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NVDA trade ideas

NVDA: Fibonacci cluster support and 200MA at 126.5. NASDAQ:NVDA : Fibonacci Cluster Support at 126.5 Sets Up Potential 10% Rally to 140 Looking at NVIDIA's technical setup, I've identified a critical support zone that could launch NASDAQ:NVDA toward a significant target if it holds. Technical Analysis The current price action shows NVIDIA testing a key support zone consisting of: - Fibonacci cluster at 126.5 - 200 Moving Average support If this support zone holds, I'm targeting the next Fibonacci cluster at 140, representing approximately a 10.7% upside potential. Entry Strategy I'm monitoring two potential entry scenarios: Aggressive Entry (15-minute chart): - Wait for 8 EMA to cross above 34 EMA - Price must break above the most recent swing high - Entry on confirmation of this break Conservative Entry (30-minute chart): - Same criteria as above but on the 30-minute timeframe - Provides more reliable signals with fewer false breakouts Risk Management Stop Loss: Place stops below the 126.5 Fibonacci/200 MA support zone (approximately 124-125) Profit Target: First target at the 140 Fibonacci cluster Conflicting Indicators My analysis shows mixed signals that require caution: 1. My WillVall indicator on the weekly chart shows a potential buy opportunity at current prices, BUT it needs to change direction and move above the 15 level before confirming a long-term entry 2. Multiple timeframe squeeze indicators (Weekly, 4D, 3D, 2D) are currently in squeeze with negative momentum, suggesting downside pressure 3. According to IBD Market School methodology, the market is showing signs of correction and the buy switch is currently OFF, indicating we should avoid new long positions Trade Plan Given the current market conditions and mixed signals: - Wait for confirmation of support at the 126.5 zone - Look for entry signal confirmation on preferred timeframe - Use smaller position size due to conflicting indicators - Set clear stop loss below support (124-125) - Target the 140 Fibonacci cluster for profit taking I'll remain patient and wait for clearer market conditions before committing significant capital to this trade. The technical setup is promising, but broader market conditions suggest caution.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradeVizion
1,2,3.. 4?The price bounces for the fourth time on the support indicated by the blue trendline. The chart is open to different interpretations because at the top we have a possible double top with the blue line, but at the bottom, we have strong support that continues to hold. Personally, I have seen this tech selloff as an opportunity to accumulate. I think the panic created was meant to make small investors sell, increasing the shares available on the market in anticipation of the next bullish cycle. For greater security, wait for confirmation from the breakout of the red trendline, indicating the start of the upward trend. Of course, a break of the blue support means the start of a strong decline.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by balinor
2/26/25 - $nvda - It's a buy into print...2/26/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA It's a buy into print... 1/ "It's dot com 2.0" A: dot com was consumer-first, AI is enterprise-first; dot com lacked infrastructure for years, AI has all the infrastructure required; dot com companies were memes, the largest AI companies generate piles of cash B/ "but AI doesn't generate revenue" A: you heard this low IQ meme on X? what if you're Meta and not hiring new engineers b/c AI systems are replacing your workforce? don't just look at revenue today, need to look at how AI is being deployed across the cost structure. the revenue for something like NASDAQ:META is actually coming thru better ad targeting (they're the best example of large-scale enterprise deploying AI today, there are many "bad" examples - sure), but the point is, don't just look at revenue. revenue will scale fast. but cost is just as important to the bottom line of "why invest" C/ "msft is cutting across datacenter... leases... OMG" A: they realized that there's a lot of dumb get-rich-have-too-much-QE-money-and-wanna-do-AI stuff getting built. so let's just "rent not own" at the margin. pretty logical. they're also realizing perhaps they need more than just OpenAI as a partner. logical. msft not going anywhere. Satya is no dumb cookie. he realizes many AI mkts will be winner take all and they're identifying those. massive oppty ... My base case going into NVDA EPS this week was a beat/raise and stock either flat or sell off to find a trade-worthy floor deep-seek style. But we freaked out yesterday on emotions across the board. not saying we have "the event" that yet marks the bottom for risk assets, so long as we have yields floating reasonably high, inflation expectations not yet well understood (btw they're going lower, but the mkt thinks