PKRUSD"Bullish Head and Shoulders" is a term used in technical analysis in financial markets. It's a reversal pattern that can indicate a potential change in the direction of a price trend.
The pattern consists of three peaks, with the middle peak (the "head") being higher than the two surrounding peaks (the "shoulders"). The line connecting the lows of the two troughs between the peaks is called the "neckline."
In a bullish head and shoulders pattern:
- The left shoulder forms as the price reaches a high, then declines.
- The head forms as the price rises higher than the previous high, then falls back.
- The right shoulder forms as the price rises again but fails to reach the height of the head, followed by another decline.
- The neckline connects the lows of the troughs between the peaks.
Traders often see the completion of a bullish head and shoulders pattern as a signal that a downtrend is losing momentum and that an uptrend may be forthcoming. However, like all technical analysis patterns, it's not foolproof, and other factors should be considered before making trading decisions.
PKRUSD trade ideas
USD/PKRPossibility of USD drop against PKR are really high its not only due to technical where goods prices are higher to curb the food inflation and stop other type of imports but also fundamentals as need of Pakistan's support is really necessary in the region to calm the situation down in middle east and stop the intelligence outflow.
USD PKR expectation350 likely in the near term
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Technical (Behavioral) factors (short term to medium term)
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- Consolidation period become shorten (rectangles)
- Historical correction range (10 to 11%) which has been completed in the current correction phase
- Tested current support upward support and resumed upward journey
- Extreme oversold momentum and trend indicators
Macro finance factors (medium term)
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- Increasing real interest rate differentials comparing with developed markets (portfolio channel)
- Increasing inflation differentials with developed market (Current account channel)
- Current account equations are in elastic to FX rates (current account channel)
- High risk premiums of equities, long duration bonds and real estate (Portfolio channel)
Macro finance factors (long term)
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- Lower productivity levels and potential GDP growth (reduced from 6% to 4% in recent years)
- Expected lower natural real exchange rate (long run equilibrium exchange rate - NATREX)
Market Micro structure factors (short term)
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- unwinding short forward position by exporters
- unwinding of short positions by importers
- unwinding of short positions by small investors due to crack down (investor sentiments)
Rising USDPKR Exchange Rate Sparks Highest Inflation in PakistanIn this video, I have taken into account a comprehensive technical analysis of the USDPKR exchange rate and its significant impact on inflation within Pakistan. The Price action will provide you with a detailed understanding of the factors driving this upward movement.
Stay informed and make data-driven decisions in the financial markets by watching our in-depth analysis.
USDPKR about to hyperinflate? Pakistan will default?USDPKR is closely following USDLKR before the Sri Lankan Rupee hyperinflated in April 2022.
Below USDLKR can be seen creating a pattern in 2020 and 2021 very similar to what FX_IDC:USDPKR has been doing in the last year.
Here is what happened after Sri Lanka defaulted, and FX_IDC:USDLKR went from 200 to 360 in a matter of days
Given the above fractals, is it possible that Pakistan can defailt soon? If it does and it follows through on the pattern, USDPKR can jump from from the 280s to the high 400s very quickly.
USDPKR Bearish Divergence (Analysis.1)Whenever bearish divergence appears on the monthly chart of USDPKR, it took a 5-6% correction in first instance and if the divergence appeared again successively the instrument took a correction of 9-10%. Currently one bearish divergence was appeared and price action got corrected. Lets wait for another Bearish divergence to witness a good fall in USDPKR.
Usdpkr analysisDue to inflation in pakistan the pkr get weak against dollar and other currencies but there are some countries which commited to pay for pak, specialy most of them as i hear news they mentioj the march i will effect the price. The price range is about 240 and 290 the price hold for some times in this range.
USDPKR- 1 DAY CHART. US DOLLAR WILL RISE"Pakistan is Now Over 92% More Likely to Default on its Debt"
Here is my analysis against US DOLLAR PAKISTAN RS.
Dollar Rate will more rises in upcoming days the main reason is there is no NO POSITIVE NEWS and SUPPORT ZONE after Imposed Imported government (PMLN) by AMERICA & Support by Pakistani Establishment.
1st Target Rs.225.58
if candle close above 38.20% of fibonacci retracement then
2nd target : 228.28
3rd target : 230.90
4th Target : 239.47
STOP LOSS RS.222.1698 or if you are risk taker then Put your stop loss on RS.220.21