Toward $21828 ?Here is a chart with 2 orange Ichimoku forecast lines, one daily and one weekly.
The price is actually above both of them.
I drawed the fibonacci extensions and I think the price can go up to $21828 that is the 1.618 fibonacci extension.
A first target might be at the 50% between the 1 and 1.618 (1.309 ?) fibonacci level at around $21547.
NAS100 trade ideas
US100The NASDAQ trend is expected to remain bullish,
but corrections in the market movement are natural and necessary.
Therefore, if weakness in continuation is observed, I will sell with smaller volume and trade more aggressively in the bullish direction.
The identified targets are 21,930 and the range of 22,230 to 22,445.
Additionally, I am interested in buying at discounted prices, specifically around the 21,640 level.
The current chart lacks a clean structure, so the market might form small ranges before continuing its upward movement.
us100 SHORT conditionalus100 SHORT
Please don't be greedy
ENTRY : yellow point
TP : blue lines
SL :
below red line for LONG position
above red line for SHORT position
INSTRUCTIONS:
For risk and money management:
5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20
And
3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
US 100 live tradeUs 100 live trade, I am targeting a measured move ( (1/2rr) At this time of year there is a bullish trend
Bullish trade idea on NAS100The bulls of the us stocks are stating to takeover, we are looking to enter buys as soon as price breaks our trendline .
3 STAGES OF THE MARKET in this video i did my best to break down the importance of knowing the stages of the market. in your free time please make sure you study market structure. if you have any questions feel free to message me God bless
NAS100USD: Are We Seeing a False Bullish Break?Greetings Traders,
In today’s analysis, NAS100USD continues to follow bearish institutional order flow, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the current market narrative. While the overall trend remains bearish, recent price action has displayed a bullish break of structure. However, I interpret this as a false break of structure, supported by the following evidence:
Key Observations:
1. Engineered Retail Resistance:
Institutions have created a retail resistance zone with relatively equal highs. This formation entices retail traders to sell at the resistance level, placing their stop losses above it.
These stop losses are viewed as buy stops by institutions, representing willing buyers at premium prices. Institutions capitalize on this by order pairing—selling their positions against the retail buy stops.
2. Institutional Order Pairing Logic:
Large funds require opposing liquidity to fill orders efficiently without slippage. To achieve this, institutions manipulate the market by engineering liquidity through patterns such as resistance zones or equal highs.
After selling at premium levels, institutions aim to buy back positions at discount prices, targeting sell stops and liquidity pools below.
Trading Outlook:
Given this institutional behavior, my interpretation is to anticipate further bearish movement . With institutions likely targeting sell-side liquidity at discount levels, I am focusing on the sell-side liquidity pool as the primary target for this setup.
If you have any insights, questions, or analysis, feel free to share them in the comments below. Let’s collaborate and refine our strategies together.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Will Nasdaq plummet be a success?US100/ Nasdaq seems to be shorting, Sellers seem to be at a higher volume than the Buyers on this asset right now
Short potential in NAS 100 looks promising!
Description of trade
As we very clearly identify a HEAD AND SHOULDER pattern in 1hr TF and 4TF , there is a high probability of pair to reverse , as we see constantly with this chart pattern .
Price if retests on the neckline after 1330 UK TIME ( MAJOR RED NEWS TIME ) , we could potentially look for a short trade with good SL and lot size in line with your account size.
There are two ways I will be looking to trade this pair today during session (NEW YORK )
A MEDIUM RISK TRADE:
I will look to place a sell - limit on the current neckline of the pattern , with my Stop loss being on top of the right shoulder , as my stop loss will have lot of room, my lot size will be smaller to manage my risk accordingly.
A HIGH RISK TO REWARD TRADE
Second way foe me to enter this trade would be after 1330 high news today , to trade along with market structure i normally trade , i.e. seeing fractal structure , liquidity grab and so on , this will however have small stop loss but bigger lot size . This will be entered on 15TF or 30 min TF .
Notes : This are the probabilities for today , if we do not see the expected footprint from the market , remember there's a always a next day to trade.
Nasdaq reflects caution on inflation and ratesWall Street turned red at the close. The Nasdaq Composite, the main reference for the technology sector in the United States, fell -0.25% on Tuesday, closing at 19,687.24 points. This decline reflects the impact of a combination of macroeconomic and sectoral factors that are keeping the entire market on its toes.
Nasdaq Performance in Context
Although the index has had an outstanding performance this year, with a cumulative gain of close to 40%, led by technology giants such as Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet, it has generated . However, the stock's pullback this week that underscores the sector's sensitivity to monetary policy expectations and global regulatory risks.
Among the factors that contributed to the Nasdaq's decline this week were:
• Regulatory pressures - China's investigation into Nvidia, one of the world's largest chipmakers, dragged down the Philadelphia semiconductor index (-2.5%) and weighed on tech stocks.
• Mixed corporate results: Oracle declined 6.7% after missing revenue estimates despite being consistent, and MongoDB lost 16.9% despite improving its annual forecast.