opposite at the moment) and a lot of toilet tweets that still move a skiddish tape. tons of value out there already. so y'day i think we set up for a nvda beat, raise and stock actually holding up. while i've traded the name a lot, i don't have an outright position into print b/c i still prefer the NYSE:TSM trade to NASDAQ:NVDA all else equal. i think more upside on '25/'26... for a much cheaper price and the closest you get to moat. i'm also taking a flyer position on NASDAQ:MU which i think will be the USSA winner in HBM and multiples if i'm right are dirty cheap compared to fishing in the #3, #4... pond w stuff like NASDAQ:AVGO (too expensive ATM for me), NASDAQ:AMD (too much overhang awaiting next results, rangebound for now) etc. etc. i like NASDAQ:ALAB if you're playing high growth and reasonable multiple. hope that helps. not much in the way of valuation for me here in this note for the print. this is more of a feel game for now. but in the scheme of things... NASDAQ:NVDA remains incredibly cheap. yup. V
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by VROCKSTAR
NVDA Near Historic Highs: Awaiting Key Breakout SignalsI’m sharing a weekly chart analysis for NVDA, focusing on its current position near historical highs at $129 after a bounce from $90. From the logarithmic scale chart, it's clear that NVDA has been in a long-term progression channel since July 2015. Currently, the price is positioned on the upper deviation line of this channel, indicating a potential resistance area. Given this position on the logarithmic scale, I am leaning towards a short bias as it suggests we could see a pullback or correction. I’ve also identified two cup & handle patterns, each with their respective targets. However, these patterns will only be validated based on the next price movements. While there is still a blue support trend and a red resistance trend in play, the price near its historical highs and its proximity to the upper boundary of the progression channel suggest that a downward movement could be more likely. However, due to the large time scale of the weekly chart, we should wait for further confirmation of a downtrend before taking a short position. For now, I recommend caution and suggest waiting for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from the current channel before making any decisive trades. I’d love to hear your insights and thoughts on this setup.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Eymen-GUVEN
02/26 Special GEX Outlook: NVDA Earnings, GEX LevelsNVDA Earnings Announcement 🔥 NVIDIA reports earnings today, after market close, and this release could create significant movement. Let’s dive right into the charts and see what the technicals are telling us! With earnings so close, I typically look only at the nearest expiration, which in this case is 02/28 (Friday). The implied move (IV) is around 10%, or approximately 12 points in either direction. That’s what the market has priced in for this binary event. Key Observations The price is hovering around the Transition Zone and very close to the HVL (High Volume Level) around 130–132. This suggests the market maker is trying to remain delta-neutral leading into earnings. Once the report hits, expect potential volatility on Wall Street! 🚀 GEX Levels for Friday 🔴 Bearish Scenario The bottom of the Transition Zone is at 126. If price drops below 126, the next major put support is at 120 and extends to 115 (a negative gamma squeeze zone). In other words, a breach of 126 could lead to a quick slide down to 120. 🟢Bullish Scenario Major call resistance stands at 150, with a secondary call wall at 145. Above 133 (top of the Transition Zone), calls dominate, meaning the path to 145–150 could open up if we break above the HVL. Longer-Term Perspective 📊 We’re still in an overall uptrend, but history shows that even with positive surprises on 2 out of the last 4 earnings calls, the market had already priced in those expectations—often leading to a sell-the-news reaction. I do not recommend trading right before the earnings with a binary mindset. It’s like walking into a casino and putting all your chips on red or black—it’s pure gamble! 🎰 Call pricing skew has been on a downward trend since DeepSeek (likely referencing a volatility event), indicating that call butterflies might not be as attractive on NVDA now as they were in the past few weeks. Fundamental Analysis 💡 NVIDIA is a hype stock, much like TSLA was a few years back. Its current price has factored in a lot of the future potential. Based on FastGraphs and other valuation tools, NVDA 1.44%↑ seems overpriced relative to its underlying performance. A correction might bring it closer to fair value (the “green zone”), like it did in October 2022. Until then, I’m not considering it for a 5+ year long-term investment—no matter what the short-term price action is. Conclusion & Post-Earnings Strategy 👉 We simply don’t know which direction NVDA will move after earnings. Typically, implied volatility (IV) expands before earnings (~90% of the time) and collapses for the nearest expiration immediately afterward. Even IV on farther-dated expirations can continue to drift lower for a week or two post-earnings. My Plan Since I haven’t opened a time spread trade, I’m focusing on post-earnings setups. If NVDA makes a huge move (breaking out of the 120–150 range), I’ll likely wait at least one more day before placing any new position to let open interest (OI) restructure. April expirations will be more interesting for me after the dust settles.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TanukiTrade
