AMZN on WatchLooking for a pull back to around $209.50 or a break out above $215.
Why:
20EMA and $209 resistance are lining up
On an uptrend
Possible Cup and Handle forming
AMZN01 trade ideas
AMZN cup and handle completed - LONGAmazon cup and handle completed - Long on open above above 215, Stop loss at 202, Target 240
AMZN: Watch for a Break Above 218.00If NASDAQ:AMZN manages to push above 217.85 , there's a strong chance we’ll see a move toward 219.96 . However, caution is advised around the 218.00 level – both premarket and postmarket sessions showed hesitation and failed to hold above that resistance.
A more conservative approach would be to wait for a clean break above 218.00 before entering.
🔍 Context:
We’re currently in a solid uptrend. On the daily chart, we’ve seen a rejection of the downside, marked by an inside bullish candle with a notable wick – suggesting upward pressure that the market may try to release. Given recent premarket activity, the 218.00 area remains a key battleground for bulls and bears alike.
AMZN – Breaking Out From Handle in Cup & Handle BaseAmazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is breaking out from the handle of a well-formed cup and handle base, offering a defined, low-risk entry with a strong technical structure.
📈 Entry Zone: 214.84 – 225.25
🛑 Stop Range: 203.88 – 197.23 (5–8% below entry, based on risk preference)
🎯 Target: 242.50
📌 Will consider adding above all-time highs if momentum builds
Price is riding above all major moving averages (10, 21, 50, 200), with bullish alignment across the board. The handle showed tight price action before this breakout, a constructive sign for continuation.
Relative strength is not leading, but it's starting to slope upward — signaling early participation. In a market where growth stocks are volatile, names like AMZN provide a more stable trend with potential for measured upside.
Fundamentally, Amazon continues to deliver across AWS, logistics, and advertising — with consistent earnings growth backing the technical picture.
UNISWAP - Long Term Buy Opportunity 🚨MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on UNI here.🚨
UNI vs ETH | Why Uniswap Deserves a New All-Time High
In this video, we dive deep into the fundamentals of Uniswap (UNI) and explore its close relationship with Ethereum (ETH)—the blockchain it’s built on. While ETH has regained massive attention with its expanding ecosystem and institutional adoption, UNI is still massively undervalued in comparison, despite powering one of the largest DeFi protocols in the world.
⸻
Fundamentals Breakdown:
• Uniswap is the backbone of decentralized trading, facilitating billions in volume without intermediaries.
• Fee switch mechanics and upcoming v4 upgrades have the potential to drive real yield to UNI holders.
• Unlike ETH, which serves as a Layer 1 gas token, UNI represents governance and future revenue potential over a growing protocol.
⸻
Why UNI Has Upside:
• UNI still trades far below its all-time highs—even as Ethereum ecosystem activity rebounds.
• ETH has already made major recovery moves, but UNI hasn’t caught up yet—creating a bullish divergence.
• With the rise of on-chain liquidity, tokenized real-world assets, and institutional DeFi, Uniswap is positioned to be a key infrastructure layer.
⸻
My Thesis:
• ETH = Base Layer | UNI = DeFi Rail
• As ETH grows, Uniswap scales alongside it—capturing more swap volume, TVL, and governance power.
• If Uniswap activates protocol revenue, UNI transitions from a governance token to a yield-bearing asset, giving it real valuation metrics and long-term investor interest.
⸻
Watch to see my full breakdown, including:
• UNI vs ETH price chart comparison
• On-chain stats, dominance shifts, and upcoming catalysts
• Why I believe UNI is set for a breakout back toward new all-time highs
⸻
Like, comment, and follow for more deep-dive crypto breakdowns and technical setups.
#Uniswap #UNI #Ethereum #ETH #CryptoAnalysis #DeFi #TradingView #AltcoinSeason #PineScript #FundamentalAnalysis
AMZN Quick Take: GEX & Chart Analysis- jun 161️⃣ Gamma Context (1‑Hour Chart)
* Call gamma wall clusters around $214–220, with the strongest resistance near $218–220—dealers may hedge/delta-neutralize here, creating selling pressure at that zone.
* Implied volatility is low (~13%) relative to average (~38%), making call spreads cheaper and appealing for defined-risk entries.
* Option setup suggestion: Consider a bull call spread around the $215–220 strike range. This targets the gamma resistance while managing risk—ideal in a low-IV environment.
