[Commodity] Copper Buy IdeaNote -
One of the best forms of Price Action is to not try to predict at all. Instead of that, ACT on the price. So, this chart tells at "where" to act in "what direction. Unless it triggers, like, let's say the candle doesn't break the level which says "Buy if it breaks", You should not buy at all.
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I use shorthands for my trades.
"Positional" - means You can carry these positions and I do not see sharp volatility ahead. (I tally upcoming events and many small kinds of stuff to my own tiny capacity.)
"Intraday" -means You must close this position at any cost by the end of the day.
"Theta" , "Bounce" , "3BB" or "Entropy" - My own systems.
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I won't personally follow any rules. If I "think" (It is never gut feel. It is always some reason.) the trade is wrong, I may take reverse trade. I may carry forward an intraday position. What is meant here - You shouldn't follow me because I may miss updating. You should follow the system I share.
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Like -
Always follow a stop loss.
In the case of Intraday trades, it is mostly the "Day's High".
In the case of Positional trades, it is mostly the previous swings.
I do not use Stop Loss most of the time. But I manage my risk with options as I do most of the trades using derivatives.
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CU1! trade ideas
Copper ready for fresh upside move again On Our Harmonic pattern indicator based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
Early trades Buy or sell below/ above 23.6 %, safe trades buy or sell above / below 41% , after taking trade next upside or downside levels will be target ,
When reverse buy or sell signal appear then book profit on Target or trail SL to 23.6 % If trailing SL hit then early trade can be taken above or below 23.6 and safe trade can b taken above/ below 41% ..
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
More Upside move pending on Copper On Our Harmonic pattern indicator based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
Early trades Buy or sell below/ above 23.6 %, safe trades buy or sell above / below 41% , after taking trade next upside or downside levels will be target ,
When reverse buy or sell signal appear then book profit on Target or trail SL to 23.6 % If trailing SL hit then early trade can be taken above or below 23.6 and safe trade can b taken above/ below 41% ..
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
XCUUSD ( COPPER / USD ) Commodities Analysis 29/08/2022Fundamental Analysis:
as of now we can see the global inflation has rise sky rocket and the worlds economy is in a huge bobble which soon will explode and a catastrophic crisis may occur, ultimately most of the manufacturing and development plants which are dependent on the base commodities such as Copper and gold may face some market crises and demand may plummet to a very critically low levels, consequently a lots of the retail and small entities producer and manufacturers will hit the bottom line and bankruptcies if their exposure is not hedged or planned their business strategies accordingly for these days.
one of the main reason for this incident can be the changing of the world order and power pole transformation from west to the middle east and far east, Russia's conflicts with Europe and china's with south china's sea and Taiwan.
food shortage and probably real state collapse could be predicted and can be a good cause of such a market fall.
energy crisis and fuel price jump can be another good reason to decrease the equity and profit margin in the manufacturing and production segments.
Technical Analysis:
There exist a bearish Divergence of Price and MACD followed with some market fall from its ATH which means bullish trend Reversal and we are facing more falls and a bearish Market, using Fibonacci Retracement levels we have defined some Target Levels which are having confluences with different cycle Fib Levels.
we have defined some Resistance levels using Fibonacci and Price Action.
we may have some Bullish price correction on the way of the bearish trend.
There are total of 4 targets defined using the confluences of Different Fibonacci and Price action levels and they can be considered as strong support levels if not Broken sharply
HG - COPPER FUTURES - BULLISH - LONGWill be looking at long positions for instrument for the following reason.
โข It is approaching a point of Major support in the ranging pattern looking back 3 months.
โข This is a long-term long swing for me looking forward at least 2-3 months, but it might happen sooner with the recent volatility in the market.
โข Looking to catch a long trade of the rejection from the support zone.
o I would need to zoom in to get a better entry point, once price rejects from the support zone.
โข Also, I have been studying the Elliott wave patterns, and the 5th wave is usually the point of a major trend reversal.
โข Also, there is the formation of the falling wedge pattern which adds to the confirmation of a bullish reversal.
Of course this is purely a technical approach.
**This is just my trading thought process and does not constitute as financial advice.
**Please trade with proper risk management**
Copper: A little further ๐คThe price of copper is now falling further and further after initially rising on Thursday. This development is in line with our primary scenario as we expect the low of the magenta wave (x) to be a bit lower in the turquoise target zone between $3.59 and $3.51. Only when it's placed, the price can rise above the resistance at $4.19 and build wave (B) in magenta. A drop to the green target zone between $3.08 and $2.59 should follow from this point.
HG1! Copper Day Trade 28-Sept-2023TRADE DIRECTION: LONG
Price broke and closed above the Short-Term Trendline (red line). Before that, there were many candlesticks with long lower wicks (yellow eclipses) and bullish reversal candles (green arrows) formed around the lower line of the Parallel Channel (green dashed line), indicating buyers had started to accumulate long positions and sellers took profit off their short positions.
