TSLA Oversold Bounce Setup – Targeting $300 Max Pain Zone🚗 TSLA Oversold Bounce Setup – Targeting $300 Max Pain Zone 🔥
📅 Signal Date: June 5, 2025 | ⏳ Duration: 5–10 Day Swing
🎯 Objective: Play oversold bounce into heavy open interest at $300
📊 Multi-Model Insight Summary
Model Bias Strategy Strike Entry Target Stop Confidence
Grok Mod. Bullish Buy Call 290 34.00 40.80 17.00 75%
Claude Mod. Bullish Buy Call 290 34.00 50.00–65.00 20.00 75%
DeepSeek Mod. Bullish Buy Call 300 26.65 32.00 20.00 75%
Gemini Neutral/Stand Aside No Trade — — — — 45%
Llama Mod. Bearish Buy Put 280 3.30 1.65 3.30 75%
🔎 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot
15-Min RSI: Extremely oversold → Mean-reversion potential
Daily/Weekly: Neutral, but nearing key support zones
Price Action: 5-day sharp drop into $280–$285 area
Max Pain: $300 → potential gravitational magnet for bounce
Sentiment: News uncertainty (Musk/Trump noise) but positioning supports upside
IV Rank: Elevated — options rich but supported by move potential
🎯 Trade Setup – Long TSLA Call
Instrument: TSLA
Direction: CALL (LONG)
Strike: $290.00
Expiry: 2025-06-20
Entry Price: $34.00
Profit Target: $40.80 (20% premium gain)
Stop Loss: $17.00 (50% premium loss)
Size: 1 contract
Entry Timing: Market open
Confidence Level: 70%
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
🔻 Premium decay: Watch theta decay closely, especially if no bounce by day 5
🚫 Technical breach: Close trade if $280–$285 breaks on strong volume
💣 Headline risk: Musk-related catalysts or macro shifts can swing direction rapidly
⏳ Time Exit Rule: Consider exiting by June 14 if trade hasn’t reached target
🧠 Trade Rationale
TSLA’s sharp pullback into oversold territory alongside strong call OI at $300 sets the stage for a short-term relief bounce. Multiple models support the call play, with a focus on a 5–10 day recovery swing.
TSLA80 trade ideas
Tesla Recovers After Announcement of Trump–Musk DialogueBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
After a session marked by a sharp decline, Tesla shares rebounded strongly in after-hours trading. The catalyst: a *Politico* report revealing that President Donald Trump’s advisors have scheduled a phone call with Elon Musk for today, Friday, in an effort to ease tensions following a public dispute between the two figures. On Thursday, Tesla suffered one of its worst declines of the year, plunging 14.26% and wiping out more than \$150 billion in market value within hours. This brings the quarterly loss to 25.70%. However, news of a potential reconciliation pushed the stock back into positive territory, closing at \$288.35 with a 2.31% recovery, sparking speculative after-hours trading that could extend into the week’s final session.
The clash erupted after Musk criticized a new tax cut bill championed by the White House. Trump promptly responded by threatening to reassess federal contracts awarded to Musk's companies, such as SpaceX. Tensions escalated further when Musk, via social media, hinted at alleged ties between Trump and the late financier Jeffrey Epstein.
According to *Politico*, although Trump has publicly projected an air of indifference, his advisors have been working behind the scenes to de-escalate the feud and avoid broader political and economic fallout. The scheduled call on Friday may mark the beginning of a truce.
It’s worth recalling that during his tenure at the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) under Trump’s administration, Elon Musk faced accusations of conflicts of interest, particularly for pushing deregulatory policies that directly benefited Tesla and SpaceX. These actions triggered public protests, the "Tesla Takedown" boycott movement, and investor concerns over Musk's divided attention—ultimately harming Tesla’s reputation and market valuation.
