SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video For 4-17 : Another BLANK dayToday's BLANK pattern in counter-trend mode is nothing to worry about.
As I research and document these patterns, there are patterns that appear frequently on the Daily price chart and there are others that appear more infrequently.
If I have not already marked these patterns and documented them, they have not appeared anywhere in the 11+ years of the Daily price data I use within the Lookup Engine.
Therefore, these are VERY RARE types of patterns - Extremely infrequent.
I will add that the secondary looking criteria show yesterday and today could be similar to "key top/bottom" types of price rotation. So, I do believe the current price level on the SPY (520-535) could prove to be very critical support/resistance going forward.
Tomorrow is Good Friday (no trading). So if you are going to take any trades today, make sure you remember to plan your exits for TODAY or NEXT WEEK (or later). You will not be able to exit stock/ETF trades tomorrow (sorry).
Gold is moving into a Momentum Rally, and I really want to see how that pattern plays out before the long holiday weekend.
Fingers crossed we see a BIG RALLY again today.
BTCUSD is still rolling into a downward price trend based on my EPP pattern structure. This downward trend aligns with my May 2 Major Bottom pattern for the SPY/QQQ. So I would expect BTCUSD to start to roll downward sometime near the middle/end of next week.
Remember, this weekend should be about your family, your friends, and your beliefs.
Relax and enjoy.
Get some...
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S27 trade ideas
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-15 : Base Rally PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ have been busy forming a BASE and may transition into a moderate rally mode.
I believe this move will prompt the SPY to move above the $550 level, potentially targeting $555-565 over the next 48 hours.
This upward move could be related to news or Q1:2025 earnings.
I don't believe the markets really want to move downward at this time, although I do believe the markets will move into a topping pattern by the end of this week.
Gold and Silver are moving into BLANK pattern day, today. Given the fact that we are between rally patterns and the metals charts show a very clear FLAGGING formation (watch my video), I believe we are moving into a FLAG APEX that will prompt a move above $3300 (for Gold) and $33 (for Silver). It's just a matter of time.
BTCUSD is still struggling in the Consolidation phase. As I keep suggesting, I believe the next move for Bitcoin is to the downside. But, until we break this consolidation phase, price will continue to roll around within the consolidation range.
Remember, we are going to be moving back to more normal volatility. So you need to understand these huge daily ranges are going to vanish over the next 3-5+ days.
Volatility will likely move back to the 1% to 2.5% range very quickly.
Get some..
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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 23, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 U.S.–China Trade Tensions Ease: President Trump announced plans to "substantially" reduce tariffs on Chinese imports, signaling a potential de-escalation in the trade war. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent labeled the current tariffs as "unsustainable," and the IMF warned of a "major negative shock" to global growth due to the ongoing trade conflict.
📉 Tesla's Profit Decline: Tesla reported a 71% drop in Q1 profits, attributing the decline to backlash over CEO Elon Musk's involvement in government affairs. Musk announced plans to reduce his role in the "Department of Government Efficiency" (Doge) starting in May.
🛫 Boeing's Earnings Under Scrutiny: Boeing is set to report earnings, with investors closely watching for impacts of trade tensions on Chinese plane deliveries. The company's performance is seen as a bellwether for the aerospace sector amid global economic uncertainties.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, April 23:
🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 675,000
Previous: 662,000
Measures the annualized number of newly constructed homes sold, indicating housing market strength.
📈 S&P Global Manufacturing & Services PMI (9:45 AM ET):
Manufacturing Forecast: 49.5
Services Forecast: 51.0
Provides insight into the economic health of the manufacturing and services sectors.
🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventory Report (10:30 AM ET):
Reports on the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by U.S. firms, influencing oil prices and energy sector performance.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Double bottom on SPY would be nice.I'm thinking that if SPY does a double bottom around 4800, it could be a good time to buy. I don't think SPY will drop below 4800 because Trump seems to be working on positive news with Ukraine/Russia, the Iran deal, Japan, and so on. If we hit 4800 again, it would probably mean the Fed isn't cutting rates, Powell gets fired, or some big tech companies miss their earnings. But Trump will probably try his hardest to lift the markets from here, and 5000 could be a higher low.
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 17 2025These are Support and Resistance lines for today April 17 2025 and will not be valid for next day. Mark these in your chart by clicking grab this below.
Yellow Lines: Heavily S/R areas, price action will start when closing in on these.
White Lines: Are SL, TP or Mid Level Support and Resistance Areas, these are traded if consolidation take place on them.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-15 : BLANK pattern day.As I stated in this video, last night I looked through the data and could not find any reference for this pattern going back more than 11 years. Same thing for tomorrow's pattern.
That means these are very RARE pattern setups and we'll have to watch to see how price action plays out today.
If there were no reference points over 11+ years of Daily price data (more than 2500 Daily Price Bars), then this is something very unique.
I believe today will act like a Reversal Bar. Potentially rallying off a lower opening price and setting up a type of Gap Lower Rally type of pattern - but that is just a guess.
At this point, trade smaller quantities until we see how price reacts this morning.
Gold and Silver make a BIG MOVE overnight - breaking above the $3300/$33 levels I suggested were critical psychological levels.
This is an INCREDIBLE rally in metals (thanks, China).
At this point, if you were long metals like I was, you can thank me all you want.
Be aware that metals will likely pause a bit above this psychological level, then start to move higher again.
The next big target is $3600-$3750 for Gold.
Bitcoin is doing exactly what I stated it would do - rolling into a top as demand for BTCUSD wanes. I believe the next low for BTCUSD will be closer to $60k-$63k. Pay attention.
Going to be a good day for everyone holding Gold/Silver/Miners CALLS (like I kept suggesting).
GOT SOME.
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SPY pothole ahead! Drive with cautionHello drivers, I mean traders, LVN pothole ahead, drive(trade) accordingly. 5% drop expected based on VP
For those not familiar with LVN ( Low Volume Nodes) in Volume Profile, is price region where prices tend to move rapidly for lack of resistance or support
Interestingly if you look at the chart carefully, since June 2024 the prices have moved/gaped
7 times in this region, including the last weeks 10% move travelled this region.
Funny, as if prices are jumping the pothole each time it comes across
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 16 2025These are Support and Resistance lines for today April 16 2025 and will not be valid for next day. Mark these in your chart by clicking grab this below.
Yellow Lines: Heavily S/R areas, price action will start when closing in on these.
White Lines: Are SL, TP or Mid Level Support and Resistance Areas, these are traded if consolidation take place on them.
SPY Falling Wedge Into Support SPY forming a descending wedge after an extreme sell off, one of the fastest declines in recent history.
This wedge style pattern tends to be the result of sharp move in a particular direction, in this case downward as temporary relief before continuiing in the direction of the larger trend.
Ill be looking for liquidity to enter the market on the thursday / friday session for a potential bounce. If not, then its likely the market will be in for a rough spring.
Opening (IRA): SPY May 16th 385 Short Put... for a 4.04 credit.
Comments: High IVR, >21 IV. Sticking a little pickle in here, targeting the strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit which is quite a bit out of the money at the 8 delta.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 380.96
Max Profit: 4.04
ROC at Max: 1.06%
50% Max: 2.02
ROC at 50% Max: .54%
SPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
SPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 534.03 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 519.46
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 560.94
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SPY Hits Critical Gamma Level at 533 – Breakdown or Bounce? Market Awaits Trigger 🎯
🔮 GEX (Gamma Exposure) – Options Sentiment Analysis
🔥 Gamma Hotspot at 533 – Dealers in Trouble Below
* SPY is sitting right on the highest negative NET GEX zone at 533.57, indicating heavy dealer long gamma exposure.
* If price holds above, dealers may stabilize the market — but if 533 breaks, the path toward 530 and possibly 519.92 opens quickly due to forced hedging.
📉 Call Walls Block the Path Above
* CALL resistance stacks from 536–538–540, with a gamma ceiling forming around 538, where net positive GEX peaks.
* Above that, 544–545 is a tough zone to reclaim short term unless a macro tailwind hits.
📊 Options Sentiment Snapshot:
* IVR: 44.2 → Volatility expectations are moderate but stable.
* IVx avg: 29.7, dropping –16.08%, suggesting traders are defensively positioned with volatility being sold.
* PUTs 96.8% → This is extreme — a highly bearish options environment, making SPY susceptible to gamma-induced plunges if price cracks lower.
🎯 GEX Flow Outlook:
* Below 533: Fast move to 530, then potential gamma landslide toward 519.92 and beyond.
* Above 536: Bulls need to reclaim VWAP and move toward 538+ to flip gamma positioning and trap short hedgers.
🕰️ 1-Hour Technical Analysis
Trend:
* SPY broke down from a rising wedge and lost EMA/VWAP support on accelerating volume.
* Price is hugging the lower channel support — breakdown is in play unless a fast reversal occurs.
MACD:
* Weakening with a bearish crossover — confirms downward momentum building.
RSI:
* Falling under 40 with no bullish divergence — sellers still in control.
Key Levels:
* Support: 533.5 → 530 → 519.92 → 485.26
* Resistance: 536 → 538 → 544.62
🧠 Final Thoughts:
SPY is teetering at a gamma tipping point. With over 96% of flow favoring PUTs, dealers are in a short gamma setup — and price under 533 risks triggering a cascade toward 530 or even 520 if broader indices follow.
However, if bulls can reclaim VWAP and 536+, a reversal squeeze could target 538 or higher.
Stay nimble — this is a GEX-powered market waiting for its next catalyst.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always confirm with price action and use proper risk management.
Bulls held the line!boost and follow for more 🔥
In my last SPY analysis I pointed out the potential short trap below major support, I added back all shares and some shortly after I noticed this when spy was around 490.
I think as long as 523 holds then a push higher to 550-570 can happen in the next few weeks.🎯
first and last chart from me today, I hope you all have a great weekend 🤝
Opening (IRA): SPY June 20th 375 Short Put... for a 3.74 credit
Comments: High IVR/>21 IV. Starting to ladder out here, targeting the strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit.
Will generally look to roll up at 50% max to the strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit if >45 DTE remain in the expiry and IVR/IV remains sufficient to collect 1% of the strike price in credit at 16 delta or less.
SPY Long and NeutralCurrent demand Zone confirmed, sell put below next demand zoon
Long entry 506
no Stop ,
Target 530
Risk management is much more important than a good entry point.
I am not a PRO trader.
In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.