XAG/USD (Silver) Monthly Analysis – Major Resistance Test Incomi🔍 XAG/USD (Silver) Monthly Analysis – Major Resistance Test Incoming 💥🪙
📊 Overview:
This monthly chart of XAG/USD (Silver vs. US Dollar) reveals a critical technical juncture, where price action is testing a multi-year resistance-turned-support zone around $36.27. The chart is structured with major zones of support and resistance, and it includes a potential bullish extension followed by a bearish correction scenario.
📌 Key Technical Levels:
🟧 Support Zone: $22.50 – $24.00
🟨 Resistance-Turned-Support Zone: $34.00 – $36.50
🟪 Major Resistance: $43.60 – $48.80
🔼 Bullish Scenario (Preferred Path):
Current Price: ~$36.27 is at the upper edge of a crucial S/R flip zone.
📈 A breakout above this zone could propel silver toward the next resistance target at $43.60, with a potential full extension to $48.80.
✨ Momentum and historical breakout behavior from this region suggest strong buying interest if breached convincingly.
🔽 Bearish Scenario (Rejection Path):
🔄 If silver faces rejection at the $36.27 zone, it may retrace towards:
🟥 $28.31 minor support (intermediate target),
🔻 followed by a deeper correction to the $22.50–$24.00 support zone.
🔁 This would complete a classic retest of broken support, allowing accumulation before any further long-term rally.
🧠 Strategic Notes:
⚠️ Macro-driven: Silver is highly sensitive to inflation, Fed policy, and industrial demand.
📅 Long-term chart suggests cyclical behavior, with consolidation phases followed by aggressive trends.
📌 Traders should monitor weekly closes around $36.27 to confirm breakout or rejection.
✅ Conclusion:
Silver is at a make-or-break zone 🧨. A breakout may lead to a multi-year high, but failure here opens the door for a healthy pullback. The next few candles will be decisive for long-term positioning.
📉 Watch for rejection wicks at resistance
📈 Monitor volume on breakout attempts
📊 Plan for both outcomes: breakout or retest
SILVERCFD trade ideas
Silver energy buildup, Bullish continuation pattern developing Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3723
Resistance Level 2: 3787
Resistance Level 3: 3847
Support Level 1: 3507
Support Level 2: 3448
Support Level 3: 3386
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Silver Tests Key Long-Term ResistanceSilver is testing the 34.85 level, a critical resistance both in the short and long term. Since 2013, a cup and handle formation has developed just beneath this level. A confirmed breakout could signal sustained long-term bullish momentum.
Supporting this outlook, the gold/silver ratio has recently shown a decisive tilt in gold's favor, reaching historically extreme levels. This test of 34.85 might be the catalyst silver bulls have been waiting for and a return to normal signal for gold/silver ratio with pair trade oppurtunity.
However, caution is warranted. Silver is known for sharp intraday and weekly reversals. Confirming the breakout or false breakout could become tricky.
Why Silver Must Go Down — And Why It's No Safe HavenOANDA:XAGUSD TVC:SILVER Silver is often misunderstood. Investors treat it like a hedge against uncertainty—a supposed "safe haven" asset. But in reality, silver is not a store of value. It’s an industrial metal, one that quietly fuels inflation and raises the cost of everyday life.
📈 High Silver Prices = Hidden Inflation
Silver plays a key role in the modern economy. It’s a vital component in the electronics we use, the vehicles we drive, and even the medical products we depend on.
When silver prices rise, manufacturing costs increase. That leads to higher prices for consumers. Unlike gold, which sits in vaults, silver is used up. It goes into your phone, your TV, your car, your solar panel—then it's gone. Rising silver prices ripple through the global supply chain.
⚠️ The effects:
Smartphones and laptops become more expensive.
Solar panels cost more, slowing clean energy adoption.
Medical tools and antibacterial products go up in price.
EVs become harder to produce at scale.
Inflation quietly worsens for the average person.
❌ Silver Is NOT a Safe Haven
The idea that silver is a safe-haven asset is a dangerous myth.
Unlike gold, silver is tied closely to industrial demand. When economies slow down, silver usually underperforms. It’s volatile, reactive, and far from stable. While gold often rises in a crisis, silver behaves like a commodity—not a financial refuge.
Quick facts:
Silver is more volatile than gold.
It follows manufacturing trends, not market fear.
Its price is highly speculative and sentiment-driven.
📉 Why Silver Needs to Correct
Today’s silver prices are being driven more by emotion and narrative than fundamentals. Industrial demand is steady—not surging. Yet prices are inflated as if silver is scarce or irreplaceable. A correction in silver would:
Lower production costs for key industries
Ease global inflation pressure
Help consumers avoid price hikes on essential goods
Reduce over-speculation and volatility in the metals market
📋 Real-Life Items That Contain Silver
Understanding silver’s true role means looking at the real-world items that use it every day:
🔌 Electronics:
Smartphones (iPhones, Androids)
Laptops, tablets, TVs
Game consoles, remotes
Smartwatches, fitness trackers
🏠 Home:
Refrigerators, ovens, washers, dryers
LED light bulbs
Smart home devices (Alexa, Nest)
Air conditioners, thermostats
🚗 Vehicles:
Electric vehicles and battery systems
Infotainment systems
Defoggers, sensors, GPS units
⚡ Energy:
Solar panels (photovoltaic cells)
Electrical wiring, circuit breakers, fuses
🧬 Healthcare:
Wound dressings, surgical tools
Dental fillings, medical tubing
Antibacterial creams, hospital gear
👚 Clothing:
Antimicrobial athletic wear
Silver-infused socks, uniforms
🔄 Other:
Water purifiers
Air purifiers
Jewelry and coins
Musical instruments
Photography (traditional film)
🧠 Final Thoughts
Silver is not a safe haven—it’s a cost driver. Every dollar it rises adds pressure to the real economy. If you're serious about inflation, energy access, and technological progress, you should hope silver goes down, not up.
A lower silver price doesn’t hurt progress—it fuels it.
Silver (XAGUSD) – Buy the Dip Toward Bespoke SupportTrade Idea
Type: Buy Limit
Entry: 3590
Target: 3721
Stop Loss: 3544
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 11/06/2025 06:00
Technical Overview
Despite signs of a short-term top forming, the overall bias has turned positive, suggesting any downside may be corrective.
Price is expected to pull back into bespoke support at 3590, providing a low-risk opportunity to rejoin the broader bullish move.
The setup aligns with a buy-the-dip strategy, targeting a retest of resistance at 3721.
Additional confirmation would come from a hold above 3630, reinforcing the short-term bullish outlook.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Still we are valid on SILVER to push price upside Explained.In lower time frame we are seeing messy impulsive move both side due to geopolitical tension. Over all my bias on Silver is Bullish.
We are leaving potential weekly FVG which shows impulsive bullish momentum currently we are rejecting from Daily FVG based on my strategy i am still valid, invalidation point is daily low created on Daily FVG but i follow conservative Stop loss rule. so i stopped out earlier. But my over all bias is still Bullish reason explained on chart you can see.
Silver the sad metalIt's Friday and today's post is of less serious nature. Sometimes it's good to have a little fun and get back to very serious posts next week.
Gold and Silver often are part of the same conversation. It makes sense Silver and Gold price data have a correlation coefficient of approximately 0.80 over the past 20 years. I mean they are like to inseparable friends that have been doing everything together since before you or I were born.
So someone might ask hey silver why are you still sleeping. No new high since 2011 now for some of us that feels like just yesterday. Let's break it down though a child born in 2011 is now in Grade 9. Hope that silver was not to pay for their college fees.
A typical basket of groceries went up by over 42.94% according to CPI change. (Which is probably low since the basket changes and manipulates inflation numbers.) That puts current silver purchasing power at about ~$25 value of its 2011 price. Congrats 14 years later Silver half what it bought in 2011. That store of value is more like frosty the snow man in the summer time. Silver made the same price high in 1980 I'd tell you about it but I am not old enough. Let's ignore that for now.
Come on now it's not all gloom out there. Jokes aside. Silver price has moved up significantly since 2020 low around $11. What do we know about assets that break out after a long time stuck under a price point. Typically as some would say they go to the moon. Don't expect that here. Why it's been 45 years. If silver meets up with his old friend Gold he will remind his old friend that he is the more volatile of the two. Forget the moon it would be a space race to mars. My most conservative target would be $100. The 1.618 FIB retracement level. By that metric Gold is already at its 2 FIB retracement level. For silver that's 165.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this post is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, market, or trading strategy does not guarantee future results. I am not a financial advisor. Please conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions you make.
