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S27 trade ideas

SPY $545 Downtrend ContinuesSymbol: SPY Timeframe: 30-minute chart (for your analysis) Bias: Short (after the anticipated bounce) Prediction: I anticipate a short-term bounce in SPY from Friday's sell-off towards the upper level of the weekly regression channel, around 560. I plan to look for a short entry at this level, expecting the price to then continue its downtrend towards the monthly regression channel support around 545. Analysis: Weekly Trend Channel (Blue Double Lines): The blue double lines on my chart represent a weekly trend channel for SPY. This channel was determined by performing a linear regression on the price action over the past week. The upper and lower boundaries of the channel are set at two standard deviations away from this linear regression line. This method helps to identify the statistically probable range within which the price is likely to trade over the weekly timeframe. Monthly Trend Channel (Yellow Double Lines): Similarly, the yellow double lines indicate a monthly trend channel. This channel is derived from a linear regression of SPY's price action over the past month, with the boundaries set at two standard deviations. I expect SPY to eventually find support within this monthly channel, with the lower boundary currently around the 545 level. This is my primary downside target. Recent Price Action and Anticipated Bounce: The aggressive 2% downtrend on Friday likely pushed SPY towards the lower end of the weekly channel, potentially creating oversold conditions in the short term. I am anticipating a bounce from this sell-off towards the upper boundary of the weekly channel, which I estimate to be around 560. This level is expected to act as resistance. Short Entry Opportunity: I will be closely watching price action around the 560 level, which coincides with the upper boundary of the weekly regression channel. If I observe signs of rejection or bearish confirmation at this resistance, I will look to enter a short position. Contributing Factors: President Trump's aggressive tariff policies continue to contribute to market uncertainty and the overall bearish sentiment, supporting the technical outlook for further downside. Conclusion: I am predicting a short-term bounce in SPY to approximately 560, which aligns with the upper level of the weekly regression channel. I will be looking for a short entry at this level with the expectation of a subsequent move down towards the monthly regression channel support around 545. This strategy aims to capitalize on a potential retracement within the established downtrend, guided by regression-based trend channels and influenced by fundamental concerns regarding tariff policies. Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
AMEX:SPYShort
by NonZeroChance
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-1-25 : Temp Bottom PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to find temporary support near recent lows or a bit lower. I'm not expecting much in terms of price trending today. I do believe the downward price trend will continue today with the SPY attempting to move down to the 548-550 level trying to find support. The QQQ will likely attempt to move downward toward the 458-460 level trying to find the support/base/bottom level today. Gold and Silver are in a moderate consolidation phase that I believe is transitioning through a Flag-Trend-Flag-Trend-Flag-Trend type of phase. Ultimately, the trend will continue to push higher through this phase as metals have moved into the broad Expansion phase. This phase should see gold attempt to move above $4500+ before the end of May/June 2025. BTCUSD is rolling within the 0.382 to 0.618 Fibonacci price levels related to the last price swing. I see this middle Fib level and the "battle ground" for price. I expect price to stall, consolidate, and roll around between these levels trying to establish a new trend. Thus, I believe BTCUSD will move downward, attempting to move back down to the $78,000 level. Nothing has really changed in my analysis except that we are experiencing a 48-96 hour consolidation phase before we move back into big trending. Play smart. Position your trades so that you can profit from this rolling price trend and prepare for the bigger price move downward (targeting the bigger base/bottom near April 15, 2025). Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
What Is the Difference Between ETFs and Index Funds?What Is the Difference Between ETFs and Index Funds? ETFs and index funds are designed to provide access to diversified portfolios of assets, often tracking the performance of a specific market index. But while they may appear similar at first glance, they have distinct characteristics that cater to different types of investors and strategies. This article breaks down the key differences between ETFs vs index funds, explores how they work, and explains why traders and investors might choose one over the other. What Are ETFs? Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are investment vehicles that trade on stock exchanges, much like individual shares. They’re structured to replicate the performance of a particular benchmark, sector, commodity, or a combination of asset classes. What sets ETFs apart is their flexibility. Traders and investors buy and sell ETFs throughout the trading day at market prices. This makes them particularly appealing to active traders who value liquidity and the ability to react quickly to price movements. Another key advantage is their typically low cost. Most ETFs are passively managed, meaning they aim to replicate a benchmark rather than beat it. This reduces management fees, making ETFs a cost-effective choice compared to actively managed offerings. ETFs also offer diversification in a single transaction. By trading one ETF, investors can gain exposure to hundreds or even thousands of underlying securities. This makes them a popular choice for spreading risk across multiple assets. What Are Index Funds? Index funds are investment vehicles designed to mirror the performance of a specific index, like the FTSE 100 or the S&P 500. An index fund provides broad exposure by holding a portfolio of assets that closely matches the composition of the benchmark it tracks. An index vehicle tracking the S&P 500 would invest in the 500 largest companies in the US, in the same proportions as the index. This passive strategy keeps costs low, as there’s no need for active management or frequent trading decisions. So, how is an index fund different from an exchange-traded fund? The index fund can take the form of either an ETF or a mutual fund; for instance, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, or SPY, is an index fund. Mutual fund versions of index funds are traded at the end-of-day net asset value (NAV), while ETF versions are bought and sold throughout the trading day like individual shares. This distinction is important for traders considering factors like liquidity and pricing flexibility. Low-cost index funds are popular for their relative simplicity compared to some other financial instruments, cost efficiency, and diversification. By investing in a single product, investors can gain exposure to an entire market, reducing the need for extensive research or active management. Is an ETF an index fund? Not necessarily. An ETF can be an index fund if it tracks an index, but ETFs can also track different sectors, assets, or geographies without being one. Differences Between ETFs and Index Funds ETFs and index funds share a common purpose: to track the performance of an underlying benchmark. However, the debate of ETFs vs mutual funds vs index funds often comes down to trading mechanisms and investment strategies, which can influence their suitability for different types of traders and investors. Trading Mechanism One of the most noticeable differences between ETFs vs index funds is how they’re traded. ETFs trade on stock exchanges, allowing them to be bought and sold throughout the trading day at market prices. This means their value fluctuates based on demand, similar to individual shares. In contrast, mutual fund indices are priced and traded only once a day, at the net asset value (NAV) calculated after markets close. Variety ETFs encompass diverse assets like stocks, bonds, and commodities, covering sectors, regions, or mixed asset classes. Index funds, on the other hand, only track a specific market index, like the S&P 500, FTSE 100, or Nasdaq 100. Cost Structure Both ETFs and mutual fund indices are known for low fees, but there are nuances. ETFs typically have slightly lower expense ratios, as they incur fewer administrative costs. However, trading ETFs may involve brokerage fees or bid-ask spreads, which can add up for frequent traders. Mutual fund vehicles often require no trading fees but may impose a minimum investment amount. Tax Efficiency ETFs tend to be more tax-efficient than mutual fund indices. This is due to how they handle capital gains. ETFs generally use an “in-kind” redemption process, which minimises taxable events. Mutual fund index funds, on the other hand, may trigger taxable capital gains distributions, even if you haven’t sold your shares. Liquidity and Accessibility ETFs can be bought in small quantities, often for the price of a single share, making them more accessible to retail investors. Mutual fund vehicles may require higher minimum investments, which could limit access for some investors. Additionally, ETFs offer instant trade execution, while mutual vehicles require you to wait until the end of the trading day to complete transactions. ETF CFD Trading ETF CFD (Contract for Difference) trading is a versatile way to speculate on the price movements of ETFs without actually owning the underlying assets. When trading ETF CFDs, you’re entering into an agreement with a broker to exchange the price difference of an ETF between the time the position is opened and closed. Unlike traditional ETF investing, where you purchase shares on an exchange, CFD trading allows you to take positions on price movements—whether upwards or downwards. Leverage and Lower Capital Requirements One major advantage of ETF CFD trading is leverage. With CFDs, you only need to put down a fraction of the trade’s total value as margin, allowing you to control larger positions with less capital. However, leverage amplifies both potential gains and losses, so careful risk management is essential. Potential Short-Term Opportunities ETF CFDs add a layer of flexibility for traders exploring the difference between ETFs, mutual funds, and index funds by focusing on short-term speculation rather than long-term holding. Traders can react quickly to news, economic events, or trends without the constraints of traditional ETF investing, such as settlement times or the need to meet minimum investment