KEY LEVELS:
1. Short Term Trendline (red line)
2. Parallel Channel (green dashed line)
3. Daily Pivot (Traditional Type)
TRIGGER SIGNAL:
Bullish Pin Bar (yellow arrow) and prior bullish reversal candles.
Copper started retracement moveOn Our Harmonic pattern indicator based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
Early trades Buy or sell below/ above 23.6 %, safe trades buy or sell above / below 41% , after taking trade next upside or downside levels will be target ,
When reverse buy or sell signal appear then book profit on Target or trail SL to 23.6 % If trailing SL hit then early trade can be taken above or below 23.6 and safe trade can b taken above/ below 41% ..
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
The Wiseguy Report : December Copper HGZ2023The Wiseguy Report : December Copper HGZ2023
HGZ2023 -- COMEX:HGZ2023
NEAR TERM : NEUTRAL
VOLUME STRUCTURE
So far, for the month of September, 70% of the December Copper volume has occurred between 3.8400 & 3.7100, with the highest volume occurring near 3.7900.
PRICE ACTION
December Copper has rejected all its previous interest inside the Value Zone & is seeking price balance somewhere near 3.6000 support. While this may appear Bearish at first, which it is, I am taking caution & anticipating an upside correction from this over-sold condition before becoming truly Bearish.
FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS
- Weak USA Housing Market.
---High USA Mortgage Rates
---Low demand for New & Existing Homes
- China's declining demand due to weak economy
Copper near at reversal zone can go up For all trade on my Auto Harmonic patterns indicator trade setup -
Risky trades can take trade after crossing 23.6% on either side and safe traders can take trade after 41% We can start buying when our Trailing SL hit at 23.6% with SL of recent low our Target will be 41%, 78.6% , 127.2% 161.8% and 223.6 % , when reversal pattern appears on chart we have to trail our SL if trailing SL hit exit from long trade and initiate sell trade ,
Copper ready for upside move For all trade on my Auto Harmonic patterns indicator trade setup -
Risky trades can take trade after crossing 23.6% on either side and safe traders can take trade after 41% We can start buying when our Trailing SL hit at 23.6% with SL of recent low our Target will be 41%, 78.6% , 127.2% 161.8% and 223.6 % , when reversal pattern appears on chart we have to trail our SL if trailing SL hit exit from long trade and initiate sell trade ,
Copper ready for upside move For all trade on my Auto Harmonic patterns indicator trade setup -
Risky trades can take trade after crossing 23.6% on either side and safe traders can take trade after 41% We can start buying when our Trailing SL hit at 23.6% with SL of recent low our Target will be 41%, 78.6% , 127.2% 161.8% and 223.6 % , when reversal pattern appears on chart we have to trail our SL if trailing SL hit exit from long trade and initiate sell trade ,
COPPER Two year Triangle is about to break out!Copper (HG1!) has been trading within a Triangle pattern for more than 2 years and recently the price action has gotten so narrow that it prompts to a break-out soon. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been acting as the Pivot level while the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) had the last rejection on record on September 01.
The 1D RSI since the May 24 Low has been printing a similar price pattern to July - October 2022 (so far). That fractal was also using the 1D MA50 as the Pivotand after it broke its Resistance, it rose aggressively almost as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. We will purse a more modest target, below the 1.5 Fib at 4.2000. The R/R is worth it as a break below the Higher Lows (bottom) of the Triangle will make us close the trade on minimum loss and open a sell instead targeting 3.5500 (Support 1).
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Copper fresh downtrend startedFor all trade on my Auto Harmonic patterns indicator trade setup -
Risky trades can take trade after crossing 23.6% on either side and safe traders can take trade after 41% We can start buying when our Trailing SL hit at 23.6% with SL of recent low our Target will be 41%, 78.6% , 127.2% 161.8% and 223.6 % , when reversal pattern appears on chart we have to trail our SL if trailing SL hit exit from long trade and initiate sell trade ,
Copper ready for Upmove 740 again For all trade on my Auto Harmonic patterns indicator trade setup -
Risky trades can take trade after crossing 23.6% on either side and safe traders can take trade after 41% We can start buying when our Trailing SL hit at 23.6% with SL of recent low our Target will be 41%, 78.6% , 127.2% 161.8% and 223.6 % , when reversal pattern appears on chart we have to trail our SL if trailing SL hit exit from long trade and initiate sell trade ,
COPPER: Neutral. Wait for a breakout.Copper is technically neutral, as also dipicted by the 1D outlook (RSI = 50.817, MACD = -0.013, ADX = 24.251) inside the HL trendline of the Bullish Megaphone and the LH trendline of the January High. This movement can only offer scalping opportunities.
If you want to commit beyond those, buy over the LH and target R2 on the medium term (TP = 4.1950) and sell under the HL and target S2 (TP = 3.5450).
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