Precious metals: rotation towards silver, platinum and palladium1) GOLD, a mature bull cycle running out of technical steam
For over a year, gold (XAU/USD) has been the undisputed leader of the precious metals segment, driven by a powerful cocktail of technical and macroeconomic factors. Long-term bullish targets, identified via an Elliott wave reading, have now been reached or are very close to being reached, suggesting a possible end to the cycle. Gold's outperformance has been driven by several factors: an annual depreciation of the US dollar, robust physical demand in China and India, a rush by central banks to use gold as a strategic reserve, and increased financial demand via ETFs and futures markets. Nevertheless, this momentum may now be running out of “fuel” as the greenback approaches a technical crossroads, US interest rates stabilize, and the geopolitical environment remains uncertain but largely taken on board by the markets.
2) Silver, platinum and palladium lag far behind gold
While gold's bullish cycle appears to be coming to an end, investors are turning their attention to the other precious metals - silver, platinum and palladium - which are lagging significantly behind. This is partly due to their hybrid nature: halfway between industrial asset and safe-haven, they have not enjoyed the same enthusiasm as gold during periods of sheer financial uncertainty. However, the situation seems to be changing: the first stages of a technical catch-up can be observed, notably in silver (XAG), whose recent performance has outstripped that of gold. This comeback is supported by an optimistic reading of COT (Commitment of Traders) data, showing a reconstitution of long positions. Upside potential remains intact in the short to medium term, supported by industrial fundamentals and converging technical signals.
3) Are platinum and palladium technical opportunities or not?
Platinum (XPT) and palladium (XPD), long lagging behind, are now entering a recovery phase. These metals, widely used in automotive catalysts, have suffered from the energy transition and the decline in internal combustion engines. However, this weakness seems to have been overplayed by the markets. From a technical point of view, the current configurations suggest opportunities for a rebound. All the more so as certain players are beginning to recognize the role these metals could play in industrial value chains linked to hydrogen and clean mobility. If gold is reaching the top of the cycle, it is potentially in these “lagging” metals that the bullish leverage now lies for the months ahead.
4) The special case of copper
Last but not least, copper (XCU), although not considered a precious metal in the strict sense, deserves special attention. A true thermometer of the global economy, it has long been held back by uncertainties over Chinese growth and structural difficulties in Asia's real estate sector. But here too, the scenario seems to be changing: the gradual recovery in industrial demand, coupled with structural tensions on supply, is paving the way for a bullish phase. Copper thus represents a bridge between industrial metals and speculative dynamics, an asset in a context of accelerated energy transition. In short, while gold remains a strategic pillar, the next big move could well come from a generalized catch-up of all the metals that have lagged behind.
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SILVER: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 36.640 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Breaks Above Resistance and has a $50 Price ObjectiveSilver has been in an up-trend since March 2020. There is also a well defined resistance line since August 2020. Price just broke above this resistance and stayed above for 5 days. The support and resistance lines nearly form an up-sloping channel with a width of $18 to $10 ($14 average). The price objective is now $50 ($36 current + $14). This coincides with the prior high from 2011 which is the next major resistance level (orange flat line). A stop loss can be placed at the recently broken resistance line which is now support.
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 36.303 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Silver Holds Near 13-Year HighsSilver has surged past the $36.40 per ounce mark, reaching its highest level in 13 years after a clean breakout from a one-month consolidation phase spanning April and May 2025. The breakout targets the $37 level and aligns with a rising channel defined by higher lows since February 2024.
If silver retraces below $36, potential support levels include $35.70, $35.30, and $34.70, which may offer a base for consolidation or a recharge before continuation of the broader uptrend. A sustained hold above $37.30 could open the path toward the $40 level, further validating a larger inverted head and shoulders pattern on the monthly chart.
Are we on track to revisit 2011 highs in 2025?
- Razan Hilal, CMT
Silver Bulls Breach Key Resistance – Momentum BuildsSilver (XAG/USD) has punched through a major horizontal resistance level around the psychological $35.00 mark, marking a significant technical breakout with bullish continuation potential.
🔍 Technical Highlights
Breakout Above Multi-Month Resistance: Price has cleanly broken above the key $35.00 zone, which had capped upside since late 2023. The breakout follows a tight consolidation range, suggesting a measured accumulation phase has ended.
Moving Averages Aligned Bullishly:
The 50-day SMA is rising sharply and sits well above the 200-day SMA.
Price is comfortably trading above both averages, confirming a strong uptrend structure.
MACD in Strong Positive Territory: MACD has surged above its signal line, reinforcing bullish momentum. No signs of a bearish crossover in sight.
RSI Enters Overbought Zone: RSI is currently near 70. While this signals strong momentum, it also raises the potential for short-term cooling or consolidation before any continued leg higher.
