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NG1! trade ideas

Natural Gas Price Forecast & 7 Mega Cap Tech Stocks Forecast00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide 02:48 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast 03:55 USO Oil Stock Forecast 04:52 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast 05:58 US dollar DXY Stock Forecast 07:44 QQQ Stock Price Forecast 11:04 Sp500 ETF Price Forecast 12:18 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis 13:28 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis 15:21 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis 16:34 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis 17:23 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis 18:05 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis 18:52 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by ArcadiaTrading
Natural Gas Trend Continuation LONGNot a market we trade super often, but there has obviously been a LOT of opportunity in natural gas as of late. After a long period of accumulation, NG has finally broken out to the upside. We are looking for potential trend continuation longs. Ideally, we would like to enter this trade around the ~3.00 level (roughly coincides with Anchored VWAP + support/resistance “flip zone”), but it may be a bit before NG trades back to those prices (if it does). However, shorter-term/more aggressive entries exist via demand zones circa 3.2. We’ve formed new/”fresh” 60-minute supply @ 3.346-3.380, so that is an upside target. One should drill down via smaller timeframes (30/20/15-minute), though, to see what additional supply zones form between ~3.2 and 3.346 – it’s likely other sell levels will exist within expanded range candlesticks formed earlier this morning (EST). Smaller timeframe supply zones + any resistance levels should serve as profit targets for longs; if you enter a trade with multiple contracts, you can always hold a runner and look for new highs if upside momentum is strong. Finally, keep in mind seasonality. We are doing a more thorough analysis here, but NG tends to catch a tailwind during colder months (vs. summer)... We’ll keep an eye on this market and will provide updates accordingly. As is always the case with trading, our approach/thesis could change as price action unfolds, so use your discretion when evaluating this idea. Questions/comments welcome! Jon @ LionHart Trading
RUS:NG1!Long
by LionHart_Trading
A Traders' Weekly Playbook - energy markets to direct sentimentWe look at the scheduled economic data and US earnings this week and question if given the fluid news flow from the Middle East, these events move the dial or if geopolitics consumes the full attention and direct sentiment. We saw a rush to hedge portfolios on Friday ahead of a darkening picture emerging in the Middle East. The situation is dynamic and it's too early to say if the hedges placed on Friday are unwarranted, but there have been pockets of positive news flow – for example, US Secretary of State Blinken saying aid will get to Gaza via the Egyptian border, and Israel opening water supply to Southern Gaza, with over 600k Gazans moving south. A call between US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan and Iranian officials is a development, with the US warning not to increase aggression. As Israel's ground offensive pushes into Gaza, risk and energy markets will look for headlines and actions from Iranian officials who have stated they have a duty to come to the aid of the Palestinians. Watching crude and Nat Gas The energy markets are the first derivative to drive broad market sentiment this week, with crude and Nat Gas leading investors to trade volatility (options), as well as classic hedges such as gold and Treasuries. Amid a backdrop of ‘higher for longer’, and the US CPI inflation gaining 0.4% in September, higher energy prices could deliver a one-way punch to sentiment. Given market participants are generally poor at pricing risk around geopolitical developments, it's no wonder most have looked to mitigate drawdown - but at this stage, while there is a growing wall of worry to potentially climb, the probability is traders will use strength in risky assets to reduce exposures. The probability of supply disruptions is one of the key aspects here – last week we saw the closure of Chevron’s Tamar gas field in Israel – the focus has been rerouting that gas from the Leviathan gas fields in the North of Israel – if the market feels this gas field could be impacted then could see a spike in EU NG. Many energy experts see the risk of a supply event here as fairly low, but should developments escalate on various fronts, then the market will increase the possibility of a disruption. The bear case for risk, given the potential for a significant rally in EU NG and crude, would be where the market increases the probability of Iran curtailing the movement of LNG through the Straits of Hormuz, where notably Qatar LNG supply (20% of the global LNG market) would be impacted. Again, this seems a low probability at this stage, but that will depend on Iran’s ongoing involvement and any new sanctions placed on them. Downside risk to the EUR If EU NG spikes higher in the near term, then talk of a renewed energy crisis in Europe will resurface and the EURUSD could be headed to parity. As said, this probability is a lower risk right now, but when considering the risks, this is the market concern that will be monitored. While sentiment will move around on each headline, we revisit the hedging flows seen on Friday, as traders de-risked ahead of potential gapping risk – It’s too hard to make a call on whether these hedges are partly unwound in Asia. Where did we see the hedging flows? • Gold rallied 3.4% on Friday - a 3-sigma move and the second biggest day since 2020. A massive 299k gold futures contracts traded, the highest since May. XAUUSD 1-month implied volatility has pushed to 15% and 1-week call volatility has increased to a 1.75 vol premium to puts – the most since March. • The XAUUSD price closed at a 2.8% premium to the 5-day moving average, which shows the sheer pace of the intraday rally, with limited intraday mean reversion – sellers just stood aside. • Brent crude closed 5% higher with our Brent price closing over $91 and eyeing a move back to the recent highs of $96 – WTI Crude futures saw the curve lift and go further into backwardation – this typically means the market sees a higher probability of a supply shock. • In equities, the VIX traded to a high of 20.78%, settling at 19.3% (+2.6 vols on the day) – a VIX index at 19.3% implies daily % changes in the S&P500 of 1.2% and 2.7% on the week. • S&P 1-month put implied vol now trades at a 5.46 vol premium to 1-month calls – This volatility ‘Skew’ is now the most bearish since May – traders are ramping up the demand for downside puts to protect in case of drawdown. • Market breadth was ok with 46% of S&P500 stocks closed higher – there was no blanket selling, but a rotation from tech and consumer names into energy and defensive sectors - staples, utilities, and healthcare. • While we saw some buying in petrocurrencies (NOK & CAD) but traders played defense buying into the CHF & JPY – short NZDCHF was the play of the day (-1.4%), with GBPCHF breaking the long-run range lows. • US Treasuries rallied with 10’s closing -8bp and 30’s -10bp. Marquee event risks for the week ahead: • NZ Q3 CPI (17 Oct 08:45 AEDT) – the market consensus is for 1.9% QoQ / 5.9% YoY (from 6%) – NZDCHF was the biggest percentage mover on Friday following the risk aversion flows – will the sellers follow through? • UK jobless claims/wage data (17 Oct 17:00 AEDT) – the consensus for wages sits at 7.8% (unchanged) – UK swaps place a 29% chance of a hike from the BoE at the 2 Nov BoE meeting, will the wage data influence that pricing? GBPCHF trades the weakest levels since Oct 2022 and looks likely to be sold on rallies • US retail sales (17 Oct 23:30 AEDT) – the advanced read is expected at 0.3% mom and the ‘control group’ element at -0.1%. The retail numbers could influence market sentiment, especially if we see a big miss to expectations, with USDJPY and USDCHF the pairs most sensitive to a weaker outcome. Gold could find further buyers on a downside surprise. • Canada CPI (23:30 AEDT) – headline CPI is expected at 4% yoy, with core CPI eyed at 4% yoy • Fed chair Jay Powell speaks at the Economic Club of NY (20 Oct 03:00 AEDT) – the highlight of the week. Expect Powell to focus on the view that moves in the bond market are mitigating the need for the Fed to hike further. • China Q3 GDP (18 Oct 13:00 AEDT) – consensus is 4.5% yoy (from 6.3%) – likely a trough in China’s GDP, with better levels ahead. • China Industrial production, fixed asset investment, retail sales (18 Oct 13:00 AEDT) • UK Sept CPI (18 Oct 17:00 AEDT) – the consensus for headline CPI is 6.6% yoy (from 6.7%) / core CPI at 6% yoy (6.2%) – a risk to manage for traders holding GBP exposures • EU CPI (18 Oct 20:00 AEDT) – no change expected in the revision, with headline CPI eyed at 4.3% /core CPI at 4.5%. Should be a non-event for the EUR and EU equities. • Australia employment report (19 Oct 11:30 AEDT) – the consensus estimate is for 20k jobs to have been created in September and the U/E rate unchanged at 3.7% - expect the impact from Aussie jobs to be short-lived – preference to work sell limits in AUDUSD on the day and sell into strength. • China new homes prices (19 Oct 12:30 AEDT) • China 1 & 5-year Prime Rate (20 Oct 12:15 AEDT) – the consensus is no change with the 1yr rate to stay at 5.2% & the 5yr rate at 3.45% US Earnings (with the implied move on earnings) – Goldman Sachs (3.7%), Bank of America (4.6%), Tesla (5.2%), Netflix (7.5%) Central bank speeches: BoE – Huw Pill, Sam Woods, Swati Dhingra ECB – Villeroy, Knot, Centeno, Guindos, Holzmann Fed – see schedule below
Editors' picks
NYMEX:TTF1!Long
by Pepperstone
5
natural gas gold silver oil price forecastWelcome to the everyday how to make money online trading with Natural Gas Technical Analysis show, where I give you guys support & resistance levels to potentially play off of. As well as both sides perspective of a bear and a bull to give us a better understanding of where our trades are currently and not have a bias - Natural Gas Natgas Stock in a daily uptrend - natural gas ideally bounce at 3.18 #naturalgas #xauusd #dxy #xagusd #natgas #naturalgastechnicalanalysis #technicalanalysis #tradingstrategy #daytrading #naturalgasanalysis #naturalgastrading #natgasanalysis #uso #crudeoil 00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide 04:23 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast 05:35 USO Oil Stock Forecast 07:47 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast 09:40 US dollar DXY Stock Forecast 12:01 Silver XAGUSD