requirements. Since ETF CFDs can be traded with intraday precision, they allow traders to capitalise on smaller price movements. A Complement to Long-Term Investing For those who already invest in traditional ETFs or indices, ETF CFD trading can serve as a complementary strategy. While long-term investments focus on gradual wealth-building, CFDs enable active traders to seize potential short-term opportunities, hedge against risks, or diversify their trading activities. Flexibility Across Markets With ETF CFDs, traders gain access to a wide range of markets, from equity indices to commodities and sectors. This diversity allows for tailored trading strategies that align with market conditions or specific interests, such as tech or energy ETFs. Uses for ETFs and Index Funds The differences between index funds and ETFs mean they play distinct but complementary roles in financial markets, offering tools for various investment and trading strategies. Whether focusing on long-term goals or seeking potential short-term opportunities, these products provide flexibility and diversification. Portfolio Diversification Both are popular for spreading risk across a broad range of assets. For example, instead of buying shares in individual companies, a single investment in an ETF tracking the S&P 500 provides exposure to hundreds of large US firms. This diversification may help reduce the impact of poor performance of any single asset. Cost-Effective Market Exposure Both types offer relatively low-cost access to markets. Passive management strategies mean lower fees compared to actively managed products, making them efficient choices for building portfolios or gaining exposure to specific sectors, regions, or asset classes. Tactical Market Moves ETFs, with their intraday trading capability, are particularly suited to tactical adjustments. For instance, a trader looking to quickly increase exposure to the tech sector might buy a technology-focused ETF, while potentially reducing risk by selling it as conditions change. Long-Term Wealth Building Index funds, particularly in their mutual fund format, are designed for patient investors. By tracking broad indices with minimal turnover, they offer a way to potentially accumulate wealth over time, making them popular instruments for retirement savings or other long-term objectives. How to Choose Between Index Funds vs ETFs Choosing between an index fund vs ETF depends on your trading style, investment goals, and how you plan to engage with the markets. While both offer relatively cost-effective access to diverse portfolios, your choice will hinge on a few key factors. - Trading Flexibility: ETFs are popular among active traders looking for potential intraday opportunities. Their ability to trade throughout the day allows for precision and quick responses to market changes. Index funds, whether ETFs or mutual products, are usually chosen by long-term investors who are less concerned about daily price movements. - Fees and Costs: While both options are low-cost, ETFs often have slightly lower expense ratios but may incur trading fees or bid-ask spreads. Mutual fund products typically skip trading fees but may have higher management costs or minimum investment requirements. - Tax Considerations: ETFs often provide better tax efficiency due to their structure, particularly when compared to mutual fund indices. For investors concerned about capital gains distributions, this could be a deciding factor. - Strategy: If you’re targeting specific themes, sectors, or commodities, ETFs that aren’t tied to an index can provide unique exposure. For broad, passive market tracking, index funds—whether ETFs or mutual funds—offer simplicity and consistency. The Bottom Line ETFs and index funds are powerful instruments for traders and investors, each with unique strengths suited to different strategies. Whether you’re focused on long-term growth or short-term price moves, understanding their differences is key. For those looking to trade ETFs with flexibility, ETF CFDs offer a dynamic option. Open an FXOpen account today to access a range of ETF CFDs and start exploring potential trading opportunities with competitive costs and four advanced trading platforms. FAQ What Is an Index Fund? An index fund is an investment vehicle designed to replicate the performance of a specific market index, such as the S&P 500 or FTSE 100. It achieves this by holding the same securities as the index in similar proportions. These vehicles can be either mutual funds or ETFs, offering investors broad market exposure and low costs through passive management. What Is the Difference Between an ETF and an Index Fund? An ETF trades like a stock on an exchange throughout the day, with prices fluctuating based on market demand. They track various assets across different sectors, markets, and asset classes. Index funds track indices, like the S&P 500 or FTSE 100, and can be traded as an ETF or mutual fund. What Is Better, an S&P 500 ETF or Mutual Fund? The choice depends on your needs. ETFs offer intraday trading, lower fees, and no minimum investment, making them popular among those who look for flexibility. Mutual funds often waive trading costs and are chosen by long-term investors comfortable with end-of-day pricing. Are ETFs as Safe as Index Funds? ETFs and index funds carry similar risks since both track market performance. So-called safety depends on the underlying assets, overall conditions, and your investment strategy, not the type itself. What Is the Difference Between a Mutual Fund and an Index Fund? A mutual fund is a broad investment vehicle managed actively or passively, while an index fund is a type of mutual fund or ETF specifically designed to replicate an index. What Are Index Funds vs Equity Funds? Index funds are designed to track the performance of an index. Equity funds, on the other hand, focus on stocks and can be actively or passively managed. While all index funds are equity funds, not all equity funds track indices. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by FXOpen