Tesla Under the Microscope: Between Market Rebound and Financial Pressure
The technical rebound has offered investors some relief, but Tesla’s challenges extend beyond the political arena. As of 2025, the stock is down nearly 25% amid shrinking global EV demand, intensified competition, and margin pressure. In its Q1 2025 earnings report, Tesla posted \$21.3 billion in revenue, down 5% year-on-year. Net income also fell to \$1.04 billion, dragged by an aggressive discount strategy and rising operational costs. Gross margin declined to 17.2%, while free cash flow stood at \$620 million. Despite these headwinds, the company maintains a strong financial position, with \$22 billion in cash and \$7.8 billion in total debt. Tesla currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56, well above the industry average, reflecting high—though increasingly questioned—growth expectations.
Technical Outlook: Key Support Level in Sight
From a technical perspective, Tesla has found crucial support around the \$271.22 level. This bounce aligns with the beginning of a bearish consolidation cross seen on Wednesday. If the 200-day moving average remains below the 100-day and the 50-day adjusts downward, further bearish momentum could ensue. A break below this level may lead to a decline toward \$250. Conversely, a sustained recovery could push the stock toward the previous control point at \$361.93, though not before consolidating around the \$320 resistance zone. The RSI shows clear signs of extreme overselling at 19%, potentially signaling the door to an upward move.
In the short term, everything hinges on the outcome of today’s Trump–Musk conversation, which markets will be watching very closely.
Conclusion
The clash between Musk and Trump has left visible scars on the market. While a possible rapprochement may open a window for stabilization, Tesla’s financial and technical fundamentals reveal ongoing challenges. Any recovery could prove as volatile as the leadership surrounding it.
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Stock Of The Day / 06.06.25 / TSLA06.06.2025 / NASDAQ:TSLA
Fundamentals. Negative background due to the conflict between Musk and Trump.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Pullback on an uptrend
Premarket: Gap Down on increased volume.
Trading session: The primary impulse from the opening of the session was stopped at 312.70, after which a smooth, long pullback followed. At 12:00 p.m., volumes appeared and the price sharply returned and tested the level of 312.70, and the next pullback was significantly smaller than the previous one. We are considering a short trade to continue the downward movement in case of breakdown and holding the price below the level.
Trading scenario: #breakdown with retest of level 312.70
Entry: 310.94 after the breakout, retest and holding below the level.
Stop: 313.06 we hide it above the tail of the retest.
Exit: Cover the position at 279.47 when the structure of the downward trend is broken amid price acceleration and volume growth.
Risk Rewards: 1/14
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
Everything we know about the Trump - Musk divorce (so far)
Elon Musk publicly criticised Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” as a “disgusting abomination” that would explode the U.S. deficit and “bankrupt America.” The bill is projected to add $2.5 trillion to the U.S. deficit over 10 years.
Musk claimed Trump wouldn’t have won the 2024 election without his support, calling the backlash “such ingratitude.”
Musk then alleged on X that Trump appears in the Epstein files. This marks a serious escalation (but we all thought this before Musk confirmed it right?)
Trump followed up on Truth Social by calling Musk “crazy” and hinting at cancelling federal contracts with his companies. Trump wrote that cancelling subsidies for Musk’s companies “could save billions,”.
Tesla has wiped out ~$100 billion in market value. Tesla now politically exposed?
Musk floated the idea of creating a new centrist political party, criticising both Democrats and MAGA Republicans. “We need a party that actually represents the interests of the people. Not lobbyists. Not legacy donors. Not extremists.”
TSLA cooling offI know Tesla lovers hate to see a short post on the stock. Okay... it's cooling off... lol.
*another news report states he's leaving gov't; trump holding on tight... we shall see
*alleged new growth story incoming... check news and see what you see
*TA (technical analysis) look like a pullback in order... 330-325
Do you see what I see? Or you are feeling like it's a straight moon shot?
Have a great weekend.
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) Technical Analysis and ForecastTSLA has demonstrated strong upward momentum since the market opened today, reaching a resistance level around the $362 zone.
From a technical perspective, there is potential for a short-term pullback to the $354 area, which aligns with the top of the support zone, also known as the "right shoulder" of the prevailing pattern.
Should this support level hold, we may anticipate a continued upward move, targeting higher price levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
Primary Support: $354 zone
Secondary Support: $321 zone (as a deeper stop loss level)
Resistance/Take Profit Levels:
Target 1 (Take Profit): $440
Target 2 (Take Profit): $480 (previous all-time high)
Traders should approach this setup with caution, as always, adhering to sound risk management principles.