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by ArcadiaTrading
NATGAS Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for NATGAS is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3.208 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 3.319 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by AnabelSignals
3
NaturalGasNaturalGas Chart Analysis 13/10/23 Long : Closing above 291 lvl. / 254 Sl : 268 (291 long k liye) / 254 Target : 339 ============================ Short : below 268 lvl. Sl : 280 Target : 255 Enjoy ! Note : If you look at the weekly chart of Natural Gas you will see a Doji candle spinning top. This is a positional view or where I have written intraday in my analysis that you can go long/short when the level becomes active on the same day. Do not mix both the views.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by VirendraPandey
NATURAL GAS Sell signal on overbought Channel Up despite the GolNatural Gas is trading inside a Channel Up since the April 14th Low. Despite forming a Golden Cross on the (1d) time frame last Thursday, we have a short term sell signal as the price reached the top of the Channel Up. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. Targets: 1. 2.950 (expected contact with the MA50 1d). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is highly overbought, the highest since May 4th 2022, making the sell signal stronger. Please like, follow and comment!!
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by TradingBrokersView
2
Natural Gas - Elliott Wave CountNatural Gas - Elliott Wave Count Natural Gas - On the 1hr chart, NG displays a clear impulse Wave formation, indicating that the market is likely to continue the bull run to the 300 range after the minor correction(may drop to the 260 range for the short term) and then we can expect significant correction toward the 180 range. Please note that this information is for educational purposes only, and it is crucial to trade with caution. CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS FOREXCOM:NATURALGASCFD MCX:NATURALGAS1! PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS NYMEX:NG1! MOEX:NG1! VANTAGE:NG
MCX:NATURALGASV2023Long
by Treda_pro
7
Natural Gas - Elliott Wave CountNatural Gas - Elliott Wave Count Natural Gas - On the Daily charts, NG displays a clear impulse Wave formation, indicating that the market is likely to continue the bull run to the 300 range after the minor correction(may drop to the 250 range for the short term) and then we can expect significant correction toward the 162 range. Please note that this information is for educational purposes only, and it is crucial to trade with caution. CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS MCX:NATURALGAS1! PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS NYMEX:NG1! MOEX:NG1!
MCX:NATURALGAS1!
by Treda_pro
Gas WarsThis is isn't my usual type of analysis, as I prefer to stay neutral and let the price action speak for itself, but I find the situation on Natural Gas very interesting and wanted to share my view on it. In trying to interpret the forces at play here in the recent past evolution of this market, I take a close look at highs and lows, peaks, bottoms, and the momentum and quality of a wave/move. I posted an idea regarding wave from A to B which I partially anticipated in "Natural Gas Scenarios" but the end of the wave at B was a little bit of a surprise to me. It is almost like the Bulls were in charge but they went too far. Then the Bears got back into it, made some Bulls cash in and exit and it all came tumbling down. Point C is another similar case of "going too far" resulting in an immediate turnaround with the same type of momentum up until 2.842 which is a relevant level as it has seen several tops and turnarounds. What is interesting in this situation though, is the represented "eye" shape which highlights the succession of higher lows, lower highs, and the change in the volatility of the market. Basically all forces that have been pushing this up and down, have receded a bit, bringing it into a tight spot where this might want to pop out sooner or later. My main scenario which I am concerned about is an incursion towards the orange zone, where this could find a support and bounce back and try to reach for the white rectangle zone, a zone which I consider to easily qualify as a "going too far" scenario, where the Bears might come aggressively back into play and try and push this lower and bring it back to its senses. On the opposite side of this potential is the Green Zone rectangle, where if the price reaches it in the specified time zone, it might trigger the reverse "going to far" scenario and let the Bulls take charge for a bit and chase the bears out of the picture in short term. No clones were hurt in this experiment and in case the empire strikes back we can always hope for the return of the Jedi in case these Gas Wars continue to keep this market range bound, perfect for swing trading for the brave. May The Force of Profitable Trading be With You! PS: Yoda is taking a nap. nen was here.
NYMEX:NG1!
by nen
12
NG1! Under Pressure! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for NG1! is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3.330 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 3.020 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by AnabelSignals
4