1
The Greatest Opportunity of Your Life : Answering QuestionsThis video is an answer to Luck264's question about potential price rotation. I go into much more details because I want to highlight the need to keep price action in perspective related to overall (broader) and more immediate (shorter-term) trends. Additionally, I try to highlight what I've been trying to tell all of you over the past 3+ years... The next 3-%+ years are the GREATEST OPPORTUNITY OF YOUR LIFE. You can't even imagine the potential for gains unless I try to draw it out for you. So, here you go. This video highlights why price is the ultimate indicator and why my research/data is superior to many other types of analysis. My data is factual, process-based, and results in A or B outcomes. I don't mess around with too many indicators because I find them confusing at times. Price tells me everything I need to know - learn what I do to improve your trading. Hope you enjoy this video. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
SPY - Macro-Market Overview and what the algorithms are sayingCurrently we are being guided by a strong selling teal on the LTF but we must keep in mind the HTF algorithms of red and white (which are bullish liquidity builders). Right now, we need to see who wins out in this fight between teal and red - if we break red and prove teal guidance, we are definitively in strong selling and can easily make our way toward the HTF white at the low $500's. As always, let the algorithms guide you! Happy Trading :)
AMEX:SPY
by ReigningTrades
2
SPY Set To Grow! BUY! My dear friends, SPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 555.80 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 569.99 Recommended Stop Loss - 549.79 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYLong
by AnabelSignals
1
$SPY Short position.To add context, I am an average joe in his 20's who graduated high school with a 1.6 GPA.. Prior to my current employment at a financial institution, I worked as a gas station clerk. I am not someone who sees himself as a genius, but I am somebody who identifies patterns not only in people, but charts as well. I've worked for a bank on the credit card side coming up on 5 years. Day in day out, people are struggling to keep up with their credit card payments. 750-830 FICOs struggling to keep up with bills. Keep in mind, I only work with what we deem our 'high value', cliental. If our card holders who we deem to be good or great consumers are struggling to keep up, I can only imagine what it looks like for those who don't qualify to get to my department (which is a rather big pool of people). This thesis is centered around a possible correction in the short term, that may lead to a long-term reset based off of 4 things: human behavior, Federal Reserve Data, inflation, and credit. The market as we know it has been propped on lies, fraud, and negligence. This is not a political post, but if you look at Federal Reserve Reports through FOMC under the previous administration, over 48% of job reports specifically, were revised downwards. During the duration of March of 2021 to September of 2024, approximately 808,000 jobs were "added", to the economy. One can make the argument that these numbers were there to, 'fluff, reportings to hide one of the worst economies in history. The Dollar has been a concept and an asset since 1785. Since 2020, we've printed over 60% of all dollars circulating. Over 200 years and it only took the U.S. a little under 5 years to print over 60% of all U.S. currency circulating. The inflation never left; it was hidden by false or fraudulent data. Americans have been squeezed from their hard-earned dollar for the last 4 years, between higher interest rates, higher inflation and cost of living. Remember how I mentioned I work for a bank on the credit card side? Minimal payments, easily $6500 dollar balances on average, being carried month to month between 24-27% APR. Americans DO not have money. Over the last month, one of the most common statements I've heard is, "The only way I can pay this off is I cash out on assets.". Delinquencies are sky rocketing to levels not seen since '07 - '08. People are slowly getting the same thought. The first week of April in my opinion is do or die. Trump is set to announce new tariffs as of April 2nd. If Trump decides to really lay down the tariffs and kick off a real trade war, markets will react in a manner of uncertainty. If in that same week, the Federal Reserve forecasts a lower GDP, a higher CPI, a decrease in forecast in employment, that could be the kick that takes the stool out from under the market. If you've made it this far, thank you for taking the time to consider my first publication. -ScG
AMEX:SPYShort
by ScG462
5
SPY: Breakdown with Strong Momentum – Key Targets Ahead 📉 Overview: The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has broken through a key support level with strong downward momentum. This bearish move suggests further downside potential, with key targets identified below. 🔍 Technical Analysis: Price has decisively broken below a key support zone with strong momentum, indicating a potential continuation to the downside. 1st Target: Around $537.75, which aligns with the yearly mid-level support. 2nd Target: Around $510.27, which coincides with the 6-month low level. Momentum indicators (Neon Momentum Waves) are trending downward, supporting bearish sentiment. Long-Term Support: The yearly low at $466.43 remains a major downside level to watch if bearish pressure intensifies. 🚨 Trading Plan: 📌 Bearish Bias – Look for potential short entries on pullbacks towards the broken support level, now acting as resistance. 📌 Stop Loss: Consider placing stops above the breakdown level (~$560) to mitigate risk. 📌 Profit Targets: First target: $537.75 Second target: $510.27 📊 Risk Management: Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators to confirm the bearish move. If price reclaims the broken support level, reconsider the short thesis. 📢 Conclusion: SPY is showing strong bearish momentum after breaking key support. If the trend continues, the price may reach the identified targets. Traders should monitor price action and momentum signals for confirmation. ⚠ Disclaimer: I'm not a financial expert—just sharing my thoughts based on my analysis. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly. Do you agree with this outlook? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀📉 #SPY #Trading #StockMarket #Bearish #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #Momentum #NotFinancialAdvice
AMEX:SPYShort
by Brian_Heady
2
SPY Price Projection: Mid-2025 TargetRevealing Market Trends: Logarithmic Regression Analysis Indicates Bullish Path for SPY In the ever-evolving realm of financial analysis, the search for reliable predictions remains ongoing. Logarithmic scale regression analysis, coupled with potent indicators, has emerged as a promising tool for discerning trends, particularly regarding assets like the SPY. This analysis delves into the utilization of logarithmic scale regression alongside two robust indicators, offering insights into the potential trajectory of the SPY's price movement. It's essential to note that the interpretations and predictions presented are based on my analysis alone and should not be construed as financial advice. As with any market analysis, uncertainties persist, and actual outcomes may diverge from projections. Logarithmic scale regression accounts for the exponential nature of price movements, providing a nuanced perspective on long-term trends. When combined with indicators such as moving averages or momentum oscillators, the analysis gains depth, revealing not only the direction but also the strength of the trend. After meticulous examination of historical data and the application of analytical tools, our analysis suggests a bullish trajectory for the SPY, with a projected price nearing 620 EUR by mid-2025. This projection implies a significant uptrend from the current date, with a potential increase of approximately 20% over the specified timeframe. However, it's crucial to approach such forecasts with caution, recognizing the inherent risks associated with financial markets. While our analysis indicates a positive outlook, market conditions can change rapidly, leading to deviations from expected trends. In summary, logarithmic scale regression analysis, supported by robust indicators, offers valuable insights into market trends and potential price movements. While our analysis suggests a bullish sentiment for the SPY, investors should conduct thorough research and seek professional advice before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: The analysis provided is based on personal interpretation and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in financial markets carries risks, and actual outcomes may differ. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making investment decisions.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Julien_Eche
4
$SPY #RisingWedge #BreakDOWN #ReTest #RecessionI highlighted the potential topping formation that could for especially if we see a rejection around 598-601 on XMas EVE via #XMasAlert. This morning I am seeing signs of momentum wearing off PLUS what looks like a #BreakDOWN-ReTEST of a rising wedge look to the AMEX:SPY , check my TSLA to 420.69 Chart for conceptualization of this break out BELOW; In my post 2 days ago () I mentioned Strikes TBD. Well here are my favorites; SPY 560P 3.21 (Bigger Risk Reward) SPY 600P 3.21 (Essentially ATM Short w some Leverage) -Prophecies PS; 1) "I LOVE GOLD" - Fat BastarD 2) DONT OVER LOOK GOLD SAFETY HAVEN VIA CRYPTOCAP:BTC Headwinds? 3) And Don't Overlook NASDAQ:TSLA momentum... TO UPSIDE STILL (500Cs will be a play at somepoint this year #StayTuned)
AMEX:SPYShort
by Prophecies_R_Us
4
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 1 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 2 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first, then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
