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S27 trade ideas

SPY April weekly forecasts - New stuff-This is an idea I've done in the past, but never posted on here. Sometimes it's pretty close to how things play out with variances on timing. Regardless, I want to see it as a journal entry for my dowsing work with all my notes with the chart. It may be interesting to other people as well, so I'm posting it. Dates are often reversals. I do think next Tuesday could be a bounce. I'd like to get monthly highs/lows on SPY/QQQ, but that doesn't seem to be in the cards atm. :(
AMEX:SPY
by JenRz
Magnificent Value Index with Opacity CandlesThis script idea is rather old but very enlightening about the current state of the market. It looks at the RSI or MFI values of all Mag 7 stocks, averages them out and compares it to qqq's rsi or mfi as a differential. Real shame tradingview doesn't allow free users to participate in publishing indicators and it's a real shame the war their employees support is being lost. Make whatever conclusions you will from this. Good luck, we're all living in a global idiocratic world now ruled by people infected with Affluenza .
AMEX:SPY
by livingdracula
Franco trade 0.0//@version=5 strategy("OBV + Moving Averages Strategy", overlay=true) // ๅƒๆ•ธ่จญ็ฝฎ length_OBV = input(1, "OBV ๅขž้‡") // OBV็š„่ฎŠๅ‹•้–ฅๅ€ผ length_maVolume = input(50, "50ๆ—ฅๅ‡้‡") // 50ๆ—ฅๅ‡้‡ length_maShort = input(5, "5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš") // 5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš length_maLong = input(13, "13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš") // 13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš take_profit = input(0.1, "ๆญข็›ˆๆฏ”ไพ‹ (10%)") // 10%ๆญข็›ˆ stop_loss = input(0.05, "ๆญขๆๆฏ”ไพ‹ (5%)") // 5%ๆญขๆ // ่จˆ็ฎ—ๆŠ€่ก“ๆŒ‡ๆจ™ obvValue = ta.cum(ta.volume * math.sign(ta.change(close))) // OBVๆŒ‡ๆจ™ maVolume = ta.sma(volume, length_maVolume) // 50ๆ—ฅๅ‡้‡ maShort = ta.sma(close, length_maShort) // 5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš maLong = ta.sma(close, length_maLong) // 13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš // ่ฒทๅ…ฅๆขไปถ buy_condition = ta.crossover(maShort, maLong) and // 5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทšไธŠ็ฉฟ13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš obvValue > ta.highest(obvValue , length_OBV) and // OBVๅ‰ตๆ–ฐ้ซ˜ volume > maVolume // ๆˆไบค้‡ๅคงๆ–ผ50ๆ—ฅๅ‡้‡ // ่ณฃๅ‡บๆขไปถ sell_condition = ta.crossunder(maShort, maLong) or // 5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš่ทŒ็ ด13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš obvValue < ta.lowest(obvValue , length_OBV) or // OBV่ตฐๅผฑ strategy.position_size > 0 and (strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + take_profit) < close or // ้”ๅˆฐๆญข็›ˆ็›ฎๆจ™ strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stop_loss) > close) // ้”ๅˆฐๆญขๆ็›ฎๆจ™ // ๅŸท่กŒไบคๆ˜“็ญ–็•ฅ if buy_condition strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long) if sell_condition strategy.close("Long")
AMEX:SPY
by fungso94
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 3, 2025๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ President Trump's 'Liberation Day' Tariffs Implemented: On April 2, President Donald Trump announced a series of new tariffs, referred to as "Liberation Day" tariffs, aiming to address trade imbalances. These include a baseline 10% tariff on all imports, with higher rates for specific countries: 34% on Chinese goods, 20% on European Union products, and 25% on all foreign-made automobiles. The administration asserts these measures will revitalize domestic industries, though critics warn of potential price increases for consumers and possible retaliatory actions from affected nations. ๐Ÿ“Š Key Data Releases ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿ“… Thursday, April 3: ๐Ÿ“‰ Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 225,000โ€‹ Previous: 224,000โ€‹ Measures the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, providing insight into the labor market's health.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“ˆ Trade Balance (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: -$76.0 billionโ€‹ Previous: -$131.4 billionโ€‹ Indicates the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services, reflecting the nation's trade activity.โ€‹ ๐Ÿข ISM Services PMI (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 53.0โ€‹ Previous: 53.5โ€‹ Assesses the performance of the services sector; a reading above 50 suggests expansion.โ€‹ โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“Œ #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
