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Advanced Micro Devices (): A High-Stakes AI Bet Amidst Rising Competition
AMD has long been the underdog-turned-contender in the semiconductor space, carving out a dominant position in CPUs and making aggressive moves in AI and data center GPUs. While its Q4 2024 numbers looked solid on the surface, the deeper story is one of strategic positioning, execution risks, and an AI arms race against NVIDIA.

1. Q4 2024: Strong Growth, But a Key Miss in Data Center
📈 Revenue: $7.66B (+24% YoY)—solid growth across segments.
📈 EPS: $1.09, narrowly beating expectations ($1.08).
📉 Data Center Revenue: $3.86B, a miss vs. $4.12B estimates.

💡 Key takeaway: AMD is growing fast, but its data center division—arguably the most important segment—underperformed expectations. This raises concerns about how well AMD can execute in the AI space.

2. The AI Battleground: Can AMD Take on NVIDIA?
Right now, NVIDIA owns the AI GPU market. But AMD is fighting for relevance, accelerating its next-gen AI chip MI350 to mid-2025—potentially capitalizing on NVIDIA’s delays.

🔥 The Bull Case:
✅ MI300 AI chips are gaining traction—AMD expects + in AI GPU sales for 2025.
✅ NVIDIA supply constraints could help AMD win incremental AI market share.
✅ Aggressive partnerships with Dell & others are opening more commercial AI opportunities.

⚠️ The Bear Case:
❌ AMD’s AI sales in Q4 ($1.75B) missed the target.
❌ NVIDIA’s Blackwell architecture is expected to dominate, making AMD’s upside uncertain.
❌ Enterprise AI adoption is still unpredictable—revenue projections could fluctuate.

AMD is betting hard on AI, but it needs to prove it can meaningfully compete in an NVIDIA-dominated space.

3. Other Key Growth Areas: CPUs & Gaming
📌 CPUs: Ryzen Growth Continues

AMD continues gaining CPU market share from Intel, particularly in high-end desktops.
New Ryzen 9900X3D & 9950X3D processors launched at CES 2025—big push for gaming.
📌 Gaming & Consoles: A Steady Cash Cow

AMD powers both PlayStation & Xbox, ensuring a stable revenue stream in gaming.
The next-gen PlayStation & Xbox rumors could bring a fresh wave of semi-custom chip demand.
4. Stock Performance & Valuation
📉 Stock Price (Feb 25, 2025): $103.96 (-3.79%)
📉 52-Week High: $132.83 (down ~22%)
📈 P/E Ratio: 27x forward earnings—a discount vs. NVIDIA (38x)

📊 Investor Sentiment:

AMD trades at a discount to NVIDIA, but it’s also a higher-risk AI play.
Wall Street wants to see AI execution improve before rewarding AMD with a higher multiple.
The next 2-3 quarters are critical—if AI demand accelerates, AMD has serious upside.
5. Final Take: A High-Conviction Play—If You Believe in the AI Story
🚀 The Bull Case: If AMD executes on AI GPUs, it could become a legitimate alternative to NVIDIA in data centers, driving massive growth.

⚠️ The Bear Case: If NVIDIA keeps dominating AI, AMD’s AI ambitions could stall, keeping it trapped as a CPU/gaming play with slower growth.

💡 Investor Takeaway:
If you believe AMD can gain AI market share, this is a strong long-term play at a discount. If not, NVIDIA remains the safer AI bet. Watch Q1 & Q2 execution closely.

Arg_Barker

Saylor buys and spot dives? WTF?

quickshiftinn

Saylor's buy has already gone through around , so where's the next injection of juice coming from now?

raa9050

I had read about Blackwell cooling issues recently. They supposedly had a fix. But Reuters just published bad news about the overheating issue. As I’ve mentioned, it would make sense that this earnings may not be NVDAs best because they have had Blackwell issues to solve. So this is a good time to wait and see rather than assume “earnings must be stellar and NVDA must go up this week on earnings.”

Think of it this way. They need to focus most of their energy on damage control and customer support for those experiencing Blackwell issues. So they may not be as growth focused as usual. Even if this quarter had great earnings they may talk about lower guidance for next earnings as they improve the Blackwell issues.

I’m sure investors did not want to hear about any issues with Blackwell 3 months after it caused a 20% dip in the stock on the last earnings call. Which beat revenue by by the way.

Tomorrow’s pre-market action will be key to watch.

tradingview.com/news/reuters.com,2024:newsml_L1N3MO03P:0-new-nvidia-ai-chips-overheating-in-servers-the-information-reports/

grahammk

This here is from Seeking Alpha... (NASDAQ:TSLA) asked shareholders on Wednesday to vote in favor of Elon Musk's $56B 2018 compensation package at the company's annual meeting set for June 13. A Delaware judge invalidated the compensation package earlier in the year on the determination that the board had a conflict of interest and that it was not fair to shareholders.

At the annual meeting, Tesla (TSLA) shareholders will also vote on the proposal to approve the redomestication of the company to Texas from Delaware and the election of James Murdoch and Kimbal Musk as Class II directors.

In other Tesla (TSLA) news, sources told Reuters that Elon Musk is expected to announce a to investment in India when he visits New Delhi next week. The investment is expected to be mainly for a new plant. India currently has a low EV penetration rate, but the government has an ambitious goal for 30% of new cars in 2030 to be electric. Shares of Tesla (TSLA) showed a 0.96% gain in premarket trading on Wednesday. The EV stock is down about 36% on a year-to-date basis. Looking ahead, Tesla's (TSLA) Q1 earnings report will fall into the laps of investors next week. For a company known for creating some earnings drama, the upcoming report on April 23 is expected to be a showstopper. Options trading currently implies an 11% swing in TSLA's share price up or down after the report drops. As a reminder, TSLA fell 12% after its Q4 earnings report was released.

LazloWKRP

in news: Bitcoin Price Plummets As US Government Transfers In Seized Silk Road BTC, Coincidence?

"This transfer follows the earlier seizure of over 50,000 Bitcoin from James Zhong, who illegally obtained the cryptocurrency from the Silk Road in 2012. The US Department of Justice’s (DOJ) seizure of these funds marked the largest cryptocurrency seizure in its history."