Bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 32.74
1st Support: 32.25
1st Resistance: 33.38
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SILVER trade ideas
XAGUSD FOMC DAY.Hello people, just like my old analysis about PEPPERSTONE:XAGUSD , everything is going on fine, currently, XAGUSD is moving in a favorably way, and we now have another fresh opportunities to add to our position. See screenshot for more, if you want to understand the genesis of the analysis, pls do well to scroll through my profile, check about the old XAGUSD POST.
XAGUSD Multi-year Channel Up targeting $40 at least.Silver (XAGUSD) had a strong rebound on its April 07 2025 Low and that maintains the long-term bullish trend as not only did it kept clear of the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) but also rebounded on the long-term 1W RSI Support Zone.
This kept the 2.5-year Channel Up intact and the current structure looks very similar to late 2023 - early 2024 before the Resistance break-out. The Bullish Leg of this Channel Up have so far been identical (+48.93%) so if we repeat that, we can expect Silver to reach $42. We have a more modest Target at $40, which falls exactly at the top of the Channel Up.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Silver Analysis: Bearish Continuation Toward $31 Support ?🧠 Chart Context & Setup
Chart Type: Candlestick
Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red) — 32.814
EMA 200 (Blue) — 32.559
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 33.600 – 33.950
Price faced repeated rejection in this zone, confirming it as a valid supply/resistance area.
Support Zone: 30.600 – 31.100
Marked as the next potential demand zone, aligning with previous accumulation and reaction levels.
Current Price: ~32.618
Just below the 50 EMA and slightly above the 200 EMA.
🔄 Market Structure
The market experienced a strong bearish impulse in early April, followed by a bullish correction that reclaimed the 200 EMA.
Multiple internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps were taken before forming a potential lower high (LH) at the resistance zone.
The recent bearish move broke below the EMAs and previous structure, indicating a possible shift back to bearish momentum.
📉 Bearish Scenario Outlook (Most Probable as of Now)
The chart shows a projected lower high formation, likely leading into a continuation of the bearish move.
If price fails to break back above 32.800–32.900, we could expect a sell-off toward the support zone (30.600–31.100).
This move aligns with:
Breakdown below EMAs
Failed bullish continuation
Rejection from a strong resistance zone
🧭 EMA Analysis
EMA 50 > EMA 200, but the price is now sandwiched and showing signs of weakness.
If price sustains below both EMAs, momentum is likely to favor bears in the short to medium term.
⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch
Any strong bullish engulfing candle reclaiming the 33.000 zone could invalidate the bearish thesis.
Fundamentals like USD volatility, inflation data, or geopolitical tension could impact Silver drastically.
✅ Conclusion
The chart currently suggests a bearish continuation setup, with the potential for price to revisit the $31.00–$30.60 support zone after rejecting resistance. A retest of broken structure around 32.700–32.800 might provide an ideal entry for sellers.
Don't FREAK out...ZOOM out!Inverse Head and Shoulder on
the daily time frame. Don't freak
out on all the doom and gloom
predictions for silver. People are
buying this baby up. Don't doubt
me. We look super bullish to test
38 dollars towards the end of May
or around middle of JUNE.
Good luck and...
********* HAPPY SILVER HUNTING ***********
SILVER Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 32.746 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target -32.586
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Silver: Breakout Ahead After Strong Bullish Action?Silver has shown strong growth and is now trading at the key support/resistance level of $33 per ounce. Currently, the price is consolidating—so where will it go next?
I shorted yesterday, but the price action was very strong, with even the smallest pullbacks quickly bought up.
I now believe the short scenario is off the table, and we may see another wave of rapid growth.
However, to enter a long position, I need confirmation—a breakout above yesterday’s high at $33.25.
📝Trading plan:
Open a long position upon a breakout above 33.25.
Trade idea: XAGUSD long (BUY LIMIT)1. Technical Analysis Summary:
Daily Chart (Long-Term Trend)
• Trend: Strong bullish structure, recent consolidation after breakout above $30.
• MACD: Histogram tapering but still positive — momentum cooling but bullish bias intact.
• RSI (48.70): Neutral zone, not overbought or oversold — room for upside continuation.
• Price Action: Holding near previous resistance-turned-support around $32.40.
15-Min Chart (Intraday Context)
• Trend: Pullback from recent highs, but signs of base forming near $32.40.
• MACD: Still bearish, but histogram is flattening — suggesting downside momentum weakening.
• RSI (42.98): Near oversold territory — early sign of bounce potential.
3-Min Chart (Entry Timing)
• MACD: Just flipped bullish (signal line crossover), bullish divergence spotted.
• RSI (61.34): Rebounding strongly — confirmation of short-term bullish momentum.
