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BABA trade ideas

BABA Market AnalysisHi Traders. BABA stock price has been plummeted for over two years, since the high around $320 on Oct 2020, right after the Covid-19 recovery was exactly when we notice BABA started dropping steadily. Well, there are lots of reasons causing the overall Bearish sentiment on BABA, regulatory crackdown, Covid-19, tech crash, lockdown, antimonopoly, and what happened to the Founder recently too. I intrinsic value of BABA is much worth much more than $80-100, i wouldn't call out the specific figures but let's see if BABA will recover in the coming half year - 1 year period. If you enjoy the content, make sure you follow my profile and give me a thumbs up for daily fx forecast & educational content. Take care and trade safe. All the content I've posted are for educational purposes, please perform your own research and only take it as a reference.
NYSE:BABA
by TraderNeoh
Will this be the end?NYSE:BABA Today the overall market had a green day, many big names like TSLA and FB rallied more than 4% today. But the question I am going to ask is: “Do you think this is the end of the enormous channel BABA has been trading in? BABA started trading in this channel since 2020! But BABA sort of broke out today. But this could also be a bull trap. Today’s volume was just a tiny bit under average. Maybe this is the beginning of something enormous. Please watch my related article about channels, at the related idea section. To learn more about this intriguing chart pattern. Curious about your point of view. Let me know! This is no financial advice
NYSE:BABA
by StijndeVries
Alibaba (BABA, BUY) Solid F4Q; Now is the Inflection Point We are upgrading our rating from HOLD to BUY and maintain our PT of $130 as F4Q results beat estimates and we see F1Q (June quarter) as the long-awaited inflection point for the company. CMR was flat y/y in F4Q (vs. -1% in Dec. quarter), despite a low-single-digit decline in GMV due to disruptions in supply chain and logistics in March. Cloud revenue grew 12% y/y, decelerating 8pts from F3Q due to macro weakness and COVID. Global AACs reached 1.31B, adding 30M sequentially, with 1B from China. Mgmt. indicates that June quarter will be more challenging as a result of COVID resurgence and lockdowns. In April, total revenue declined low-single-digit;China retail marketplace GMV declined low-teens due to supply chain and logistics disruptions, with May improving but still not fully recovered. Given the macro uncertainty, BABA is not providing revenue guidance for FY23. Repurchased 17.8M ADSs for $2.0B during the quarter. Despite the more challenging June quarter, we are upgrading BABA to BUY as we believe both revenue and profitability will bottom out and hit a long-awaited inflection point in the quarter. With government's stimulus policies kicking in and an easier comp, BABA's revenue growth and margin should start to improve in the 2H. In addition, BABA is trading at 11x CY23E earnings, significantly lower than the fiveyear-average of 22x. Although the stock's growth thesis has been muted since 2021, we see positive earnings revisions and valuation improvement in the coming quarters. NYSE:BABA
NYSE:BABA
by TigerBrokers
Channel DownBABA appears to have fallen from a Head and Shoulders pattern quite a while back and has been in a long channel down. The head and shoulders is easier viewed on a weekly or monthly chart (posted below). The Head and shoulders top is a large structure and price has hit the 100% fall mark and continued down to the 1.113 of the pattern. The 1.272 and 1.618 fib levels are marked below price. A channel down will continue down as a rule unless price breaks the top trendline of the channel which may be a buy signal, or the bottom trendline which would be a sell signal. Price has been zig zagging back and forth between the two trendlines for a long time with breaking either trendline. This has caused a slow, but steady decline. No recommendation. Short percent is 1.47% depending on where you look. If price continues in this regressive channel, price could go much lower, especially if it does not bottom out at the 1.113 where price stopped the last trip down to the bottom trendline.
NYSE:BABA
by lauralea
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