NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation After FVG RebalanceGreetings Traders!
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the institutional order flow remains bearish, continuing the momentum established during last week’s trading sessions. In alignment with this directional bias, we are strategically focused on identifying high-probability bearish opportunities.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
Sustained Bearish Order Flow:
Institutional behavior continues to reflect a bearish narrative, suggesting that smart money remains committed to driving price lower.
Rebalancing a Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Price is currently rebalancing a notable fair value gap—an internal range inefficiency—providing the perfect confluence zone for bearish setups. This rebalancing typically precedes a draw on external liquidity.
Targeting External Range Liquidity:
As the market rebalances internal inefficiencies (FVGs, order blocks), it subsequently seeks external range liquidity such as sell stops, liquidity pools, and engineered lows. This is a fundamental principle of institutional price delivery.
TRADING PLAN:
Entry Consideration:
Monitor price action within the fair value gap for confirmation of bearish intent. This zone serves as an internal liquidity area, optimal for institutional order execution.
Profit Targets:
Focus on external liquidity resting below previous lows—particularly sell stops and liquidity pools. These levels represent the logical draw where institutions aim to finalize order pairing and take profit.
By following the institutional flow, we align ourselves with smart money practices, improving our precision and probability of success. Stay patient and disciplined—confirmation is key!
Its good to be back,
The_Architect
NAS100 trade ideas
Bearish opportunity if support is broken📉 US100 – Watching for a possible bearish breakout
After reaching the key level of 19,151.5, the US100 price has shown weakness by breaking out of an ascending wedge. It is currently testing a dynamic support zone at 18,695.4, just before a liquidity zone marked in red.
A break below this zone could trigger a move towards 18,434.1, and in extension towards 18,185.8, if bearish pressure continues.
This structure suggests that momentum is shifting in favor of the bears, especially if the blue support fails to sustain the price.
🧠 Action plan: Monitor a breakout with volume and a bearish structure to seek short entries with appropriate risk management.
Consolidating at lower levels, gathering strength for a rebound(The following is solely a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Please exercise your own judgment before making any decisions.)
Due to the Easter long weekend, there were only four trading days last week. Despite the Trump administration's renewed escalation of U.S.-China tariffs and its threats of war against Iran, the Nasdaq remained largely range-bound over the week. Crude oil prices saw a modest increase, while gold experienced a stronger rally driven by rising risk-off sentiment.
Nasdaq Outlook:
After the market opens next Tuesday, the Nasdaq has a high probability of filling the price gap between 18,600 and 18,800. However, before the full impact of the tariff policy is priced in, the market may still test lower support levels.
Key downside support lies in the 17,000–17,300 range. If the market fails to find strong buying interest above this zone, prices may retest the previous low of 16,349, or even fall further toward the 15,500 level.
That said, the Nasdaq is currently in a deeply oversold condition on the daily chart. In the absence of further negative developments, there is a high likelihood of a significant rebound in the coming weeks. Next week may still require patience as the market digests the negative implications of the tariff news.
Bearish drop off 50% Fibonacci resistance?USTEC is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 18,606.32
1st Support: 17,788.70
1st Resistance: 18,942.56
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X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NAS100USD: Bullish Scalping Opportunity from SupportGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we identify bullish institutional order flow, and as such, we aim to align with this narrative by seeking buying opportunities.
This setup presents a scalping opportunity on the lower timeframes, with price currently reacting to a bullish order block serving as a key institutional support zone. Upon confirmation, we anticipate a move toward the liquidity pool in premium pricing, which will serve as our target zone for profit-taking.
As always, remain disciplined, wait for clear confirmation, and manage risk accordingly.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Is Nasdaq still bullish? Steep correction today as expectedIf you look at my last post, you can see where I explained the expectation.
As range theory would state, the rejection from the bottom of a range creates a target in the high of the range. I have identified the candle top that I believe is the target for this rally.
If the bearish imbalance is stacked with too many orders we will not make it there. We are sitting right around the 50EMA for hourly as well as retesting the break point and bottom of the hourly bearish orderblock as I have marked.
It is in my opinion that the Void will act as a magnetic anomaly and assist in pulling price up as many institutional orders will be in that range, but we'll see 🔑
Share with a friend in need of real guidance 🫡
NASDAQ a look ahead...As the NASDAQ and other major U.S. Equity Indexes face the pressure of economic uncertainty, the price action between days show that investors are not quite convinced this bull run has seen its finish line. However, we shouldn't only be looking toward private investor sentiment, but also that of the Federal Reserve's presence in the market and how the bond market reflects the Fed's position moving forward.
As shown here, the all time high for the TVC:NDQ is $22,133.22. Our position is that the NASDAQ must reclaim, retest, and continue beyond the all time high in order for us to continue our confirmation on the bull run. The path described should look as shown below...
In this instance, we can assume the bull run should continue. However, we should also be prepared for an alternate scenario where investors leave risk assets behind to chase non-risk assets (bonds for example). This scenario would look as shown below.
All though these are not the only two possible scenarios, we can most likely expect the future to play out in a similar fashion as the examples.
As for the market metrics to keep an eye on, look to TVC:US10Y for any bond yield manipulation, FRED:RRPONTSYD for market liquidity metrics, and FRED:M1V for M1 money velocity. Furthermore, keep an eye on tariffs for consumer tech ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NYSE:TSM ) and military activity ( NYSE:LMT , NYSE:RTX , NYSE:NOC ). Lastly, keep an eye on the banking and financial sector for more than likely banking deregulations withing the coming years.