NAS100 - The Stench of Insider Trading on Colossal Scale!!Dear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
This is just my observation on 12HR TF.
I need Monday's Pre-NYSE data to give a more detailed analysis on smaller TF.
The BEAR signal arrived, and what a monster it is!
Keynote:
Fundamentally something was very off, specifically regarding stocks.
Even though - yes, tariff uncertainty, massively overbought technically.
It had the aroma of serious insider trading profit taking pre-NFP!
I can't help but feel it was a massive exactly timed profit grab
Stocks hardly moved on the event itself...think about it
Also, I believe the labor figures was seriously cooked!!!
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
NAS100 trade ideas
NAS100 – Sharp Breakdown After Tariffs & Jobs Data MissAfter a macro-driven selloff, NAS100 broke decisively below 23,025.0, taking out prior structure and confirming bearish pressure. The drop followed two key catalysts:
📉 Jobs Report Miss: Only 73K jobs added in July vs 200K+ expected — signals a slowing economy.
📛 Tariff Shock: President Trump imposed new tariffs on 90+ countries, up to 41%, rattling global sentiment.
Support at: 22,870.0 🔽 & 22,640.0
Resistance at: 23,025.0 🔼 & 23,200.0
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Sustained strength above 22,870 with momentum could aim for 23,025 retest.
🔽 Bearish: Rejection below 23,025 or break under 22,870 opens space to 22,640 and possibly 22,518.
🎯 Let the dust settle – market could still be digesting the shock.
📛 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
NSDQ100 ahead of US Employment data After the US close, Apple and Amazon posted mixed results:
Apple rose ~2% after-hours on a strong revenue beat ($94bn vs $89.3bn est.) and broad-based growth, especially in China — its first sales increase there in two years.
Amazon fell after projecting weaker Q3 operating profits ($15.5–$20.5bn vs $19.4bn est.) and showing slower cloud growth than competitors, raising concerns over its AI strategy.
These results pulled NASDAQ 100 futures down by -0.20%, as investors digested disappointing Amazon guidance despite Apple’s strength.
Additional Drivers:
US July Jobs Report due today may add volatility. Slower payroll growth (+75k est.) and a rise in the unemployment rate (to 4.2%) could support a dovish Fed narrative.
Trump’s Global Tariff Announcement added macro uncertainty, with sharp tariff hikes on countries with trade surpluses, including a 35% hit to Canada and 39% to Switzerland. This weighs on global trade sentiment.
Pharma Pressure: Trump is also targeting drugmakers on pricing. AstraZeneca hinted at unsustainability, suggesting regulatory risk may be rising for the sector.
Conclusion for NASDAQ 100 Trading:
The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 faces near-term downside pressure, driven by Amazon’s weak outlook, broader macro headwinds from tariffs, and potential labor market softness. However, Apple's strong China rebound and stabilizing consumer trends (e.g., Target) offer some support. Expect choppy trade as markets await clarity from the jobs report and tariff policy impact.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23424
Resistance Level 2: 23565
Resistance Level 3: 23720
Support Level 1: 22815
Support Level 2: 22673
Support Level 3: 22500
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ):The Nasdaq index experienced a sharp decline yesterday and today, currently testing the 22,950 USD level.
1️⃣ If the price breaks below 22,950 USD and holds, it may lead to further downside toward 22,680 USD as an initial target, followed by 22,400 USD.
2️⃣ On the other hand, if strong buying momentum drives the price above 23,170 USD and holds, we could see a move toward 23,350 USD, and potentially 23,700 USD.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
NextGenTraders81: My buy and sell limit ideas for NFPI have set these limits for todays NFP, it might go completely wrong but as im only risking 0.5% on each limit, it should be fun.
Buy limit is at the bottom of the channel, where price is bound to make some reaction, the TP is bellow where i believe it would go up to before continuing the downtrend..
The sell limit is where i believe a LH would be made.
Lets have some fun,
Good luck!
NextGenTraders group
$NDX 3rd Bearish EngulfingSlowly but surely we are seeing deteriorating conditions in every major indices.
NASDAQ:NDX closed and formed the 3rd BEARISH engulfing in 2 weeks, RARE!
Light volume so it's not definitive, but alarming.
TVC:DJI keeps weakening.
SP:SPX many RED candles & bearish engulfing as well.
Light volume though.
Trend Lines AnalysisThe current target is 22143 and after small correction the price will continue towards 24023 target and will proceed further towards 25000 level. If the price fail to break 22143 and price fall sharply from that level then expect it to fall back to 19800 price level where is the yearly pivot point lying.
US100 (NASDAQ) Analysis – 1H Chart | July 31, 20251. Vertical Bullish Rally
Price exploded upward from 23,251 to 23,705 with strong bullish momentum and no meaningful retracement, indicating a short-term overbought scenario.
