Bullish bounce off overlap resistance?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 97.78
1st Support: 95.22
1st Resistance: 101.81
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USDX trade ideas
BEARS STILL IN CHARGE ! DXY- USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25DXY USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25
BEARS CRUSHING THE USD!
Professional Risk Managers 👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
✅ U.S. dollar index is a measure of the value of the dollar against a basket of six foreign currencies.
✅The currencies are the Euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen, Canadian dollar, British pound, and Swedish krona.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
Pairs to look out for -
EURUSD - BUY
USDCHF - SELL
USDJPY - SELL
USDCAD - SELL
GBPUSD - BUY
- Perhaps it's time to accept that a recovery in the DXY is not occurring anytime soon...
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
DXY 1W (Dollar Index Weekly Chart)All eyes on the Dollar’s weekly support zone — it’s looking vulnerable and may attempt a breakdown next week. 📉
If that breakdown confirms, the Dollar could head toward Support 1, and possibly Support 2 in the coming weeks.
And you know what that means...
Bullish for crypto. 🟢🔥
Stay alert — the coming weeks could get exciting!
"DXY Dollar Index" Market Bullish Heist Plan (Day/Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Crossing previous high (100.400) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
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📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 2H timeframe (99.000) Day/swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 102.300
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💰💵💸"DXY Dollar Index" Bank Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝
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Highlighting the lagging inverse relationship BTC and DXY. This is crazy.
And if it continues to play out, it means that higher is next.
So what do we have here?
This is highlighting the lagging inverse relationship BTC has had with DXY since Bitcoin bottomed and DXY topped.
We can see that when DXY drops, BTC moves higher, but it has a lagging period beforehand.
The crazy part is that this lag has been 119 days until BTC moves back up to its recent local high.
EVERY single time.
From there, BTC enters an expansive phase, and every time this has been between 49 and 56 days.
Right now, we are right at that 119 day mark.
Is this continues to play out, we’re heading into price expansion next week for at least 49 days.
When you really dig into the charts you see that’s everything is actually very patterned and simple.
What makes it hard is our emotion.
Next week, expect volatility 🔥
Dollar Index Dips – All Eyes on 97.600?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading just below the 100.000 🔼 resistance area, following a series of lower highs and lower lows that reflect a clear bearish trend. Price is now approaching the 97.600 🔽 level, which has previously acted as a key turning point and could influence the next directional move.
Support at: 97.600 🔽
Resistance at: 100.000 🔼, 101.500 🔼, 102.812 🔼, 104.223 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔽 Bearish: The trend remains bearish while price stays below 100.000. A break below 97.600 may lead to further downside continuation.
🔼 Bullish: A bounce from 97.600 followed by a move back above 100.000 could open the door for a recovery toward 101.500.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Dollar Bottoming Out Pretty solid bottom for USD. I am assuming more money flowing into USD when a correction is about to happen. We see that this morning when we had that quick drop from 7:00 - 8:00 EST. US10Y rate dropping, USD rising, and equity declining. Back to the old game. So I am suggesting long USD, and short equities, given the recent comeback is way too ridiculous and needs a correction now.
$DXYThe U.S. dollar might face downward pressure as capital shifts into safer or high-demand assets:
💰 Stocks – High quality U.S. products still attract global demand.
🪙 Bitcoin – Emerging as digital reserves.
🥇 Gold – Classic portfolio leverage in times of uncertainty.
🇺🇸 U.S. Strategy – Dollar devaluation could be a smart move to attract foreign capital. Big market = big opportunity.
👉 The U.S. needs capital to grow. A weaker dollar might be the setup.
#Forex #DXY #Bitcoin #Gold #USMarkets #SmartMoneyMoves #TheMoneyAssociation
USD Bears Take Over After 102 ResistanceTiming moves can be difficult on both long and short-term basis. But when price goes oversold on the weekly chart, it can be really difficult to chase the move lower, such as we saw in DXY back in late-April.
The currency hit a major spot of confluent support on Easter Monday and at that point RSI on the weekly was in oversold territory for only the second time in the past seven years.
As I had highlighted in this post () it was the 102 level that I wanted to see DXY trade through to illustrate bullish control following that oversold reading.
It took a few weeks, but last Monday saw an open door for bulls to make the statement move - but they fell 2 pips shy of the big figure and since then, sellers have taken more and more control of the matter.
This is where the proverbial plot thickens as there's now no oversold reading on the weekly DXY chart, and sellers have an open door to push for a major low.