Market conditions can shift rapidly, and price action around these levels should be monitored closely.
If you find this analysis helpful, please consider supporting the channel by liking, commenting, and sharing this post.
Stay disciplined and trade with care.
TESLA GOES READY FOR ITS NEW LEG DOWN. HERE'S WHAT WE KNOW ABOUTTesla stock declined after Elon Musk’s departure from the Trump administration due to a combination of reputational, operational, and market factors:
Political Backlash and Brand Damage. Musk’s close association with the Trump administration and his leadership of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) generated widespread protests and alienated many of Tesla’s traditional, progressive customer base. This political controversy led to a decline in consumer interest and unsettled investors who were concerned about the brand’s long-term appeal.
Sales and Profit Declines. Tesla faced falling sales and profits, with deliveries dropping in key markets like China and Europe, partly due to intensifying competition and partly due to the backlash against Musk’s political activities. The company reported a 13% year-over-year decline in deliveries, and operating profits fell as well.
Investor Concerns Over Leadership Focus. Investors grew worried that Musk’s political involvement was distracting him from Tesla’s core business at a critical time. There was a perception that the company was losing its competitive edge and that Musk’s attention was divided, which amplified concerns about Tesla’s future growth.
Market Correction After “Trump Bump”. Tesla’s stock had surged after Trump’s election, buoyed by expectations of favorable policies. However, as Musk’s political involvement became a liability and operational challenges mounted, the post-election gains evaporated, and the stock corrected sharply downward.
In summary, Musk’s controversial political role, combined with operational headwinds and shifting investor sentiment, triggered a significant decline in Tesla’s stock after his exit from the Trump administration.
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Best wishes
@PandorraResearch Team
6/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: $TSLA6/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA
Legging in slowly... again
- valuation is not for this post, i've put it out there last time
- after riding in many teslas in LVN (obviously not my first time) i was AMAZED at how many ubers were using FSD at my request and talking about how it's improved light years since the few versions ahead
- this is now a humanoid-focused company, i'm entirely convinced it will happen and of the three companies out there, only one is public
- and they're coming. given progress in AI (I'm so close to this)... we'll probably see them commercially in kitchens, old ppl homes etc. in a matter of years, at most. I'd guess we see a few out in the wild in two years...
- so while it's hard to wrap my head around the "valuation" in a car context... a trillion bucks for a company in the process of disrupting the entire global services industry, is too cheap.
- send it lower.
- i'm starting my LT position here and want it it lower.
V
Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Falls by 3.5%Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Falls by 3.5%
Yesterday, the share price of Tesla (TSLA) dropped by 3.5%, placing it among the five worst-performing stocks of the day in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). Since the peak on 29 May, the decline now totals nearly 10%.
Why Tesla (TSLA) Shares Are Falling
Among the bearish factors are:
→ A drop in car sales in Europe. Sales in Germany fell by 36% year-on-year in May.
→ Growing competition from China. May deliveries from Tesla’s Chinese factory were down 15% year-on-year.
→ Elon Musk’s criticism of the US President’s proposed government spending bill.
Media reports also suggest that Musk took offence at staffing decisions at NASA, while Trump is reportedly losing patience with Musk over his attacks on the spending bill.
A potential rift between Musk and Trump could have far-reaching consequences — including for TSLA shares.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock Chart
Six days ago, we:
→ Drew an ascending channel (shown in blue), noting that the upper boundary could pose a challenge to further gains;
→ Highlighted the $355–$375 zone (shown in purple) as a possible resistance area;
→ Suggested a correction scenario following a roughly 27% surge in TSLA’s stock price during May.
Since then, the price has dropped towards the median line of the ascending channel. If this fails to offer sufficient support, the correction may continue towards the lower boundary of the channel, which is reinforced by support around the psychological $300 level and former resistance at $290.