2. Fresh Supply at 23,705
The current candle shows hesitation just below 23,705.88 — forming a possible short-term top or reaction zone where sellers might step in.
3. Imbalance Zone Below
A visible Fair Value Gap (FVG) is left between 23,572–23,600 and the yellow highlighted demand zone (23,411) is untested. Price may revisit to fill that imbalance.
4. Projection: Pullback Possible
If price fails to break and hold above 23,705, we may see a pullback toward 23,600 → 23,411 before the next move.
5. Key Levels
Resistance: 23,705 → 23,992 → 24,278
Support: 23,572 → 23,411 → 23,251
Structure remains bullish unless 23,411 breaks.
US100 Surges on Strong Fed Data and Trump Trade Deals A combination of upbeat economic data from the Fed and renewed optimism from Trump’s trade announcements fueled a powerful bullish rally on the US100. Price broke above the 23,450 🔼 resistance after reclaiming the 23,300 🔽 zone, leaving behind a strong V-shaped recovery from 23,200 🔽.
Support Levels: 23,450 🔽, 23,375 🔽, 23,300 🔽
Resistance Levels: None locally – price is printing new highs
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Holding above 23,450 could support further upside. A clean retest may offer continuation entries.
🔽 Bearish: A drop back below 23,450 would weaken the rally and may open the path to 23,375 or 23,300.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Nasdaq Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ):The Nasdaq index is currently sweeping liquidity above the resistance zone and pulling back.
1️⃣ The more likely scenario is a break and close below 23,330 USD, which may lead to a decline toward 23,200 USD, followed by 23,000 USD.
2️⃣ However, if the price holds above 23,480 USD, a continuation of the uptrend is expected, potentially forming a new high.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
NSDQ100 important support at 23188US equities pulled back, breaking a six-day winning streak for the S&P 500 (-0.30%) as sentiment cooled ahead of key earnings and the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) was weighed down by weakness in megacap tech stocks—the Mag-7 fell -0.68%, with Meta declining -2.46% and Microsoft earnings due after the close.
Post-earnings disappointments also pressured tech-related sentiment. PayPal slumped -8.66% on soft volume growth, despite unveiling a new crypto merchant feature, and UnitedHealth fell -7.46% on weaker sales. These sharp declines indicate heightened sensitivity to earnings misses in a market priced for perfection.
Meanwhile, market volatility could rise amid geopolitical jitters. A massive magnitude-8.8 earthquake in Russia’s Far East triggered tsunami alerts across the Pacific, briefly affecting Hawaii, California, and Shanghai. While many warnings were later downgraded, the event injected caution into markets.
On the macro front, investors are bracing for the Fed’s rate decision later today. The central bank is expected to hold rates steady, but traders are watching closely for guidance on future cuts—particularly in light of Trump’s renewed pressure for easing and ongoing global trade uncertainty, including tariff threats toward India.
Conclusion for Nasdaq 100 Trading:
With sentiment fragile and earnings risk front and center, traders in the Nasdaq 100 should expect near-term volatility, especially around Microsoft and Meta's earnings reports. The tech sector's leadership is under pressure, and any disappointing results could drag the index lower. Watch the Fed’s tone closely—a neutral or hawkish stance could further weigh on rate-sensitive tech. Cautious positioning or selective hedging may be warranted, particularly as geopolitical risks and trade policy uncertainty resurface.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23568
Resistance Level 2: 23687
Resistance Level 3: 23812
Support Level 1: 23188
Support Level 2: 23047
Support Level 3: 22965
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Nasdaq Finds Support at $23,305.0FenzoFx—Nasdaq dipped yesterday and formed a bearish FVG. However, the selling pressure eased as soon as the price tested the ascending trendline.
The last day's low at $23,305.0 is the immediate support. That said, a close above the immediate resistance at $23,375.0 can trigger the uptrend, targeting the highs at $23,535.0.
Nasdaq Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ):The Nasdaq index continues its medium- to long-term bullish trend, recently reaching a new high at 23,477 USD.
1️⃣ A break and close below 23,330 USD could trigger a pullback toward 23,200 USD, followed by 23,000 USD.
2️⃣ However, if the price holds above 23,480 USD, a continuation of the uptrend is expected, potentially forming a new high.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
US100 (NASDAQ 100 Index) – Breakout with Clear Upside ProjectionUS100 has broken out cleanly above the key resistance at 22,097.1, indicating bullish continuation. The breakout is supported by strong upward momentum, targeting the next key level around 23,441.9, as illustrated by the projected range.
Support at: 22,097.1 🔽 | 20,750.0 🔽
Resistance at: 23,441.9 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Sustained price action above 22,097.1 keeps the bullish breakout valid, aiming toward 23,441.9.
🔽 Bearish: A drop back below 22,097.1 would invalidate the breakout, possibly pulling price toward 20,750.0.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.