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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.14.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: Trump Signs Reciprocal Tariffs Executive Order: President Donald Trump has signed an executive order imposing reciprocal tariffs on countries with trade barriers against the U.S. The tariffs will not take effect immediately, which has been well-received by the markets. Potential Ukraine Peace Talks: The U.S. is initiating discussions with Russia and Ukraine to potentially end the ongoing conflict. This development has led to a decrease in crude oil prices and could influence global markets. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📅 Friday, Feb 14: 🛍️ Retail Sales (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM. 🌐 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes (8:30 AM ET): Import Prices: Forecast: +0.5% MoM; Previous: +0.1% MoM. Export Prices: Forecast: Data not available; Previous: +0.3% MoM 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #daytrading #charting #trendtao
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY 30m Analysis – Breakout or Fakeout?Key Observations: Breakout Attempt – Price has pushed above previous consolidation, testing a critical resistance level. Declining Volume Trend – Despite the breakout, overall volume has been decreasing, which could signal weakness. However, there was a slight volume spike during the breakout. Trendline Holding – The upward-sloping trendline suggests bullish structure remains intact. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Case: If buyers step in with strong volume, we could see a continuation move toward new highs. Watch for a solid close above resistance with increasing volume. Bearish Case: If this breakout lacks follow-through and volume dries up, we could see a rejection and potential retracement back into the previous range. Trading Plan: Watch price action around the resistance zone for confirmation. A strong close above resistance with high volume = bullish confirmation. A rejection with weak volume = potential fakeout and reversal. What’s your take? Is this the start of a bigger move, or is SPY about to roll over? Drop your thoughts below! #SPY #StockMarket #Trading #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis
AMEX:SPY
by scottzilla
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 13 OK - so the 30min 200MA AND 35EMA are right in the middle of the trading range. Literally just right in the middle so it’s gonna be a battle today. Top of the implied move is 608 and the downtrend line is there off of all time highs. Friday’s top of the implied move is 609 Underneath - 50 Day Moving average, 1hr 200MA and stupid Willy is looking kind of sickly, lol. You can just look at this chart and see the sideways price action here. Let's Go, y'all!! 💃🏻
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
2
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 12 We've been consolidating sideways here a bit and slightly up and if you look at the moving averages that’s the same. Slightly up and sideways. We have a green signal line on the day here. 35EMA is above the 30min 200 even though it looks weak its still above and that is bullish. Downtrend above us here and then ash’s are at the top of the trading range. Bull gap underneath us with the support of the 50DMA CPI and Jerome Powell today so Trade carefully.
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Spy will clear 615Looking at SPY over the past few weeks on the daily chart. We will see several time spy has tried to come down. This noticeable in chart gaps on the daily. Each time the gaps filled back in going up. Quote unquote news that may not have been favorable to the US has tested the market and it did not break. I believe that overall buyer sentiment is good and health. At this point the only thing to shake the market to its knees would be globe conflict. With Trump in office. There is overall confidence in the market and at this time rumbling in the news will not shake it. The bulls are getting ready to have a field day.
AMEX:SPYLong
by phat86thony
Whale Accumulation Post-Selloff: SPY Range and Resistance LevelsAt the moment, we're seeing accumulation by the whales following a recent sell-off, which also filled the gap from 2/10/2025. It's important to note that this was a sell-off with no significant downward momentum. For a clearer picture of the accumulation, check the lower timeframes (1-5 minutes). The price remains within the current SPY range. On these shorter timeframes, we could see a push towards the resistance level at 599.40, followed by a move to 600.57.
AMEX:SPY
by scottzilla
SPY Pre-Market Scalping Setup – Key Levels & Trade Plan Feb. 12📅 Date: February 12, 2025
 🕒 Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart
 🎯 Strategy: Scalping SPY at Key Levels 🔍 Technical Overview SPY is forming a tight wedge pattern, signaling an imminent breakout.
Key resistance and support levels are clearly defined, and we are preparing for a high-probability scalp setup. 📌 Key Levels: * Resistance: 🔵 605.80 - 606.00 (Breakout Zone) * Support: 🔴 603.67 & 601.90 (Breakdown Zone) 📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Entry) * Breakdown below 603.67 could trigger selling pressure toward 601.90. * Entry: Below 603.50, with confirmation. * Target: 601.90 - 601.50 * Stop Loss: Above 604.00 📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Entry) * Breakout above 605.80 could lead to momentum toward 607.00+. * Entry: Above 606.00 * Target: 607.50 - 608.00 * Stop Loss: Below 605.50 📊 Indicators & Momentum * MACD Flattening: Waiting for momentum shift. * Stochastic RSI Curling Up: Potential move soon. * Volume Watching: Need confirmation on breakout direction. 🔥For more real-time scalping insights, check out my profile bio.
