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DXY Under Pressure: Analyzing Economic Signals Ahead U.S. Elect.The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently showing intriguing movements as it deals with a mix of economic data and looming political changes. After a Friday marked by disappointing economic indicators—such as the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the Non-Farm Employment Change—the DXY appears to be entering a potential reversal phase. This was further reflected in its negative opening on Monday, which had a noticeable impact on trading in London. Economic Backdrop and Market Sentiment The DXY's recent performance has been influenced by a combination of economic releases and trader sentiment. The mixed results from significant economic indicators have created a sense of cautious uncertainty among investors. The less-than-ideal ISM Manufacturing PMI and Non-Farm Employment Change figures have raised concerns about the strength of the U.S. economy, prompting traders to reassess their positions. As market participants analyze these economic signals, it’s evident that the DXY is acting in response to established price levels and supply zones. Recent price actions suggest a critical juncture; the dollar seems to be encountering resistance as it approaches these key areas. Insights from the COT Report A deeper look at the market dynamics through the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a noteworthy divergence. Retail traders continue to maintain long positions, likely influenced by previous bullish sentiment surrounding the dollar. Meanwhile, institutional investors, often referred to as the "smart money," are taking a more bearish stance, gradually shifting their positions lower. This unsettling divergence raises important questions: Will the enthusiasm of retail traders sway the market, or will the more cautious strategies of institutional investors prevail? This situation highlights the potential for volatility that characterizes these transitional phases in the market. Retail traders may find themselves at risk if the smart money's strategies prove to be more prescient. Seasonal Trends Indicate a Bearish Outlook Adding another layer of complexity, seasonal patterns historically suggest that a bearish trend may be on the horizon during this time of year. Price movements often align with established seasonal patterns, prompting traders to consider the implications for future market performance. The Impending U.S. Elections: A Prelude to Volatility With U.S. elections fast approaching, market volatility is expected to rise significantly. History shows that political events can greatly influence currency and asset prices, leading traders to adjust their positions in anticipation of results. This environment is likely to see retracements across various indices and currencies, creating turmoil across the financial landscape. As market participants prepare for the immediate aftermath of the elections, substantial fluctuations are anticipated. The uncertainty surrounding the potential outcomes and the resulting policy shifts will drive considerable movement across asset classes. Conclusion The DXY’s trajectory is complex as it navigates a potential reversal amidst mixed economic signals, diverging trader positions, and impending political changes. With the elections on the horizon, traders should brace for increased volatility and be ready to adapt to rapid shifts in momentum. Staying informed about economic indicators, seasonal trends, and overall market sentiment will be crucial for navigating this challenging landscape. Ultimately, success in these uncertain times will hinge on understanding market psychology while remaining agile in response to both data releases and geopolitical developments. Initial Idea: ✅ Please share your thoughts about DXY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
TVC:DXYShort
by FOREXN1
1
Weekly Recap & Market Forecast $SPX (Nov 3rd—> Nov 8th)Looking Ahead: Next week promises to be pivotal with several major events on the docket: - **U.S. Presidential Election:** A crucial event that could reshape fiscal and economic policies. - **Fed Policy Decision & Powell Press Conference:** The market will closely watch for signals about future rate paths. - **U.S. Jobless Claims:** Key data to gauge the health of the labor market. As we move forward, these developments will be crucial in shaping market sentiment and guiding investment decisions. **Timing is key in trading. Check our www.notion.so for time stamps on these important events and stay ready for what’s ahead.** Here’s to another week of informed investing and strategic decision-making! 🌟 Market Forecast (Updated 11/03/2024) **SPX** - Most of the Mag 7 stocks reported really good numbers but issued weak guidance. With FOMC and Election decision this week, We should see a lot of volatility. Next resistance: 5,824 and 5,893 Next support: 5,705, followed by 5,600 Weekly Sentiment: Mixed
TVC:DXY
by WallSt007
a possibility that the dollar might go up to the 105 price levela possibility that the dollar might go up to the 105 price level because there might be a significant pullback. especially since the US elections has shown a very volatile effect on the USD and several other currencies in the past week. this might be a good opportunity to take out your spoil from the market or lose too. anyways, be careful. i intend to take trades only if there's a very straightforward setup. that said, if there is no liquidity raid, i won't be taking any trade. i'm not eager to lose or make money.
TVC:DXY
by isaacnsisong
Analysis Dollar / DXY Hello everyone, I haven't been active the whole week. I'm sharing my analysis for the upcoming week. The dollar's bullish momentum was purely market manipulation. What I see is a significant amount of liquidity below that the price wants to collect before continuing with its bullish movement. On the weekly (W) chart, the price is still in consolidation, which could last for a while longer. The daily (D) chart has been in a downtrend so far, but there was a BOS (Break of Market Structure). For this reason, I believe the dollar will be bearish next week.
TVC:DXY
by andricstrahinja95
The Weekend: Prepping to Trade & Travel w/AIRAIn preparation for a trip to show my daughter more of Thailand, I've switched to a fully mobile setup. I’m running everything with just two laptops and a monitor for each, getting my mind ready for this new workflow. I’m excited for this change because our usual work routine felt like it was limiting her experiences at such a crucial time in her life. This upcoming week is a big one, but nothing is more important than her growth and development. So, I hope you enjoy this test video. Rest assured, What's Flowing videos will keep flowing, and my algorithms will stay busy spread trading across various markets.
TVC:DXYEducation
by moneymagnateash
Near-term Bullish DXY Bias Monthly chart for DXY hints a possible distribution zone formation. As there is a bullish candlestick pattern formed at last month, bullish bias seems to be the higher possible trend for now. Weekly Bullish trend channel formation suggest higher upside is likely, however, last bar doji candlestick pattern suggest indecision. Near-term support and resistance at 100.25 and 106.50. Last Friday bullish bar closes back near Monday's opening reinforced near term bullish bias. Looking forward, next week 5 Nov being US presidential elections day will add volatility to the market. So, price may likely to go the next higher order block area.
INDEX:DXYLong
by savvyacademy
USDX- SELL strategy 3-D chartthe best way to look at charts, is using the USDX chart to look at the overall expectation of expected movement of the market. Looking at current election state, and the overall viewpoint (or rather the probability of winner) Trump seems to be the likely based expected outcome judging the probabilities. This is not to say, what really will happen, and surprises are always there. The USDX is for me a kind of mirror reflecting the potential outcome, and if we look at some analysts, when Republicans win, the USD weakens, and if Democrats, the opposite should be the case. Currently, we have an overbought USDX and anywhere between 104.50 -105.00 a SELL is likely the best strategy. I feel we will test 103.40 area and we may see 102.25 as a low in the coming weeks. Strategy SELL @ 104.40-104.80 and take profit first @ 103.45 and if broken, SELL below 103.10 and take profit 102.20. I feel TRUMP is the winner, hence a lower USD is likely the case.
PEPPERSTONE:USDXShort
by peterbokma
2
DXY Will Fall! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for DXY. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 103.924. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 103.688 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
2