On that front, we will likely need to see a breach of the 140.00 level in USD/JPY to allow for a push to a fresh low, and given the momentum in both USD and USD/JPY from the past week, that's not something that I would want to discount.
But next week is the final week of May trade and it's a big week for both markets. USD/CAD remains of attraction for USD bears given the longer-term range that remains in play there. - js
DXY Aiming for Lower LowsHi,
DXY is bearish on the 1-hour chart, headed toward the 98.901 area, potentially aiming for 97.912 with an extended drop to 96.114.
Price volatility is moving in line with price momentum across both lower and higher timeframes, suggesting strong bearish sentiment at this time.
If the price reverses and breaks above 101.000, the setup will be invalidated.
Happy trading,
K.
Not trading advice
Bond Market Breakdown: Why Yields Are Surging and What It Means 🚨 Market Recap – May 2025 Edition
This week, markets sent a clear message: rising yields are shaking the foundation. In this video, I break down the key events driving the spike in U.S.
Treasury yields — the highest in nearly two decades — and what that means for major assets like:
💵 DXY (U.S. Dollar)
📉 XAU/USD (Gold)
🟠 BTC/USD (Bitcoin)
We unpack:
Why the dollar is showing strength despite long-term fiscal concerns
How bond market stress is impacting investor sentiment across all asset classes
What rising yields mean for your portfolio — in plain language
Why this might be the most important macro signal traders are missing right now
If you’re a trader, investor, or just trying to understand what’s really moving the markets, this recap connects the dots.
📊 Watch now to stay ahead.
🔁 Feel free to share or comment with your thoughts!
#MarketRecap #BondYields #DXY #Gold #Bitcoin #MacroAnalysis #TradingView #InvestorInsights #FX #Crypto #TradingStrategy
SELL THE US DOLLARThis is a continuation of our previous analysis on DXY. As we had mentioned USD DOLLAR will drop all the way to 94.800 before we consider any bullish market movement. In the next session we will be monitoring DXY for selling positions (this means buying EURUSD, GBPUSD and GOLD). Keep your risk manageable and use proper risk management. Cheers to you all.
Dollar Poised for Further Losses as Confidence Erodes – Key LeveThe U.S. dollar is under mounting pressure, with a combination of fundamental and technical factors pointing toward deeper weakness. Investor trust in the U.S. economy is waning, evidenced by a wave of insider selling from top U.S. CEOs. Their net reduction in equity holdings signals caution at the highest levels.
The U.S. bond market is also flashing warning signs. Rising debt issuance, high interest costs, and concerns over long-term fiscal discipline are pushing risk premiums higher—not as a vote of confidence, but as a red flag. These pressures reduce the dollar’s attractiveness, especially with global alternatives gaining traction.
Geopolitically, renewed tariff discussions—particularly against China—raise concerns over trade frictions and global growth, adding to bearish sentiment.
On the technical side, the break below the 100.50 level on the dollar index (DXY) has confirmed downside momentum. The monthly chart signals a bearish structure, with lower highs and lower lows forming. If selling continues, the next major target lies near the 90.00 zone—a level last seen in early 2021.
USD Reversal From 2025 Downtrend- DXY Short-term LevelsThe US Dollar Index rallied more than 4% off confluent support with the recovery failing at the yearly downtrend this month. The decline is responding to initial support late in the week with the near-term recovery may be vulnerable as we head into the close of the month.
A look at DXY price actions shows the index rebounding off support today at 99.40/47- a region defined by the 61.8% retracement of the April rally and the May low-day close (LDC).
Initial resistance is eyed at the 38.2% retracement of the recent decline / 2024 low-close at 100.35 with key resistance around the 50% retracement at 100.65- note that the April trendline converges on this threshold over the next few days. Ultimately, a breach above the Friday close / 61.8% retracement at 100.97 is needed to suggest a more significant low was registered last month / validate a breakout of the yearly downtrend.
A break below the weekly lows would threaten resumption of the broader downtrend towards subsequent objectives seen at the 78.6% retracement at 98.79 and key support at 97.71-98.39- a region defined by the 2018 swing high, the 2025 swing low, and the 61.8% retracement of the 2018 advance. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Bottom line: The U.S. Dollar has broken below a multi-week uptrend with the bulls now attempting to mark resumption of the yearly downtrend. From a trading standpoint, rallies would need to be limited to 100.65 IF the index is heading lower on this stretch with a close below 99.40 needed to fuel the next leg of the decline.
Keep in mind we get the release of key U.S. inflation data next week with core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) on tap into the close of the month. Stay nimble into the release and watch the weekly closes here for guidance.
-MB