2️⃣ Price Structure & Momentum (15‑Min Chart)
* Support: The $208–210 level has held twice, reinforced by a rising trendline—suggests short-term bullish structure.
* Resistance breakout occurred above the $214–217 supply box, confirming a short-term bullish shift (BOS). A strong volume breakout through this zone supports further upside.
* Key red flags: A breakdown below $208 or the trendline could invalidate the bull scenario, pushing price back toward $205 or lower.
3️⃣ Trade Logic & Execution
* Bullish Scenario: If AMZN holds above $210 and cleaves through $214–217 with conviction, initiate a $215–220 call spread with 5–10 days to expiration. This plays momentum toward the gamma ceiling.
* Risk Definition: Use a stop-loss just below the $208–210 trendline support. Breakdown triggers consideration for a bear put spread targeting $205, while maintaining risk discipline.
💡 Why This Setup?
* Gamma walls guide momentum: Targeting the $220 resistance uses options to your advantage while respecting dealer positioning.
* Low IV = cost efficiency: Spread premiums are cheaper, reducing breakeven pressure and making directional plays more attractive.
* Chart structure aligns: Support and breakout structure underpin the bullish thesis, giving confidence to engage defined-risk setups.
⚠️ TradingView Disclaimer
This analysis is educational, not financial advice. Options trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always manage your position size, set stop-losses, confirm price action breaking structure, and be cautious around news or earnings events.
AMZN Struggles at Trend-Barrier and ResistancePrice is still in upward mode.
Why am I bearish?
1. Rejection in the Resistance Zone
2. Second Hagopian
3. Close below the Red Forks 1/4 Line
PTG1 is the Center-Line.
Potential further PTG's below at the 1/4 Line and then of course the L-MLH.
Playing it with Options which give me much more leeway. For a hard Stop I would put it right behind the last high above the TB.
AMAZON Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AMAZON keeps gaining
Bullish momentum so we
Are bullish biased mid-term
However it will soon hit a
Horizontal resistance of 219.00$
From where we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AMZN — Accumulation Zone or Just a Healthy Pullback?📦Amazon (AMZN) is offering an interesting opportunity after a healthy correction from its 2025 highs. With continued AWS expansion and aggressive investment in AI infrastructure, the fundamentals remain solid — but short-term volatility opens the door for strategic entries.
🎯 Entry Points
🔹 $194 – First key support, ideal for early buyers
🔹 $187 – Strong technical congestion zone
🔹 $169 – Deep value zone with higher risk/reward potential
💰 Profit Targets
✅ TP1: $210 – First resistance and psychological level
✅ TP2: $227 – Last swing high area
✅ TP3: $241+ – Full recovery path if momentum holds
🧠 Strategy Insight
This setup suits a swing trade horizon (30–60 days). Scaling into the position and adjusting stops under $160 offers a risk-managed approach. The upcoming earnings on July 31, 2025 could be the trigger for a major move — watch AWS growth numbers and forward guidance closely.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Amazon Breakout Signals Bullish Momentum — Eyeing $220 Target
Current Price: $213.57
Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $217
- T2 = $220
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $208
- S2 = $204
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in AMZN.
**Key Insights:**
Amazon continues to stand out among technology stocks due to its consistent performance and strong technical indicators. The company's breakout pattern aligns with sector-wide momentum, suggesting further upward potential. Analysts note the $206-$220 price range as having significant activity, where resilient support levels provide a foundation for continued bullish sentiment. Trader consensus highlights Amazon's strategic positioning against competitors, leveraging its robust e-commerce and cloud operations to boost investor confidence.
**Recent Performance:**
Amazon has experienced steady gains over the past few weeks, maintaining solid support above its 50-day moving average. Recent trading activity indicates high interest from institutional investors, with the stock showing clear signs of an upward trend. After testing resistance at $215, AMZN's inverse head-and-shoulders pattern indicates further upside potential. As part of the MAG 7 (tier of top-performing tech stocks), AMZN continues to outperform competitors amid sector-wide market strength.
**Expert Analysis:**
Technical analysts point to strong accumulation phases during dips, signaling confidence in the stock's ability to deliver further upside. Amazon shows a clear pattern of higher lows, with medium-term upward momentum aligning with sector-wide bullish trends. Experts also highlight volume surges at key support levels, further reinforcing the bullish outlook. AMZN's price movement shows a correlation with broader indices, suggesting continued alignment with macroeconomic conditions favoring technology.