News related to the planned rollout of Tesla’s robotaxi trials could significantly impact TSLA’s price movements in June.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TESLA - Slava NikoleTesla stock market open on Easter Monday morning for the next few weeks ago so I'm not too concerned that you can use your own business you can get a ride for you to get a new phone yet but it can get it can get it can get a new car can be done in about the election of it I can be a
CUP AND HANDLE $TSLA TO $515 MINIMUMThe cup and handle is a bullish chart pattern commonly used by traders to spot potential buying opportunities. It features a rounded "cup" formation followed by a slight downward drift forming the "handle." This pattern typically signals a continuation of an upward trend once the handle completes its consolidation phase.
ROBOTAXI BOOM
BUY NOW NASDAQ:TSLL NASDAQ:TSLA
WILL IT HOLD THE LINE this time ?Hello ,
one of big boy players .
And my 30000 overview .
Yes I like to look far away to see whats is the haos about ........
Many many many !!!! learned that you dont play that one down ;) .... However charting can be helpfulll .
You in it ? You know why .....
Am I ?
NO .
Is there potential to Fly .. YES.....
What you see here is very simple aproach to charting using the most old simple aproach .
Can I make this complicated and get your head spin ? YES.
some fundamentals dont change .......
SUPPLY / DEMAND is one of them .
Here you can see how this price reponded to market conditions ,
Yes im talking about price at this poin only . (why) ( other metricks are out )
Deeper rabbit O >>>
ONLY one way is simply put this on Play mode and that would be the only one way to watch this develop .
This can deserve deeper brake down eventualy.
But I belive that this mode its great for the company volatility .
cheers !.
Any OPINIONS ?
LONG entry @ $316.05 | 09:55am + LONG exit @ $321.05 | 11:20amToday goes to show what happens when you follow structure, and let mat and probability take care of the outcome. An exceptional day, remember... consistent green days are a reflection of discipline, not luck.
Some more pertinent details re price action today. I hit an algo entry at 9:55, MM's did a hard shake out of the weak hands, dropped the price significantly but there was no strong bearish FVG even though price dropped 3 points which gave me conviction to hold the position which paid off very well. There was no significant short move and the price rallied to a weekly high.
Polyanonymous.
TSLA. SHORT @ 304. SHORT @ 295. LONG @ 284. LONG @ 273. INTRADAYOverview -
The economic calendar is light this week. The stocks previously have shown a trend of being affected a lot more by the news, compared to the economic data. Today, US-China are having talks regarding the trade. The volatility should come from the outcome of the trade discussion. We will not stay in the market for that long. We will only trade the predictable open and call it day.
INTRADAY PLAN -
1. If the stock rallies to 295 area and we see selling pressure. We instantly short the stock till 284. We take a partial out at 284, then observe the price action behavior. We can either sell rest of the position or, trail the stop loss to 273.
2. If the stock consolidates at the open, at 290. We wait for confirmation of selling strength and go short till 285 area. We sell all our position there.
3. If the stock drops to 284 right at the open, we wait to see which side is stronger. If the sellers are strong, we go short till 273. But if we buyers are strong we wait and do nothing. We let the price run higher and then come back. If buyers really are strong, then we should start seeing strength at 285-286 area or higher. Then we can go long.
TSLA. LONG @ 309. SHORT @ 330. PIVOT @ 318. INTRADAY 1. If stock doesn't break the 312 level in the pre-market and ends up rallying to 318, where we see a little selling strength. We wait. We let the price come down and wait for the buyers to make the following moves.
If the buyers step in at 316+, we go long till 341.
If the buyers step in at 309+, we go long till 330.
2. If the stock blows past 318 and directly rallies to the 330 area, we wait for the sellers to show themselves. If the sellers starting showing desperation in the 330 area, we go short, till 318.
3. If the stock opens, 309 support fails and the stock directly drops to the 300 zone. We wait for a good entry at 309 zone and go short from there till 295.
TSLA: $300 is an important numberOver the past 5 years, $300 has been a very important price point -- both in support and resistance. Only once have we converged with the 200 day at $300 mark, and that was when we were hitting it as resistance. We are now in a position to do the same from the position of support. I think a similar yet opposite pattern should unfold if we move to this range.
Outside all that, we continue to maintain a cup and handle pattern. We are also maintaining higher lows.
Bullish signals and patterns outweigh the bearish in my eyes.
Best of luck.