DOLLAR I Weekly CLSI Model 2- Big expansion comingHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
USDX trade ideas
DXY Bearish Setup: Sell from Supply Zone to 99.100 TargetTrend: 📉 Bearish Bias
Key Zones & Strategy:
🔶 Supply Zone (Sell Area)
📍 100.584 – 100.906
⚠️ Price may face selling pressure here
🔵 Entry Point:
🎯 100.584 (bottom of supply zone)
🔴 Stop Loss:
❌ 100.906 (just above resistance)
🟢 Target Point:
✅ 99.100
📉 Aligned with lower support line
Technical Indicators:
📏 Descending Channel
🔽 Price moving within parallel downward trend lines
📊 EMA (70) – Orange Line
🔁 Acting as dynamic resistance
Trade Setup Summary:
📌 Sell in the Supply Zone
🛑 Stop Loss: 100.906
🎯 Target: 99.100
⚖️ Good Risk-Reward Ratio
Warnings & Tips:
⚡ Watch for Breakouts:
If price breaks above 100.906 ➡️ 📈 Bearish idea invalid
📰 Check News Events:
FOMC, CPI, or other USD events may cause volatility
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Bearish Setup – Supply Zone Rejection & 🔹 Trend Overview
📊 Overall Trend: Bearish (Downtrend)
📉 Price is forming lower highs and lower lows within a descending channel.
🔻 Recently bounced off a support zone, now heading toward a potential pullback.
🔵 Supply Zone (Resistance Area)
📍 Zone Range: 100.049 – 100.601
🧱 Acts as a resistance block where sellers might step in.
📏 Confluent with EMA 70 at 100.178, strengthening its validity.
🔸 Trade Setup – Short Position
🟠 ENTRY POINT: 100.088
❌ STOP LOSS: 100.587 – 100.595 (Just above supply zone)
🎯 TARGET: 98.000 (With intermediate support levels)
📌 Support Levels
🔹 98.112 – First minor support
🔹 98.106 – Close-range confirmation
🔹 97.885 – Additional support zone
🟦 Main Target: 98.000
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
🟧 Small risk above supply zone
🟩 Large reward to downside = Favorable R:R
📌 Summary
📈 Expecting a pullback into supply zone.
🧨 Look for bearish confirmation around 100.088.
🎯 Target the downside at 98.000 for profit.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Bullish Reversal Setup – 1H Chart Analy ENTRY POINT: 100.005
→ This is the area where the trade is suggested to enter long (buy).
🟥 STOP LOSS: Around 99.307
→ Placed below strong support to manage risk.
🟦 SUPPORT ZONE: 99.776 - 99.307
→ Strong historical demand zone, price has bounced from here before.
🟪 BREAKOUT ZONE: Near 100.5
→ If price breaks the trendline here, it may trigger bullish momentum.
🎯 TARGET POINT: 103.096
→ This is the take profit zone (blue box) with a potential gain of +3.29%.
📊 Trade Setup Summary:
✅ Buy Setup: Price approaching support zone, forming a potential reversal.
⚠️ Watch for breakout: Above the trendline to confirm bullish move.
✨ Great Risk-to-Reward: Small risk (tight stop), big reward.
Dollar Poised for Further Losses as Confidence Erodes – Key LeveThe U.S. dollar is under mounting pressure, with a combination of fundamental and technical factors pointing toward deeper weakness. Investor trust in the U.S. economy is waning, evidenced by a wave of insider selling from top U.S. CEOs. Their net reduction in equity holdings signals caution at the highest levels.
The U.S. bond market is also flashing warning signs. Rising debt issuance, high interest costs, and concerns over long-term fiscal discipline are pushing risk premiums higher—not as a vote of confidence, but as a red flag. These pressures reduce the dollar’s attractiveness, especially with global alternatives gaining traction.
Geopolitically, renewed tariff discussions—particularly against China—raise concerns over trade frictions and global growth, adding to bearish sentiment.