SPY Divergence - Bullish Comeback?SPY is showing quite a significant bullish divergence on the Daily timeframe. This appears to concur with a potential double-bottom formation. We also see the RSI beginning to poke up through it's moving average: Alongside this we see a Rug Pull target on the 4h timeframe of the ES1! S&P futures ticker. Rug-pull events on this ticker have seen a great degree of accuracy over the past few years, as seen below: This rug-pull target alongside strong divergence on the higher timeframes indicates a high probability the markets will trend towards the upside in the near future.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RocketTraveler
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 2, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ President Trumpโ€™s 'Liberation Day' Tariff Announcement: President Donald Trump is set to announce new reciprocal tariffs on April 2, aiming to align U.S. import duties with those imposed by other countries on American goods. This move is expected to impact various sectors, including automotive and manufacturing, and may lead to market volatility as investors react to potential shifts in trade policies. โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“Š Key Data Releases ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿ“… Wednesday, April 2: ๐Ÿญ Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 0.6%โ€‹ Previous: 1.7%โ€‹ Indicates the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, reflecting manufacturing demand.โ€‹ โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“Œ #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 31 โ€“ April 4, 2025๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ Anticipated U.S. Jobs Report: The March employment data, set for release on Friday, April 4, is expected to show a slowdown in job growth, with forecasts predicting an increase of 140,000 nonfarm payrolls, down from 151,000 in February. The unemployment rate is projected to remain steady at 4.1%. This report will be closely monitored for signs of economic momentum and potential impacts on Federal Reserve policy. โ€‹ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ’ผ President Trump's Tariff Announcement: President Donald Trump is scheduled to unveil his "reciprocal tariffs" plan on Wednesday, April 2, dubbed "Liberation Day." The announcement is anticipated to include a 25% duty on imported vehicles, which could significantly impact the automotive industry and broader market sentiment. Investors are bracing for potential volatility in response to these trade policy developments. โ€‹ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“Š Manufacturing and Services Sector Updates: Key indicators for the manufacturing and services sectors are due this week. The ISM Manufacturing PMI, scheduled for Tuesday, April 1, is expected to show a slight contraction with a forecast of 49.5%, down from 50.3% in February. The ISM Services PMI, set for release on Thursday, April 3, is projected at 53.0%, indicating continued expansion but at a slower pace. These reports will provide insights into the health of these critical sectors. โ€‹ MarketWatch ๐Ÿ“Š Key Data Releases ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿ“… Monday, March 31: ๐Ÿญ Chicago Business Barometer (PMI) (9:45 AM ET): Forecast: 45.5โ€‹ Previous: 43.6โ€‹ Measures business conditions in the Chicago area, with readings below 50 indicating contraction.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“… Tuesday, April 1: ๐Ÿ—๏ธ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 0.3%โ€‹ Previous: -0.2%โ€‹ Indicates the total amount spent on construction projects, reflecting trends in the construction industry.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“„ Job Openings (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 7.7 millionโ€‹ Previous: 7.7 millionโ€‹ Provides insight into labor demand by measuring the number of job vacancies.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“… Wednesday, April 2: ๐Ÿญ Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 0.6%โ€‹ Previous: 1.7%โ€‹ Reflects the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, indicating manufacturing demand.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“… Thursday, April 3: ๐Ÿ“‰ Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 226,000โ€‹ Previous: 224,000โ€‹ Measures the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into labor market conditions.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“Š Trade Balance (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: -$123.0 billionโ€‹ Previous: -$131.4 billionโ€‹ Indicates the difference between exports and imports of goods and services, reflecting the nation's trade activity.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“… Friday, April 4: ๐Ÿ’ต Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 0.3%โ€‹ Previous: 0.3%โ€‹ Measures the change in earnings per hour for workers, indicating wage inflation.โ€‹ โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“Œ #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY Hanging on Mid-Range Support โ€“ Will It Rebound or Flush?โš ๏ธ Technical Analysis (TA) โ€“ Intraday View Current Price: ~$567.56 * SPY recently experienced a CHoCH followed by BOS, but now formed a new CHoCH โ†’ bearish shift in structure. * Price is testing a minor demand zone between 566โ€“567, holding just above the larger support base at 560โ€“555. * Volume increased on recent sell candles, showing seller control โ€” but Stoch RSI signals nearing exhaustion. Indicators: * MACD: Bearish crossover โ€“ but histogram showing potential slowing of momentum. * Stoch RSI: Deeply oversold and starting to turn up โ€“ signals possible bounce/retracement coming. ๐Ÿ” Key Levels Support Zones: * 566โ€“567 โ†’ Short-term demand / micro CHoCH * 560 โ†’ Highest negative GEX zone โ€“ PUT support * 555โ€“550 โ†’ Strong liquidity zone & 2nd PUT Wall Resistance Zones: * 572.5 โ†’ HVL zone and broken structure * 580 โ†’ Gamma wall zone, strong CALL resistance * 590โ€“600 โ†’ Extended resistance levels for swings ๐Ÿง  GEX & Options Flow Analysis (TanukiTrade Pro) * GEX Sentiment: ๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ต๐Ÿ”ด โ€” Bearish skew, with a weak neutral pocket * IVR: 26.4 โ†’ Volatility low, but near option seller zone * IVx avg: 20.7 * PUT$%: 53.8% โ€” Strong bearish hedging flow * CALL Resistance: 580 โ†’ gamma ceiling * PUT Wall: * 560 โ†’ Highest negative NetGEX (dealer support) * 555 & 550 โ†’ backup defense zones * HVL: 572.5 โ†’ key flip level ๐Ÿ“Œ Current setup shows dealers are heavily short gamma below 572.5, causing negative delta pressure. ๐Ÿ› ๏ธ Trade Setups ๐Ÿ“ˆ Bullish Setup โ€“ Bounce from 566โ€“567 * If SPY holds and reclaims 570 with strong bid, a move toward HVL possible * Entry: Break and hold above 570 * Target 1: 572.5 * Target 2: 578 * Stop-Loss: Below 565 * Options Play: * Buy Apr 3 $575 Calls * OR Call Debit Spread: Buy $570 / Sell $580 ๐Ÿ“‰ Bearish Setup โ€“ Breakdown Below 565 * Confirmed lower high and break of demand โ†’ opens trapdoor * Entry: Below 565 with momentum * Target 1: 560 * Target 2: 555 * Target 3: 550 * Stop-Loss: Above 570 * Options Play: * Buy Apr 3 $560 Puts * OR Put Spread: Buy $565 / Sell $555 ๐Ÿงญ Final Outlook * Bias: Bearish โ†’ unless 572.5 HVL is reclaimed. * SPY is caught between strong PUT support at 560 and heavy gamma ceiling at 580. * If market sentiment worsens or macro triggers hit, 555 is the magnet zone. * If buyers step in and hold 566+, bounce setups are likely โ€” but it must reclaim HVL for any strength. ๐Ÿ“› Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
1
Massive Rising wedge 4hr chartMassive rising wedge on 4hr chart!! Been tracking this the last couple weeks. Itโ€™s been respecting the trend lines for the this pattern. I believe this is either last leg down in the pattern or one more leg up before it completes the pattern and drops. Target would be 550-560 next week and then 540-550 the following week. With April 2nd with tariffs being finalized we could see this move happen between now and then. If this is the last leg down before it completes the pattern and drops more and breaks the bottom trend line it will happen by either Friday or Monday. If it does leg up it will most definitely be April 2nd when it breaks through bottom trend line. Letโ€™s see how this plays out but for those saying that we are not in a bear market and the bottom was back 552 then your not paying attention. I feel like the bottom could one of 3 targets - $490-20% drop, $430-20% drop, $307-50% drop. Now this all depends on Senior Cheeto. I am thinking 20%or 30% is ideal.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Stockdiddler24
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 27, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿš— Auto Tariffs Announced: President Trump has announced a 25% tariff on all cars not made in the U.S., effective April 2. This move is expected to impact the automotive industry and could influence market sentiment. ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ“‰ UK Inflation Falls: UK inflation has decreased to 2.8% in February, down from 3% in January, raising speculation about a potential interest rate cut by the Bank of England in May. This development may have implications for global markets. โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“Š Key Data Releases ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿ“… Thursday, March 27: ๐Ÿ“‰ Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 226,000โ€‹ Previous: 223,000โ€‹ Indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, offering insight into the labor market.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“ˆ Gross Domestic Product (GDP) โ€“ Second Revision (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 2.3% annualized growthโ€‹ Previous: 2.3%โ€‹ Provides a second estimate of the nation's economic growth for the fourth quarter of 2024.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ  Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 1.0%โ€‹ Previous: -4.6%โ€‹ Measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes, offering insights into future home sales.โ€‹ โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“Œ #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao