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PD1! trade ideas

Palladium Poised for a Breakout?The Palladium market has been in a downtrend since the highs seen back in early March of this year. We saw a break above the 50-day moving average, and now the market is approaching some strong technical resistance coming from the trendline and the 200-day moving average. With this tightening range, if the market breaks to the upside, we could see a push toward resistance at the 200-day moving average at 2107. A failure to breakout above the trendline could send the market retrace back towards some strong trendline support going back to December of 2021.
NYMEX:PA1!
by Ryan_Gorman
PA1! (SELL)We have a triangle figure that has been drawn since the past. From June 14 to July 6, we have the beginning of a small uptrend that has emerged. On July 7, there was a big break in the long trendline, suggesting a renewed rise in the price, but the price reentered the triangle and made a range. The price being below the 50 period moving average, having re-entered the triangle and making a range; we are therefore waiting for a breakout and a potential pull-back before returning to sell.
NYMEX:PA1!Short
by axelodg
Palladium Futures (PA1!), H1 Potential for Bearish MomentumType : Bearish Momentum Resistance : 1989.0 Pivot: 1954.5 Support : 1887.5 Preferred Case: On the H1, price is moving below the ichimoku cloud and along the descending trendline which supports our bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot at 1954.5 in line with the swing high resistance to the 1st support at 1887.5 in line with the swing low support, 127.2% fibonnaci extension and 100% fibonacci projection . Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break through pivot structure and rise to the 1st resistance level at 1989.0 in line with the overlap resistance and 61.8% fibonacci projection. Fundamentals: Due to increasing inflation rates in the US,UK and other developed economies, we have a bullish view on the precious metal.
NYMEX:PA1!Short
by Genesiv
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NYMEX:PA1!
by Sunstorminvest
Palladium Futures (PA1! ), H1 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum Resistance: 2418.5 Pivot: 2377.0 Support: 2305.0 Preferred case: We see the potential for a bearish continuation from our pivot level at 2377.0 along with horizontal overlap resistance towards our 1st support level at 2305.0 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension, 78.6% Fibonacci projection and -27.2% Fibonacci expansion. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, the price might break our pivot structure and head for 1st resistance level at 2418.5 in line with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Fundamentals: No major news.
NYMEX:PA1!Short
by Genesiv
Palladium Futures (PA1! ), H1 Potential for Bearish DipType : Bearish Dip Resistance: 2421.0 Pivot: 2396.0 Support : 2302.0 Preferred case: We see the potential for a bearish dip from our pivot level at 2396.0 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension towards our 1st support level at 2302.0 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break our pivot structure and head for 1st resistance at 2421.0 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Fundamentals: No major news
NYMEX:PA1!Short
by Genesiv
Palladium Futures (PA1! ), H1 Potential for Bearish DipType : Bearish Reversal Resistance: 2461.5 Pivot: 2396.0 Support : 2303.0 Preferred case: We see the potential for a bearish dip from our pivot at 2396.0 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci projection towards our 1st support at 2303.0 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci projection and 161.8% Fibonacci extension . Our bearish bias is supported by price trading under Ichimoku cloud indicator. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break our pivot structure and head for 1st resistance at 2461.5 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement . Fundamentals: No major news
NYMEX:PA1!
by Tickmill
Palladium Futures (PA1! ), H1 Potential for Bearish DipType : Bearish Reversal Resistance: 2461.5 Pivot: 2396.0 Support : 2303.0 Preferred case: We see the potential for a bearish dip from our pivot at 2396.0 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci projection towards our 1st support at 2303.0 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 100% Fibonacci projection and 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Our bearish bias is supported by price trading under Ichimoku cloud indicator. Alternative scenario: Alternatively, price may break our pivot structure and head for 1st resistance at 2461.5 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Fundamentals: No major news
NYMEX:PA1!Short
by Genesiv
Elliott Wave Analysis: Palladium With Bearish Setup FormationHello traders! Today we will talk about Palladium, its price action from technical point of view and wave structure from Elliott wave perspective. On Palladium we have noticed the top for wave (V) at the beginning of March and in Elliott wave theory, after every five waves we have to expect at least a three-wave A-B-C pullback. As you can see, Palladium turned down sharply and impulsively in March, which we see it barely as a first leg (A). After a completed wave (A), we can now see it trading in an A-B-C corrective recovery within wave (B), where ideal resistance is here at the former wave 4. So, from Elliott wave perspective, we have just got a nice bearish setup formation and we have to be aware of another sell-off for wave (C) soon. From technical point of view we see nice resistance here around 2500-2600 area and channel upper line, maybe even up to 50%-61,8% Fibonacci retracement and 2700-2800 area, but keep in mind that a reversal down towards projected strong 1500-1300 support zone may occur anytime soon. Trade well! If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea. Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
NYMEX:PA1!Short
by ew-forecast
LBS1! and Lumber4.10.22 PA1! and Lumber : I was really surprised when my students sent me an email showing a huge margin requirement for Palladium. I was a little embarrassed to not realize how high the margin requirements were, so I made some excuses for something I missed, and I gave my perspective on how I would look at this and what it means from a practical point of view. There is a difference between high margin requirements versus realistic risk in your trading account. Personally, I will trade palladium when everything set up and ready to go. If you can't afford palladium because you don't meet the margin requirements, this is no big deal because there are other commodity accounts that require much less margin, and can make you very nice returns with appropriate risk. However this market in palladium is so important because of its clarity in terms of market dynamics, pattern behaviors, and its intrinsic volatility, you still want to follow this because you may very well find yourself trading markets like this when you are more consistently profitable in your trading and have accumulated more capital.
NYMEX:PA1!
by ScottBogatin
PA1!4.8.22 PA1!: Yesterday, I posted a potential trade on palladium, and I went through the thinking which included targets. The market went up over $20,000 per contract since yesterday. So this is the follow-up, and I wanted to show some of the things I am working to improve the quality of life i.e. bracket trades. I will likely use Multicharts to setup the bracket orders although there are other options. I use interactive brokers as my broker, but I find Multi-charts easier to use than the Trader Workstation in IB. Since multi-charts will log onto your computer to identify configuration issues, and IB will not, this is a positive consideration for Multi-charts in my opinion... especially when you're bad at computer technology as I am.
NYMEX:PA1!
by ScottBogatin
PA1!4.7.22 PA1! Palladium: I wanted to take a moment to show some software that I plan to use. Years ago I purchased a lifetime subscription to multi-charts, but stopped using it because IB changed their policy and required a $10 million account to trade for acts. Up until that time I was happy using multi-charts even though I was using it on a very simplistic level. Because I think the bracket order set up will be simpler using multi-charts, I'm trying to get this working so that I don't have to place orders directly on to IB trader workstation. I'm not recommending that anyone trades this set up for this market, it gives me a chance to show some of my plans, and it gives my students a chance to see that they may benefit if they can trade with bracket orders once they set up the software.
NYMEX:PA1!
by ScottBogatin
Commodities trends from Dec.2021 - There is a winner!Hey guys, here we are with the first chart of my trading view analysis. Have a look at the commodities and % increase in this inflationary scenario. LTH is the winner with a strong trend where the speculation seems not to be too much present. Nickel has suffered for option squeeze and wide short open position to be covered following margin calls. In case the electric vehicles will be predominant, up to you the conclusion where to invest. Sometimes, the graph speaks without words. Have fun Regards, Bruc
NYMEX:PA1!
by Bruc