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STRAP IN FOR A TURBULENT WEEK DXY- USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25DXY USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. ✅ U.S. dollar index is a measure of the value of the dollar against a basket of six foreign currencies. ✅The currencies are the Euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen, Canadian dollar, British pound, and Swedish krona. 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅ Break an d close below July 2023 key 100.00 levels. ✅ Foresee a pull back to, weekly imbalance, daily order block, daily 50ema, weekly order block and or weekly 50 ema. ✅ Awaiting to identify a significant break of structure bullish to use the DXY as confluence for our trading week 18 of Q2 toward key points of interest mentioned above. ✅ Forecasting continued bearish pressure long term. ✅Initially bullish outlook however upon price turn around. DXY to break 100.000 level again. 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. Pairs to look out for - EURUSD USDCHF USDJPY USDCAD GBPUSD Simply an opinion - We always trade what we see and not what were think BUT, with that said it just feels... Unnatural to place too many bets against the USD. For that reason, our points of interest are not based on order black from too far in the distant weeks and month. We have identified more conservative targets for the DXY for the week 21 in Q2. We foresee that with the deals that have been brokered alongside the steadiness of USD market sentiment, THE DXY MAY RISE AGAIN. We forecast continued bearish sentiment of the DXY to the key points of interest area 98.000, weekly lows/daily lows BEFORE creating a monthly higher high inline with USD strength and Trumps seeks to sure up US ambitions. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
TVC:DXY
by JCFRGNT
Dollar At Resistance; Will Lower CPI Cause New Drop? We had a volatile start of a new trading week. The dollar moved higher across the board as the US and China appear to be moving toward lowering tariffs, suggesting progress toward a potential trade deal. As a result, stock futures are also trading to the upside. However, keep in mind that sharp moves on Monday can easily be reversed through the rest of the week, possibly even today, after US CPI came out lower than expected, which can cause some weakness on yeilds, and possibly FED will be ready to cut rates after-all. So, I think that USD can still come under pressure, especially if we also consider that rise on DXY is in three legs and that a lot fo gaps from this weekend are still unfilled.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by ew-forecast
USD Index (DXY) Short Setup: Reversal Expected from Resistance Z1. Entry Point: ~102.430 The price is currently below this level at 101.583, suggesting a potential short setup once the entry level is reached or confirmed. 2. Stop Loss: ~103.196 This is the price level where losses are limited if the trade moves against the intended direction. It's placed above a strong resistance zone. 3. Resistance Point: ~100.580 This was a previous resistance level which has now been broken, indicating a bullish push. The current price is above this, which may signal a breakout. 4. EA Target Point: ~97.857 The take-profit level, significantly lower, indicating a bearish target. This suggests a short position is intended from the entry point. Indicators and Signals The chart uses moving averages (likely 50 EMA and 200 EMA), and the price has surged above them, often a bullish signal. However, the analysis seems to anticipate a reversal from the 102.430 level, expecting a drop back down toward 97.857. The move from the current price to the target would be a 4.40% decline, a significant move for an index. Trade Plan Summary Trade Type: Likely a short/sell from the 102.430 level. Risk: ~0.77 (103.196 - 102.430) Reward: ~4.57 (102.430 - 97.857) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:6, which is favorable if the setup works out.
TVC:DXYShort
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
19
Trump's dollar disregardUpdated version of my chart from 2022, whereby we predicted the rising strength of TVC:DXY to fill out the channel forecasted. Gold pumping to ATH's with increased political uncertainty throughout the globe and China dumping its US treasuries i am surprised the dollar has held sustained this price. Here present is some technical analysis outlining the key levels for $TVC:DXY. Keeping this text short i am predicting the decline of the Dollar and i am currently keeping my eye on the GBP/USD chart alongside NOK/USD as see these as the most interesting in the FX markets.