Nvidia Earnings Right Ahead! Nvidia (ticker: NVDA) is set to announce its Q4 FY2025 earnings results after the market closes today. The report will be for the full fiscal year and covers the period between 1 November (2024) and 31 January (2025). As the last of the Magnificent Seven stocks to report, Nvidia’s earnings results are a widely anticipated market event. Heading into the earnings release, the Bloomberg Magnificent 7 index – represents an equal-weighted measure of Nvidia, Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META), and Tesla (TSLA) – dipped below the 10% threshold to indicate a correction. Furthermore, major US equity markets are on the back foot, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 down nearly 2% this month and crossing south of its 50-day simple moving average. Analysts’ Estimates for NVDA Earnings Nvidia has a consistent history of exceeding estimates and raising expectations. Wall Street forecasts Nvidia’s revenue will reach US$38.1 billion for Q4 FY2025, reflecting an eye-watering 73% year-on-year (YY) rise. Should actual revenue align with expectations, it would surpass the company’s Q3 FY2025 estimate (US$37.5 billion). Nvidia’s bottom line (net income) is also projected to climb to US$21.08 billion, up from US$12.84 billion in the same quarter a year prior. Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) is also expected to increase to US$0.84, which would mark a 62% YY rise. Regarding current analysts’ ratings (Refinitiv), approximately 54% recommend a ‘Buy’, 37% a ‘Strong Buy’, and 9% suggest a ‘Hold’. The options implied volatility for the stock suggests the company’s share price could swing 8% in either direction. However, I want to add that although heightened volatility is evident heading into the event, it is important to consider that implied volatility reflects how far options investors anticipate the stock price to move. Consequently, it is not always reliable and has, in the past, fluctuated as high as 16% and as low as 0.5% before NVDA earnings reports. Blackwell Chip Supply Concerns Concerns remain high over the Blackwell chip supply. If manufacturing issues regarding this are mentioned in today’s report and the share price drops, some investors may see this as a dip-buying opportunity, given that supply problems are likely temporary. This, coupled with limited evidence of a slowdown in demand, potentially positions the stock well for the future. Of course, while Chinese AI start-up DeepSeek recently carved out a dent in Nvidia’s share price, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang recently made the headlines, commenting that although DeepSeek’s R1 reasoning model is ‘impressive’, the Artificial Intelligence (AI) space will still need to rely on Nvidia’s chips. I expect Huang to reiterate similar comments today. Supporting Huang’s latest comments, it is worth acknowledging that all of the key US Hyperscalers – large data centres and cloud service providers that offer computing and data solutions – confirmed capital expenditures on AI data centres. Although Microsoft was recently thrown into the spotlight after reports from TD Cowen noted that it has started to cancel leases from some of its data centre capacity in the US, the company has since stated that they ‘will continue to grow strongly in all regions’. Microsoft also repeated that it would still spend US$80 billion on capital expenditures for the fiscal year. What Do the Charts Say? First and foremost, you will note that the stock has not done much this year and is currently trading at similar levels seen in June 2024. The weekly chart, however, offers some interesting observations. The stock pencilled in an all-time high of US$153.13 at the beginning of the year and established the start of a double-top pattern that was recently completed (the neckline was breached, a horizontal line taken from the low of US$126.86). In addition, the pattern’s profit objective is still calling for attention to the downside at US$105.30. Therefore, given the break of weekly trendline support and the double-top pattern’s downside target not yet being reached, I feel there is (technical) scope for a push lower to around the US$105ish region. If earnings do surprise to the downside, it will take a 16.7% drop to reach the said level!
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by FPMarkets
Never Nvidia, No? Surely Not!I hadn't looked at the NASDAQ:NVDA chart for months until today and I simply can't unsee this. NVDA appears to be in the final stages of a Weekly Double Top pattern. You can clearly see two near equal highs from November 24 and January 25. After the neck of the Double Top was breached, the price attempted to reach a new high but failed. The failed high was powered by 3 consecutive weeks of declining volume which suggests momentum exhaustion. If NVDA price drops through $126, it is very possible that the price could fall towards $55. Why is the price projection so low? The last 1/4 low has already been breached, so this level is unlikely to serve as strong support, leaving the price to potentially falls freely towards 2024's low. The green areas highlight the Bullish Fair Values Gaps for NVDA on the Weekly time frame. As you can see there are numerous and they are all underneath the current price! Won't Earnings push it to ATH? It's of course it's possible. And if it did, it wouldn't necessarily invalidate this set up! Let's see what happens!
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TheTradeBorough
2
NVIDIA to $228If Nvidia were truly done for, why is it impossible to find their latest 5000 series GPUs? Even if someone wanted to buy one, they simply can't. The reason lies in Nvidia's commitment to fulfilling the soaring demand from AI data centers, which has left them unable to produce enough H100 and H200 models. This situation also allows Nvidia to increase their profit margins significantly, capitalizing on the disparity between demand and the media frenzy surrounding them. DeepSeek serves as a prime example of how out of touch mainstream media can be. All DeepSeek did was replicate Chat GPT. Training models requires substantial computing power. The panic surrounding Nvidia and other semiconductor companies is quite amusing; the demand for computing power is skyrocketing! The gap between the reality of the AI mega-trend and the narrow focus of mainstream media is staggering! It's astonishingly out of touch! Just as out of touch as Cramer was when he declared META was done at $100, or when he thought Chat GPT would obliterate Google at $88. Stock prices fluctuate between being overvalued and undervalued. While we have metrics like EGF and PE ratios to assess valuation, indicating that Nvidia is currently inexpensive, this doesn't guarantee it won't drop further. However, it is generally wiser to buy stocks when they are cheap rather than when they are costly. The greater the deviation from the high then the greater the BUYING OPPORTUNITY being presented for the very best leading companies. The key takeaway is that the deeper Nvidia falls during its corrections, the more advantageous it could be. Those who are experiencing anxiety during these declines may find themselves selling at a loss, or for a marginal profit possibly around previous highs, while the stock has the potential to rise to $228 and beyond. The potential for growth is significant; the $228 Fibonacci extension may not represent the peak. Attempting to predict a top for Nvidia could be misguided. Once it reaches $228, Nvidia might maintain a valuation similar to its current $130 level.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by BallaJi
2
NVIDIA (NVDA) Scalping Strategy🔥 Market Overview: Trend: Short-term recovery after a sharp drop; overall structure still fragile. Key Levels: Resistance: $133.10, $135.00 Support: $130.00, $126.90 Indicators: EMA9 below EMA200 → bearish pressure, but attempting a breakout. MACD shows weak momentum, nearing a crossover. RSI 54.56 (neutral), showing no strong divergence. Risk of Short Squeeze? Low, but if price stabilizes above $133.10, it could trigger a rally. Market Maker Activity: Accumulation signs, possible liquidity grab before a move. 🔥 Scalping Strategy: 🩸 1. Momentum Scalping (If Breakout Above $133.10) Buy near: $133.10 Target: $135.00 Stop-loss: $132.00 Risk-to-Reward: 1:2 🩸 2. Range Scalping (If Price Stays Between $130 - $133) Buy near: $130.00 Sell near: $133.00 Stop-loss: $129.50 Profit Potential: ~2.3% 🩸 3. Breakout Scalping (If Below $130.00) Short below: $129.50 Target: $126.90 Stop-loss: $130.30 Risk-to-Reward: 1:3 🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks): If $133.10 holds, bullish recovery → potential run to $138-$140. If $130.00 fails, bearish extension → drop to $126.90. 🔥 News & Market Context: Earnings Report Coming Up: Potential high volatility. AI Sector Sentiment: NVIDIA is a leader, but recent earnings of tech firms will impact movement. Institutional Orders: Watching for heavy inflows. 🔥 Decision: 🩸 Short-term Play: Range scalping between $130 - $133 is the safest bet. 🩸 Mid-term Play: Only long above $133.10 or short below $130.00. 🩸 Ideal Play: Momentum scalping with tight stops. 👑 Final Verdict: Patience before earnings—trade smart, avoid traps. 🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote: "Precision in execution is what separates traders from gamblers."
NASDAQ:NVDA
by LucanInvestor
NVDA Near Key Support – Will the Bounce Hold? Feb. 28Market Structure Overview NVDA has been in a strong downtrend, forming a descending wedge pattern. The stock is currently hovering around a key support zone near $120, with increasing sell volume. A breakdown could lead to further downside, while a reversal from this level could spark a short-term rally. Key Support & Resistance Levels * Support: $120, $118, and $115 (GEX Negative Zone) * Resistance: $129, $136, and $143 (GEX Call Wall) * Major Gamma Exposure Levels: * CALL Resistance: $140, $145, $150 * PUT Support: $120, $118, $115 Indicators & Momentum * MACD: Bearish, but showing early signs of a potential crossover. * Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, signaling a potential bounce. * Volume: Elevated selling pressure with a possible exhaustion phase. GEX Analysis & Options Flow * IVR: 47 (moderate implied volatility) * Options Sentiment: CALLs at 13.7%, indicating bearish sentiment in the near term. * GEX Levels: Highest negative NETGEX support at $120, suggesting a possible bounce zone if demand returns. Trade Plan: Scenarios to Watch 1. Bullish Scenario: If NVDA holds above $120 and breaks $129, a reversal towards $136-$140 is possible. * Entry: Above $129 * Target: $136, then $143 * Stop Loss: Below $118 2. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $120 could trigger a move to $115 or even $110. * Entry: Below $120 * Target: $115, then $110 * Stop Loss: Above $125 Final Thoughts NVDA is at a pivotal point. If it holds above $120, bulls might regain control. However, failure to sustain above this level could bring more downside. Watch for a volume increase to confirm direction. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and trade responsibly!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
Magnificent Seven & Hot Stocks: A Technical OverviewHello, The past few days and weeks have brought a lot of movement in the stock market, and things seem a bit more redish than before. However, these kinds of moments also bring good opportunities—if you know where to look. That’s why I decided to take a closer look at the some stocks from Magnificent Seven, scan some of the top market cap stocks, and give a short overview of what’s happening and what to watch. Since technical analysis helps bring clarity in uncertain times, I will go over some key levels and liquidity zones that could present good opportunities. I will also cover a few stocks that are currently making headlines and generating a lot of interest in the investment world—such as Robinhood (HOOD) and Palantir (PLTR). Let’s see what the market has to offer. Microsoft (MSFT) Microsoft has not made any major moves in the past few weeks, but selling pressure has started to build up, and the stock is now trading at its lowest levels in the past six months. The most interesting and strongest support area is between $290 and $300. This is a level worth keeping an eye on. -------------- Amazon (AMZN) Yesterday, I got an alert from TradingView that AMZN has dropped into an interesting price zone after a small correction. If you don’t already use alerts, I highly recommend setting them up—keeping track of every stock manually is nearly impossible. The $175–$210 zone is technically solid. Yes, it’s a wide range but there are different strategies