IRUS trade ideas
Analogue: 1929 market Crash vs Russia 2022 Market Crash The chart shows Analogue between 1929 market Crash and the Russia 2022 Market Crash. The similarity of pattern is quite remarkable. Analogue suggest market is in at or near a bottom and is heading into a rally. That rally if it follows the 1929 script will be corrective and lead to devastating protracted bear market for several years.
MOEX reopens after 1 month haltedImportant restrictions as Moscow's Exchange reopens 4 hours a day:
- Short-selling banned
- Selling of shares banned for foreign investors
- Only 33 stocks available for trading
After being halted for 1 month, the Russian market reopens with important restrictions. Also, many institutional brokers from the EU and other NATO countries banned trading on Russian assets. From the technical analysis perspective, it's impossible to assess accurate price movement with so many restrictions and market manipulation by the Russian Federal Bank that is trying to avoid a market crash. So far, the measures have been successful and the aim is to keep holding the market until this crisis is resolved. The downtrend though, it's still there with an important resistance line, even with short-selling banned and other restrictions, Russian investors could panic and sell at market. This is absolutely historic.
MOEX and BTC coupling?The Russian stock exchange MOEX has been impacted by sanctions and war conditions in Ukraine. There is a clear mirroring in the price of BTC and the Russian exchange.
**Update**
NEW - Russia to accept #Bitcoin as payment for energy exports, says Pavel Zavalny, Chairman of the Energy Committee.
MOEX Russia Index reopens after one month Short-selling on stocks are banned.
Foreign investors can`t sell stocks or OFZ ruble bonds until April 1.
i think that is the reason why it went up +4.37% today.
The index is now $2578 while in the Covid lockdown it went to $2080. And the world was at peace back then.
I don`t see how the price of the index wouldn`t touch the $2080 level again.
In fact, if the trading restrictions will be lifted after April 1st, then i think it can go down to $1550 and $1220 eventually.
When Ork-In-Chief with mud eyes says "special operation" ...... on Ukraine you should consider whether he is still in his right mind.
I used to love Russians because I had many Russian friends myself. I can't talk to them anymore. It's over. I feel only hatred, no forgiveness, nobody can tell me they can't help it and the "normal" people are not to blame, it's just an evil Putin. It was the "normal" Russians who have participated and enabled it for years. May they all burn in hell forever.
Putin & 666 NumberIn modern popular culture, 666 has become one of the most widely recognized symbols for the Antichrist or, alternatively, the devil. The number 666 is purportedly used to invoke Satan.
Putin Kill Ukrain People
Putin Is a Devil.
therefore
Putin Kill Russian Investors.
technically: MOEX fall sharply down to 666 after a pullback from the trend line.
How Will the Russian Invasion of Ukraine Affect Crypto?The Russian invasion of Ukraine has caused the Russian stock market to collapse (as low as 50%), taking crypto prices along for the ride in a very clear way. As the news unfolds we're likely to see more divergences in the way individual coins operate, but for now, the patterns between Russian/US stocks and crypto seem to be moving in parallel.
One thing to be wary of is that during wartime, misinformation and propaganda campaigns tend to intensify, so you need to take everything you read on the news/social media (on both sides) with a grain of salt. Some of the things to look out for to make sure you don't get misdirected during these turbulent times.
Note that while the US media has been saying how great their markets are doing right now, they're also in a precarious situation since a recession is looming just around the corner. What happens exactly, is TBD.
MOEX Russia Index Price Target after Ukraine invasion The MOEX Russia Index is the main ruble-denominated benchmark of the Russian stock market.
The index was established on 22 September 1997.
The number of component stocks is variable, traditionally favored by domestic investors, while foreign investors prefer the RTS Index.
The sanctions from the US and EU could lead to a major selloff, $1220 being the price target, which is the strongest support of the index.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Lookback - Russia annexation of CrimeaHistory never repeats itself but often rhymes.
Today marks the incursion of Russia into Ukraine.
Market fell by 30%+ as of writing.
Looking back, Crimea annexation only saw a fall of 16%. The event took place over 1 month.
MOEX bottomed out after 3 - 4 weeks.
Russia's invasion into Ukraine is seeing MOEX lower than COVID levels and nearing 2015 levels.
May be attractive to allocate into Russia with more than 1 year time frame of investment.
Russian stocks - good chance for risky investorsRussian stocks fall amid growing tensions in Russian-Ukrainian relations. Moscow Exchange Index ( MOEX , RUB) is short-term oversold and trying to bounce off support area 2850-2900. There is no divergence on MACD , so we view current decline as a correction, but not reversal.
We expect recovery of MOEX Index by 40-50% within 2-4 months.
IMOEXRF . A strong buyback was indicated last week, but there is still no mid term long signal. If everything goes well this week it might show up later this week.
Meantime, the index in the potential strong turning point at 3650 which we'll touch this week I suppose. The second week may turn down with a local dip of the month around Feb 9-14. Let's check.
For sure, any dips I will use to get in long. Now I have 50% cash in my wallet.
-kc