TVC:DXY
by ben_findlay
US DOLLAR Analysis: Bullish Momentum Building?TVC:DXY is finally showing signs of stabilization. The index has successfully rejected a key support level, an area where price has historically attracted strong buying interest. This level closely aligns with the psychological $100 mark, which has once again acted as a pivotal point for market participants, reinforcing its relevance as a key technical level. The recent price action confirms bullish interest, as evidenced by a strong rejection pattern within the zone, with long lower wicks and bullish follow-through candles. The support zone held firm, and buyers have stepped in, initiating an upward move. Now that price has bounced from this level, the probability of a continued rally increases. If the bullish momentum sustains, the price could move toward the 102.500 level, a logical near-term target based on previous structure and minor resistance. However, a failure to maintain above the 100.00 handle or a sudden shift in sentiment could still pose downside risks. A confirmed breakdown below the green support zone would invalidate this bullish outlook and potentially open the door for further declines. Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
TVC:DXYLong
by TrendDiva
92
DOLLARDollar (DXY) Outlook: Bearish Near-Term, Consolidation with Mild Depreciation Current Trends: The U.S. dollar has weakened 8.4% year-to-date, pressured by: Economic Contraction: Q1 2025 GDP shrank by 0.3%, driven by pre-tariff import surges and softening domestic demand. Fed Policy Uncertainty: Mixed signals on inflation control and delayed rate cuts erode confidence. Trade Tensions: Escalating U.S. tariffs disrupt global markets, favoring alternatives like the euro as a safe haven. Technical Momentum: Bearish chart patterns suggest further downside, with key support levels at risk. Reserve Currency Status: Despite concerns, the USD retains 57.8% of global reserves, providing a floor against rapid declines. Treasury Yields and Recession Signals Yield Levels 10-year: 4.439% 2-year: 3.976% 30-year: 4.900% Inverted Yield Curve: The 10-2 spread remains negative, a historically reliable recession indicator. Past inversions preceded downturns by 18–92 weeks, signaling heightened recession risks. Implications for USD: Inverted curves typically weaken the dollar as markets price in future Fed rate cuts. Rising long-term yields (e.g., 10-year at 4.439%) paradoxically coincide with dollar weakness, reflecting investor skepticism about U.S. economic resilience. Key Drivers and Cross-Currency Impacts Factor Impact on USD Impact on Yields Fed Policy Uncertainty ↓ (Delayed cuts weigh) ↑ (Volatility in rate expectations) Trade Tariffs ↓ (Safe-haven flows to EUR) ↑ (Risk premium in long-term yields) Inverted Yield Curve ↓ (Recession fears) – (Historically precedes recessions) Eurozone Growth (0.4% Q1) ↓ (EUR strength pressures USD) – Conclusion The U.S. dollar faces a bearish near-term bias, driven by economic softness, tariff headwinds, and technical breakdowns. Treasury yields, particularly the inverted curve, reinforce recession risks and further USD downside. However, the dollar’s reserve status and higher relative rates (vs. peers like the euro and yen) may limit severe declines, favoring consolidation with mild depreciation. Watch for: Fed communication on rate cuts and inflation. Eurozone PMI data (May 22) to gauge EUR resilience. 10-2 yield spread dynamics for recession timing clues. In summary, the dollar’s trajectory hinges on balancing recession risks against its yield advantage, with bears currently in control.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
DXY Sell this rally. Bearish until end-of-year.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Down since the September 26 2022 High and is currently on a medium-term Bearish Leg. The last 3 weeks however have been a short-term rebound (all 1W candles green), but the price is still below both the 1W MA200 (orang trend-line) and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This doesn't alter the bearish trend as this is not the first time we've seen this price action. More specifically, DXY also made a short-term rebound during the first Bearish Leg of the pattern and rebounded on January 30 2023 back to the 1W MA50. This delivered a strong rejection which eventually completed the Bearish Leg with one last round of selling to complete a -13.30% Bearish Leg in total. Before that, we also saw the same pattern (also on 1W RSI terms) in 2020, when on August 31 2020 the price again had a short-term rebound only to resume the bearish trend and finish the sequence again at -13.40% from the top. As a result, as long as the price remains (closes) below the 1W MA50, the last sell signal is given when the 1W RSI breaks above its MA (yellow trend-line) and then we can expect the Bearish Leg to complete a -13.30% decline with a 96.000 Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYShort
by TradingShot
Dollar Weekly CLS I Continuation setup Model 2 , Target 50%Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
 ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
TVC:DXYLong
by David_Perk
12