you can use here. Amazon (AMZN) – What to do? If you don’t own AMZN yet, this could be a good spot to start building a position slowly. Buy a little in the upper part, a little in the middle, and a little in the lower part of this zone to get a balanced entry. If you already own AMZN, I’d rather wait and aim for the middle of the range if you want to add more. If the stock takes off from here, you already have a position, so there’s no real FOMO. No need to rush. Of course, this is just a technical view—you should still analyze the fundamentals and your investment thesis. The technicals have spoken and now it’s time to listen to the fundamentals. That way, you get the full picture and can react accordingly. -------------- Alphabet (GOOG) GOOG failed to break through the psychological $200 level. It has tested this level multiple times since the start of the year, but the result has been red candles. If you already own the stock and are considering adding more, or if you are thinking about an entry, the $140–$160 zone is worth watching. At the moment, I don’t see a more logical technical entry. -------------- Meta Platforms (META) META has dropped 12% from its all-time high in just a few weeks. The stock has now slowly come to, what I call, a "picking zone" (if you have a better name for it, let me know! :D)—meaning a price range where those who make regular buys might want to pay attention. Right now, the key levels to watch are ~$612 and ~$500, with $500 being the stronger level. The price has consolidated there a bit longer than around $612, and it also acts as a psychological support level. -------------- Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) Berkshire has reached what I consider a profit-taking zone. If your fingers are itching and your wallet is waiting for a top-up, then why not? This doesn’t mean selling everything, but it could be a good spot for a partial exit—especially if you need capital for something else. Why is this a logical profit-taking point? Looking at previous price behavior around round numbers, we can see a pattern that works every time and your money can be “stuck” for years. When a stock approaches a big round number for the first time, it tends to: Consolidate – move sideways for a long time. Get a strong correction – like Berkshire has done before. Let’s make the round number concept clearer. Imagine a stock price starts moving up from $30 and eventually reaches $1000. Within this range, the key round numbers for me are: $50, $100, $200, $500, and $1000. These are levels where major market reactions often occur or levels that I trust the most as a criterion. Let’s take Berkshire for example, touching these numbers for the first time: $50 → 50% drop, took 5 years to recover. $100 → Another 50% drop, also took 5 years to break higher. $200 → Multi-year consolidation, 20% drop. $500 → And now we’re here—your choice! In a long-term portfolio, there are essentially two types of sales: The investment thesis is no longer valid Capital is needed for another purpose If neither of these conditions is met, there’s no real reason to sell. However, if you need capital within the next six months, this could be a good point to do so. Historically, we’ve seen a pattern where the stock either undergoes a correction or remains stagnant for an extended period. That makes it a perfect candidate for profit-taking—and if a correction does happen, there’s always the opportunity to buy back at lower prices. At the moment, buying this stock could mean it stays within this price range for a few years, so I wouldn’t rush into new purchases. -------------- Tesla (TSLA) Historically, Tesla has followed technical analysis well due to its high volatility. It reflects market psychology very clearly, leaving visible footprints on the chart... ----- I also cover these topics in-depth over on my Substack channel, where I break down the full picture and share my insights on the rest. If you want the complete breakdown and my take on what’s next, head over to my Substack (ENG). 🔗 Find the link in my BIO under the Website icon or simply copy and paste it directly. See you there! 👀 Cheers, Vaido
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by VaidoVeek