XAGUSD Analysis with MMC | Trendline + CHoCH Insight + Target🔍 Overview
This XAGUSD chart presents a classic Mirror Market Concept (MMC) pattern – a fractal, symmetrical market behavior often observed at key inflection points. The structure is currently forming a tight triangle pattern within two converging trendlines, signaling a compression phase before a significant breakout.
Mirror Market Concept relies on the idea that historical emotional market structures tend to repeat or reflect, especially in psychologically sensitive zones such as trendline tests, liquidity pools, and BOS/CHoCH areas.
📐 Technical Structure Breakdown
🔷 1. Trendline Resistance & Support (Triangle Compression)
Upper trendline connects successive lower highs, reflecting consistent seller pressure.
Lower trendline aligns with higher lows, showing bullish defense and accumulation pressure.
The result is a symmetrical triangle, often preceding explosive directional moves.
🔹 2. Blue Ray Zone
The "Blue Ray" acts as a historical liquidity pivot — a region where large wicks and rejections happened in both directions.
Price has respected this zone repeatedly, making it a likely impulse trigger area if revisited.
🔄 3. BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character)
Major BOS near the $33.60 area indicates a shift in market structure to bullish. The break above previous swing highs suggests buyers gained control temporarily.
Major CHoCH at the base of the triangle reflects where market sentiment shifted, initiating the current series of higher lows.
📍 4. SR Interchange Zone
Previous resistance around $32.80–$33.00 is now acting as support (interchange level), creating a confluence zone with the lower trendline and CHoCH point.
🎯 Forecast & Targets
✅ Bullish Scenario (Primary):
A breakout above the upper triangle trendline and confirmation above $33.60 will validate the bullish breakout setup.
Price Target: $34.40 – $34.60 (based on triangle height + measured move theory)
Expect impulsive follow-through as trapped shorts exit and fresh longs enter.
🚫 Bearish Alternative:
A breakdown below $33.00 with strong volume and bearish retest may invalidate the bullish setup.
In such case, a fall toward $32.20–32.40 is possible — completing a deeper retracement before any resumption of the upward move.
🔍 Market Psychology Behind the Pattern
This triangle represents market indecision, a "coil" where both bulls and bears are losing volatility while absorbing liquidity. The MMC concept teaches us that price often mirrors previous patterns — and the compressed energy inside triangles typically resolves in sharp momentum moves, mirroring the prior impulse.
Expect a strong breakout that "mirrors" the breakout leg from May 22 to May 23. This type of reflection-based logic is a cornerstone of MMC.
🔔 Trading Plan & Strategy
Entry: Wait for breakout and retest of the triangle boundary (ideally on 1H/2H close).
Stop Loss: Below the most recent swing low inside the triangle.
TP1: $34.10
TP2: $34.40
TP3: $34.60 (psychological level and measured move)
⚠️ Risk & News Considerations
Upcoming U.S. economic data events (highlighted on the chart) could act as catalysts. Be prepared for volatility spikes and fakeouts. Always use solid risk management.
SILVER trade ideas
SILVERThe correlation between Silver and the US Dollar Index (DXY) is generally strongly negative. This means that when the DXY rises (the dollar strengthens), silver prices tend to fall, and when the dollar weakens, silver prices usually rise.
Reasons for the Negative Correlation:
Silver is priced in US dollars: A stronger dollar makes silver more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar makes silver cheaper internationally, boosting demand and prices.
Safe-haven and inflation hedge: Silver, like gold, is often sought during times of dollar weakness, inflation concerns, or geopolitical uncertainty.
Supporting Details from Recent Analysis:
Silver prices have a strong inverse relationship with the DXY,the Historical trends show silver outperforming during sustained dollar downtrends.
Silver’s smaller market size and greater volatility compared to gold mean silver can experience more pronounced price moves in response to dollar fluctuations.
Recent silver price rallies in 2025 have been supported by dollar weakness, safe-haven demand, and industrial use, with silver trading near $34.50 per ounce.
Summary Table
Factor Impact on Silver Price Explanation
DXY Strengthens Silver price tends to fall Silver becomes more expensive globally
DXY Weakens Silver price tends to rise Silver becomes cheaper internationally
Safe-haven Demand Supports silver during dollar weakness or uncertainty Investors seek precious metals as alternatives
Industrial Demand Supports silver price Silver’s use in electronics and renewable energy
Conclusion
Silver and the US Dollar Index exhibit a notable inverse correlation driven by silver’s dollar pricing and its role as a safe-haven and industrial metal. Monitoring key DXY technical levels can provide insights into potential silver price movements, with dollar weakness often heralding strong silver rallies.
