NIO trade ideas
Possible parabolic move on NIO!?🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
BTFD Buy the dip dont trip NIO Still has more appreciation in price before meeting market expectations by what analysts on wall street say. Trump win good for China as a trade deal already in place. Valuations are at extreme value-stock valuation levels based on earnings multiples. Prices went parabolic and overshoot in many but some are still budding. Some pullback is expected so buy the dip. Also, the finance governor in China didn't say he was not going to use the bazooka he just said he didn't have a specific plan, but still affirmed a "Bazooka" massive stimulus.
$NIO - Price Target $2.36, Short on Downtrend OPPORTUNITYDowntrend still intact. Short at the the top of downtrend for a max profit at $2.36 major support and at the bottom of channel.
NIO bullish breakout on high volume
Nio has broken the 5 month downtrend channel on high volume following good earnings. Next target is $5.65
NIO approaching cluster support 👁️❤️🔥trend support zone goes back to early 2023, we have seen some big bounces from it! also 5-6 dollar round numbers support to back it up. ladies and gentlemen, we call this cluster support!
a rally from 8.77-14.99-22.19 🎯 is possible from here!
Im loving the risk to reward, boost and follow for more.. thanks 💝
NIO - 1W - Descending ChannelThis week, China’s central bank (PBOC) introduced its most substantial stimulus since the pandemic, reducing interest rates and lowering the reserve requirement ratio.
This move injected roughly 1 trillion yuan ($142 billion) into the financial system.
Following the news, Chinese stocks surged, and NIO—a long-underestimated player—has started to gain momentum.
Technically, it’s outperforming the S&P 500 and approaching key resistance within its long-term descending channel.
NIO: After this huge recent pump, I decided to sell my entireAfter this huge recent pump, I decided to sell my entire position in NIO. Good luck to those still holding.
First daily resistance hit... for now...
Many other friends told me they're waiting for $10 to sell...
Nio’s Stock Soars 16% on $1.9 Billion Investment Deal Nio Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ), the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) giant, has once again made headlines as its U.S.-listed stock surged to double-digit gains, spurred by a significant investment announcement and renewed optimism in China's stock market. The stock climbed over 15% in premarket trading on Monday, marking its biggest jump in nearly five months. In this article, we’ll explore both the technical and fundamental drivers behind this surge, while also examining whether investors should proceed with optimism or caution.
The Strategic $1.9 Billion Investment
At the heart of Nio's stock rally is the news of a cash injection totaling RMB13.3 billion ($1.9 billion) from existing shareholders and strategic investors. This includes a mix of Nio's own cash and funds from key stakeholders such as Hefei Jianheng New Energy Automobile Investment Fund Partnership, Anhui Provincial Emerging Industry Investment Co., and CS Capital Co. These investors will contribute RMB3.3 billion in cash for new shares in Nio Holding Co., commonly known as Nio China. Meanwhile, Nio Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) will invest an additional RMB10 billion to bolster its China unit, although this will reduce its ownership stake to 88.3% from 92.1%.
This strategic investment is a major lifeline for Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ), which has been burning through cash and reported a Q2 2024 loss of RMB4.5 billion. Despite these losses, the company posted quarterly sales of RMB17.5 billion, surpassing expectations even amidst weakening demand in the EV market. Morgan Stanley analysts have pointed out that this new capital infusion will ease concerns around Nio’s liquidity, enhancing its near-term cash flow and solidifying its balance sheet.
Nio’s ability to attract investment from strategic players familiar with the Chinese EV landscape, such as Hefei Jianheng and Anhui Provincial Emerging Industry Investment, is notable. These entities were part of a $1 billion investment deal in 2020 that played a key role in alleviating cash flow concerns at the time. Given the fierce competition in China’s EV sector and the pressures from overseas tariffs, this cash injection provides Nio with the necessary fuel to continue its R&D investments in battery-swapping technology, charging infrastructure, and next-generation EV technology.
Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has also been proactive in securing additional future funding. The company retains the option to invest up to RMB20 billion in Nio China by the end of 2025, further demonstrating its commitment to maintaining a dominant position in the rapidly evolving EV market.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Nio’s recent price action has been nothing short of impressive. Monday’s 16% premarket surge catapulted the stock to new highs, defying expectations that the stock had already entered overbought territory. As of Friday, Nio’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 70.85, a level that typically signals overbought conditions. Despite this, the stock continued to rise sharply following the investment news, raising eyebrows among investors.
Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has been trading in oversold territory for over five months, with its stock price battered by a mix of macroeconomic headwinds, slowing demand, and stiff competition within the EV space. Yet, the stock’s resurgence is now riding high on renewed optimism, especially given the company’s strengthened balance sheet and the positive reception of its strategic partnerships.
Nio’s key moving averages reflect a continued bullish trend, with the stock trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The surge in price has broken through several resistance levels, creating a fresh wave of momentum. However, investors should remain cautious given the stock’s RSI and the broader context of the market.
While Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) is currently riding high, key indexes like the NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 were not faring well in early Monday trading. This disconnect between Nio’s performance and broader market trends could signal that a correction may be on the horizon. The stock's support pivot at $5.64 remains a critical level to watch, and any negative developments—such as missed earnings or macroeconomic shifts—could see Nio retreat toward this level.
Industry Outlook: China’s EV Market and Nio’s Competitive Edge
Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has consistently focused on differentiating itself within China’s highly competitive EV market by investing in advanced technologies like battery swapping and autonomous driving. The company’s robust R&D spending, paired with its strategic partnerships, places it in a strong position to benefit from China’s continued push towards electrification.
China remains one of the world’s largest EV markets, with significant government support driving growth across the sector. However, Nio faces challenges from both domestic competitors, such as BYD and XPeng, and international giants like Tesla. The intense competition and shifting consumer preferences mean that Nio must continue innovating to retain its market share.
Nio’s long-term prospects are further bolstered by its multi-brand strategy and ambitions to expand beyond China. The company has set its sights on penetrating broader markets and leveraging its premium EV offerings through brands like ONVO. This diversified approach could be instrumental in driving sustainable growth, even as competition intensifies.
Conclusion: A Balanced Opportunity with Risks to Consider
Nio’s recent investment announcement and subsequent stock surge have given investors a reason to cheer, but the road ahead is not without risks. The company has taken significant steps to improve its balance sheet and strengthen its competitive position in the Chinese EV market. The strategic investments from key players underscore Nio’s leadership in the sector and provide much-needed cash for its ambitious growth plans.
On the technical side, while the stock’s recent surge has been impressive, the overbought conditions reflected by its RSI suggest that a pullback could be imminent. Investors should remain vigilant, especially in light of broader market uncertainty.
For long-term investors, Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) offers a compelling growth story, backed by innovation, strategic partnerships, and strong government support. However, in the short term, it may be wise to wait for a potential cooldown before making any new investments.
Nio’s journey in the EV space is far from over, and as it navigates both challenges and opportunities, it remains one of the most intriguing players to watch in the global electric vehicle market.
Looking Bullish on NIO immediately! A potential huge move soon!🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
ResistanceWe have reached a falling trend line now. The level is also the top since June. As we opened lower today and the momentum is declining this may mean that the range which we entered in March may not be exceeded.
NIO - NIO Inc.NIO, Inc. (China) is a holding company which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles. Its products include the EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. It provides users with home charging, power express valet services, and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Li Bin and Qin Li Hong in November 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.
NIO - Wave 5 In Wave 1 Or ANIO stock has completed the first 5 waves of the current corrective wave and is currently trading in wave 5 of wave 1, confirming the strength of the medium-term trend. However, we believe it is approaching a corrective wave in the short term, so caution is advised regarding the levels mentioned in the report for traders. As for long- and medium-term investors, there is still an opportunity to continue the upward waves after completing the internal structure of the expected corrective wave following the completion of the first wave.
NIO bullishNio up 7% premarket to break this trendline. Bullish with the rest of China names. Cheap stock, good for small accounts.
Nio $7.00 ?…….. Not if but when.I think this chart speaks for itself.
The platform is telling me, my analysis is too short to print so I have to think of something else to say.
Best I can do is say Onvo.
NIO (NIO): 55% Increase but Bearish Trends Still LoomA while back, we analyzed NIO, and recently, we’ve seen a considerable 55% increase in the stock price. However, despite this rise, nothing truly convinces us that this bearish trend has ended or that a sustainable upward movement is underway.
The critical factor here is that none of the key levels that need to be breached for a trend reversal have been crossed. Specifically, we’re looking at the current Wave ((iv)) level around $6.04. If this level isn’t breached, it’s likely that we could see further declines, possibly dipping into the $2.99 range—or even lower, potentially as far as $1. It may seem dramatic, but considering NIO has already dropped up to 62% since January, repeating such a decline isn’t out of the question.
In conclusion, the market remains quite weak, and we’re still cautious about the possibility of more significant setbacks. Always remember, it’s okay to stay on the sidelines and not invest in everything that catches your eye. 🤝
NIO coming back to life?NIO has been down trending for years it looks like it is going to start up trending now.It needs to break my trend line.
NIO: A Dangerous Signal!On the daily chart (left side):
NIO has broken above the previous resistance level of $4.92 with strong momentum, signaling a bullish move. This breakout occurred with a large bullish candle, suggesting strong buying pressure.
The price is now approaching a significant resistance level at $5.63. It has attempted to test this level, but so far has not successfully broken through.
The 21-day EMA (blue line) is trending upward, supporting the recent bullish momentum. As long as the price remains above the EMA, the bullish trend may remain intact.
A pullback from the $5.63 level could occur, and the $4.92 level might act as support if the price retraces.
On the hourly chart (right side):
There is a clear ascending trendline (purple line) supporting the price from its recent rise. This trendline is closely aligned with the 21-hour EMA, further reinforcing the short-term bullish bias.
NIO is consolidating just below the resistance at $5.63, and the price is forming higher lows, indicating that buyers are still in control.
If NIO breaks above $5.63, it could trigger another bullish leg higher. However, if the price breaks below the trendline, closing below this support area on the daily chart, it may signal a potential short-term reversal or deeper correction. In tis case, the $4.92 will be our next target, as mentioned above.
Overall, the next critical point to watch is whether the price can decisively break above $5.63. A failure to break could lead to a pullback, while a breakout would likely extend the bullish trend. Let's see how it'll close today.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
NIO Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold the NIO`s speculative bubble:
bubble
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NIO prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 4usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-6,
for a premium of approximately $0.24.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NIO would skyrocket?The price was moving inside the descending channel for more than 3 years, where the stock has lost around 95% since ATH. Currently, price has meet the demand zone, and will accumulate between it and closest resistance (5,7-6$ per share) for a while.
Expect the price to break and retest the resistance zone soon.
Potential countable target is 4x-10x till last ATH.
Taking this as an investment opportunity.
DYOR
NIO: Rocket-like!The NIO share price shot up resolutely last week and recorded a peak gain of more than 38%. This development is in line with our primary expectation and is attributable to the blue wave (iii). We now expect this bullish momentum to continue so that the resistance at $7.02 can be broken. Following the high, we expect a small interim correction before a further increase completes the magenta wave (i). However, we must continue to keep an eye on our 40% probable alternative scenario, which is waiting to be deployed at the $3.61 support level. This scenario calls for a lower low of the beige-colored wave alt. II.
Has NIO Bottomed Out?NIO Inc. has recently attracted attention with a powerful rally following the release of its Q2 2024 results, leading traders to wonder if the electric vehicle giant has finally bottomed out. With a surge in deliveries and a marked improvement in financial performance, combined with changing technical signals, NIO’s stock may be at a pivotal point.
Why Last Week’s Earnings Were So Well Received
NIO’s Q2 2024 earnings report was a turning point for the company, highlighting significant growth across several key metrics…
The company delivered a record 57,373 vehicles, representing a year-over-year increase of 143.9%, with total revenues growing 98.9% YoY to reach RMB 17.45 billion. Vehicle margins surged to 12.2%, a dramatic improvement from 6.2% in Q2 2023, thanks to cost optimisation and increasing market demand for NIO’s premium electric sedans and SUVs. Gross profit saw a massive jump, marking a strong recovery from previous quarters. NIO’s improved financials and operational efficiency signalled to investors that the company is regaining its footing after a challenging year.
Additionally, NIO's advancements in technology, such as the development of in-house intelligent driving chips and full-domain vehicle operating systems, positioned the company as a leader in EV innovation. Coupled with strategic initiatives like the “Power Up Counties” plan and the launch of the ONVO brand, these developments painted a promising future, explaining why investors responded positively to the earnings.
NIO’s Technical Landscape: Has the Stock Bottomed Out?
From a technical perspective, NIO’s share price has been locked in a long-term downtrend throughout 2024, with the 50-day moving average (MA) consistently trailing below the 200-day MA. However, recent price action suggests a potential shift in momentum. In August 2024, NIO's stock found key support at the April lows, which acted as a springboard for a sharp rally following the Q2 earnings release.
This surge in share price was accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, a sign that buyers were stepping in. The rally pushed NIO’s stock above its 50-day MA and toward its 200-day MA, signalling a short-term change in momentum. For traders, the key question is whether this momentum is sustainable.
The next consolidation phase will be crucial in determining if NIO has truly bottomed out:
• If the stock undergoes a shallow pullback and consolidates near its recent highs, this would suggest accumulation, implying that investors are preparing for another leg higher.
• Alternatively, the formation of exhaustive candles, such as long-tailed pin bars, or a sharp pullback with equal momentum to the recent surge, would signal that NIO has once again succumbed to its long-term downtrend.
NIO Daily Candle Chart: Trend and Volume Analysis
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
For long-term investors, a more decisive indicator of a trend reversal would be NIO breaking through the May 2024 swing highs. If the stock successfully clears this resistance, it could confirm a double-bottom pattern, traditionally viewed as a strong bullish reversal signal. Should this pattern complete, traders can use traditional technical targets to forecast further upside potential.
NIO Daily Candle Chart: Double Bottom
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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Taking long after pullback* RSI heavily overbought 4h tf
* VOLUME starting to cool off
* Pullback after impulse!
