ED1! trade ideas
Let's play catch...the knife! Why you don't try to catch a falling knife. It would be great to be short..but we are not. Knife hurt when you catch them. On side lines with the euro.
Down goes Euro, down goes Euro...LESSONS:
1. If you missed the break down then you can't chase the trade.
2. If you missed the trade DO NOT try to catch the falling knife. You most likely take a hit to your account.
3. Wait for for something to setup...patience is your accounts best friend.
What's up the with EURO? No setups at this moment. We are sitting on our hands waiting. Stay tuned.
Head fake freddyWe are still watching the E6 closely. There was a false move on Friday. Could this have been the first pump before running? If they push it down Monday or Tuesday the weak longs will get squeezed and bail on their trades. Best to wait for a close outside of the wedge before looking for a trigger.
Would've, could've...Yes, the E6 is still falling out of bed. And YES, it would have been nice to still be short but that's trading. We rang the cash register as per our plan and we accept that. UNDERSTAND something...you will NEVER catch the exact top or bottom. You just want your share. :)
There is nothing for us to do with the E6. Time to be patient.
The finish line is in sight. Mr. Draghi keeps helping us sneak closer to our 2nd target. He must be reading our posts ;)
Nonetheless, we have pulled stops down to where our first target was hit. We are so close to the 2nd target that we need to tighten things up. It would be foolish to get this close and let a huge swing take us out. This has been a great trade and has paid us nicely. Take a look at our past posts to see how we initiated and managed the trade.
EURO FX moving lower to 1.20Euro bear trend is intact. Currently consolidating below the 1/1 bear Gann line The market calls for selloffs to attack for a new low.
E6 Euro fx EURUSDShowing accumulation as traders anticipate the ECB to provide support and buy sov bonds. If Euro breaks down more, it will be very ugly as the longs since mid Oct liquidate. Long to 1.262
$EURUSD $E6_F Euro currencyAccumulation. Near term swing low is within sight. $DX_F DXY US Dollar is encountering supply from $88 - 92 at the same time. $J6_F $USDJPY Japanese Yen is near support. All the major currencies are displaying a near term change in trend. More confirmation needed. Seeing early signs.
EURUSD - Double bottomWeekly chart here
The daily chart shows a double bottom, with a huge divergence on momentum indicators.
Considering the way the weekly charts moves, I would say a correction to the larger downtrend is highly probably. However, I believe that there is more downside coming in a few weeks. I expect the daily double bottom to play out and offer a better shorting opportunity. Till then, I am long this market.
She broke clean!The break is clean so we are looking for a small pull back on a lower time frame to get short. We will be up early to watch European session. Stay tuned!
Moving to the sidelinesThe Euro blew through our support watch area. LESSON: This is why we look at lower time frames for entries. If you are blindly trying to enter on support/resistance your account will get ripped. With the Euro zone weakening we will stand on the sidelines until the market firms up or we see a nice pullback.
Be patient...the Euro will give us opportunity.
Euro Currency - pre BCE QEMassive H&S. We are currently below the neckline in a well enstablished downtrend. The recent consolidation offers a good opportunity to enter short Euro (E6U14). Immediate terget on the median line - 1.32040. QE by BCE on the horizon?
Watch ListKeep the Euro on your radar screen. It's consolidating and will most likely move soon. She's come a long way so another move down could result in a snap back rally. If she breaks to the upside first look for a re-test of the break down lows.
Time For selling EURTime For selling EUR with DIV and Harmonic pattern seen its expected to have 1.3000 next 2 months
The underlying structural fundamentals will
continue to provide underlying dollar support
with strong support at lower levels.
The Euro was pushed lower again by reported comments from ECB member Makuch who stated that
several members were open to quantitative easing if necessary and prepared to take action. ECB
President Draghi reiterated that the bank would take all necessary measures to combat deflation if
required. Overall, there was increased speculation that the ECB was prepared to take more aggressive
action and was also looking to talk the Euro down
Euro - 1.33?Euro is trading into a bear channel started on the 27 Dec 2013. Friday 07 Feb 2014 close is at the upper parallel line. We are in overbought territory in the short term. A trade below friday low would project the next wave down to 1.3300 support. Targeting 1.3300 during the week 17 - 21 Feb 2014.
Time to short the Euro?Euro is moving lower. Price bounced back at the 20EMA and is moving towards the bear median line. Target around 1.33370.
Euro FLAGThe Euro currency has formed a bear flag at the median line. Further downward move is on the horizon. Target 1.3200.
Euro FZEuro trend is up and the 6days flag offers a good opportunity to enter long. Target on the median line in two weeks time.
