O87 trade ideas
If Minor Wave (B) Complete, (C) Will Equal (A) at $595 Cash SpotGold topped August 2011 completing an intermediate level 5 way advance ending at 1,923. It has been correcting ever since in intermediate (Green) (A)(B)(C) with (A) in 5 minor waves and (B) in 3 minor waves (with red B as a running triangle which I believe was followed by a quick thrust C that just finished at yesterday's high of $1,454).
Minor wave (B), where red A equals red C at $1,345 (134.5 in GLD), is just shy of a 50% retracement of minor wave (A). So its a good stopping point.
The price range of (C) should most likely equal the price change of (A). That would give the next minor 5 wave segment, (C), a price target of $595 in the cash market or $59.5 for GLD.
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GDL - Wedge formation Long setup Gold itself is setting up as flag with potential target of 1520 with weekly chart showing a wedge and target of 1610.
GLD (NEW) - Another way to play the move on gold. Possible entry if gold breaks 1431 or break of 135 on GLD. Stop signal 130.43, Target 145.83. Could Consider October 137 calls currently 3.13.
GLD Bugs are back!With the devaluation of currencies globally and negative interest rates plaguing over 25% of sovereign government interest rates, Gold has come back in favor breaking their resistance of $129.00. Broad indexes are at all time highs and fear of devaluing currencies will create a run for a "store of value" trade which can also be perpetuated by a "fear trade" where Gold performs historically well. $143, then $154, and finally can test $172. We'll see.
Bull Flag on GLD or GoldWe seemed to break out above the flag today after the FED confirmed rate cut which is bullish for Gold. The volume on this bull flag is perfect, you can see volume was moving higher on the flag pole, then dropped on the flagging, and is now moving up on the flag pole up. Confirmation is above $135 my measured target is $140.22. From here that is roughly a 5% gain and the last move up took place over only 6 days. If you want to trade this set stop at $131.75 which is roughly 1% downside risk give this trade a 5:1 risk reward ratio.