#gold #silver
Market next move 🔍 Bearish Disruption Perspective
1. Supply Zone Rejection
The red box marks a strong resistance zone. Current price action shows rejection at that level (long upper wicks).
This signals that sellers are defending this zone, increasing the likelihood of a false breakout.
2. Exhaustion After Strong Rally
The massive green candle just before the resistance may have exhausted short-term buying power.
Without a clear consolidation or volume surge, the price could reverse or retrace to gather strength.
3. Volume Discrepancy
Volume spikes with price often suggest conviction. However, this chart shows moderate volume on the test of resistance—not enough to confirm breakout strength.
4. Bearish Candlestick Pattern
The small red candle following the green surge could be forming a bearish engulfing or rejection candle, depending on the close.
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Silver got a healthy breakout and appears reasonably trend folloSilver got a healthy breakout and appears reasonably attractive as a buy following the signal.
1. After an extended consolidation, silver has broken out of its upper range to retest the previous swing high.
This breakout from its sideways range is technically significant, reinforced by a strong bullish candlestick that indicates robust upward momentum. Another $0.50 move would mark the highest level in over 12 years, which could attract a surge of speculative buying which may ignite the following surge.
2. Fundamentally, silver prices are rising in tandem with gold, as silver serves as an alternative investment in the precious metals group and acts as a reliable safe-haven asset, making this rally justifiable.
3. Especially in the current situation, where economic fragility, unresolved trade issues, and escalating geopolitical tensions are all pushing investors toward precious metals.
4. In addition, the unusually large amount of US debt maturing during this month has contributed to a weaker US dollar, which in turn provides further support for precious metal prices.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
XAGUSD(SILVER):To $60 the silver is new gold, most undervaluedSilver has shown remarkable bullish behaviour and momentum, in contrast to gold’s recent decline. Despite recent news, silver remains bullish and unaffected by these developments. We anticipate that silver will reach a record high by the end of the year, potentially reaching $60.
There are compelling reasons why we believe silver will be more valuable in the coming years, if not months. Firstly, the current price of silver at 36.04 makes it the most cost-effective investment option compared to gold. This presents an attractive opportunity for retail traders, as gold may not be suitable for everyone due to its nature and price.
Silver’s price has increased from 28.47 to 36.25, indicating its potential to reach $60 in the near future. We strongly recommend conducting your own analysis before making any trading or investment decisions. Please note that this analysis is solely our opinion and does not guarantee the price or future prospects of silver.
We appreciate your positive feedback and comments, which encourage us to provide further analysis. Your continuous support over the years means a lot to us.
We wish you a pleasant weekend.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx
Silver (XAGUSD) Breaks Out – What’s the Paths Forward?Silver has experienced a significant breakout, decisively surpassing its previous high from October 2024. This signals the start of the next upward leg in its price trajectory. From the last notable low on April 7, 2025, the rally has been unfolding as an impulsive wave with an extended structure, often referred to as a “nest.” Beginning from the April 7, 2025 low, wave (1) reached its peak at 33.684. It was then followed by a corrective pullback in wave (2), which concluded at 31.635. From this point, silver resumed its upward momentum in wave (3). The metal displays an internal subdivision characteristic of another impulsive wave.
Breaking down the progression from wave (2) low, the initial wave 1 advanced to 33.69. A subsequent dip in wave 2 found support at 32.58, as illustrated in the accompanying 1-hour chart. The metal then continued its ascent, nesting higher once again. From the wave 2 low, the sub-wave ((i)) peaked at 33.56. A pullback in wave ((ii)) then followed which bottomed out at 32.67. Silver then resumed its upward trend in wave ((iii)). Wave (i) of ((iii)) concluded at 33.49 and wave (ii) of ((iii)) ended at 32.75.
Looking ahead, silver is expected to achieve two additional highs to complete wave (iii) before encountering a corrective pullback in wave (iv). Afterwards, the upward trajectory should resume. In the near term, as long as the pivotal low at 32.58 remains intact, any dips are likely to attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings, setting the stage for further upside potential. This technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook for silver, with the current structure supporting continued gains in the near future.
