Palladium with breakoutThe picture in the palladium is bullish.
Applications:
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With the break of the last high at 930, there is a lot of space to the up site. At the same time, the now available support can be used as a stop loss level. This results in a trade with a risk-reward-ratio of 1:4.
PD1! trade ideas
Palladium is getting higher Palladium reaches the former resistance at 830 USD. As long as price stay above 820 USD we have a good chance to reach 910-930 USD, the next resistance area.
Palladium hat im Mai deutlich Gas gegeben und ist über das April-Hoch gestiegen. Der alte Widerstand ist nun Unterstützung. Solange das Edelmetall über 820 USD per Tagesschlusskurs bleibt, stehen die Chancen auf einen Anstieg bis 910-913 USD gut!
Good Trades
Mario
Palladium - one of 2017's best performers so far - can it continA great performance so far for Palladium; price momentum has slowed down around new tops and price twice found resistance at 891. Currently buying pressure building up again? Or, will we see a retracement back from here? Next Fibonacci target a long way away at 1038 (year end target?) - Platinum may have something to say about that! If price fails here, support at 839 then 800.
Palladium Ideal Entry (November)Entry plan is based on the palladium head and shoulder pattern .
I'm waiting and watching for price action to signal a top near the dashed line (drawn from left shoulder's high). Ideally we get some deceleration with a doji candle followed by a high test candle to form the right shoulder and signal a reversal to the downside.
The bull cycle counts are pointing towards Q4 as a ideal time for a high and the monthly counts confirm that with their November target.
Ideally I'd be able to hop in around $800-$850 if/when that confirmation comes with my stop above the high we form. The market still has quite a bit of chart to fill over the next 5~ months so things wont become clear until we get closer to that November target. Reward:risk ratio target would be around 10-12:1 for the first entry.
I'll publish a more detailed plan as well as my entry if/when that time comes.
For more in depth analysis on this trade and others checkout my site, PatsTrades. Link is in my profile status box.
Thanks!
Palladium continues Upward TrendJune Palladium is still on the move upward. Now building out a Bearish Butterfly, but needs to break resistance at 808.35 and stay above this to gather more steam. Upside target for bulls is 831.95 and then 846.55. Downside target for bears is 784.75 outside trendline. A wedge is forming here suggesting an upside surge. Overall target is 869.90
Palladium: Watching for the Moment to ShortPalladium Futures have been the second strongest performing future in 2017 so far . Yet my analysis is providing me several reasons to begin watching closely for an opportunity to short.
I am still a neophyte in Elliott Wave analysis but it seems very possible that we are nearing the end of an three wave correction which began January 2016. In this scenario Wave (C) has recently reached 1.618 * Wave (A), and is taking the form of what seems to be an ending diagonal triangle which looks close to completion.
Palladium has retraced and is currently trading at the .786 of the drop from the All-Time High which began in 2014
Two bearish patterns -- shark and bat -- are close to their completion points. A capitulation over the top of the ending diagonal triangle which is apparently typical of the pattern would likely drive the price to these levels.
There is bearish divergence in the weekly RSI and AO
It is important to wait for the confirmation of this analysis before going short, especially if there may be one more push up. Speculators are currently 72% long and the higher this number the better I will feel going against them (although using the COT is something I am still learning about as well!). I will continue analysis on the daily time frame and perhaps the 4 hour to try and get a more precise entry.
If you have any comments or feedback on this idea or your own analysis of Palladium please share!
Palladium Up?June Palladium is looking for more upside. Using 785 as support, but there is an underlining downtrend present. Upside target 813.65 and if it can break the double top, 832. If this fails and 785 breaks, downside target trendline at 772 and possibly 770. PA must clear 801 and stay above that to make any headway.
Palladium forming Bullish CypherJune Palladium is forming a bullish Cypher as it looks like we may see a triple top progression higher. RSI broke last week and Open Interest is starting to rise again. Next upside target 798 resistance and triple top, with target 804 forming 113% FIB. If fail, this might turn to bullish Gartley.