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King Dollar is Back!DXY surged this week, bolstered by strong U.S. economic data. Durable Goods Orders for July spiked by 9.9%, far exceeding expectations, while Q2 GDP growth was revised up to 3.0%, indicating robust economic activity. The labor market remained stable with Initial Jobless Claims slightly below forecasts and Continuing Claims steady. On the downside, the housing market showed weakness, with Pending Home Sales dropping by 5.5%, reflecting challenges in that sector. Despite this, the overall data supports a bullish outlook for the dollar. As we approach the next trading week, key support levels like 101.00-101.50 and last week’s highs will be critical areas to watch for potential long entries.
TVC:DXYLong
by trader9224
Dollar index remains under 105.00The dollar index has been losing its previous bullish momentum for a couple of days now, encountering resistance in the 104.50-104.70 zone. This resistance coincides with the resistance from the end of July. From this morning, we see a pullback to the 104.00 level and a hint of a turn to the bearish side. The first target is the EMA 200 daily at 103.40. If the support is not enough, the index could continue up to 102.00. Maybe this pullback will be short-lived, and we will see a return to the bullish side again. We will be looking at a jump from 105.00 to a new four-month high.
TVC:DXY
by Aleksin_Aleksandar
Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 105.42 1st Support: 104.65 1st Resistance: 106.13 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
How the U.S. Election Outcome Could Shape DXY's pathHey Traders! In today’s trading session, we’re closely watching the DXY for a potential buying opportunity around the 102.800 zone. Recently, DXY has been trending downward but managed to break out of that downtrend, signaling a possible shift in momentum. Right now, it’s in a corrective phase and approaching the retracement level near the 102.800 support and resistance zone. Fundamental Analysis: U.S. Election Impact on the Dollar Today’s election could significantly impact the U.S. dollar, with the outcome likely to shape future economic policies. Here’s how each candidate’s policies might influence DXY: If Trump Wins: A Trump victory is expected to strengthen the dollar. Here’s why: Higher Inflation and Interest Rates: Trump’s policies, including potential tariffs and stricter immigration, are seen as inflationary. Tariffs can increase the cost of imported goods, while reduced immigration may create labor shortages, both driving inflation higher. Federal Reserve’s Stance: Higher inflation would prompt the Fed to reconsider future rate cuts and possibly lean toward raising rates to control inflation. Higher interest rates make the dollar more attractive, as investors seek better returns. Tax Cuts and Economic Boost: Trump’s proposed tax cuts are likely to stimulate economic growth in the short term. A booming economy typically supports a stronger dollar as investors favor a robust market. In this scenario, DXY would likely respond positively, and we could see a strong upward movement. If Harris Wins: On the other hand, a Harris victory could weaken the dollar due to different policy priorities: Lower Inflation and More Fed Flexibility: Harris’s policies are expected to focus more on economic support, potentially through spending programs and fewer tariffs. Lower inflationary pressure gives the Fed more room to keep rates low or even consider cuts. Market Reaction: Investors may anticipate a slower economic rebound, favoring a weaker dollar, as demand for safe-haven assets like the dollar could decrease. Your vote is very important! Joe.
TVC:DXYLong
by JoeChampion
1
DXY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for DXY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 105.033. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 103.770 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYShort
by SignalProvider
2
DreamAnalysis | Trump’s 2024 Comeback Shakes Markets📈 US Elections and Markets: Bitcoin Hits Record $75,000 amid Trump’s Comeback 🌎 Global Market Impact from the US Presidential Election With ballots still being counted, the financial world is buzzing with anticipation over Donald Trump’s possible return to the White House. This election has set off movements in stocks, the US dollar, forex pairs, and cryptocurrencies, affecting global markets even before an official result is announced. 🚀 Bitcoin Surges to All-Time High Bitcoin spiked to an unprecedented $75,000 as market confidence grows around Trump’s chances. With Trump’s support for crypto-friendly policies, this is seen as a bullish indicator in the digital assets space. 💬 Elon Musk Comments on Trump’s Lead Elon Musk, who publicly backed Trump, expressed that Trump’s comeback signals a “clear mandate for change” in the US. The statement has fueled excitement in both the stock and crypto markets, further boosting sentiment around Trump trades. 💸 Forex Markets React: USD Strengthens, Euro Declines 📉 The US dollar surged, with the Euro becoming the day’s weakest currency as it dropped 1.6% to hit a five-month low of 1.07 against the USD. According to Nikos Tzabouras from Tradu, “Lower taxes and deregulation could energize corporate profits and economic activity.” - 💔 Mexican Peso Decline: The peso, one of the currencies most affected by Trump’s policies, saw a 0.5-point drop against the dollar. This reaction is reminiscent of its movements following Trump’s 2016 victory. 🇯🇵 Japanese Stocks Rally While Hong Kong Dips - Nikkei 225 Gains: Japanese stocks soared by 1.5% as early results pointed to a Trump win. Charu Chanana from Saxo Markets noted that any likelihood of a Democratic sweep could impact equity markets but seems increasingly unlikely. - Hong Kong Hang Seng Falls: The Hang Seng index started its day with losses, signaling regional volatility amid election uncertainties. 📊 Equity Markets Rise in the US Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq climbed over 1% on election day, showing investor optimism. However, volatility is anticipated to remain high as the final results approach, with investors keeping an eye on Trump’s confirmed leads in key states like Florida and Georgia. 🔗 Bond Market & Volatility Indicators - Bond Volatility Eases: Despite gains in stocks, the BOA Move index reflects sustained bond volatility, though the VIX (stock volatility) fell slightly from 22 to 20. - Stable Bond Markets: Investors expect bond markets to settle once results are finalized, though high levels suggest some caution. 💥 Crypto Market: Bitcoin Hits New High as Trump Backs Digital Assets Bitcoin’s rise highlights Trump’s support for crypto policies and his “Bitcoin President” stance. While Kamala Harris’s approach to crypto remains uncertain, Trump’s endorsement has boosted the sector, giving confidence to the market and key players. 🔍 Key Takeaways: Market Sentiment Driven by US Election Results The markets are showing clear signs of investor positioning as Trump’s lead becomes apparent: - US Dollar Up: Any lead for Trump boosts the dollar, with high volatility expected to persist until results solidify. - Cryptocurrency Surge: Bitcoin's 5% increase signals strong bullish sentiment. - Forex Weakness: Major currencies, particularly the Euro and Mexican Peso, have declined against the USD. 👁‍🗨 Keep an Eye on: Key Influences and Volatility With ongoing election results, financial markets, crypto, and forex are likely to fluctuate: - Short-term Forex Movements: USD expected to be volatile. - Crypto Optimism: Bitcoin and other digital assets may continue to climb. - US-China Relations: Possible tariff adjustments with Trump’s agenda in mind.
TVC:DXY
by DreamAnalysis
Trump Reclaims US Presidency6th November President Trump!!! DXY: Further strength expected to 105.45, could retrace briefly, needs to stay above 104.80. (beyond 105.45 could reach 106) NZDUSD: Sell 0.5935 SL 20 TP 75 (hesitation at 0.5895) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6560 SL 25 TP 80 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2810 SL 30 TP 60 EURUSD: Sell 1.0765 SL 25 TP 90 USDJPY: Buy 154.40 SL 45 TP 90 USDCHF: Buy 0.8710 SL 20 TP 40 USDCAD: Sell 1.39 SL 30 TP 70 Gold: Looking for reaction at 2733, beyond that could trade up to 2760
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai