SEKEUR trade ideas
Possible counter trend short with 9,6255 stopDaily:
- BULLISH, with signs of exhasution and possible pull back.
4H - Trade entry level:
- Price in Kumo cloud, below Kijun Sen.
- Chikou Span below past candles, may tgt its resistance to 9,54.
- Bearish forward Kumo twist
- EWO bearish
- Heikin-Ashi possible sell signal (haDelta crossed down)
Sell half size below 9,60 to a 9,52-9,54 tgt. Tight stop above 4H Kumo at 9,6255
Please keep in mind, that this trade is really a counter trend idea! Manage position size, stop lvl and general risk accordingly!
Action to be taken soon!Price is heading toward strong resistance, in the first hand i'll be looking for shorting opportunity on this pair.
But we have also possibility of a BO coz momentum looks strong this time, so it can be tricky this time.
Please support, comment, share you thoughts on this, and why not follow :)
EUR/SEK – Eyes rising trend line supportDespite pair’s rebound from around 50-DMA level yesterday the subsequent failure at 10-DMA and a retreat below 5-DMA amid bearish daily MACD and bearish 5-DMA and 10-DMA crossover suggests the pair is heading back to 100-DMA support at 9.48 and may actually breach the same for a drop to rising trend line support at 9.43.
Also note the evening start formation on the daily chart.
Possible Head and Shoulders pattern, minor bearish biasI opened 0,5 trade unit EURSEK short today. As you might have seen on my Twitter feed, I have been watching it for few days.
- Ichimoku setup is more neutral. Kumo shades price ahead, price is below Kijun and Tenkan/Kijun is weak bearish.
- Price retraced to Kijun from Kumo, but has failed to break above 9,50 key supp/res for last 5 trading days.
- Heikin-Ashi candle is small red today but with still both upper and lower wicks. haDelta/SMA3 is below zero now. haOscillator is ticking lower. -> not yet decisive, no real bearish momentum, just initial bearish bias.
- High probability to develop a Head and Shoulders patter, but as all patterns this needs confirmation too. Basically we need a break below 9,41 neckline. Then possible tgt comes ard 9,20.
Market has some bias, but the setup has not yet confirmed. For this reason I opened only 0,5 trade unit today at 9,47, with a wider initial stop at 9,5550. This provides a better expected Risk/Reward, but still not much outright nominal risk. Looking to add below 9,41, and trail stop for the full size later.
FX00102 - EURSEK - Rebound of Fib 38%Made a helathy profit following this pairs bullish uptrend, but the pair sold off on the 2-Aug, probably due to profit taking at 9.6000. Price has retraced back to the Fib 28% level and formed a perfect rounded bottom on the 1hr chart.
I actually spotted this trade at 9.4855 but decided to wait for confirmation that price had broken the Daily 8EMA resistance. Still it offers a potential 3.5 x risk.
FX00102 - EURSEK - Rebound of Fib 38%Made a helathy profit following this pairs bullish uptrend, but the pair sold off on the 2-Aug, probably due to profit taking at 9.6000. Price has retraced back to the Fib 28% level and formed a perfect rounded bottom on the 1hr chart.
I actually spotted this trade at 9.4855 but decided to wait for confirmation that price had broken the Daily 8EMA resistance. Still it offers a potential 3.5 x risk.
EURSEK market top?another interesting setup right now is the EURSEK after is has moved into the 9.6 and faked the previous high. The 20 SMA broke afterwards with a strong momentum candle but price bounce off the trendline and demand cluster.
The signal here will be a confirmed break of the trendline. To the downside there are a few potential short targets.