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GD1! trade ideas

#202428 - priceactiontds - weekly update - gold futures Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold: Strong consecutive bull bars in a trading range but still a lower high. Once bulls break above 2406, market is free to go back above 2440 but I wait for confirmation. Bears not having good arguments here for reversing this. Only a strong 1h close below the 1h 20ema would raise the odds for the bears. Quote from last week: bull case: Bulls keeping it above support but can not print consecutive daily closes above the daily 20ema. Will probably see a breakout over the next 1-2 weeks. comment: Bulls got the breakout above and 2 good looking bull bars above the daily 20ema. Above 2407 we can expect bears to give up and a retest of 2460 or higher. Market is amazingly symmetrical. 3 tries to drop below 2300 and we are probably seeing the 3rd try at printing above 2477 over the next days. It’s a big trading range and I will long this above 2407 for 2460+ and will short this above 2460, once market turns around again. Maybe bulls can print a higher high or maybe they don’t, it does not matter since you wait for the clear reversal before shorting again. On the weekly and monthly tf market is having huge tails above the bars and market has not closed a monthly bar above 2350. After this retest of 2460/2500, I expect a deeper pullback to the low of this current bull wedge/channel 2250 and likely even deeper over the next 6-12 months down to the big bull trend line starting 2018, which would be around 2000. current market cycle: trading range until 2300 or 2407 is broken. If bulls break above, trading range is expanded again up to 2480 key levels: 2300 - 2480 bull case: Bulls are right below the previous high at 2406 and the move up is strong enough to give the odds here to the bulls. Market tried repeatedly to break below 2300 and could not do it, so bears giving up here and want to short higher for better value. Measured move from Thu/Fri would bring us exactly to 2465. Another reason for this up move is the weekly 20ema which is at 2310 and we missed it by a couple of points. Invalidation is below 2300. bear case: Bears failed 3 times at 2300 over the past 4 weeks and now want higher prices for better shorts, which means they are mostly giving up. They know that we are in a trading range for 3 months and the r:r for shorts above 2460 is much better than for the bulls. Bears need to keep the monthly closes below 2350 or risk attracting more bulls buying high. Invalidation is above 2510. outlook last week: “short term: Neutral. Play the triangle.” → Last Sunday we traded 2339 and now we are at 2397. Perfect outlook. short term: Neutral until break above 2407. Bullish above medium-long term: For now I think the most reasonable outlook I could give is a trading range 2200-2500. This could hold for some time. Bear in my still thinks this rally is moronic and we will see 2000 again this year but that’s as unreasonable of an outlook one could hold so don’t. —unchanged current swing trade: Will go long above 2407 and look for shorts above 2460. Chart update: Removed bear trend lines.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
Gold Bullish 6 Year OutlookPast chart history shows gold price went into a bear market from 1980 to early 2000's and again in 2011 to 2020. Currently, we are trading in the bull cycle which lasts on average 9 to 10 years. Analysts, projected a price of gold to hit 2500 by the end of this and we seem to be right on track. Price is trading inside of a bull flag where buyers and sellers are repositioning themselves. What will drive the price of gold higher by the end of this year? What about the year after that and so on? Looking back further on the weekly chart a cup and handle technical pattern is breaking out. Projected price of this breakout caps out at around 3010. Will be interesting to see if and how the price action of this commodity will reach 3k by 2030.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by supertokki52
GC/Gold 1H Buy Idea 6/15/24Price has broken the trendline and has now retested on the other side with a hammer forming as the market closed. Looking for price to continue bullish into next week. Keep in mind that price could very well break below the trendline again to form a M with the double top that is possibly forming as well. BUT I'm leaning more towards the buy because of price currently coming to the 1/4H Highs from 6/12/24 **This is for educational purposes only and this is not financial advice because I am not a financial advisor.**
COMEX:GC1!Long
by cecedidit
US Dollar Bearish So can the HOUSE GO LONG on GOLD now...?COMEX:GC1! 11 When I was a child, I talked like a child, I thought like a child, I reasoned like a child. When I became a man, I put the ways of childhood behind me. -1 Corinthians 13:11 4th of JULY Narrative I am creating on here on GOLD.... As the US Dollar continues to perform Bearish on the HTF's we could possibly catch a LONG Play on GOLD... I have given a well detailed video here on why I believe we could be going LONG!! ***In order for me to enter the Market LONG... I need to see the break and close above the 15m CHoCh level ($2370.5) with confirmed candle closures on the 30m TF N below.... This is the only way I'll enter the market LONG and targeting the unmitigated 4Hr indecision candle above.... 1) I'll keep close update as PA develops and we have more data to work with... Remember when it comes to FRM (Financial Risk Management) our job is to manage the downside costs of printing High side returns of $$$ consistently... Let's Keep Steppn!! Stay Focused & Reach Excellence!! #BHM500K #NewERA #Champions
COMEX:GC1!Long
by TreyHighPwr
GC - Gold. 1hr MarketmetaSoon there will be explanation call outs above each candle that I'm referencing, its if/then statements to guide my thinking and will likely do more 5min private charts and less 15min ones. I'd like to speak to both day traders and investors so as I post these I'm noting how I can show off and adapted level -i.e. A daily level has a fractal pattern trail it leaves behind like notes to read for traders to know where in the ledger they are. We call this Range Finding or going down in timeframes. - to show off an adapted level I might make the line opacity less and paired with the notes later any reader will get the picture. the goal is to only mark the FS candles first - get to know them. recognize them and start talking to yourself in IF/THEN statements. If this FS has been tested , then the candle that tested it will have a FS candle to ladder off of either on the same timeframe or lower. If that candle holds, then... if not.. then...