• Price Action: Higher lows forming; reclaiming the 20 EMA.
⸻
2. Fundamental Backdrop (as of May 2025):
• Dovish Fed stance and expectations of interest rate cuts continue to support metals.
• Global macro uncertainty (inflation, geopolitical tensions) keeps demand for silver intact.
• Industrial demand for silver remains strong due to green energy initiatives.
⸻
3. Trade Setup (Long Position):
Bias: LONG XAGUSD
• Entry: 32.43 (current price, confirming breakout on 3M chart)
• Stop Loss (SL): 31.90 (below recent intraday low and structure support)
• Take Profit (TP): 33.80 (previous swing high from April, daily resistance zone)
FUSIONMARKETS:XAGUSD
SILVER Is Going Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,288.3.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,391.4 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
A potential "shark dive" in silver price.A potential "shark dive" in silver prices, referring to a sudden and sharp price decline, is being speculated, with projections indicating a possible drop from $33 to $32 per ounce. This scenario suggests a rapid and possibly unexpected sell-off, leading to downward pressure on the price of silver.
SILVER: Bearish Forecast & Outlook
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the SILVER pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
SILVER XAGUSD
Silver Demand Trends in 2025
Global silver demand is forecast to remain broadly stable in 2025 at around 1.20 billion ounces, with industrial use hitting a new record high. This is driven by ongoing growth in green technologies (solar panels, EVs), electronics, and AI-related products.
Industrial demand is expected to surpass 700 million ounces for the first time, while demand for coins and bars is rebounding in Western markets after a sharp drop in 2024.
Despite stable demand, the silver market remains in a structural deficit for the fifth year, with a 2025 shortfall projected at 117.6 million ounces-though this deficit is narrowing due to increased mine supply, especially from Mexico and Poland.
Which Country is Stockpiling Silver?
China is aggressively stockpiling silver in 2025.
China is purchasing large quantities of unrefined silver concentrate directly from Latin American refiners and miners, securing supply before it reaches the global spot market.
This strategy is driven by surging domestic industrial demand (especially for solar panels) and declining Chinese mine output.
How the China–Taiwan Conflict Affects Silver
Geopolitical tensions between China and Taiwan-and broader US-China trade frictions-are major drivers of silver price volatility and demand in 2025:
Safe-haven demand: Investors are turning to silver (alongside gold) as a hedge against geopolitical risk, trade war escalation, and potential supply disruptions.
Industrial risk: Tariffs and potential conflict threaten global electronics and solar manufacturing supply chains, both of which are major consumers of silver.
Strategic stockpiling: China’s accumulation of silver is partly a defensive measure in case of sanctions, trade blockades, or conflict with Taiwan and the US, ensuring access to critical industrial inputs.
Market impact: These factors have led to sharp price swings, with silver rallying nearly 4% in a single day during recent trade war escalations. Physical shortages are emerging, and above-ground inventories are at multi-year lows.
Summary Table
China’s industrial growth & stockpiling Increases global demand, tightens supply
China–Taiwan–US tensions Boosts safe-haven and strategic demand
Trade war/tariffs Disrupts supply chains, adds volatility
Physical inventory depletion Supports higher prices, risk of shortages
In summary:
Silver demand in 2025 remains robust, especially for industrial uses. China is the leading country stockpiling silver, buying directly from Latin America to secure supply amid falling domestic output and rising demand. The China–Taiwan conflict and US-China trade tensions are key catalysts, fueling safe-haven buying, strategic accumulation, and price volatility. These dynamics are likely to keep silver in a structural deficit and support elevated prices throughout the year.
Silver Market Steady — Eyes on the UpsideSilver is consolidating, holding above the 32 level. Dips are being bought actively, though there's no breakout higher yet — likely just a matter of time.
There were hopes for a deeper pullback to buy around 30.8–31, but the market didn’t offer the opportunity.
I'm holding a long position with a stop just below the 32.15 support level. I believe there's a solid chance for an upside acceleration and a breakout higher.
SILVER: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.455 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 32.035.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Sell Setup- Go for sell only when entry setup given
- will not enter without confirmation
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you know how
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
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"I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s Everything."
SILVER INTRADAY important support at 3200Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3300
Resistance Level 2: 3364
Resistance Level 3: 3405
Support Level 1: 3200
Support Level 2: 3136
Support Level 3: 3095
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Silver Surfers & Profit Pirates!Dive into the XAG/USD Silver Market with our slick Coastal Trader Blueprint! We’re blending razor-sharp technicals with juicy fundamentals to surf both bullish and bearish waves. Ready to ride the silver tide and stack those pips? Let’s make waves! 🌊📈
🏄♂️ The Silver Surf Strategy
Entry Signals 🚦:
🐬 Bullish Ride: Catch a dip to the Coastal Support Zone at 34.200—your ticket to ride the bullish swell!
