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A number of weeks ago I shared a YOY analysis for 2023 vs 2024 in hopes to provide some clarity as to what the market will do in 2025.
As usual 95% of traders ignored it...
I just what to show you for emphasis again.
The market retested in October and after weeks of sustained consolidation which in some cases lasted into January, the market takes off and just continually breaks ATH's after forming HL's on the largest active timeframes.
2025 will be no different...If you are in a sell and are in profit (very unlikely), Now is the time to take your profit and trade the trend...you will be sorry if you do not.
Trading is not hard, however it takes hard work to learn...Spend time looking at analysis and stop chasing signals.
Anyone on here begging you to follow them because they are right and is constantly encouraging you to sell does not have a clue what they are talking about...I say that without apology.
Please take the time to do your analysis and learn to be patient.
People who make money on trading do sell signals or beg for followers...instead their analysis and work speaks for itself.
So if you are seriously interested in becoming a 5% trader, my advice is to
1. use the information on Trading view to develop your own strategy
2. Backtest it.
3. Journal
4. Review it
5. Try it on a demo account first before risking your live funds.
There is over 17 trillion dollars traded daily...that's more than enough to go around...you do not need to rush...
Once you get it, the money will be the easy part...trust me.
Welcome to another week of trading this eternally bullish instrument called the NAS100.
Last week was a buyers paradise for the patient...
This is not to say that there were not selling opportunities, however as I have always stated and stood by...Any sells on the NAS100 are only temporary retracements to fulfill a HL on the Larger timeframe and so as always, I ignored the noise traded my strategy and enjoyed the success of the analysis.
This week we will see Monday with an early close for Martin Luther King's birthday and so there will be a shortened trading session on Monday.
As for any other news factors, that does not affect my trading in any way shape or form as the market is going to complete its structure one way or another... Any news item only creates volatility within an already defined structure
You should have noticed that on Friday the H1 finished by making the highest point of the week and has not gone back to test the Lowest point it created on Monday.
Another important fact is that the new High created on the H1 was made by breaking a previous (minor structure) HH and as such this is a solid indicator that the ATH will be challenged and broken real soon...Guaranteed.
So for this week it is more of the same:
1. Take the buys from my largest HL 2. TP on my HH (If the market only records a LH...then I still TP) 3. Wait for the next HL and repeat the process.
The TP I am currently looking at is my first TP level of 22273.4
Like I have always maintained...the market will sometimes take a while to give you the guaranteed HH, however like I have been posting, whenever the market goes through it's periods of consolidation, the best and the only guaranteed move is to trade your HL's...When the trend resumes you will always be in the right direction and you will not be surprised.
US100 We’d like to note that while our bias remains bullish, there are always risks involved, as the market does not always align with expectations. It’s crucial to stay adaptable and accept what the market gives us.
If the price moves back inside the resistance channel, rejects off the upper trendline, and breaks below 21,120–21,100, we will start looking for short opportunities. In this scenario, it’s more likely that the daily order block at 20,800 won’t hold, leading to a potential move down toward the 20,175 area.
We’ll keep monitoring these levels closely and adjust our strategy accordingly. Let’s see how the market develops. 🚀
US100 I hope you’re all having a great weekend. We’ve just updated our latest analysis for the US100, and it’s packed with valuable insights for the upcoming trading week. Here’s a quick summary:
The weekly chart confirms we’re still in a strong uptrend with upward-sloping EMAs and a rejection off the 20 SMA. The recent retracement to the 0.382 Fibonacci level suggests this is just a shallow correction within a larger bullish structure. Volume analysis highlights 21,000 as a key level, now acting as support after last week’s breakout.
On the daily chart, we’ve seen a bounce off the 100 EMA, followed by closes above the 50 and 20 EMAs—clear signs of strength. Bollinger Bands indicate price is holding in the upper band, while Ichimoku analysis shows significant support in the 19,000 zone.
The 4-hour chart has broken out of a descending parallel channel, confirming bullish momentum with RSI climbing to 65 and ADX showing a strengthening trend. While 21,700 is the next resistance, pullbacks to support levels like 21,100 or 20,800 offer potential entry points and our Broken Resistance Trend Lines at 21450-500
Lastly, our proprietary buy-region indicator has flashed its first green signal since December 16, aligning perfectly with our bullish bias.
Check out the full analysis on our idea page, and let’s discuss strategies and setups for the week ahead! 🚀💹
2330 TSMC posted a record-breaking fourth quarter, with revenue rising 37% year-over-year to $26.9 billion, exceeding expectations by $0.9 billion, and net profit jumping 57% to $11.6 billion. The High-Performance Computing (HPC) segment now accounts for 53% of total revenue, up from 43% last year, fueled by strong demand for AI chips. Revenue from 3nm technology made up 26% of wafer revenue, increasing from 20% last quarter, while 5nm technology contributed 34%, further solidifying TSMC’s leadership in advanced chip manufacturing.
Looking forward, the company projects AI-related revenue to double in 2025 after more than tripling in 2024. AI accelerators currently account for a mid-teens percentage of total revenue. TSMC has raised its capital expenditure forecast to between $38 and $42 billion (up from $30 billion in FY24), signaling a strong commitment to expanding capacity.
Despite challenges posed by U.S. export restrictions, TSMC believes the risks are manageable and is securing the necessary permits for affected clients. Its Arizona facility has also begun high-volume production, ensuring continued supply for major clients like NVIDIA, Apple, and AMD.
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