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by StudyGuideTA
MGC - Buy - 06/30/2024- What is the trend? • Bullish - 1H: Is price touching a key fib level (yellow)? (Gold is tricky so look for .382 and .786 levels too) • Yes - Does 1H supply/demand align with key fib level? • Yes - 1H: Is price above(bullish)/below(bearish) the 20 EMA, resisting the 20 EMA, or crossing the 20 EMA? • Yes ○ 1H: Is Volume at or above average (MA) at this time? • No - 1H: Is RSI pointing in trend direction or above(bullish)/below(bearish) the 50 line? • Yes Plus: - Is 1H supply/demand aligned with 4H OB/supply/demand area? • Yes • No - 15M: Is/has price touched 1H zone or fib level? • Yes - 15M: Is there RSI convergence/divergence? • Yes - 15M: Is price above(bullish)/below(bearish) the 20 EMA, resisting the 20 EMA, or crossing the 20 EMA? • Yes ○ 15M: Is Volume at or above average (MA) at this time? • Yes
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by That-Guy-Cozy
Can the HOUSE CAPITALIZE LONG TARGETING 4HR Swing EQ Level...?COMEX:GC1! "The One Most Adaptable to Change is the One that Survives." -Charles Darwin Gold is currently trading inside of this 4Hr Swing Range in a Correction State on the 4Hr as price is slowly but surely starting to switch Overall bearish on the HTF's... Now the 4Hr Swing EQ has been playing a big role for sellers who keep selling price lower with multiple attempts however; have not been successful in breaking past the HUGE Daily Demand Zone below. Also at this price level ($2304.0) We have created EQL's... Indicating strong support Level inside the HTF Daily Demand Zone for buyers! 1) Now lets drop down to the LTF 15m TF and we can see how price is currently trading inside this HTF 4Hr Demand zone and I believe this Demand will hold for buyers!! 2) In order for me to go LONG I need to see price break above the 4Hr resistance ($2341.0) & create a nice 15m CHoCh above price ($2344.5) with confirmed candle closures above both levels and then I will be interested in going LONG from the retest of the 4Hr Resistance Level ($2341.0) and Targeting the HTF 4Hr Swing EQ Level ($2356.0) roughly around 150 points in our favor LONG!! 3) I'll keep close update as PA develops and we have more data to work with... Remember when it comes to FRM (Financial Risk Management) our job is to manage the downside costs of printing High side returns of $$$ consistently... Let's Keep Steppn!! Stay Focused & Reach Excellence!! #BHM500K #NewERA #Champions
COMEX:GC1!Long
by TreyHighPwr
Gold Poised for Uptrend Following Double-Bottom FormationGold has formed a significant double-bottom pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling a potential reversal of the previous downward trend characterized by three consecutive lower highs. This technical pattern suggests that gold may be ready to embark on a new uptrend. On the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes, gold is currently consolidating, indicating a period of indecision before a possible breakout. Traders should watch for a move out of this consolidation phase as confirmation of the emerging uptrend. Zooming into the 15-minute chart, gold is expected to head towards a demand zone identified between 2334.7 and 2335.8 on the 5-minute chart. This area could serve as a crucial support level, offering buying opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on the anticipated upward movement. As always, it's essential to trade based on your own analysis and strategy. The double-bottom pattern on the daily chart provides a strong bullish signal, but ensure that your trading decisions are well-informed and aligned with your risk tolerance. If you see the same potential for an uptrend in gold, this could be a prime opportunity to enter the market. However, remember to trade responsibly and take full responsibility for your trades.
COMEX_MINI:MGCQ2024Short
by yojavi
Intraday and STBT Gold and Silver strategy.....COMEX----Gold and Silver.....After US Fed Chair Powell Speaks..... Trade and Sell Max.....Gold and Silver CRASHED..... Intraday Call---Gold August Futures---Again Sell Gold 2346.00-2351.00 range....and keep SL 2361.50....and wait TGT1 2326.00.....and wait TGT2 2616.00.....and wait TGT3 2306.00---TGT1 in next few minutes..... Intraday Call---Silver September Futures---Again Sell Silver 30.120-30.220 range....and keep SL 30.510....and wait TGT1 29.400.....and wait TGT2 29.200.....and wait TGT3 28.900---TGT1 in next few minutes.....
COMEX:GC1!Short
by sebihirengarasondia
1
Can Gold Close above $2350?Gold (August) / Silver (September) Gold, last week’s close: Settled at 2339.6, up 3.0 on Friday and 8.4 on the week Silver, last week’s close: Settled at 29.56, up 0.304 on Friday and down 0.382 on the week Gold and Silver futures failed to respond to a barrage of supportive economic data through the end of the week, and despite a positive finish, it felt more or less flat-footed. We now look to ISM Manufacturing at 9:00 am CT, and it can be a tough datapoint to balance; metals are used in the manufacturing process, but weaker data is seen supportive to the Fed cutting rates. At the end of the day, we must see a sustained move in Gold out above major three-star resistance at 2348.7-2350.6 and Silver above 29.95-30.12 in order to encourage price action to come out of a constructive bottoming pattern. Bias: Neutral/Bullish Resistance: 2348.7-2850.6***, 2355.3-2358.8***, 2369** Pivot: 2338-2340.5 Support: 2326.8-2329.7***, 2322**, 2312.2-2315.9***, 2304.2-2306.8*** Silver (Sept) Resistance: 29.70-29.74***, 29.95-30.12*** Pivot: 29.50 Support: 29.40**, 29.25***, 28.90-29.07****, 28.65-28.74**, 27.84-28.08**** Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:GC1!
by Blue_Line_Futures