Silver Bearish Opportunity โ Reversal Signals from Overbought ZSilver (XAG/USD) recently topped out near $33.85 and is now showing strong signs of a potential bearish reversal. Momentum indicators are cooling off, and price action is breaking below short-term support with a clear shift in sentiment.
๐ Technical Highlights:
โ
Rejection from resistance near $33.85
โ
Bearish MACD cross with growing downside momentum
โ
RSI dropping from overbought territory
โ
Loss of 9 EMA support
โ
Lower high forming after sharp rally
โ
Weakening momentum following extended upside move
๐ Trade Setup:
๐ด Entry Zone: Current levels ($33.58โ33.60)
๐ Stop Loss: Above $33.86 (recent swing high)
โ
TP1: $33.35 โ minor support
โ
TP2: $33.15 โ previous structure level
โ
TP3: $32.90 โ major horizontal support
๐ Iโve taken a short position here with a tight stop and a clean risk/reward profile. Watching for continuation as momentum shifts to the downside.
Letโs see how this unfolds ๐๐
SILVER trade ideas
Silver H4 | Approaching pullback supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 34.10 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 33.68 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 34.64 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Silver Rises as Markets Eye Trump TariffsSilver rose above $33 on Tuesday, rebounding as trade and economic concerns supported safe-haven demand. Hopes that Trump may adopt a more targeted tariff plan ahead of the April 2 deadline offered some relief, though his new pledges to tax autos and pharmaceuticals added uncertainty. Expectations of further Fed rate cuts also supported silver. Markets now anticipate one cut in June, another in September, and growing chances of a third in December.
If silver breaks above $33.80, the next resistance levels are $34.05 and $34.85. On the downside, support is at $33.10, with further levels at $32.50 and $32.15 if selling pressure increases.โฏ
Silver Bulls in Control as $34.87 Retest Comes Into ViewThe bullish move in silver we anticipated has played out nicely following the break of wedge resistance earlier this week, with the price squeezing above $34.24 on Thursday. Bulls will now be eyeing a retest of the October 24 swing high of $34.87.
Momentum indicators such as RSI (14) and MACD are trending higher, reinforcing the bullish setup and favouring buying dips and bullish breaks.
A retrace back toward $34.24 would create a setup where longs could be established above the level with a stop beneath for protection. While resistance may emerge around $34.50, $34.87 screens as a more appropriate target for those seeking greater risk-reward. A break above that would leave silver trading at multi-decade highs.
If silver were to reverse and close beneath $34.24, the bullish bias would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
Silver Wave Analysis โ 27 March 2025
- Silver broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 34.80
Silver recently broke the resistance area between the key resistance level 34.20 (top of the previous impulse wave i) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from January.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active impulse wave iii of the higher impulse waves 3 and (C).
Given the clear daily uptrend, Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 34.80 (former multi-month high from October) โ from where the downward correction is likely.
SILVER BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
โ
SILVER is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the price
Made a bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level of 3420$
On the trade war fears
Which reinforces our bullish
Bias and makes us expect a
Further bullish move up
LONG๐
โ
Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!โ
โจโจ
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program a nd receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Silver Approaching ATH โ Major Breakout Incoming?Silver is showing a strong bullish structure on the weekly timeframe. The price has been consistently forming Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), respecting a long-term ascending trendline thatโs acting as dynamic support. This trendline has held multiple pullbacks, confirming strong underlying demand.
Currently, Silver is approaching its All-Time High (ATH) resistance near $34.83 while testing the upper resistance trendline of an ascending channel. A clean breakout above this level could trigger a major rally, potentially setting a new ATH. If the price faces rejection, a healthy pullback toward the support zone around $30 could offer another long-entry opportunity.
The structure remains bullish as long as Silver holds above the trendline support. A successful breakout above $34.83 could lead to a strong bullish continuation.
Still DYOR, NFA
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Silver Insights: Aggressive Strategies and Bullish SentimentHello, friends! Iโm excited to share some observations on Silver.
Yesterday, I came across a couple of intriguing portfolios focused on this metal.
The first one is an aggressive call spread at $40-$40.25, while the second portfolio is a "butterfly" spread, positioned slightly lower.
Both portfolios are designed to capitalize on price movement, but the first one could yield a threefold profit with just a little push in its direction. The second one, however, will require some time and ideally needs to reach around $38 by the end of April.
From a technical standpoint, the chart shows a "spring compression", which often leads to the emergence of such portfolios. While I donโt place too much weight on predictive elements, the sentiment remains bullish.
Stay tuned, plan your trades and letโs see how this unfolds!
Always do your own research but do no hesistate visit us to leverage the comprehensive analysis from our team to enhance your trading advantage! ๐ช๐ผ
Buy SilverSilver looks good. There was a strong rally yesterday.
On the daily chart, the metal is in an uptrend that has remained intact since the beginning of the year.
The news background is positive, and major players, also known as "smart money," are buying the metal.
There is a strong chance of moving higher, with the first target at 34.8.
Since the metal is highly volatile, a stop-loss should be set at 33.20.
XAGUSD Channel Up aiming for the new Higher High.Silver (XAGUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up for exactly year (since the March 27 2024 Low). Its current Bullish Leg started on the December 31 2024 (Higher) Low after almost touching the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Once the price broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on January 28 2025, it remained above it ever since, which is what happened on both previous Bullish Legs. We expect a +30% rise and a test of the 1.382 Fibonacci extension as the previous Higher Highs. Our Target is just below that at 37.000.