 📢 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk accordingly. -------- 🔍 Technical & GEX Overview SPY is trading near key Gamma Exposure (GEX) levels, which will dictate today’s market sentiment and potential price movement. Options positioning suggests a critical decision zone around 603 – 605, with possible directional bias forming. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: * 🚀 Upside Targets: * 610: 🔥 Major Call Wall (76.34% Call concentration) * 615: 🚀 3rd Call Wall (66.83% Call positioning) * 620: 🏆 Key Resistance (78.41% Call Resistance) * 📉 Downside Support Levels: * 600: ❗ Highest Negative NETGEX (Strong Put Support) * 595: ⚠️ 2nd Put Wall (-92.08% Put Density) * 590: 🛑 3rd Put Wall (-61.58% Put Density) 🟢 HVL (High Volume Level): 603, aligning with current price action—this zone is a key pivot area. 📈 Bullish Scenario: * SPY holding above 605 could push toward 610+ as market makers hedge call exposure. * Confirmation with a break above 606 for continuation. * 🚀 Target: 610 – 615 * 🔄 Stop Loss: Below 603 📉 Bearish Scenario: * A break below 600 could trigger downside momentum toward 595, especially if large put walls remain dominant. * 🚨 Target: 595 – 590 * 🔄 Stop Loss: Above 603 📊 Market Sentiment & GEX Summary * 🔴 Puts Dominance: 72.3% PUT positioning—indicates hedging pressure. * 🟢 IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 14.7 (Low volatility, indicating a slow move unless breakout occurs). * ⚠️ Watch for liquidity shifts near 603-605 to confirm breakout direction. 📢 Trade Carefully & Manage Risk! 📍 Follow for Daily SPY GEX & Scalping Insights! 🚀 Let's trade smart together! 💰📊
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 10 2AMEX:SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 10 2025 Alright, so 35EMA is right at the 30min 200MA. This is a critical level and in SPX we’re bearish already and looking for a follow through. Expected move today 595-606 5 Day moving average underneath us and 1hr 200MA in range as well. Downtrend above everything - and a red signal line. I’m looking for a close near the 50DMA.
AMEX:SPYShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
1
SPY: ReconsolidationThe SPY is reconsolidating again - looks like a another bullish flag. This channel looks cleaner (with more bullish features) than the last consolidation which had a wider band (more volatility) and more balanced characteristics (in terms of candles/volume). I suspect the market is looking for a bullish catalyst (maybe president signing tax/business reforms/tariff deals getting ironed out). Longer 3 month trend remains bullish. Bigger buyer than seller here.
AMEX:SPYLong
by quantitativetendies
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 11 25 Ok. Today’s implied move 601 - 609 (so 600-610 if you’re selling spreads) It’s looking as if futures will open UNDER the 30min 200MA, which could give us that 35EMA cross down and then we will be bearish. We got a little technical bounce yesterday but it was on low volume and looks weak in the indicators. So look for that 35EMA cross down. 50 Day moving average is near the bottom of the trading range under the implied move on the day and at the bottom of tomorrow’s implied move so that is a target to keep in mind.
AMEX:SPYShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-11 : GAP DefenderThe GAP Defender pattern is where price struggles to maintain a recent open GAP - attempting to defend against closing that GAP. In my mind, this is the lower GAP window between 601.30 and 602.75 (yesterday's opening GAP range). If this recent gap is filled, then I suggest the SPY will attempt to move downward (into my Deep-V breakdown) trying to target the lower GAP near 584.29. Watch Gold and Silver as they continue to breakdown. Any big breakdown in metals should be considered a warning sign the markets are moving into a PANIC phase (selling). We have lots of news today (Powell and other Fed members testifying) while we just found out Trump initiated a larger tariff on steel. I believe the strength of the US Dollar will continue to put pressure on global currencies - possibly leading to even more foreign market distress. This may result in a broader global market breakdown over the next 5-10 trading days. Remember, we have the Deep-V pattern setting up this week and another Major Bottom pattern setting up on Feb 21. I interpret this as a dual-breakdown event - where price attempts to move downward and tries to identify solid support. Bitcoin will likely follow this trend downward over the next 5 to 10+ days. Buckle up. It looks like today may be the day my Deep-V breakdown starts to drive prices lower for the SPY/QQQ and other major sectors. We'll see how things play out. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
13
$SPY Options - Bull & Bear | February Week 2We have been range bound the last three weeks. Sellers are starting to exhaust buyers more quickly than before. We are leaning bearish but confirmation is king. We use 15-30 minute candle closes for confirmation and stop-loss. Should there be a significant pullback, $580 and $560 are major floors of support. Here are our bull and bear options for this week: $600 PUT 2/24 Entry: Confirmation of breakdown under $603.44 (OR harsh rejection at $606) 🎯Target: $600 ($603.44) $608 CALL 2/24 Entry: Confirmation of breakout over $606 🎯Target: $607, $608 Here's how last week's options went: 📜 AMEX:SPY $605 Call 2/21 $500 → $770 (+54%) 📜 AMEX:SPY $605 Call 2/18 $350 → $645 (+84%)
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois
2
SPY - RISK OF BEAR MARKET VERY REALTrumps tariffs is going to be the catalyst for a bear market that the US needs to have. I'm expecting a 30% - 40% drop at most but don't worry, it will be a good time to buy when the dust settles. The RSI is painting bearish divergence on monthly. Big sign of drop. The MACD is curving downwards. Also a big sign that we'll be dropping soon. Bear cycles typically last only 1 year. But its alright, I'll be there to buy spy when its cheap because I have confidence in the US to produce cool new things and figure out new innovations. Also intrest rates will drop, money printer go BRRR and dumb money flows back into the space.
AMEX:SPY
by HorseyTim
$SPY February 11, 2025AMEX:SPY February 11, 2025 15 Minutes. AMEX:SPY faced resistance around 604-605 levels being 61.8% retracement number. We have 3 values. The rise from 600.05 to 605.5 The last rise from 603.21 to 605.5 And the fib extension 600.05 to 605.36 to 603.21 For the first rise important to hold 602 levels to continue uptrend. For the second number being the latest rise must hold today 604 levels. A close below 604 will be supported by 602 levels. So not a day to short. If we take the extension move, we have targets between 606 to 608 today. Once 608 is broken and held at least 15 minutes the target will be 611-612 levels.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RiderTrader
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update - Watching Paint Dry...Today's market seems to be trapped in a "go nowhere" zone. Get thread though. The markets will react to my Deep-V and Breakdown patterns with some aggression in the near future (24 to 48+ hours). Buckle up. This is going to get very interesting as the SPY attempts to move down to 585-590 - or lower. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
SPY Technical Analysis & GEX InsightsMarket Overview SPY is experiencing a pullback within an overall uptrend structure. The price is testing a key support zone near $600, while options gamma positioning indicates pivotal areas for potential reversals or continuation moves. Technical Analysis 1. Trend Analysis: * SPY recently broke below a short-term ascending wedge pattern, signaling a corrective phase. * Price is now consolidating near $600, a significant support level. 2. Support and Resistance: * Immediate Support: $600 (HVL zone and round number psychological level). * Secondary Support: $595 (put wall support and prior consolidation zone). * Resistance Levels: * $606 (local resistance within the channel). * $610 (key breakout level / gamma resistance). 3. Indicators: * MACD: Bullish crossover forming, suggesting a potential reversal if momentum sustains. * Stochastic RSI: Rebounding from oversold conditions, aligning with near-term bullish sentiment. * Volume: Increasing on the pullback, indicating participation by buyers at lower levels. 4. Price Action Insights: * A hold above $600 would favor a bounce toward $606-$610. * A breakdown below $600 could lead to a sharper decline toward $595 or $590. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Analysis 1. Critical GEX Levels: * Call Walls: * $610: Major resistance with 59.88% call gamma exposure. * $620: Highest positive gamma wall, marking the bullish target for continuation. * Put Walls: * $600: Strong put support level, aligning with HVL. * $595: Secondary put gamma support, reinforcing downside defense. 2. Options Oscillator Metrics: * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 17.7, indicating relatively low volatility. * IVx (Implied Volatility): 16.4% average. * Call/Put Dollar Ratio: 83.9% skewed heavily toward puts, reflecting bearish sentiment. 3. Implications: * Strong gamma concentration at $600 suggests significant market maker activity, potentially stabilizing the price. * A close above $606 would align with unwinding of bearish positions, opening upside potential toward $610 and $620. Trade Setups 1. Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above $606. * Target: $610, $620. * Stop Loss: Below $604. 2. Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below $600. * Target: $595, $590. * Stop Loss: Above $602. Conclusion SPY is trading at a pivotal support zone near $600. Options gamma positioning and technical indicators suggest potential for a bounce, but a break below $600 could accelerate bearish momentum. Monitor the $606 resistance for upside confirmation and $595 for downside risk. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights