SPY vs FOMCTomorrow 1/29 at 2pm FOMC interest rate decision followed by a press conference at 2:30pm. As you can see on this SPY 1 day chart, FOMC days and the week following has a checkered past for bulls.
Moving average levels:
SMA20 = 593
SMA50 = 596
SMA100 = 585
SMA200 = 560
7/3124
5.5%
9/18/24
5%
11/7/24
4.75%
12/18/24
4.5%
1/29/25
expected 4.5%
SPY options data:
1/31 expiry
Put Volume Total 214,435
Call Volume Total 181,522
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.18
Put Open Interest Total 1,958,680
Call Open Interest Total 511,620
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 3.83
2/21 expiry
Put Volume Total 115,166
Call Volume Total 87,489
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.32
Put Open Interest Total 2,491,624
Call Open Interest Total 637,118
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 3.91
S27 trade ideas
SPY: Technical Analysis for Today's Trading - Jan. 28Market Overview
* SPY is currently consolidating near the $601 level after recovering from the recent dip to $589.
* Immediate resistance levels include $607 (pre-market high) and $610.78 (major resistance from the GEX).
* Key support levels are $600 (psychological level) and $589 (yesterday’s low).
* The 30-minute chart shows an overall upward trend within a tightening range, suggesting potential for breakout or breakdown depending on the broader market sentiment.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Metrics
* Call Walls:
* $610: Highest positive NETGEX, indicating strong resistance and possible profit-taking zone.
* $615 - $620: Additional upside targets if momentum strengthens.
* Put Walls:
* $590: Highest negative NETGEX, acting as critical support. Breach below could trigger strong selling pressure.
Options Metrics
* IVR: 24.4, suggesting moderately low implied volatility, offering limited premium opportunities for scalpers.
* Put/Call Ratio: 69.3% PUTs, indicating bearish sentiment among options traders.
Scalping Strategy
Bullish Scenario
* Entry Point: Above $602 after confirmation of volume and momentum.
* Targets:
* First Target: $607 (PMH/Pre-Market High).
* Second Target: $610.78 (Key GEX resistance level).
* Stop-Loss: $600 (ensure a tight stop to minimize losses if momentum fails).
* Indicators to Watch:
* Stochastic RSI: Look for oversold reversal near the 50 level on the 30-minute chart.
* MACD: Ensure bullish crossover confirmation before entering long positions.
Bearish Scenario
* Entry Point: Below $600 with strong downside momentum.
* Targets:
* First Target: $595 (midpoint support).
* Second Target: $589 (previous low and major support).
* Stop-Loss: $602, as reclaiming this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
* Indicators to Watch:
* Volume spikes accompanying the breakdown of $600.
* MACD crossover below the signal line for confirmation.
Scalping Tips
1. Risk Management: Maintain a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2 for all trades.
2. Execution Speed: Trade with tight spreads and monitor key levels closely for rapid changes in momentum.
3. Market Sentiment: Keep an eye on broader indices like QQQ and DIA for correlation and potential sector rotation cues.
Outlook for Today
* SPY's range is likely to remain between $600 (key support) and $607 (resistance) during the morning session.
* A breakout above $607 could push SPY toward $610.78, whereas a failure to hold $600 might trigger a retest of $589.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage risk appropriately.
$SPY Options | Trump Week TwoAMEX:SPY
Fear and panic has spread in the market, but buyers ate it up by end of day (1/27). There is a gap from December 18th up to $603-$606. $603.44 is the key pivot for bulls and $591.54 for the bears.
For our weekly options trades, we use 15 or 30 minute candle closes for confirmation and stop-loss.
$603 CALL 2/11
Entry: Breakout/Hold Over $599.92
Targets🎯: $603.44, $606
$595 PUTS 2/11
Entry: Breakdown/Rejection Under $599.92 OR $603
Targets🎯: $595, $591.54
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-28 : Temp Bottom PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Temp Bottom.
After yesterday's big breakdown and consolidation, I believe the SPY will attempt to identify support, possibly near 597, and attempt to move higher a bit today.
Ultimately, a Temp Bottom pattern is where the price seeks out support (moving downward or retesting recent support levels) and then rolls to the upside, creating a base/bottom type of pattern.
The QQQ should follow the same pattern.
Gold and Silver seem trapped for the next 2-3 days (possibly melting a bit higher as the US Dollar appears to be moving downward a bit).
I don't see Gold/Silver starting to make any big moves until Jan 31 or in early Feb.
Bitcoin will likely stall out, just like the SPY/QQQ, over the next 2-3 days, then move into a downward price phase - attempting to move back towards $92k.
I believe the markets are stalling and in a bit of shock at the moment. Don't get too aggressive in any trades unless you are confident in your ability to manage risk levels.
Some sectors/symbols will trend. But the SPY/QQQ will likely stall out for another 2-3 days before making another big move.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Waiti Seeking Equilibrium and Fair Value Oppong on confirmation In the current volatile market environment, I'm closely monitoring the US30 for potential trading opportunities. My strategy involves waiting for confirmation of an equilibrium sweep with displacement, which would signal a short position. This approach aims to capitalize on the market's tendency to revert to equilibrium after a significant move.
Additionally, I'm on the lookout for any highs accompanied by a fair value gap, which could present a compelling opportunity to go long. This scenario would indicate a potential continuation of the upward trend, providing a favorable risk-reward setup.
Key considerations include:
Market Volatility: The current market conditions are characterized by notable volatility, particularly in the technology sector, which could influence the US30's movements.
Upcoming Economic Events: Keep an eye on the Federal Reserve meeting on January 31, 2025, and the release of critical economic data, as these events may impact market sentiment.
Technical Indicators: Utilize technical analysis to identify potential entry and exit points, ensuring alignment with the overall market trend.
As always, risk management is paramount. Ensure that stop-loss levels are set appropriately to protect against unexpected market movements.
$SPY January 28, 2025AMEX:SPY January 28, 2025
15 Minutes
The divergence paid off again.
Now we again wait for moving averages 9 and 21 to go above 50,100 and 200 to initiate any longs.
For the fall 608.15 to 594.64 61.8% retracement is around 602-603 levels.
A good level to short SL 605.5.
I expect sideways today.
Nothing bad happendThe US markets fell sharply today. The S&P500 lost almost 2%. Many investors, especially on social media, are wondering whether the “Trump Rally” is now over. I think this is extremely unlikely. As is so often the case, markets tend to exaggerate, both upwards and downwards.
The price slide was triggered by news from China. Th AMEX:SPY ere, the start-up “DeepSeek” has announced that it has AI models that work just as well as their US counterparts at a much lower price and with less data.
This will certainly not have a lasting impact, but it should make us aware that the AI party will be over at some point.
SP 500 head n shoulder and cup n handle ?? The chart posted can be counted two ways if a bullish move is about to start First I want to express that the cycles are only holding up till feb 12/13 .So I can count this decline as wave 2 in the 5 waves up forming But the target 6128 was perfect math in which wave a x 1,618 = wave c for wave B top if the bearish count is the right one it would have more downside and it would drop 5861 plus or minus 2 then a bigger rally. But lets talk about this being wave 2 down wave 3 of 5 of 5 would see the rally from today low advance to two targets and both should be within 3 pts First 6183 is where wave 3 is .618 of wave 1 second is 6235 plus or minus 3 I would be VERY CAUTIOUS and look for 6183 The sox index is now ending my first 5 waves down in the bear market in SOX=SMH we should now see a weak ABC rally back to 248/252 . The forecast in SOX was PERFECT and has much much more downside this year. IN the QQQ we should now see a rally 531 alt 537Best of trades WAVETIMER
$SPY Price Action Analysis on Three Timeframes www.tradingview.com
Hey there!
One of the key concepts I've embraced in technical analysis is the idea of lower highs & lower lows, as well as higher highs and higher lows. Understanding these patterns has really transformed the way I approach trading and my personal fear & green control during the different market regimes. 📈
Speaking of these patterns, let's check out this simple and clear Big Picture. 📊
Here's a quick snapshot: We have AMEX:SPY analyzed on a monthly, weekly, and daily basis. Check out the chart for more details.
Stay tuned! 🚀
PS: Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
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**Disclaimer:** This research abstract is created and is intended solely for informational and educational use. It does not consider the specific investment needs, objectives, or risk tolerances of its recipients. The author`s actual investment positions may differ from the views presented in this post due to different factors. This content is strictly for informational and educational purposes.
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#Beyondtechnicalanalysis
#ChartPatterns
#Trend Analysis
#SPY
$SPY Price Action Analysis on Three TimeframesHey there!
Let`s look at the update on my recently published idea. Reminder: one of the key concepts I've embraced in technical analysis is the idea of lower highs & lower lows, as well as higher highs and higher lows. Understanding these patterns has really transformed the way I approach trading and my personal fear & green control during the different market regimes. 📈
Speaking of these patterns, let's check out this simple and clear Big Picture. 📊
Here's a quick snapshot: We have SPY analyzed on a monthly, weekly, and daily basis. Check out the chart for more details.
After this angle, is today`s Market Bleeding & Mass Media news so scary?
Stay tuned! 🚀
PS: Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
---
**Disclaimer:** This research abstract is created and is intended solely for informational and educational use. It does not consider the specific investment needs, objectives, or risk tolerances of its recipients. The author`s actual investment positions may differ from the views presented in this post due to different factors. This content is strictly for informational and educational purposes.
---
#Beyondtechnicalanalysis
#ChartPatterns
#Trend Analysis
#SPY
(Fixed Chart) $SPY Analysis Key Levels & TargetsI made a mistake in the first SPY chart this is the actual trading range for today 591 to 606 and as of right now we’re sitting right at the 50 day moving which is a critical level underneath that we do have that downward facing 1hr 200MA and the 30min 200 for support on the day
SPY Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 607.93
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 596.16
Recommended Stop Loss - 614.42
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day TradersAll right guys this morning we opened with a gap down into a support gap that has the 30 minute two removing average and the one hour two and removing average and we just got above the 50 day moving average and the expected move on the day is between 595 and 601. I do believe it’s possible at this 50 day moving average holds us down, we do have a red signal line.
It’s gonna be a wild week, so don’t feel like you need to rush into any trades, there’s lots of earnings and potentially a ton of volatility. Remember, we have an island gap underneath the tuna, removing average that still needs to be filled.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-27 : Consolidation PatternToday is an incredible day in my world.
I have been warning of a major peak/top near Jan 20-23 for more than 45+ days. I have continued to warn traders of a major top/peak near the Inauguration and how I believe the markets would suddenly shift downward - targeting the Feb 9-11 Deep-V bottom.
All of my predictive analysis is based on Gann, Tesla (Energy frequency, amplitude, vibration) and Fibonacci research.
The reason I state this is because I want you to start thinking of price action in terms of energy expulsion and consolidation.
Price is the ultimate indicator. My research proves we can attempt to predict future price moves (tops, bottoms, strength, weakness, and others) with a moderate degree of accuracy.
As I continue to expand my research, tools, and resources, I will continue to improve my analysis/predictive capabilities.
To me, this is very exciting.
Today, I would expect the markets to consolidate in a fairly wide/volatile range.
Gold and Silver will likely continue to try to recover/rally out of these flagging/pennant formations. Silver is set in more of a range-bound price channel, whereas Gold is clearly moving into a Pennant/Flag setup.
BTCUSD appears to have broken the EPP Flag channel and should attempt to move down to GETTEX:92K over the next 5+ days.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
As Goes January So Goes the YearI have written and talked about this statistical superstition born out of trading almanacs of the "January Effect" which proposes that the month of January's direction (a green bar or a red bar) will determine the final close of the year as a whole. I plugged the data into a spreadsheet this year mid-January to get the updated statistic and for the last 97 years this adage has held true 68% of the time. Like all statistics when studying markets "nothing is 100%" but it is safe to say "more often than not" this is true.
The January 2025 Monthly open is -3.03% from the Friday close... SPY is going to open -2.19% as of writing this morning. We still have a whole week of trading days left in January to see how 2025 will MOST PROBABLY play out.
There's a lot of "reasons" talk this morning about some Chinese AI being the culprit of the selloff. I never take heed of the need for the media to publish digestible stories to give such reasons: they are never tradable prior to the event they claim and each is a one-off so knowing the "reason" (if even true) is totally worthless for making money.
The more logical answer according to price which is far more actionable to traders is the failed breakout last Friday. While SPY made a new All Time High the Weekly itself failed to close to confirm it. Not following through on such a move is a clear bearish signal going into a weekend. Now THAT is a much better "reason" to be focused on this week (and every time it happens in the future).
SPY at a Key Inflection Point! Trading and Options Insights You Technical Analysis for SPY:
* Current Price: $607.50
* Trend Overview: SPY is currently trading within an ascending wedge pattern. This structure is often indicative of a potential pullback, but a breakout above the upper trendline could signal bullish continuation.
* Key Levels:
* Resistance: $610.78 (Recent high and top of the wedge).
* Support: $600 psychological support, $592 for stronger confluence with the lower trendline.
* Momentum Indicators:
* MACD: Showing slight bearish divergence; potential short-term consolidation or pullback.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold levels signal reduced momentum but indicate a potential reversal opportunity.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) and Options Analysis:
* Options Activity:
* Call Walls:
* $610 with 94.83% GEX Call Resistance (Key for upward breakout).
* $615 and $620 as upper resistance layers for bullish scenarios.
* Put Walls:
* $600 with a 90.2% Put wall presence.
* $590 as the strongest support with concentrated negative GEX.
* IVR: 11.4, signaling lower implied volatility.
* Options Strategy:
* Bullish Setup: Look for an entry on a breakout above $610 with a target of $615-$620. Use $600 as a trailing stop.
* Bearish Setup: Consider bearish spreads targeting $600 if price fails to sustain above $607.
Actionable Trading Plan:
1. Scalping Outlook:
* Monitor price action near $607-$608. Quick intraday bounces or rejections can offer opportunities.
2. Swing Outlook:
* A sustained breakout above $610 can confirm bullish momentum; set targets at $615, then $620.
* Below $600, prepare for a retest of the $590-$592 zone.
Conclusion:
SPY is showing signs of consolidation near its highs, and key levels like $610 and $600 will play a crucial role in determining its next direction. Options activity aligns with resistance near $610 and major support near $590. Stay vigilant with stops and manage risk appropriately.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
The Splintering Market: Geopolitical Upheaval, Financial Innovation, and the Looming Food Crisis
Abstract
The global market is undergoing a profound transformation, driven by rapid geopolitical shifts, technological advancements, and the emergence of innovative financial tools. However, this transformation is not without its challenges. While sectors like artificial intelligence (AI) and electric vehicles (EVs) thrive, the food supply chain faces unprecedented stress, threatening to plunge the world into a crisis not seen since the Great Dust Bowl. This paper explores the concept of market splintering, the widening gap between social classes, and the compounding effects of weakened regulatory agencies on public health and safety. It also examines how these forces interact to reshape the global economy and society.
Introduction: A Market and Society at a Crossroads
The modern financial market and society are no longer cohesive entities. Instead, they are splintering into distinct sectors and classes, each responding differently to the pressures of geopolitics, technological innovation, and shifting consumer demands. This paper argues that the market is entering a new paradigm, one best described as a "horizontal hourglass," where extreme highs and lows coexist, flattening traditional indices like the S&P 500 into a thread of stagnation. Simultaneously, society is fracturing along class lines, with the looming food crisis threatening to exacerbate these divisions.
The catalysts for this transformation are multifaceted. On one hand, geopolitical upheaval—exemplified by Donald Trump's recent tariffs on Colombia—disrupts global supply chains and traditional industries. On the other hand, financial innovation, such as Roundhill Investments' synthetic covered call ETFs, offers new opportunities for investors to adapt to this fractured landscape. However, the most pressing issue lies in the food supply chain, which is under immense stress due to climate change, weakened regulatory oversight, and geopolitical tensions. Together, these forces are reshaping the global economy and society in ways that demand a forward-looking approach to investment, governance, and public health.
Chapter 1: The Horizontal Hourglass—A New Market Paradigm
1.1 The Traditional Market Model
Historically, financial markets have been analyzed through the lens of cyclical patterns and historical data. The Great Depression, the 2008 financial crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic all followed a similar trajectory: a sharp downturn followed by a gradual recovery. However, this model fails to account for the complexities of the modern global economy, where technology, data, and geopolitics interact in unprecedented ways.
1.2 The Horizontal Hourglass Explained
The "horizontal hourglass" is a metaphor for the current market dynamics. Instead of a vertical crash, where all sectors decline simultaneously, the market is bulging outward. High-growth sectors like technology, renewable energy, and electric vehicles (EVs) are reaching new highs, while traditional industries such as consumer goods and manufacturing face significant challenges. This divergence creates a flattened middle, where indices like the S&P 500 struggle to reflect the true state of the market.
Top Half of the Hourglass: Dominated by innovation-driven sectors such as technology, EVs, and data analytics.
Bottom Half of the Hourglass: Traditional industries, including daily consumer goods and manufacturing, are weighed down by geopolitical disruptions and supply chain vulnerabilities.
Flattened Middle: The S&P 500 and other indices fail to capture the extremes, leading to a decade of stagnation.
Chapter 2: The Rise of AI and EVs as Stabilizing Forces
2.1 Artificial Intelligence: The New Economic Engine
AI is rapidly becoming the backbone of the global economy, driving innovation in sectors ranging from healthcare to finance. Companies leveraging AI are experiencing exponential growth, creating a stark contrast with traditional industries struggling to adapt.
AI in Supply Chain Management: While AI is helping optimize supply chains in high-tech industries, it has yet to address the vulnerabilities in the food supply chain, which remains heavily reliant on manual labor and outdated infrastructure.
AI and Class Disparity: The rise of AI is creating a new class of "data elites," further widening the gap between the wealthy and the working class.
2.2 Electric Vehicles: The Green Revolution
The EV market is another stabilizing force in the fractured economy. Companies like Tesla and Rivian are driving growth in the top half of the hourglass, benefiting from government incentives and consumer demand for sustainable transportation.
EVs and Resource Scarcity: The production of EVs relies on rare earth metals, which are subject to geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions.
EVs and the Food Crisis: While EVs represent progress in reducing carbon emissions, their rise does little to address the immediate challenges of food production and distribution.
Chapter 3: The Looming Food Crisis
3.1 A Fragile Supply Chain
The global food supply chain is under immense stress, facing challenges not seen since the Great Dust Bowl. Climate change, geopolitical tensions, and labor shortages are converging to create a perfect storm.
Climate Change: Extreme weather events are disrupting crop yields, leading to shortages and price spikes.
Geopolitical Tensions: Tariffs, sanctions, and trade wars are exacerbating supply chain vulnerabilities, particularly in countries reliant on food imports.
Labor Shortages: Deportation policies and restrictive immigration laws are reducing the availability of agricultural labor, particularly in regions like Southern California.
3.2 The Role of Weakened Regulatory Agencies
The weakening of the CDC and FDA under the current administration is compounding the food crisis. Budget cuts and reduced oversight are creating a situation where food safety cannot be guaranteed, leading to widespread illness and loss of life.
Foodborne Illnesses: Without proper oversight, contaminated food is more likely to enter the supply chain, causing outbreaks of diseases like E. coli and salmonella.
Public Health Crisis: The lack of a coordinated response from the CDC and FDA is exacerbating the spread of illness, further straining healthcare systems.
3.3 The Impact on Society
The food crisis is widening the gap between social classes, with the working class bearing the brunt of rising food prices and shortages. However, the upper class is not immune, as the lack of safe, reliable food sources affects everyone.
Class Disparity: The wealthy can afford to import food or invest in private agriculture, while the working class struggles to access basic necessities.
Social Unrest: The combination of food shortages and class disparity is likely to lead to increased social unrest, as seen in historical examples like the French Revolution.
Chapter 4: The Intersection of Geopolitics, Food, and Financial Innovation
4.1 How Geopolitics Shapes the Food Crisis
Geopolitical actions, such as Trump's tariffs on Colombia, are directly impacting the food supply chain. These policies disrupt trade, increase costs, and create uncertainty in global markets.
4.2 Financial Innovation as a Double-Edged Sword
While financial tools like synthetic covered call ETFs offer opportunities for investors, they do little to address the immediate challenges of the food crisis. In fact, the focus on high-growth sectors like AI and EVs may divert resources away from critical areas like agriculture.
Chapter 5: Strategies for Navigating the Splintered Market and Food Crisis
5.1 Building a Resilient Portfolio
Investors must adopt a forward-looking approach to portfolio management, focusing on sectors and strategies that align with the new market paradigm.
Core Holdings: ETFs focused on high-growth sectors like technology, renewable energy, and EVs.
Speculative Plays: Synthetic covered call ETFs for high-yield income.
Hedging Strategies: Investments in agriculture and food technology to mitigate risks associated with the food crisis.
5.2 Policy Recommendations
Governments must take immediate action to address the food crisis and its underlying causes.
Strengthening Regulatory Agencies: Restoring funding and authority to the CDC and FDA to ensure food safety and public health.
Investing in Agriculture: Supporting sustainable farming practices and modernizing the food supply chain.
Addressing Climate Change: Implementing policies to reduce carbon emissions and mitigate the impact of extreme weather events.
Conclusion: A Fractured Future
The global market and society are at a crossroads, shaped by the dual forces of technological innovation and systemic fragility. While AI and EVs offer hope for a brighter future, the looming food crisis threatens to plunge the world into chaos. Addressing these challenges requires a holistic approach that balances innovation with sustainability, ensuring that the benefits of progress are shared by all.
$SPY All-Time Highs in FocusLooking ahead to this new trading week, I’m interested in seeing some shorts come in. We’ve returned to all-time highs , but the climb faced minimal resistance—aside from some signs of pushback on Friday.
I’ll be very cautious about entering any long positions unless we see price action consolidating or trading closer to the 610-612 levels . Until then, I’ll remain hesitant and look for more clarity in the market’s direction.
What’s your take on this setup? Drop your insights below!
SPY Analysis: Testing All-Time Highs with Weakening Momentum Testing / Surpassed ATH
MACD 4 HR Crossing down at red arrow.
RSI 4 HR Crossing down from overbought
1 HR MFI dropping
1 HR RSI dropping down.
MACD No signal.
30 Minute MACD looks to be losing momentum downward possible reversal back towards the upside
30 Minute RSI at 50 no potential for upside or downside this is nuetral.
30 minute MFI is still high but not overbought could be a downward from.
15 Minute MACD Crossing up could signal a move upward
15 Minute RSI was close to oversold and is now pushing up.
15 Minute MFI was close to oversold now pushing back up
5 Minute 50/100 EMA: 50 EMA crossing into 100 EMA could be signaling a short but
price has bounced on it a few times now.
Despite the short-term signs of a bounce (15-minute and 5-minute signals), the broader timeframes point to weakening momentum and a lack of sustained buying pressure. The 4-hour MACD and RSI both turning downward from overbought conditions align with a potential reversal. As SPY fails to gain further traction above the ATH, it could start to roll over, targeting lower levels.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $590 aligns with a key support zone, making it a logical target for a pullback. Additionally, any increase in volatility (VIX) or further weakness in momentum indicators would likely accelerate the move toward this level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: The ATH and current price zone (~607–610).
Support: The $600 psychological level and $590 Fibonacci retracement.
I’ll be monitoring the price action closely for confirmation of this bearish thesis. If SPY loses the short-term EMAs and momentum fails to recover, a move to $590 becomes increasingly likely. Let me know your thoughts.
Spy - Path to 666Hello Traders,
At 2008 bottom the market hit 666 on the SPX. So now I am thinking 6666 on the SPX and 666 on SPY is like a magnet. Well I used the Fractal from end of last year and using fibs to make sure the levels were a match and guess what..It ends close to 666 in April this year. I have other things pointing me to April as a "top". So anyways lets see how this plays out.. According to the fractal we will go up till Wednesday (MAG Earnings and Fed Decision) then have a small drop before continuing higher.
Is 666 the final top? Well one one hand it would make sense as we are getting long in the tooth and for some reason they love that number. On the other hand I have cycles that are pointing to one more cycle later this year into summer.
But I would say if we do head up to that number I would be cautious around there and put more into cash incase we get a decent pullback so you can buy things when they get cheaper.
I was one of the few calling for more up when everyone was seeing a Head and Shoulder and saying we topped in December. I knew we had a least one more bull cycle if not two. Here we are at ATH again .. lets see how this plays out.