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NVDA trade ideas

NVDIA - Arguments For BullsMedianlines (Pitchforks) do not forecast. They PROJECT the most probable path of price. At each moment in time, a "Medianline/Pitchfork Analyst" can relay on the rules and the framework they provide. In this case I see the following arguments for a continuation to the upside: - price is above the Center-Line - price did test the CL two times and hold - price was attempted to test the CL a third time, but was even too strong to reach it, and is now in this very momentum to the upside - when price trades towards a Medain-Line but can't reach it, it's a sign that price will continue the direction it had before (up in this case). The next Target is the "next" Medianline, which is the U-MLH (Upper-Medianline-Parallel) - price broke the blue-dashed A/R line to the upside All said, we have to keep in mind that there is also a opposite side of the Coin. I will provide another Chart Analysis with "Arguments For Bears".
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Tr8dingN3rd
Nvda results tonight. Be careful… NVIDIA Earnings Today: Strong Results Expected, But Future Outlook Raises Questions NVIDIA (NVDA) is set to release its earnings today, and analysts are anticipating strong results, with projected revenue of around $33.1 billion and EPS estimates of $0.71. Given NVIDIA’s dominance in the AI and semiconductor markets, the company is expected to meet or slightly beat expectations. However, looking ahead, there are several factors that could challenge its future growth and stock performance: 1. Supply Chain Constraints NVIDIA has faced production bottlenecks, particularly with its new Blackwell AI chips. These challenges could slow revenue growth and limit the company’s ability to meet increasing demand. 2. Market Saturation The semiconductor industry is showing signs of a slowdown in global chip demand, with inventory excess becoming an issue. Coupled with increasing competition from companies like AMD and Intel, NVIDIA’s pricing power and market share could be affected. 3. Economic and Sector Volatility Broader economic uncertainty and volatility in the tech sector pose risks to investor sentiment. While AI remains a hot topic, the tech sector has seen significant layoffs, which could indicate a slowdown in spending on high-end hardware. 4. Regulatory and Geopolitical Challenges U.S. export restrictions on advanced AI chips to China and other regions could limit NVIDIA’s market opportunities. With geopolitical tensions on the rise, these restrictions may become a bigger hurdle for future growth. Outlook While NVIDIA’s earnings are expected to be strong, the stock’s performance may hinge on its forward guidance. If growth projections fail to address these headwinds, we could see negative sentiment around the stock, even with positive earnings results. Investors should carefully evaluate the long-term potential of the AI and semiconductor markets when considering NVIDIA’s future. For me I’m edging towards the bearish yet I’m back to sitting on my hands till after the results. The reason for me going bearish is the both the weekly and the daily macd have diverged along with the fact that the last release was a beat yet we had a slight decline post release. What are your thoughts? Will NVIDIA’s strong results outweigh these challenges, or could the future bring pressure
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by jhesler
What happened? $Nvidia surged nearly 5%!!!!Reason1: Cooling of Blackwell overheating issues boosts confidence. Concerns about overheating in Nvidia's latest high-end chip, Blackwell, had been widely discussed. However, multiple authoritative analysis firms and Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang confirmed that these issues have been resolved. Industry analysts noted that such problems have been effectively mitigated, with negligible impact on chip performance and supply cadence. This clear positive signal has instilled confidence in investors regarding Blackwell’s stability and market prospects. Reason2: Technological advancements raise expectations. As Nvidia's most advanced chip to date, the complete resolution of design issues marks its research and production entering a mature phase. Coupled with its powerful computing capabilities and potential applications in AI and data centers, market expectations for the product's profitability have significantly increased, serving as a key driver of Nvidia's stock surge. Reason3: Professional analysis alleviates concerns. Semiconductor analysis firm-Semianalysis indicated that the supply chain adjustments related to the overheating issue were merely "minor modifications" with almost no effect on the chip's actual performance. This analysis helped the market move past excessive worries about Blackwell’s overheating issues, laying the groundwork for Nvidia to regain investor trust in the short term. Reason4: Stock price retraces to strong support levels. From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price moving in a bullish channel, recently retracing to an upward trend line and the 0.236 Fibonacci support level. This support has triggered a rise, indicating that previous movements were merely weak short-term corrections. Under the combined influence of these favorable factors, Nvidia's stock jumped nearly 5% in a single day, not only boosting its own valuation but also uplifting the tech sector and the broader market. However, whether this upward trend can continue in the short term will depend on today's earnings report. For specific operational strategies, please refer to my last post : "NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 Report."