SILVER – The Technicals Are Clear, The Fundamentals Are LoudEntry: $32.978
Current Price: $34.52
Target: Still in play, short-term and long-term upside remain
Technical Outlook:
Silver has maintained bullish structure after a clean breakout from the $32.9 zone.
- Higher lows continue
- Bullish momentum intact
- Watching $35 as next key psychological level
- Break & retest = next leg up
Short-term resistance at $35.20, if price holds above this zone, I expect continuation toward $38–40.
Long-Term Price Forecasts:
- Investing Heaven: $48–50 by 2025, up to $75 by 2027
- JPMorgan / Citi: $38–40
- Fixed supply vs. growing demand = long-term bullish imbalance
Why Silver Could Outperform (Fundamentals):
AI Boom → High silver usage in electronics
Green Energy → Critical in solar panels & EVs
Industrial Demand ⬆ while supply remains capped
This is more than a chart pattern, it’s a macro thesis with technical validation.
Trading Psychology Insight:
Most traders get shaken out before the move completes.
The real challenge isn’t spotting the setup, it’s holding through the noise.
Patience is a position.
Discipline is your edge.
I’m still holding not from hope, but from trust in my process.
Levels I’m Watching:
Break of $35 with volume = bullish confirmation
Failure to hold = possible retest near $33.8–34 zone
Long-term: Gradual climb with dips to accumulate
Agree? Disagree? Let’s talk in the comments.
If you want me to post the next phase of this trade with updates + psychology notes, drop a "Comment"
Silver(XAG) Long Set-UPTVC:SILVER MCX:SILVER1!
📈 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐟𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐓𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐚𝐰𝐚𝐲:
𝐁𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐡 𝐁𝐢𝐚𝐬 🚀
The technical setup points toward a potential breakout after a 13-year consolidation.
If silver breaks above ~$35 convincingly on a monthly close, the next key target would be $48–$50 (2011 highs).
⚠️ 𝐂𝐚𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧
This is a major resistance; failure to break above it may result in a pullback or consolidation.
A rejection here would keep silver in the range-bound regime, especially if the trendline support (~$30) breaks.
🧠 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐜 𝐕𝐢𝐞𝐰
Position traders/investors might look to accumulate on dips near the trendline or on a confirmed breakout retest.
𝐑𝐢𝐬𝐤 𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐠𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐜𝐫𝐮𝐜𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞: set stops below the trendline or prior swing lows.
Macro tailwinds (inflation, rate cuts, weakening USD, geopolitical stress) will play a pivotal role in confirming this breakout technically and fundamentally
Silver - Short Term Buy IdeaM15 - Strong bullish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Silver at All Time High Looks Ripe for a Pullback! Hey Traders so today was taking a look at Silver Market. It just hit an all time high exciting times in these precious metals! Seems like Gold is normally the first train to leave the station but when silver catches up man can she move!
Anyway so now that there has been a break above resistance 34.63 the momentum might really get going so should you buy it now?
Absolutely not imo first rule of trading is Buy Low Sell High! 😁
I don't believe in chasing markets let it come to you!
So where is the best place to Buy?
Well if we look at the chart we can see a very strong 3 bar uptrend line in place since April. So the best way to trade the trend is buy when it pulls back to the trendline.
Simple Enough right and No Indicators Needed.
Well yes but actually we can even try to find a better entry point. See that huge rally candle on June 2?
If we can measure that candle with the Fibonacci tool then find the 50% retracement of that candle I think it's a great place to place a buy order.
X marks the spot at $33.84!
From what I have seen over the years is that when markets retrace 50% of candle like that there is a lot of buying pressure and support at that level so it may not stay there for long. Hopefully it hits that level and then continues the uptrend.
So place an entry order at that level $33.84 and you don't even have to watch the market🤔
Place a stop loss below support at around 32.49
If bearish be very careful because this is a strong bull market. Also Gold and Silver has a Seasonal Pattern to Rise in July and August.
Always use Risk Management!
(Just in case your wrong in your analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
SILVER Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 32.985 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 33.258
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAGUSD Weekly Technical Analysis Breakdown (MMC Style) + Target📈 Chart Summary:
The chart shows the price action of Silver (XAG/USD) on the daily timeframe, capturing a significant shift in market sentiment. This analysis is based on the MMC (Market Maker Cycle) concept and a combination of Smart Money Concepts, Pennant Structure, and Volume Contraction patterns.