**News Impact:**
Recent easing of trade tariff concerns related to US-China negotiations has indirectly boosted sentiment within the technology sector. Amazon’s diversified revenue streams and growing dominance in e-commerce and cloud technology provide resilience against market fluctuations. Favorable developments in global trade discussions continue to lower uncertainty, enhancing overall attractiveness for long-term positions.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Amazon's technical setup and broader sector strength make it a compelling choice for a long position. Investors should consider entering near current levels, with a target range of $217-$220. Stops should be placed below $208 to manage risks effectively. With expert consensus favoring accumulation on dips, AMZN represents an opportunity grounded in both technical and fundamental strengths.
AMZNThis is a company I believe can become one of the most valuable companies by market cap I think they have a toe in every sector at this point. AI is a massive one and robots also them just possibly replacing all employees with AI and robots. That could make them extremely efficient and profitable short term target of 250 with longer term targets of 300. Not a professional and this is not financial advice just what I am speculating.
AMAZONAMZN is getting ready for another push towards 230 level.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
Amazon ($AMZN) – Bullish Breakout WatchPublished by: Wavervanir_International_LLC
🗓️ May 19, 2025 | 1D Chart
Amazon is showing strong momentum with a confirmed break above the $200.92 resistance zone (now flipped support). The price is currently consolidating around the 0.786 Fibonacci level ($208.21), and a clean daily close above this region could open up an impulsive move toward the 1.618 Fib extension at $233.99 and the key resistance level of $239.23.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 Support: $200.92
🔹 Resistance: $208.21 → $214.84 → $233.99
🔹 Final Target (Short-term swing): $239.23
🎯 Bullish Fib Extensions: 1.618 ($233.99), 2.618 ($264.98), 3.618 ($295.97)
📊 Setup Rationale:
Bullish structure with higher lows forming since May.
Breakout above major supply zone.
Clean Fibonacci confluence for upside targets.
Volume confirmation and market momentum favor upside continuation.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence. This chart is for educational purposes under Wavervanir DSS guidance.
AMAZON TROUBLENASDAQ:AMZN Is currently trading Just 11% below its all time high and currently Facing exhaustion.
Amazon is currently trading 217$ range which was previous support now turned resistance (Daily Timeframe) , making a double top pattern and a negative divergence on the RSI.
The best Trades are the ones with multiple confirmations
- Trading at a resistance (1D chart)✅
- Negative Price Action at the resistance (Double Top Pattern)✅
- RSI negative divergence✅
- Market Structure ✅
Entry Criteria
- A Red candle at the entry Line Marked
- Stoploss Above the Entry Candle
Target 1- 211$
Target 2- 208$
Keep Your Risk Reward Intact! Not An investment Advice
Imbalance, FVG & Short Trend Flag Strategy / Estrategia basada..*************************
* ENGLISH VERSION *
*************************
This analysis blends institutional structure with price action to identify high-probability zones on AMZN.
🔍 Setup Structure:
Imbalance breaks PH/L of the trend: Confirmation of institutional strength breaking a Previous High or Low, creating a liquidity imbalance.
Short Trend Flags: A corrective flag pattern within the impulse move, signaling continuation until the Fair Value Gap (FVG) is filled.
FVG Closure: Validates key zones where price must return to restore market balance.
IFVG: Institutional Fair Value Gap that also needs to be closed, showing deeper order flow activity.
Key Resistance & Support Zones: Act as liquidity magnets where price often reacts.
9:30am Opening Candle Against the Trend: This candle acts as a liquidity trap and potential reversal trigger.
🧠 Technical Notes:
FVG and IFVG used as targets and reaction zones.
Confirmation through opening volume and candlestick behavior.
Flags serve as entry triggers in trend direction.
🎯 Perfect for scalpers and day traders who trade clean structure with multi-layered confirmations (structure + liquidity + reaction).
*************************
* SPANISH VERSION *
*************************
Este análisis combina estructuras institucionales con acción del precio para identificar zonas de alta probabilidad en AMZN.
🔍 Estructura del Setup:
Imbalance rompe PH/L de la tendencia: Confirmación de fuerza institucional al romper un Previous High/Low, generando desequilibrio de liquidez.
Short Trend Flags: Patrón correctivo dentro del impulso que sirve como señal de continuación hasta cerrar el FVG (Fair Value Gap).