On the technical side, the break below the 100.50 level on the dollar index (DXY) has confirmed downside momentum. The monthly chart signals a bearish structure, with lower highs and lower lows forming. If selling continues, the next major target lies near the 90.00 zone—a level last seen in early 2021.
DXY Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is making a bullish
Rebound but a horizontal
Resistance is ahead at 100.300
Level so after the retest a
Local bearish correction
Is to be expected
Sell!
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MY SENTIMENTS ON THE DOLLAR FOR THE WEEKThe U.S. Dollar may find resistance around the 100.685 level, where it could fill the buy-side imbalance and react to the nearby bearish order block. If this level holds, we could see a continued decline throughout the week toward the psychological 100.00 level. Conversely, this would likely translate into a bullish move for the EUR/USD, reflecting the inverse correlation.
Chart spoke. We listened. See how price respected every level!"Great when BOS + supply/demand lines hit perfectly.
Most traders chased the bounce.
We waited in the shadows — right at the selling zone.
Wave 4? Textbook correction.
Wave 5? That’s where the money’s made.
Elliott Wave isn’t just theory — it’s a weapon.
Break of structure? Marked.
Zone tested? Clean.
Rejection? Savage.
This is how professionals trade — not with hope, but with precision.
DXY: playing checkers while we play chess.”**
May 19–23, 2025GOLD (XAU/USD)
🔑 Key levels:
Resistance: $3,250 – $3,280
Strong Support: $3,150 – $3,120 | $3,050 (a breakdown could push lower)
🗓️ Important News:
FOMC Minutes (Wednesday, May 21) – market will react to tone regarding inflation and rate policy.
US Manufacturing & Services PMI (Thursday, May 22)
🎯 Strategy:
If gold dips to the $3,120–$3,150 zone, consider short-term buying, targeting a move back to $3,250.
A break below $3,100 may signal a sell opportunity, targeting $3,050 or lower.
A breakout above $3,280 → consider buying the breakout. Avoid trading in the chop zone ($3,200–$3,250) unless clear momentum.
💵 USD Index (DXY)
🔑 Key levels:
Resistance: 104.50 – 105.00
Key Support: 103.20 – 102.80
🗓️ Important News:
FOMC Minutes (high impact)
U.S. Housing data, PMI, Durable Goods Orders
🎯 Strategy:
DXY is showing weakness. A break below 103.20 would suggest further USD weakness → bullish for gold and EUR/USD.
If DXY bounces from 103.20 → short-term recovery likely → possible correction in risk assets.
EUR/USD setup: consider buying on a breakout above 1.1000 targeting 1.1200.
📈 U.S. Stock Indices (S&P 500, NASDAQ)
🔑 Key Levels (S&P 500):
Resistance: 5,300 – 5,350 (near all-time highs)
Support: 5,200 – 5,150
🗓️ Important News:
FOMC Minutes – could cause major volatility
Possible speech from Fed Chair Powell
ETF flows and any remaining earnings reports
🎯 Strategy:
If S&P holds above 5,200 → maintain buy on dips strategy.
A break below 5,150 → opens risk for a deeper pullback toward 5,000.
Maintain long positions as long as markets price in rate cuts in Q3.
✅ Weekly Strategy Summary:
Market Primary Strategy Key Levels to Watch
Gold Buy around $3,120–$3,150 Support $3,120 – Resistance $3,280
USD (DXY) Sell if it breaks below 103.20 Support 103.20 – Resistance 104.50
S&P 500 Buy on dips above 5,200 Support 5,150 – Resistance 5,300–5,350
DXY weekly outlookWeekly analysis for DXY: the broader bias remains bullish. I expect price to respect the stacked 3‑hour demand zones, with the lower zone likely providing the stronger reaction.
After that bounce, a short‑term bearish pullback could unfold from the 4‑hour supply zone. Although I don’t trade the dollar directly, I track DXY for its correlations with other pairs to add confluence and strengthen my setups.
