Bonus Update: Scalpers notes on 1 min chartBAR method applies to every times frame. Those break and retest candle levels are so good on lower time frame when you know what to look at 🔑
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NAS100 trade ideas
Indraday Update: NAS respecting bearish imbalance targetingWe have created yet another nearish imbalance range that price has used to continue to build short interest 🎯
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QQQ - NASDAQ Has Never Been This ExpensiveQQQ relative to money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history, despite all the money that was pumped in over covid.
Tulips!
Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you.
NASDAQ 100: Is a Bottom Forming? Key Levels and Risk-Reward InsiThe NASDAQ 100 is testing its 200-day moving average, a historically significant level for trend reversals. If it holds, the risk-to-reward setup looks attractive, with potential upside of up to 9% versus a limited downside. The we consider past reactions, political factors, and trade dynamics. A break above key resistance could confirm the move, though waiting for a V-shaped recovery might impact the reward ratio. What do you think? Share your thoughts.
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NDQ is kissing SMA 200 being under SMA 50: bears in controlHello everyone!
Once upon a time, I read the thesis that Algos would start selling aggressively if the Ticker reached its SMA 50 Close. If the ticker reaches and breaks down its SMA 200, the sell-off continues, and we can call the environment bearish, not being formally in a bear market. Under a Bear market, we assume here a decline from the latest top ~20% for the major indices.
Fine. The practical question is how to use this information for your trading strategy as a retail trader?
For me, it is still a work in progress.
Why? I am a relatively newbie in the market (since 2019), so my learning curve is in progress. For example, I understood, based on my reduced deposit in 2022, that defining the environment, then relatively strong sectors and tickers makes sense and really helps to decide what trading strategy to apply to the stock that performs stronger vs. the general market ( SP:SPX , for example) or the weakening stock.
From the chart above, the obvious conclusion is that NDQ is weakening and at a decision moment, so trading long the bounces intraday and mainly keeping the longs overnight is a risky approach. I like to sleep well, so I do not hold long overnights. Now, it does not matter how the chart is; it is amazingly tempting to do so. Learned the hard way. Conversely, I play longs intraday because bounces might be rewarding during the intraday.
For sure, all boring stocks from a field of defensive sectors are now more right to be with longs according to textbooks. Everyone chooses their way.
Stay profitable!
PIVOTAL POINTAfter three weekly bearish candles, there seems to be some dope rejections from this low, price action promises that there will be a stop here or a bit further manipulative sell into the range of the zone, the closing of the week might direct us into understanding if next week carries some weekly retracement buys or if we still will be stuck on the zone
NASDAQ LAST LONGS RECESSION GONGS: its a TRUMPCESSIONWe have many takes for me ive been waiting for this moment my whole year FY24
somewhere around 23-24k its gonna be showtime im making this idea brief
price back at resistance expecting a break and retest after it rejects and goes higher
also impulse might not even complete considering how strong the support is
dxy wiped out months progress in 4 days
investors are gonna seek safe havens i hope trump listens to expert advisors
like steve hanke
in my opinion
the markets have always been too overbought - SELL
the u.s is losing trust and likeability among allies with these tariffs
the u.s has entered trade wars wether its too strong a phrase to bring up
booms and bust ou cant rig the economy the time cycle has arrived
Fair Value Gap @20300Price created a break of structure preceeded by a fair value gap, which was followed by a retracement to the order block where my buy limit was
NASDAQ 100 INTRADAY capped by 20600 resistanceBearish Scenario:
The intraday sentiment remains bearish, with recent price action suggesting a corrective pullback. If the index faces rejection at the key resistance level of 20,600, it could trigger renewed selling pressure. A downside move could target 20,000 as the first support level, with further declines extending toward 19,800 and potentially 19,660 if bearish momentum strengthens.
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 20,600 and a daily close higher would invalidate the bearish outlook, signaling a potential shift in momentum. If sustained buying pressure emerges, the index could rally toward the next resistance at 21,000, followed by 21,315 and 21,590 as upside targets.
Conclusion:
The 20,600 level is pivotal in determining the next directional move. A failure to break above this resistance reinforces the bearish outlook, while a decisive breakout could signal renewed bullish strength. Traders should monitor price action at this key level for confirmation of the prevailing trend.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Uncertainty until NFPYesterday close confirmed again the uncertainty and provided an inside, irrelevant daily candle.
It seems the upper TL working as resistance. It worked nicely yesterday.
Hanzo l Nas100 Structure Shatters - Key Break Confirms the Path🆚 Nas100 – The Way of the Silent Blade
⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate.
We do not react—we execute.
Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword.
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 20360 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
NAS100 | Reversal Incoming? Bulls Defending Key Support!📌 Tech Stocks Facing Pressure – Oversold Bounce?
🔸 The Nasdaq 100 has been in a strong downtrend, but price is now testing a major demand zone at 20,200 - 20,500.
🔸 Weakness has been driven by:
✅ Rising bond yields hurting growth stocks.
✅ Profit-taking after extended rallies in AI & tech.
✅ FOMC rate outlook uncertainty creating volatility.
💡 Upcoming Catalysts
🔹 The NFP report & Powell's speech will be crucial for short-term direction.
🔹 If inflation data remains high, rate cut expectations could be delayed → bearish for NAS100.
🔹 However, if bond yields cool off, tech stocks could see a strong relief rally.
🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe)
🚀 Key Levels & Market Structure
🔹 Demand Zone: $20,200 - $20,500 (Strong support)
🔹 Resistance Levels:
🔸 $21,126 – First upside target.
🔸 $21,901 – Major supply zone (potential reversal area).
📊 Possible Bullish Reversal Setup
📌 Price is testing a high-probability demand zone, suggesting buyer interest.
📌 If price breaks above $20,512, we could see a rally toward $21,126 & $21,900.
📌 Bullish confirmation if price closes above $20,600.
📈 Trade Plan
✅ Bullish Scenario
Buy near support if price shows rejection.
Target 1: $21,126
Target 2: $21,901
Invalidation: If price breaks below $20,200.
❌ Bearish Alternative
If price fails to hold above $20,200, expect a deeper correction.
🔥 Final Thoughts:
Nasdaq is at a critical support level – will bulls step in, or will sellers dominate? Comment below with your bias! 📉📈
US 100Return to the order block and the market turning bullish to capture higher liquidity.
This is not a signal, just my personal analysis.
Please don't forget risk management.
Possible BUYAs the market looks to correct itself, Im looking at the 45m FVG that it has created. I would like for it to be 50% of the FVG and i will be taking buys from there to the previous highs.
NASDAQ Index Analysis – Short & Mid-Term (Elliott Wave) According to Elliott Wave analysis, the NASDAQ index is still in a five-wave downtrend, and we are approaching the end of this bearish wave.
🔹 Key Level: If the price holds above 19,900, we can expect an upward wave.
🔹 Potential Upside Targets:
✅ 21,200
✅ 21,300
✅ 21,700
📊 A confirmed breakout above this level is crucial for a bullish move.
📌 What are your thoughts on NASDAQ’s next move? Share your insights with us! 💬🔍
Nas100 -SMCUS stock futures held steady after a volatile day of trading ended in a rally, driven by President Donald Trump's one-month pause on tariffs targeting automakers.
Futures attached to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) slid hovered around the baseline and the benchmark S&P 500 (ES=F) slipped 0.1%. Futures attached to the tech-heavy Nasdaq (NQ=F) inched down 0.1%.
NAS100 - Trade SetupPrice action is looking good!
Here we are targeting Sell Side Liquidity and looking for an extension on the FIB aiming for 0.27 level. This looks to be out final leg of Elliots wave and will also finish our swing so It could be a nice opportunity to get into. Im selling at the 4H FVG which for confluence is within the OTE zone as well as a strong Supply zone.
Good luck to all the Traders that decide to follow
Nasdaq analysis: 06-MAR-2025Good morning, everyone! Today's Nasdaq analysis is designed to educate and empower. Use these insights to refine your price action trading strategy.
POTENTIAL LONG TRADE SET UP FOR NAS100 Analysis: Utilizing chart patterns, highs & lows, and impulses & corrections, the focus is on identifying a continuation corrective structure following a breakout.
The price approached the lower bound of a bullish continuation structure on the higher time frame (HTF) with a broadening descending structure on the Mid time frame (MTF). We will now monitor for a bullish impulse and continuation structure on the LTF to identify a potential entry point for the trade.
Expectation: An upward move is expected.
⚠️ Reminder: Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management, as forex trading involves no guarantees. This is a high-risk activity, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly!
US100 - Bearish possibility- Support zone broken that transformed in to resistance
- Downtrend being hit for the third time, still strong because base on past technical history it takes four to five hit before high break probability
- Price struggling to break resistence zone
*Educational purpose only
US100My option about us100 Is more bullish so that zone is good and strong support,if the price comes to that zone it can pullback
NASDAQ BUYSWeve had quite an interesting run on NAS. The current potential for me at this point is upside, keeping the risk at a minimum. this could be an interesting trade from a long term view. trade executed. lets see how this plays out.