Short-term outlook
The tech market faces additional uncertainties with upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data key to the Fed's rate decision. If the November CPI meets estimates of 2.7% y/y, it could facilitate a 25 basis point rate cut in December, strengthening market sentiment. Currently the FedWatch data indicates that there is an increasing likelihood of a cut rather than a hold at current rates. In addition, the Fed's tone is expected to provide signals on the future direction of rates, which will directly impact appetite for high-growth assets such as technology.
Technical Aspect
Currently, yesterday the index made a crossover of averages generating that the average of 50 crossed over the average of 100 marking the fall of yesterday's prices. At the moment there is still a long distance to go before the averages approach the 200, but this crossover has positioned the price in the check point (POC) zone. So, if the CPI and rates news do not strongly modify this trend, we could be witnessing a possible temporary sideways movement of the index in this last part of the year.
Overall, although the Nasdaq continues to show strength for the year, macroeconomic and regulatory challenges are key factors to watch, especially in an environment where monetary policies could moderate the pace of economic recovery.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
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Short-term pressure seen on USTECFundamental Perspective:
USTEC pared recent gains as Oracle's (ORCL) disappointing earnings and Nvidia's (NVDA) ongoing scrutiny from Chinese regulators dampened investor confidence. Alphabet (GOOGL) surged after unveiling a quantum computing breakthrough.
However, lofty valuations and concerns over potential antitrust scrutiny of tech giants weighed on USTEC.
President-elect Trump has appointed Andrew Ferguson as FTC Chair, replacing Lina Khan. Ferguson could ease regulatory pressure on business mergers, potentially streamlining deal approvals while maintaining a tough stance on antitrust enforcement against tech giants.
This mirrors Trump’s first-term approach, with major lawsuits targeting big tech like Google (GOOGL) and Meta Platforms (META). The ongoing scrutiny of tech stocks could temper upward momentum in the USTEC.
Technical Perspective:
USTEC pared recent gains and formed a head-and-shoulders pattern following a break of the pattern's neckline near 21420. If the price sustains its bearish momentum below 21420, a further decline toward the 21200 support might occur. This support zone aligns with the ascending trend line and is a significant resistance-turned-support zone, as the price peaked in November before a further rally. Conversely, a break above 21420 could prompt a deeper pullback toward the next resistance at 21580.
Author: Li Xing Gan, CMT, CFTe,
Financial Market Strategist Consultant to Exness
NAS100 Looks so bullish on my side Nas100 been buying in closing 2024
The Nasdaq-100 is a stock market index made up of equity securities issued by 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. It is a modified capitalization-weighted index. The stocks' weights in the index are based on their market capitalizations, with certain rules capping the influence of the largest components.
Sell setupTrendline break out.. Retested on the new support trendline for the downside.. Observe and trade safe be blessed
NAS100 afternoon updateTechnical analysis of NAS100.
Update on proposed ending diagonal. Price doesn't seem likely to tag either of the median (red) lines of pitchforks drawn, a bearish sign implying price will return to 20309.1 and eventually to 18297.4.
Count is valid with price below 22100.4. If count is correct, would expect impulsive price action back towards 5 August low.
NADAQ strategy - Next NFP I hit final 5° wave target.
I think there will be possibility for a rebound of index until 21k area
Thia area means retest of minor support area (1° wave) and also 0,5 rebound of last long leg
Tomorrow we will have the NFP.. if it will suggest a potential stop of interest rate reduction we can see this short.
NASDAQ BEARISHThe Nasdaq may face a correction in the coming hours, based on technical signals from the charts. The index is approaching a key resistance zone, coupled with an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index), indicating potential short-term reversal. Additionally, a bearish divergence between price action and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) suggests weakening bullish momentum. Declining volumes on recent highs further point to reduced buying pressure. A test of the immediate support could accelerate the downside if this level is breached.
+ big liquidity level broken yesterday, looking for a correction
Correction to the downside developing US100 has been in a bullish trend for some time, but now this momentum seems to be fading each time the indices tries to go up higher. As price action is currently developing, a potential drop will happen if the indices fails to find stability above 21600. Alternatively, finding upward strength above this mark, the bullish move will resume further.
NASDAQ 100 10 Rules for Market Dynamics (Translated to English)
If the price "accepts" a value area, it is highly likely to reach the other extreme.
If the price is within a value area, the expectation is for it to remain INSIDE until there are clear signs otherwise.
Price tends to be "choppier" within a consolidated value area due to high liquidity. Define tolerance zones.
Do not trade in the middle zone (POC).
If the price is accepted OUTSIDE the value area, the expectation is for the condition of the market to change and likely expand.
Nasdaq 100 approaches our target; what's next?The Nasdaq 100 is up 1.25% at the time of publishing this outlook, and the price is just 84 basis points away from reaching the target we highlighted at the beginning of the month. At that time, we noted that a break above $21,220 could lift the index to $21,884. The new trend-defining level is yesterday's low of $21,354, and if the price dips toward $21,565, traders are likely to continue buying, aiming for $21,884 as they try to capitalize on the famed Christmas rally.
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SPX on a long timeframeThis chart is mostly for me, so I can come back to it, later... but as you can see, we'll go up and down, but likely to go more up than down :)