🦈 Bearish Drop: Spot a break below 31.300—dive in for the bearish plunge!
Pro Tip: Set price alerts to nab these levels! 🔔
Stop Loss (SL) 🛡️:
Bullish Trade: Anchor SL at 31.300 (4H swing low, Coastal Support Zone).
Bearish Trade: Fix SL at 33.700 (4H swing high).
Tweak SL based on risk, lot size, and order count. Stay safe—this is your lifeline! ⚓
Take Profit (TP) 🏝️:
Bullish Surfers: Aim for 36.500 or bail if the tide turns.
Bearish Surfers: Target 28.800 or slip out before the market flips.
Exit Trick: Watch RSI for overbought/oversold signals to dodge wipeouts! 🚨
🌍 Why XAG/USD?
Silver’s riding a bearish current 🐻 as of May 12, 2025, fueled by:
Fundamentals: USD strength from Fed hawkishness, US economic growth, and tariff talks.
Macroeconomics: US resilience outshines global slowdown.
COT Data (Latest Friday, May 9, 2025): Speculative net shorts on silver rise, favoring USD
Intermarket: Soaring US yields and equities lift USD, capping silver.
Quantitative: RSI (oversold hints) and Fibonacci (61.8% retracement) signal bearish bias.
📊 Sentiment Snapshot (May 12, 2025, UTC+1)
Retail Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 40% 😄 (Betting on silver’s safe-haven spark)
🔴 Bearish: 47% 😣 (USD rally and yield spikes dominate)
⚪ Neutral: 13% 🤷♂️
Institutional Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 28% 💼 (Geopolitical hedges fuel demand)
🔴 Bearish: 62% ⚠️ (USD strength and high yields crush silver)
⚪ Neutral: 10% 🧐
⚡ Market Movers: News & Risk Control 📰
Volatility’s our wave, but surf smart:
Avoid new trades during high-impact news (FOMC, NFP).
Use trailing stops to lock profits and cap losses.
Stay alert—ride the news, don’t wipe out! 🌪️
💸 Real-Time Market Data (May 12, 2025, UTC+1)
Forex (USD Pairs): USD Index (DXY) at 102.50, up 0.3% (source: Financial Juice).
Commodities CFD: Silver (XAG/USD) at 31.850, down 1.2% daily.
Metals: Gold (XAU/USD) at 2,650, down 0.8%; Copper at 4.20, flat.
Energies: WTI Crude Oil at 78.30, up 0.5%.
Crypto: BTC/USD at 62,400, down 0.4%.
Indices: S&P 500 at 5,820, up 0.2%; Nasdaq 100 at 20,100, flat.
🚀 Join the Coastal Trader Crew!
Smash the Boost Button to supercharge our Coastal Trader Blueprint and make this silver surf legendary! 🌟 Every boost powers our squad to conquer the markets. Let’s dominate XAG/USD together! 🤙
Stay locked on your charts, keep alerts active, and vibe high. See you in the profits, surfers! 🤑🎈
#CoastalTrader #XAGUSD #SilverSurf #TradingView #RideTheTide
3 Liquidity indicators.3 Liquidity indicators. The liquidity indicators really need to be used together; they all give you great insight into the changes happening under the surface of the price action.
1. Liquidity sentiment indicator. This indicator shows you the strength of liquidity during a move up or in a pull back. It’s not moderated so it shows a relative strength of liquidity over all time scales. This is the most important of the indicators for staying in a trade as you actually see how much of the strength of the liquidity had dissipated during a move in price, it’s great for all time scales.
2.Time layered Liquidity Indicator gives you an idea of how long a change in liquidity strength takes to play out. The thickest line showing the current liquidity on the surface(nearest time period), but if this has been preceded by very strong liquidity at the surface for an extended period of time the moving average of the different layers of the liquidity will give you a good idea of how long that move has to play out until the liquidity makes a neutral level from the recent strong surface liquidity.
3. Irregular liquidity is vital to trading futures in short time periods that bridge different time zones over the Globex Futures markets, and securities(ones only trade during lit hours) over longer periods that bridge more than one day. This is because the lit hours of NYSE have so much more liquidity than the other globex hours, and different days of the week or month also have different patterns of liquidity because of hedging. The irregular liquidity indicator moderates any time period with the last 15 either days or week periods depending on the setting you choose, and smooths them to a moving average of 8 time periods. The day moderation is for a 4 hour time period and less setting on your TradingView. The weekly setting is for smoothing when you have your time period set to days. The Irregular Liquidity indicator also has a line in its moderation scale that is set at neutral to give you a relative feel of how far above or below an average liquidity the current measurement is.