Over the past weeks, XAGUSD has transitioned from accumulation and markup to distribution and markdown, suggesting that smart money has exited long positions and is now pushing price toward discount zones for future reaccumulation.
🔍 Detailed Breakdown:
🔹 1. Major Resistance Area – The Selling Origin
At the top of the chart, we see a major resistance zone near $35–$36, which acted as a structural ceiling for months. Each time price approached this area, sellers stepped in aggressively, rejecting price and creating long wicks.
This level represents institutional supply—where big players offload positions, often leaving a liquidity trail behind for later use.
🔹 2. Pennant Formation + Volume Contraction – Classic Distribution
From late April to mid-May, Silver formed a pennant structure, a well-known consolidation pattern. What's special here is the volume contraction—a subtle clue that buyers are drying up while sellers prepare for a large move.
This is a classic Wyckoff distribution behavior:
Buyers are lured in as price moves in a tight range.
Breakout traders enter early expecting a bullish continuation.
Institutions trap liquidity before dumping price into inefficiency.
The mini Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside acted as a false breakout, perfectly engineered to trap liquidity above the pennant.
🔹 3. Structural Breakdown – Momentum Shifts Bearish
Once the trap was complete, price reversed with strong momentum, breaking past key supports and violating internal structure. The label "Structural Analysis" marks the beginning of this break in market structure, confirming the change in character.
This shift aligns with Smart Money’s "Manipulation → Distribution → Expansion" logic.
We also note how price broke below the SR-interchange zone, where support became resistance—a powerful reversal confirmation.
🔹 4. Target + Next Reversal Zone – The Magnet
Currently, Silver is headed toward the $29–$28 zone, highlighted in red as the "Target + Next Reversal" area.
This level has high confluence:
Acts as a previous QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level).
Has unmitigated demand.
Matches with earlier lows where smart money likely accumulated positions.
Here, we can expect either a strong bounce or short-term consolidation before the next directional move.
📌 Confluence Zones:
Key Zone Significance
$35–$36 Major Resistance (Supply / Exit zone)
$33.5 Mini BOS & Liquidity Trap Area
$31.8 – $32.5 Structural Break Zone (Old Demand Broken)
$29 – $28 Target + Reversal (High Confluence Zone)
🧠 Smart Money Perspective:
This entire sequence is not random—it’s engineered.
Institutions:
Collected orders at the bottom.
Pushed price up to resistance.
Consolidated in a pennant to build liquidity.
Triggered a false breakout to trap late buyers.
Dumped aggressively, targeting previous lows for re-entry.
This is the Market Maker Cycle in action — and we’re in the Distribution to Markdown phase right now.
🎯 Trading Plan:
Short-Term Bias: Bearish until $29–$28 is reached.
Swing Traders: Look for signs of reversal in the $28–$29 zone (bullish engulfing, FVG fill, or demand reactivation).
Day Traders: Watch for pullbacks to the $32.5–$33 resistance zone to enter continuation shorts.
🧵 Final Thoughts:
This is a textbook example of how Smart Money manipulates structure, traps liquidity, and moves price in phases. Patterns like pennants, BOS, and SR flips, when combined with volume and context, give us clear directional bias.
If you're still chasing the breakout without understanding the setup behind it, you're trading against those who engineered the move. Understand the structure — or get trapped by it.
Silver is on set for another surge
After silver prices surged significantly on Monday, the market followed by a consolidation phase, forming a symmetrical triangle pattern. Typically, this pattern signals a continuation of the prevailing trend, but confirmation is required on a breakout—ideally sustaining above the previous high at 34.80.
If the price hold above 35.00, it would confirm a 12-year high, which could attract more speculative flow and drive prices even higher.
Should the breakout align with the prevailing uptrend, the projected target based on the flagpole's height is around 36.50—marking the next key target zone.
Fundamentally, the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) on Friday, June 6, could serve as a key catalyst. With broad market participation expected, the data has the potential to push silver prices to new highs.
Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe show no signs of resolution, which continues to support demand for safe-haven assets like precious metals. This provides further upward momentum for silver.
However, any signs of progress in geopolitical negotiations would pose a downside risk to this bullish outlook.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
XAGUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 33.61, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 34.71, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 32.60, a swing low support.
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