⚙️ Outlook
The breakout above $35.00 represents a major bullish development, potentially opening the door to further upside exploration. The impulsive nature of recent gains, combined with rising momentum indicators and trend-confirming moving averages, all favor the bulls. However, the overbought RSI suggests the possibility of a short-term pullback or sideways consolidation before the next move higher.
Traders may want to monitor for a potential retest of the $35.00 area as support, which could offer a higher-probability continuation setup within the broader uptrend.
-MW
SILVERRelationship Between Silver, 10-Year Bond Yield, and DXY (US Dollar Index) as of June 2025
1. Silver Price:
Silver has surged past $35 per ounce, approaching $36, marking a 13-year high and a strong rally driven by supply deficits and robust industrial demand, especially from electronics, solar panels, and renewable energy sectors.
US 10-Year Treasury Yield:
The 10-year yield recently rose to around 4.50% to 4.55% (June 6, 2025), up about 12 basis points over a couple of days, reflecting inflation concerns and fiscal uncertainties.
US Dollar Index (DXY):
The DXY has strengthened amid hawkish Fed expectations and safe-haven flows, generally exerting downward pressure on commodities priced in USD, including silver.
2. Correlation and Dynamics
Inverse Correlation with Real Yields:
Silver prices exhibit a strong negative correlation with real interest rates (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). As real yields rise, silver tends to fall due to higher opportunity costs of holding non-yielding assets.
Impact of Rising 10-Year Yields:
The recent increase in the 10-year Treasury yield typically pressures silver prices lower. However, silver’s strong industrial demand and supply deficits have offset this effect, supporting prices despite higher yields.
DXY Influence:
A stronger dollar (higher DXY) makes silver more expensive in other currencies, usually suppressing demand and prices. Yet, silver’s recent rally suggests that supply constraints and investor interest are outweighing the dollar’s negative impact.
3. Fundamental Drivers Behind Silver’s Rally
Supply Deficits:
Silver mine production has declined since 2022, while industrial demand, especially for green technologies, continues to grow, creating persistent deficits.
Reduced Recycling:
Despite higher prices, recycled silver supply has diminished, indicating limited above-ground stocks.
Safe-Haven and Inflation Hedge Demand:
Economic uncertainties, rising government debt, and geopolitical tensions have increased investor interest in silver as a store of value alongside gold.
Gold-to-Silver Ratio:
The ratio remains elevated (~75:1), suggesting silver is undervalued relative to gold and has room to outperform.
4. Technical Outlook
Silver’s breakout above $35 is a key technical milestone, triggering momentum buying and algorithmic trading.
Overbought conditions suggest possible short-term profit-taking or consolidation near
Support levels
Conclusion
Despite rising US 10-year Treasury yields and a stronger US dollar, silver prices have surged due to persistent supply deficits, strong industrial demand, and safe-haven buying amid economic uncertainties. The usual inverse relationship between silver and bond yields/DXY is currently moderated by fundamental supply-demand imbalances and technical momentum. However, silver remains sensitive to real interest rate movements and dollar strength, which could cap gains or trigger corrections in the near term.
#SILVER #DOLLAR
XAGUSD(SILVER):To $60 the silver is new gold, most undervaluedSilver has shown remarkable bullish behaviour and momentum, in contrast to gold’s recent decline. Despite recent news, silver remains bullish and unaffected by these developments. We anticipate that silver will reach a record high by the end of the year, potentially reaching $60.
There are compelling reasons why we believe silver will be more valuable in the coming years, if not months. Firstly, the current price of silver at 36.04 makes it the most cost-effective investment option compared to gold. This presents an attractive opportunity for retail traders, as gold may not be suitable for everyone due to its nature and price.
Silver’s price has increased from 28.47 to 36.25, indicating its potential to reach $60 in the near future. We strongly recommend conducting your own analysis before making any trading or investment decisions. Please note that this analysis is solely our opinion and does not guarantee the price or future prospects of silver.
We appreciate your positive feedback and comments, which encourage us to provide further analysis. Your continuous support over the years means a lot to us.
We wish you a pleasant weekend.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx
SILVER TO 40$ HELLO TRADERS
As i can see Silver is still trading inside a upward channel and did not created any big moves like Gold and its under value i am expected a boost from this zone to 40 $ incoming days if it did notr break the channel friends its just a trade idea share ur thoughts with us we love ur comments and support Stay Tuned for more updates