NASDAQ:NVDA
by xugina78
NVDA at these prices!?! Yes, please. LONG at 140.15You can check my previous NVDA idea to see just exactly how smitten I am with it. Quick summary of that: we are in the early stages of an AI revolution, and NVDA has no serious competitors and they can't make their chips fast enough. I rest my case. Now those who follow me know I HATE trading stocks near earnings. WAY too much volatility. But NVDA is a stock I will happily make an exception for. Could they disappoint? Sure. But I can't say this loudly enough based on the results of my trading system backtest on NVDA: THERE IS NO BAD TIME TO BUY NVDA My system is a perfect 717-0 since NVDA stock began trading. If NVDA has a bad earnings report, I'll just buy more. If you want to know why, go back and check the price levels of every previous "miss" and compare them to where the stock is today. As long as the items in the summary thesis I wrote above stay true, I'm in on a long trade. I'm just mad that I missed out on the last two times it was on sale because my portfolio was already full. Not this time. Long today at 140.15 and I will keep adding as long as my algo screams "OVERSOLD!" I will be using a different exit strategy than usual, though. Even with NVDA I'd prefer not to be long at earnings, so I'll use my FPC exit strategy and if it's profitable at the close tomorrow, I'll take my money, thank NVDA profusely, and walk away. There will always be other opportunities and I'm not a greedy man. I'll leave sweating out hoped for earnings moonshots for others. There's plenty of other places I can make money in the market.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by redwingcoach
9
Beyond Fallacy, Heuristic, and Bias..!Fallacy, heuristic, and bias are terms often used in psychology, logic, and decision-making, each referring to concepts that influence how we think and make judgments. Here’s a breakdown of each: 1. Fallacy A fallacy is a flaw in reasoning or logic that undermines the validity of an argument or conclusion. Fallacies can be either formal (based on a structural flaw in deductive reasoning) or informal (based on errors in reasoning related to content or context). Common types of fallacies include: • Ad Hominem: Attacking the person instead of the argument. • Straw Man: Misrepresenting someone’s argument makes it easier to attack. • False Dilemma: Presenting two extreme options when more exist. • Circular Reasoning: Using the conclusion as one of the premises. Fallacies are often unintentional and can result from poor reasoning or emotional biases. 2. Heuristic A heuristic is a mental shortcut or rule of thumb that people use to make decisions or solve problems more efficiently. While heuristics can help us make decisions quickly, they can sometimes lead to errors or biases. They are not guaranteed to be accurate but are practical for navigating complex or uncertain situations. Common heuristics include: • Availability heuristic: Judging the likelihood of an event based on how easily examples come to mind. • Representativeness heuristic: Making judgments based on how similar something is to a prototype, rather than on statistical reasoning. • Anchoring heuristic: Relying heavily on the first piece of information encountered (the “anchor”) when making decisions. 3. Bias A bias is a systematic deviation from rational judgment or decision-making. It often results from heuristics or emotional influences and can affect how people perceive information, interpret data, or make decisions. Biases can lead to faulty reasoning and skewed judgments. Types of cognitive biases include: • Confirmation bias: Focusing on information that confirms preexisting beliefs and ignoring contradictory evidence. • Overconfidence bias: Overestimating the accuracy of one’s knowledge or abilities. • Framing effect: Being influenced by how information is presented, rather than the content itself. In summary: • Fallacies are errors in reasoning that invalidate arguments. • Heuristics are mental shortcuts that simplify decision-making but can lead to errors. • Biases are systematic deviations from rationality, often caused by heuristics or emotional factors. Here's a concise overview of fallacies, heuristics, and biases in trading: Fallacies: 1. Confirmation Bias: Seeking information that confirms existing beliefs while ignoring contradictory evidence 2. Survivorship Bias: Focusing only on successful trades/investors, overlooking failures 3. Sunk Cost Fallacy: Continuing a losing trade because of previous investment Heuristics: 1. Availability Heuristic: Overemphasizing recent or memorable market events 2. Anchoring Heuristic: Relying too heavily on first piece of information encountered 3. Representative Heuristic: Assuming current market conditions will continue based on limited data Cognitive Biases: 1. Loss Aversion: Feeling losses more intensely than equivalent gains 2. Overconfidence Bias: Overestimating personal trading abilities 3. Herding Bias: Following market crowd instead of independent analysis 4. Recency Bias: Giving more weight to recent market performance 5. Emotional Bias: Making decisions based on fear or greed rather than rational analysis Mitigation Strategies: - Develop systematic trading rules - Use objective criteria for entry/exit - Maintain a trading journal - Practice disciplined risk management - Regular self-assessment and strategy review