Cierre de FVG: Validación de zonas de interés donde el precio debe retornar para balancear el mercado.
IFVG: Imbalance Fair Value Gap que también necesita ser cerrado, indicando profundidad institucional.
Zonas clave de resistencia y soporte: Actúan como imanes de liquidez donde el precio suele reaccionar.
Apertura 9:30am contra la tendencia: Vela que actúa como trampa de liquidez y posible gatillo para reversión.
🧠 Notas Técnicas:
Uso de FVG y IFVG como targets y zonas de reacción.
Confirmación con el volumen de apertura y comportamiento de las velas.
Flags como patrón de entrada para seguir la dirección dominante.
🎯 Ideal para scalpers y day traders que siguen estructuras limpias con validaciones múltiples (estructura + liquidez + reacción).
AMZN Breakdown Brewing — Will $213 Hold or Slipping to $210?📈 GEX Options Sentiment (As of June 17 Close):
* Resistance Zones (CALL Walls):
* $217.5 → 2nd CALL Wall and YDH (Yesterday’s High)
* $220 → Gamma Wall (Highest Positive NET GEX)
* $222.5–225 = Upper GEX cluster (low probability unless a macro bounce)
* Support Zones (PUT Walls):
* $210 → Major gamma-supported zone
* $207.5 → GEX Pivot/Defensive line
* $202.5 = 2nd PUT Wall (Flush zone if $207 breaks)
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: 13.6 (still low)
* IVx avg: 32.7
* Put Flow: 0.6% = nearly no bearish hedging → risk of fast re-pricing
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 (still stable but neutralizing)
🧠 15-Min Smart Price Action Breakdown:
* Current Price: $214.22
* Structure:
* Price rejected multiple times off ORH (216.26) and YDH (217.06), forming multiple FVGs downward.
* Currently sitting in the PML–Demand Zone at $213.65 — critical bounce or breakdown area.
* Indicators (RSI, BBP, MACD, DMI) show building bearish pressure with fear (-14.44) and oversold tag.
* Trend Confluence:
* Lower highs + FVGs stacking downward = exhaustion
* Market mode = choppy / waiting, but volatility could expand below $213
🧭 Trade Scenarios for June 18:
🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup:
* Trigger: Breakdown and 15-min close below $213.60 (PML)
* Target 1: $210.00 (Gamma cluster + PUT support)
* Target 2: $207.50 (Critical GEX floor)
* Stop-loss: Above $215.00
Momentum + volume pickup in that zone = likely flush to gamma magnet
🟩 Bullish Reversal Setup (Fade Play):
* Trigger: Hold and bounce from $213.60 zone + reclaim $215.00
* Target 1: $216.16 (YDC/PMH)
* Target 2: $217.50 (CALL wall + YDH)
* Stop-loss: Below $213.40
Needs market-wide support from SPY/QQQ to hold up — more likely a short squeeze bounce than clean rally
🔮 My Thoughts for Wednesday:
* AMZN is sitting on the last support shelf before gamma accelerates to the downside.
* GEX is still slightly neutral/bullish but very fragile — one push below $213 and dealers start to hedge short.
* Options flow is light, but low IVR makes buying options attractive if direction is clear.
* Best play is to watch open reaction at $213.60 — either rejection confirms short, or bounce gives scalp long.
✅ Summary:
* Bias: Bearish below $213.60
* Key Level to Break: $213.60
* Gamma Risk Level: $210
* Upside Reclaim: $216.16 → $217.5
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Amazon (AMZN) at a Decision Zone! Jun 17🧠 GEX Options Sentiment Summary:
* GEX Walls & Zones:
* Gamma Wall / Resistance near $220 — heavy CALL interest.
* 2nd CALL Wall at $217.5, aligning with recent rejection.
* PUT Support strongest near $207.45, overlapping with a key demand zone.
* Negative GEX/PUT Walls cluster between $202–197, showing downside gamma acceleration risk if $207 breaks.
* Current GEX Metrics:
* IVR: 9.4 (low vol)
* IVx avg: 30.6
* GEX Signal: 🟢🟢🟢 (bullish tilt but vulnerable)
* Call Dollar Flow: 3.4% (muted call flow despite recent rally)
* Interpretation:
* GEX shows strong resistance overhead at $217.5–220 with the bulk of positive gamma above current price.
* Below $210, gamma flips negative and opens room to $202/$197 PUT walls — possibly a slippery slope on a break.
🧭 15-Minute Intraday Price Action (SMC View):
* Current Price: $213.25
* Structure:
* CHoCH confirmed from recent local high at $217.
* Price swept local liquidity and broke structure, then retraced into the supply zone (highlighted box) and rejected cleanly.
* Multiple CHoCHs around $214.08 → now acting as key support/resistance.
* Trendlines:
* Still holding the ascending trendline, but just barely.
* Break below $212.10 → $211.60 could lead to bearish acceleration.
* Volume Profile:
* Spike in bearish volume during the breakdown — institutions likely unloading.
🧪 Trade Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Setup:
* Trigger: Reclaim $214.08 (prior CHoCH zone)
* Target 1: $217.50 (CALL wall)
* Target 2: $220 (GEX gamma wall)
* Stop-loss: Below $211.50 (invalidate reclaim thesis)
Ideal if market finds support at demand + reclaim $214 with volume. Watch for higher lows and bullish divergence on RSI/MACD.
🚨 Bearish Setup:
* Trigger: Clean break below $211.60
* Target 1: $207.45 (PUT support + demand zone)
* Target 2: $202.50 / $200 (2nd PUT wall / gamma acceleration)
* Stop-loss: Above $214 (reclaim negates bearish thesis)
If the trendline snaps with confirmation, expect price to magnet to gamma-supported downside zones fast.
🎯 My Thoughts:
* We’re in a mean-reversion + options pinball range. This is a game of patience and levels.
* $214.08 is the intraday decision zone — reclaim = bounce play, reject = breakdown play.
* The market is likely to chop within $207–$217 unless broader market drives a breakout.
* For options traders, focus on $215–220 CALLs for breakout plays or $210–205 PUTs on breakdowns with short expiry for gamma moves.
🔚 Conclusion:
AMZN is at a pivot where Smart Money just reversed structure after liquidity sweep. The GEX shows resistance above and puts support below, compressing price into a decision wedge. Trade the breakout/breakdown — not the chop.
🛑 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
Shoulders to the Sky: Amazon’s Breakout Journey BeginsOverview
Name: Amazon.com, Inc
Ticker Symbol: AMZN
Exchange: NASDAQ
Founded: 1994
Headquarters: Seattle, Washington, USA
CEO: Andy Jassy (as of 2025)
Sector: Consumer Discretionary / E-commerce & Cloud Computing
About
Amazon is a global e-commerce and cloud services powerhouse. It dominates online retail while also operating AWS (Amazon Web Services), one of the world’s leading cloud computing platforms. Other segments include advertising, logistics, streaming, AI hardware (Alexa), and physical retail.
Fundamentals
Earnings: Amazon has consistently beaten revenue expectations with strong growth in AWS and advertising segments.Revenue: Q1 2025 revenue topped $154.8B, up 13% YoY, with solid margins.Outlook: Management has raised guidance for Q2 citing AI integration in AWS and retail efficiency gains.
Technicals
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern confirmed on the daily chart — a strong bullish reversal signal.
Price has broken above the neckline (~$213–$215) with volume confirmation.
Golden Cross forming on short-term MAs — bullish signal.
RSI is around 64, suggesting momentum remains but is nearing overbought.
MACD is bullish with widening divergence — supports potential continuation.
📌 Support Zones: $202, $199
📈 Resistance / Target Zones: $217 (short-term), $235 (TP), $242 (extension)
💡 My Take
AMZN is showing bullish continuation out of a textbook inverted head and shoulders — typically a strong reversal setup after a downtrend. We’ve seen the neckline break with follow-through, and volume patterns support the move.
While the RSI shows slight overbought conditions, this could lead to a short consolidation before another leg up toward $235–$242. With macro tailwinds from cloud and advertising sectors, AMZN is positioned well for a strong Q3 rally.
Position
Type: AMZN 235 Call
Expiry: July 11, 2025
Quantity: 7
Average Cost Basis: $1.00
Last Price: $0.69
Purchase Date: June 12, 2025
Total % Gain/Loss: –30%
Despite current drawdown, I remain optimistic about AMZN's momentum. The technical setup is strong, and short-term weakness is likely just healthy consolidation. I'm holding through July with my eyes on the $235 target.
AMZN ATH or what???AMZN ATH or what?
optimism coming back or no? Chyna CHyna CHyna? or no CHyna? let us know~~
we caught april bottom now run ATH?
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🐉Check out our socials for some nice insights.🐉
information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
The 3 Step Rocket Booster StrategyOn this trade we are looking at the NASDAQ:AMZN
trade.Now the special thing
about this trade is that instead of focusing on
the daily chart we are focusing on the weekly chart.
You may be thinking
“Why are we focusing on the weekly chart?”
Well this is because you have to be ahead of the crowd nd see
the coming trend.
If you want to do your own trading strategy
thats okay but if you want
to learn more about the Rokcet booster strategy
Then you need to follow these 3 steps
• The price has to be above the 50 EMA
• The price has to be above the 200 EMA
• The price should gap up in an uptrend
This is the rocket booster strategy
In order to learn more
Rocket boost this content
Disclaimer:Trading is risky you will lose money
so please use a simulation trading account
before you trade with real money.Also learn
Risk management and profit taking strategies.
AMZN BUYBUY AMZN at 182.00 to 173.00, riding it back up to 240.00 to 255.00 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 161.00!
If anyone likes mumbo jumbo long useless analysis,
than this is NOT for you.
Also, if you are afraid of risk, failure, and want only a 100% sure thing, than...
run as fast as you can from here and from the markets,
because it is definitely NOT for you.
WARNING: This is just my opinion of the market and its only for journaling purpose. This information and any publication here are NOT meant to be, and do NOT constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a risky business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
AMZN Stuck Between GEX Walls – Breakout or Breakdown Coming? 6/2🧠 GEX Daily Outlook (Options Sentiment Setup)
Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) closed around $205, sitting almost flat right below the HVL (High Volume Level) and the critical 202.5–208 gamma resistance cluster. This week's setup is tricky — you're right between big put support and call resistance.
GEX Flow Highlights:
* 🟢 87.21% Call Wall @ 212.5 = dealer resistance, hedging likely to cap price short-term.
* 🟥 Strong Put Support @ 195 (–78.52%) — big negative GEX means downside can accelerate if we go there, but also where price could bounce.
* 🧊 IVR at 17.4 = super cold. That makes debit spreads attractive this week.
💡 Options Strategy Ideas (based on GEX):
* Bullish: Break + hold above 208 (GEX wall) → consider Jul 19 215c or 210c/220c debit spread.
* Bearish: Lose 202.5 + see continuation → consider Jul 19 200p or 205p/195p vertical for risk-defined downside.
Key Range to Watch: 202.5 support ↔ 208 resistance
Options are cheap, so early positioning before a breakout/down makes sense.
⏱️ 1-Hour Price Action (Swing & Intraday Outlook)
Zooming in, AMZN’s been in consolidation just below resistance around 205.7, rejecting from that upper CHoCH zone at 211.9. Friday’s price action gave us a minor BOS to the downside, but bulls stepped in from around 202 again.
Here’s what stands out:
* 📍 CHoCH + BOS shows recent structure shift.
* 🟣 SMC supply zone at 211.9 is still untested again — that’s the swing target if 208 breaks.
* 🟩 Demand at 196, backed by both volume and SMC blocks — potential support for deep pullback.
📈 Swing Setup:
* Bullish Swing: Long above 208, targeting 211–215 with stop under 204.
* Bearish Swing: Short if 202.5 breaks with volume → target 198 and then 196.
📉 Intraday Setup:
* Morning fade into 202–203 is playable for quick long scalp to 205.
* Rejection near 205.7–206 again = scalp short back to 202 zone.
Best setups are reaction plays at key zones — don’t chase in the middle.
🎯 Final Take
AMZN is primed — either we clear 208 and gamma flips bullish into 212.5+… or we lose 202.5 and slide into the 195 put-heavy support. IV is cheap, and a breakout move could bring both delta and vega gains on calls. Watch volume around those inflection points for confirmation.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and trade responsibly.
Amazon UpdatePrice has re-entered the target box. I mentioned last week that price could still try to target the 1.618 @ $220.01. Judging by the ES, I think it is highly likely that is what is going on. We're still currently trading on hidden bearish divergence which doesn't bode well for a sustained move higher. I think it more likely that we make another slight high towards the 1.618 on neg div setting up the larger move lower for minor C.
The key support price we need to breach that will point us lower is $196. If we can get below that, the momentum will change to the downside. First, we will likely make OMH though. We manage to breach $196 though, and sub $140 comes into view. This will take time. Don't think that it will happen tomorrow or even next week. Minor C will take weeks if not months to complete.