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Silver (XAG/USD) โ Rising Wedge Breakdown & Retest๐ Overview of the Chart
The chart illustrates a classic Rising Wedge pattern that has broken down, signaling a potential bearish continuation. The price action respected technical structures, including support and resistance levels, trendlines, and key psychological zones.
The breakdown of the rising wedge led to a sharp decline, followed by a retest of the previous support as resistance, confirming further downside momentum. Traders analyzing this setup can identify clear entry points, stop-loss placements, and target objectives based on price action behavior.
๐น 1๏ธโฃ Understanding the Rising Wedge Pattern
A Rising Wedge is a bearish pattern that forms when price moves upward within converging trendlines. It indicates that buying momentum is slowing, and a potential reversal or breakdown is imminent.
โ Characteristics of the Rising Wedge on This Chart:
๐ Higher Highs and Higher Lows: The price was trending upwards, but the narrowing structure indicated exhaustion.
๐ Decreasing Momentum: Volume likely started declining as the price approached resistance.
๐ Bearish Breakdown: Price broke below the lower trendline, confirming the patternโs bearish nature.
๐ป What Happened Next?
The price dropped sharply after the wedge breakdown.
A retest of the broken trendline acted as a confirmation of resistance.
The downtrend continued, targeting a lower support level.
๐น 2๏ธโฃ Key Support & Resistance Levels
๐ต Major Resistance โ 34.27 USD (All-Time High & Supply Zone)
This level served as a strong supply zone, rejecting multiple bullish attempts.
Price struggled to break this level, leading to a sell-off.
The stop-loss for short trades is placed above this zone to minimize risk.
๐ Support Level โ 32.80 USD (Previous Support Turned Resistance)
This was a key support zone before the wedge breakdown.
Once broken, price retested this level and faced rejection, confirming a trend shift.
โซ Trendline Support (Now Broken)
The lower support trendline was a crucial guide for bulls.
Once price broke below, it signaled strong bearish control.
A retest of the trendline was unsuccessful, confirming a bearish continuation.
๐ข Target Zone โ 31.93 USD (Projected Breakdown Target)
The measured move target of the rising wedge aligns around 31.93 USD.
If selling pressure continues, price may reach this level.
๐น 3๏ธโฃ Trading Strategy โ Short Setup & Execution
This setup provides a high-probability short trade based on the pattern breakdown.
๐ Short (Sell) Entry Criteria:
โ
Entry Zone: After the price broke below the wedge and retested the trendline (~33.80 USD).
โ
Confirmation:
Bearish candlestick formations (Doji, Engulfing, or Pin Bars).
Increased volume on bearish moves.
๐ซ Stop-Loss Placement:
๐น Above the resistance level (34.27 USD) โ If price breaks above this, the setup is invalid.
๐น Reasoning: Protects against unexpected bullish reversals.
๐ฏ Take-Profit Target:
๐ป Target Price: 31.93 USD (based on measured move projection).
๐ป Risk-Reward Ratio: At least 2:1 (adjusted based on volatility).
๐น 4๏ธโฃ Market Psychology & Price Action Analysis
Understanding trader sentiment is crucial:
๐ Before the Breakdown:
Bulls were in control, pushing price higher.
However, momentum slowed down, forming the rising wedge.
Traders who identified this pattern anticipated a potential trend reversal.
๐ After the Breakdown:
Sellers overpowered buyers, causing a rapid break of structure.
The price retested the previous support as resistance, confirming further downside.
The market sentiment shifted to bearish, aligning with technical confirmations.
๐น 5๏ธโฃ Alternative Scenarios & Risk Factors
๐ Bullish Reversal (Invalidation of Bearish Bias)
๐จ If price reclaims 34.00-34.27 USD, it invalidates the bearish setup.
๐ A break above this level could trigger a new bullish wave, targeting higher highs.
โ ๏ธ Key Risk Factors:
Unexpected macroeconomic events (e.g., Fed policy, inflation data, geopolitical tensions).
Strong bullish rejection at lower support zones (~32.00 USD).
Volume divergence (if selling volume dries up, bears may lose control).
๐ข Conclusion: High-Probability Bearish Trade with Clear Risk Management
This rising wedge breakdown provides a strong short setup, with technical confirmations and price structure supporting further downside movement.
๐ Bearish Bias Until 31.93 USD
A breakdown retest suggests sellers remain in control.
Price is expected to continue lower unless bulls regain 34.00+ levels.
๐ Key Trading Question:
Will Silver (XAG/USD) continue to its measured target of 31.93 USD, or will bulls defend key support and push prices higher?
Letโs discuss! ๐๐
XAG/USD (Silver) 4H Trading Analysis๐ Current Price: 33.0990 (Near Entry Zone)
๐น Trading Setup:
๐ข Entry Zone: 32.97654
๐ด Stop-Loss (SL): 32.48368 โ
๐ต Take-Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: 33.30512 ๐ฏ
TP2: 33.62431 ๐ฏ๐ฏ
Final Target: 34.19599 ๐
๐ Price Action Insights:
โ
Bounce from Demand Zone (Gray Box) ๐
โ
Potential Bullish Move if price holds above entry ๐
โ ๏ธ Risk if SL is hit (Red Box) โ