Spy Road To $544 Target HIT Now WhatWell we finally hit our target a lot of us went heavy in shorts right before the bell rang in many Etf's SPY QQQ Tsla with massive amounts of money With Expirations Expiring 4/3 4/5 and also 2weeks out.... Don't Ever Miss Another Move in the stock market again stay up to date With JoeWtrades.... So I guess everyone wants to know what's next Bear Market Bull Market is the the bottom in ext.... Nope this is not the bottom, i already have a plan on what's going to happen price will continue to fall Friday Over the Weekend Resulting in a possible Dead Cat Bounce come Tuesday in my opinion back to $550ish, Wait what did you say yes $dead cat bounce to $550ish in the next few days possibly Tuesday so this means this is not the bottom JoeWtrades , Nope in my opinion its not Like and follow to see in my opinion on where price goes, if you need assistance and would like to take your trading and scalping to the next level You know what to do.... As Always safe trades and good luck
AMEX:SPYShort
by JoeWtrades
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-26-25 : Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat-Down pattern for the SPY/QQQ suggests the markets will consolidate in a sideways channel, generally drifting downward. As I've been warning all of you for the past month+, the market will likely roll over into a topping formation over the next few days, then start an aggressive downward trend targeting $525-535 on the SPY. Today's video covers some details related to my expectations and how traders can prepare for the bigger moves I see pending. Gold and Silver are poised for a potentially BIG BREAKOUT move to the upside. And I still believe Gold/Silver are going to rally another 15-20% within the next 30-45 days. Bitcoin should follow the SPY/QQQ into a "rollover top" type of pattern then shift into a downward price trend over the next few days. Everything is following my predictions/expectations almost perfectly. Now, we try to profit from some of these big moves. Go get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
12
SPY at a Pivotal Zone – Bounce or Breakdown? 🧠 Market Structure + Price Action (1H) * Trend: Downtrend confirmed. Recent Break of Structure (BOS) followed a Change of Character (CHoCH) from bulls to bears. * Bearish momentum intensified after SPY broke support near 570.90, then plummeted through 564.85 and 558.11 key demand levels. * Current price: 554.15 — bouncing slightly within a local demand/reaction box, but still under selling pressure. * Price is now consolidating below structure, but inside a potential reaction zone (possible dead cat bounce or minor retracement). 🔍 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) * CHoCH & BOS align with institutional exit behavior. The BOS confirms bearish intent. * SPY has entered a minor demand zone, but hasn’t reclaimed any bullish market structure yet. * If it breaks below 549.68, the next support zone opens toward the 540s. 🔁 Indicators MACD: * MACD is starting to curve up, with histogram showing decreasing red momentum – a potential bounce brewing. Stoch RSI: * Oversold condition with both lines crossing upward — supports a short-term relief rally or retracement. 🔥 GEX & Options Sentiment Analysis * IVR: 37.8 (Moderate); IVx Avg: 22.6 * Put Positioning: Very high at 71% — bears are loaded up. * GEX Sentiment: * GEX is red 🔴🔴🔴 — strong gamma exposure to puts, favoring downward pressure. * Highest negative NETGEX / PUT Support at 555.83, which is just above current price — this acts as a magnet and pivot. * If SPY stays below this level, dealer hedging accelerates selling. * Major Put Walls at: * 545: GEX8 at -22% * 544-540: Very deep bearish gamma — potential acceleration if we break lower. * Call Resistance (Gamma Wall): * 573 → 577 → 580 zone = Gamma ceiling. * Dealers short calls here and hedge by selling, which adds resistance on rallies. ⚖️ Trade Scenarios 🐂 Bullish Reversal Setup: * Trigger: Break & close above 555.83 with volume. * Target: 558.11 → 564.85 * Invalidation: Below 549.68 * Risk/Reward: Favorable if volume confirms. 🐻 Bearish Continuation Setup: * Trigger: Break below 549.68 with follow-through. * Target: 545 → 540 zone (GEX & PUT walls) * Stop-Loss: Above 555.83 or structure retest * Confluence: GEX alignment + broken structure + dealer flow pressure. 🧭 Directional Bias: Bearish bias still intact — but signs of short-term bounce forming. Likely we see a dead cat bounce unless 555.83 is reclaimed with conviction. 🎯 Actionable Strategy: * Intraday scalp: Long toward 558 if price reclaims 555.83. * Swing short: Below 549.68 toward 540 using SPY or PUT options. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY Bearish wave count The only one !The chart posted is that of the spy updated for the bearish wave structure . I have now exited my 125 % long position as the formation is forming SO FAR an ABC rally up with two legs if equal we should top today in cash at 5796 5805 in spy 575/577.9 IF the beasish count is correct we should see a 3 wave drop to retest the low or make a small new low for wave B then I will enter the long calls once again for a 5 wave rally under the bearish count the limit is .786 but based on history dated back to 1902 we should peak at .618 to .66 if The bearish wave count is were we are in the Cycle . But if we rally from here and close above 5805 I would see the market making New all time Highs .Best of trades WAVETIMER 1
AMEX:SPY
by wavetimer
1
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 3 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first, then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91