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by Moshkelgosha
NVDA Earnings - A gamblers paradiseQuick update on NVDA going into earnings Video explains much, but from an upside perspective, I'm expecting resistance to hit at about $160 if we do get that gap up with an extended move to $168 possible. Beyond that would be a little unexpected. To the downside, I'm looking at the support at $132 and below that, $123 - all based on fibonacci confluence. There are price action supports that would also support this as well. Beyond $123 would also be unexpected at this time. Trading earnings is highly volatile, so do it with care and don't overleverage yourself! Have a great day!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by bitdoctor
Nvidia Q3 Earnings PreviewAI powerhouse Nvidia is gearing up to unveil its third-quarter earnings on Wednesday, November 20th. With market expectations riding high and the stock already enjoying a stellar year, all eyes are on whether Nvidia can maintain its momentum. Let’s dive into what’s driving the anticipation for this key earnings release. Can Nvidia Beat the Street? Expectations for Nvidia’s Q3 results are sky-high, with Wall Street forecasting earnings per share (EPS) of $0.75, representing an 88% year-over-year increase. Revenue estimates are equally robust at $33.09 billion, an 82.6% jump compared to the same period last year. The data centre segment, Nvidia’s largest revenue driver, is expected to continue benefiting from the global surge in AI adoption, with particular strength in demand for GPUs used in AI training. The market will also watching closely for updates on Nvidia's Blackwell GPUs, which are anticipated to contribute significantly to future growth, despite current supply chain constraints causing some margin pressures. Beyond data centres, Nvidia’s other business segments, such as professional visualisation and gaming, are projected to post moderate growth. While gaming revenue has shown signs of recovery over recent quarters, money managers will be keen to understand whether this segment can return to pre-pandemic levels, given increasing competition and inventory challenges. Guidance for Q4 will also be a critical factor. The market is looking for clarity on whether Nvidia can sustain its impressive growth trajectory into the new fiscal year, particularly as macroeconomic headwinds and regulatory scrutiny pose potential risks to its operations. Key Levels: Technical Analysis Nvidia’s long-term uptrend is undeniable, with shares tripling in value this year. The stock has consistently held above its 200-day moving average and established a supportive ascending trendline fan. Additionally, the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) anchored to the start of the year has proven to be a key dynamic support zone during pullbacks, such as the one in August. That said, recent price action suggests a need for caution among bulls. Nvidia recently rallied to retest its June highs, but progress above this level has been limited. Currently, the stock is trading below the June highs, a sign of potential resistance. This failure, coupled with negative RSI divergence, indicates waning momentum in the short term. Whether Wednesday’s Q3 earnings will inject fresh life into Nvidia’s uptrend or mark a pause in its meteoric rise remains to be seen. NVDA Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Key Levels to Watch • Resistance: June highs and last week’s trend highs. • Short-term Support: The trendline fan. • Major Support: VWAP anchored to the start of the year and the 200-day moving average. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Capitalcom
Nvidia Testing Key Ichimoku Support Ahead of EarningsUpcoming Earnings The Nvidia Corporation (ticker: NVDA) is scheduled to report earnings after the market closes tomorrow. The consensus Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimate for the fiscal quarter ending October 2024 is US$0.70; the reported EPS for the same quarter a year prior was US$0.38. Trend Favouring Dip Buying Ahead of the company’s earnings report later this week, there is no denying that buyers remain in control. Despite a moderate correction in June and July, the NVDA stock has largely been one-way traffic to the upside, up around 180% this year so far. You will see that the NVDA stock recently established a correction from an all-time high of US$150.00 and is currently testing the Ichimoku’s Base Line (red at US$139.26). Between this value and the Ichimoku’s Conversion Line just above it (Blue at US$143.46), this area, also the case in October, can provide investors with a support zone to work with. Adding to this, you will also see that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is testing the 50.00 centreline, which can – and often does – provide support for the stock. In the event that current support fails, Ichimoku traders will be closely watching the Ichimoku Cloud Support zone between the Leading Span B (light orange at US$125.36) and the Leading Span A (light green at US$141.36). Price Direction? With the stock trending northbound and the RSI close to testing the 50.00 centreline support, as well as price action currently respecting the lower boundary of the space formed between the Ichimoku’s Conversion and Base Lines, this could be a location that buyers attempt to lift the stock higher.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by FPMarkets