market from the free-fall (and save they did) by cutting the Interest Rates to near zero (first to 1.25% and then to 0.25% subsequently from 1.75% previously).
Perhaps that is the only thing that can restore investor confidence (certainly the only action that the Fed can do) and avoid a Black Monday below the 1W MA200, which would be catastrophic. On the other hand, if the U.S. government reach indeed trade deals with the rest of nations and the Fed do what they can from their end, we may even hit new ATH by August!
So what do you think it's going to be? Black Monday or Massive Rally?
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Nasdaq 100 drops to its lowest level since January 2024Nasdaq 100 drops to its lowest level since January 2024
According to the chart of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the index opened this week around the 16,500 mark – a price level last seen in early 2024.
This suggests that the sharp sell-off in equities seen last Thursday and Friday may well continue today.
Stock indices respond to Trump’s tariffs
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on NBC News’ Meet the Press that there is “no reason” to expect a recession.
However, equity charts reflect market sentiment described by CNN Business’s Fear & Greed Index as “extreme fear”. This wave of negativity followed President Trump’s announcement on 2 April of harsher-than-expected international trade tariffs. In response, China and other nations announced retaliatory measures.
As a result, the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) now trades roughly 25% below its 2025 peak – officially entering bear market territory.
Technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen)
Back on 28 February, we drew an ascending trendline (line A). Bulls attempted a rebound from this support (as shown by the arrow), but their efforts were overwhelmed by the White House’s latest policy decisions.
Given the updated price action, we can now treat line A as the median of an ascending channel. From this perspective, the index is currently near the lower boundary of the channel.
Technically, this could indicate potential support. However, as long as the price remains below the bearish gap – which includes the key psychological level of 17,000 – talk of a meaningful recovery may be premature.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
What Happens Elliott Wave Sequence Completes?Just a quick chart on Nasdaq to show what happens when the Elliott Wave count is completed?
Usually you'd see a major correction. The choice of word depends on the chart time frame. On a monthly chart its still a correction, obviously that is not true for a daily chart where it looks like a SPIKE down.
This chart shows, Wave 5 is terminating within Target zone.
Nas100 - Huge bear trap or further downside?The Nasdaq 100 has recently broken a critical rising trendline that has supported its bullish trajectory for an extended period. This break signifies a potential shift in market sentiment, suggesting that the prior uptrend may be losing steam. When an established trendline is breached, it often signals a change in the market's direction, indicating that buyers are losing control and sellers are starting to assert dominance.
In addition to the trendline break, the Nasdaq 100 has now fallen below all of its key moving averages—namely, the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages. These moving averages are widely followed indicators of trend strength, and their loss is typically a bearish sign. When prices drop below these averages, it signals weakening momentum, and it becomes harder for the index to regain upward traction without strong buying pressure.
The weekly timeframe shows a beautiful support level if the bulls fail to reclaim all the key moving averages.
Together, the break of the rising trendline and the loss of key moving averages suggest that the Nasdaq 100 could be entering a phase of increased volatility and downward pressure. Traders should closely monitor the index for potential further declines or a failure to reclaim these key technical levels, as they could signal deeper market corrections.
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$SPX $NAS100 FILL THE GAP = "LEARNED BEHAVIOR" IN PLAY🏒🏒🏒🏒🏒FILL THE GAP! FILL THE GAP! FILL THE GAP!
Hopefully, institutions want to reach 7,000 from here, as the majority of them wrote in public New Year resolutions.
A great example of learned behavior.
Let’s watch.
FILL THE GAP! FILL THE GAP! FILL THE GAP!🏒🏒🏒🏒🏒
Market Review: Full Higher Time Frame Review of NASDAQ bear runI hope this get's featured 🎯
The simplest macroeconomic review of NASDAQ you may see this year.
It's all a fib retracement. That's all I have to say for now 🔪 Share this with someone looking for a good review 💰
**Video was cut short by a minute or two but the general idea was complete
NASDAQ New Week Gap will tell you everything you need to knowIf you watched my idea update from Friday, I was saying that the sellside monthly lows as well as the 2023 yearly high are being targeted.
Low and behold, we hit all targets on the weekly gap drop. Let's see how price approaches the new week opening gap mid level (dashed white). It will definitely hit that level before the end of the week.
If it does not, that means we have super easy sellside targets to hit after a clear rejection back below tested highs as always.
Share this with someone needing easy targets 🎯
NAS100 Weekly Gap: Prime Short Setup or a Trap in Disguise?The weekly gap on NAS100 is lining up as a textbook short target—but will it hold or get steamrolled? While stops beyond the gap offer safer trade placement, downside momentum suggests any pullback may be short-lived. With 16,000 in sight as the next major low, bears have a reason to stay aggressive. Just don’t get caught on the wrong side of a gap fill gone rogue.
NAS100The NAS100, also known as the Nasdaq 100, is a stock market index that includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. It primarily represents technology and innovation-driven companies, such as those in sectors like technology, healthcare, consumer services, and industrials. The index is often used to gauge the performance of the tech-heavy part of the stock market. It reflects how well these companies are performing overall, but unlike other indexes, it excludes financial companies like banks and insurance firms. Investors and analysts often look at the NAS100 to track trends in the tech sector and its influence on the broader economy.
NQ: Upcoming Weekly Analysis!FA Analysis:
ST/MT/LT Outlook: Sell
1- Tariffs came into effect on April 2nd and market reacted badly to it. This was completely expected.
2- NFP data came green but market ignored it and continued the sell-off. This tells you the fundamental change in market expectations vis-a-vis US market! So bad data will be bad for equities and good data will be also bad.
3- This week, we've CPI, PPI and Consumer sentiment as major key data. They'll be fuel to the current fire.
4- The FED was tacit and still data related. The FED is running a risk of a late intervention!
5- Additional retaliations from the rest of the world are also expected. USA is isolating itself from the world economy; the damage is here to stay even if Trump cancel those tariffs or deregulate or cut taxes.
TA Analysis:
Weekly TF:
We got a strong bearish weekly close. A gap down should be added to the weekly candle.
A continuation down is expected.
Daily TF:
NQ provided one of the largest daily candle. Market was down until the last minute Friday! There is no interest to buy the dip at all!
A gap down is expected.
In the case of a gap, price might close the gap and continue down.
Hope we get some retrace to join the sell side during NY session.
Happy week with a lot of green pips!
Nasdaq drawing back for for a mini 'bull run' I'm no professional trader, so please don't quote me on this. But I've been doing this for 5 years now, and one thing that i notice time and time again is how just before a big push up there's always a low created first. Almost like the draw of a bow and arrow. So with that theory as well as my strategy applied, this is what i think Nasdaq is preparing to do.