KSE-100 UPDATE 25-MAY-2025KSE-100 has failed to breakout of the ATH resistance for several days now. On LTF, it has formed many Bearish ERCs - which indicate further Bearish Follow through in coming week.
On Monday if Market holds above 1,19,530 for at least one hour only then take new positions.
Resistance is same 1,20,750.
If the market stays between 1,19,530 and 1,18,630 just wait and watch.
If the market goes below 1,18,600 and stays below there for at least one hour you can take short positions .
In case of this breakdown lower supports are 1,18,100 and 1,16,600 followed by 1,15,100.
Disclaimer:
This analysis of the KSE-100 Index is based on our understanding of technical charts and market trends. It is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. We recommend that all traders perform their own analysis before making any trading decisions.
KSE100 trade ideas
KSE100 UPDATEAs previously shared the index is primed for the Breakout which is now expected sooner than later.
The index today made a very meaningful candle.
Meaningful in the sense that this Positive Candle with biggest volumes of this week has taken a shape of a Bullish Hinge.
Hinge is like a mini reversal and in this scenario, this Bullish Hinge is the Harbinger of Breakout above ATH of 1,20,800 which is acting as shackles to the market move and preventing it move above and beyond.
As already shared Next Target of KSE100 as per Measured Move is 1,33,000 In Sha Allah.
KSE100 UPDATEKSE100 seems stuck between 1,18,000 and 1,20,800.
It is trying to breakout of this congestion zone but same hasn't happened so far.
Though there are still some chances of it reversing to 1,15,000 level but good thing that has happened is that it has created a bullish breaker block between 1,18,100 and ,1,19,200 which is providing strong support.
Chances of breaking out still seem greater than reversal.
KSE100 UPDATE 22/5/25KSE100 made a promising start and continued its bullish behavior through most of the day, but selling pressure returned to market in last hours.
Market is technically strong and ready to Breakout and start its journey to 1,33,000, it just needs a impetus in the form positive news to cross the final hurdle.
Market has created a short term Trend Line on 1H, and took support from it around 1,19,100.
Market is totally safe above 1,18,100.
Nonetheless if it falls below 1,18,000 then there is 1H Breaker Block at 1,15,100 to support it.
KSE100 UPDATEAnother day of extremely low volumes, looks like everyone is waiting for market to show its direction clearly before they get on the trade or another reason might be that Strong Hands have possession of most of the Market Mover Stocks which they won't sell till market breaks out and reaches at 1,33,000.
Index is safe above 1,18,100 Bullish Breaker Block, but if it falls below it then next downside target will be 1,15,100.
Suggestion don't take random trades without proper Analysis and adhere to Stop Loss strictly specially if market breaks below 1,18,000
KSE100 UPDATEAnother futile attempt by the index to break the shackles and blast off from the congestion to new uptrend.
On 1H TF the index hasn't touched the EMA for more than 20 candles, which is sign of strength
Index is expected to take support from 20 EMA on 1H, which is around 1,18,700.
index is considered safe and poised to breakout till it's trading above the Breaker Block which is below 1,15,100.
Conclusion : Trade based on technical analysis not emotions
KSE100 UPDATE FOR 15/5/25As already explained several times that it won't be easy for the index to break above this congestion/consolidation range which has been going for almost six months now.
Since 80% Breakout attempts fail so all attempts by KSE100 to breakout of this range have failed so far. There seems to be lot of Supply/selling ,in the zone between 1,18,800 and 1,20,800 which compels the market to retreat.
Until all overhead Selling/supply is not absorbed by the buyers index won't start its journey to next measured move around 1,33,000.
In case of repeated rejection in next few days at current levels market can revert back to lower limits of this consolidation range around 1,05,800.
Cautious buying and adherence to SL is highly recommended
KSE100 UPDATE FOR 14/5/25As already explained the Index faced rejection from the Supply Zone/ Resistance Area today, though there were above average volumes but still the index remained range bound and couldn't break the hurdle.
To start its journey towards 1,33,000 level index must break and sustain above the resistance area which spreads from 1,18,700 to 1,20,800.
If index fails to break above these levels in this week, today's range will just act as Up-thrust or Bull Trap and index may revert back to 1,15,000 level.
Cautious buying and adherence to SL levels is recommended
KSE100 UPDATEAs discussed in previous posts, KSE100 is facing heavy overhead supply at resistance levels between 1,18,500 and 1,20,800.
Till all overhead supply/selling is not absorbed by buyers, the index cannot breakout of this 6 months long consolidation phase.
Today's performance by the index is indicative of the fact that index has managed to absorb most of the overhead supply and is ready to break the shackles and move to next target of 1,33,500.
In lower portion of the chart1H shows index steadily absorbing the supply and moving in skyward trajectory.
Though the odds have now tilted to breakout rather than reversal to lower levels but caution mustn't be thrown out of the window by reckless buying
If the index is to breakout to new heights, it will have to do it with heavy weights who have not moved upwards yet
Noteworthy are
EngroH, Efert, Steel sector, Pharma, Refinery
It's time for sector and stock shifting because the stocks which dominated to index recently have mostly reached near their potential/resistance areas
KSE100 UPDATEAs already explained Index crossed above initial Resistance of 1,15,000.
Next resistance level is 1.17,300, if broken the next target can be as high as 1,33,000 in coming weeks.
However on the flip side if the index gets rejected at 1,17,300 resistance, it can re-retest recent low of 1,05,700.
Work with stop loss and don't get carried with buying spree
KSE100 REVISED UPDATEWith positive change in Geo-Political situation, bullish sentiment will overpower bearish forces in coming days, As already discussed previously market rebound over 1,05,800 lvl on Friday which brought it inside/above major support zone. Now with positive change in sentiments, market is expected to touch/cross initial resistance zone of 1,15,000 very quickly.
Please close/ ignore previous short calls.
Long trade calls will be shared today and tomorrow
KSE100 UPDATEKSE100 broke two major supports yesterday and completed its distribution phase which had started in Dec 24
It is technically in bearish phase now, since it has given CHoCH ( change of character to bearish) and made bearish breaker block also. Though market recovered around 4000 points today but it is just a healthy pullback. Market will continue to be bearish till it gives bullish CHoCH by crossing over 1,15,000 level.
Played exactly the same as predicted last week. KSE100 Closed at 114113.94 (02-05-2025)
Played exactly the same as predicted last week.
Now seems like Hidden Bullish Divergence is appearing.
Important Supports :
S1 around 113100 - 113400
S2 around 110500 - 110800
Important Resistances :
R1 around 114630 - 115120
R2 around 117000 - 117500