Weekly FOREX Forecast: USD, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, JPYThis is the FOREX Currency futures outlook for the week of May 18 - 24th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX Majors markets:
USD Index
EUR
GBP
AUD
NZD
CAD
CHF
JPY
USD Index has been bullish for 4 weeks. Will it continue? Expect a pullback before bullish continuation.
Selling the commodity currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD) may be the best course of action this week. Buying the EUR, GBP and CHF may also be worthwhile.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
DOLLAR I Weekly CLS I Model 2- Target CLS HighHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
The US Dollar – Under Selling Pressure Today💵 US Dollar Index (DXY) – Still Under Selling Pressure
📉 Current Zone: 100.29
The DXY continues its bearish momentum after failing to reclaim the technical resistance zone between 101.27 and 102.20.
🔍 Key Zone Analysis:
🔴 Technical Resistance Zone:
101.267 – 102.206 → Heavily rejected, confirming strong selling pressure.
🟢 Fundamental Support Zone:
99.447 – 99.939 → Key psychological level closely monitored by institutional players.
📊 Current Scenario:
🔻 As long as price stays below 101.26, the bearish bias remains intact.
📉 Downside target: retest of the 99.44 – 99.90 zone.
❌ Invalidation: clean break and close above 102.20.
⚠️ Events to Watch This Week:
Federal Reserve speeches
Key U.S. macro data (jobs, inflation)
The DXY remains vulnerable to any signs of rate easing or economic slowdown.
📘 Reminder: The information provided is for educational purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation.
💬 Boost if you’re watching the DXY too! What’s your view on this support zone? 👇
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 100.21
1st Support: 98.92
1st Resistance: 101.09
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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U.S. Dollar Index Set for Bearish Continuation The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has completed a five-wave impulse decline (labeled (1) through (5)) from the top of the descending channel. This downward move suggests a completed impulsive bearish leg. Following that, we’ve seen a complex corrective structure – a WXY double zigzag correction – now complete.
Price action shows a rejection from the upper trendline resistance near wave (2), confirming the bearish structure remains intact. The bounce into the corrective high (wave (2)) failed to break above key resistance, and we are now potentially entering a new impulsive move down labeled as wave (3) of the next larger degree impulse.
Primary Impulse Decline: Wave (1) to (5): Classic 5-wave move down ending late April.
Corrective Phase: Complex WXY correction (with subwaves A-B-C in both W and Y).
Current Wave in Play: Wave (3) of a larger impulsive sequence is initiating.
T1: 99.172
T2: 98.013
SL: 101.259
If price closes above 101.265 the current bearish impulse scenario would be invalidated.
DXY Short-Term Reversal Zone in SightUS Dollar Index (DXY) is approaching a strong support zone at 98.90–98.00, which has historically acted as a base for bullish reversals. The price is now testing the lower bound of this zone after a steady downtrend from the 101.94 high.
Key Technical Structure:
Support Zone: 98.90–98.00 (tested 3+ times)
Double Bottom Potential forming if bulls hold the zone
Upside Targets:
101.94: Key horizontal resistance
103.50: Swing high from early April
Scenarios to Watch:
🔹 Bullish Rebound:
Price bounces off 98.90–98.00 support
Confirmation: Break and close above 100.50 near-term resistance
Could fuel move back to 101.94, possibly 103.50
🔹 Bearish Breakdown:
Daily close below 98.00 would invalidate bullish setup
Opens downside to 97.00 and even 95.50
Macro Drivers to Watch:
FOMC speakers and interest rate guidance
US jobless claims or inflation surprise
Risk-off sentiment (benefits USD) vs. continued global risk appetite
Conclusion:
DXY is trading at a make-or-break support zone. Watch for clear bullish reaction or bearish breakdown before committing. The setup favors a bounce unless 98.00 fails.