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US100 trade ideas

USNAS100| BEARISH CONSOLIDATION AND POTENTIAL BREAKOUTHELLO TRADERS Last week has concluded. The US NAS100 index experienced a sharp decline and stabilised below the previous support zone, currently trading within this zone and around the 21570 level. There is also the possibility of prolonged consolidation in this area. Market conditions are expected to remain bearish as long as prices remain below the last resistance zone. Furthermore, the bearish trend will be confirmed if the price falls below the strong support at 21570, as evidenced by a closing 4-hour candle and a break of the channel. Conversely, if there is a strong upward push that allows the index to surpass the last resistance zone, it could reach an all-time high (ATH) and potentially set a new record. If this analysis makes sense to you, let me know in the comments! Also, feel free to share your perspective on the market .
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100 Analysis: Key Levels & Bearish Trade Setup📊 NAS100 Analysis and Trade Idea | Key Levels & Bearish Bias Explained 📉 Dive into a detailed analysis of the NAS100 (NZ 100) with a focus on key support zones, retracement levels, and a bearish trading bias. Learn how to identify overextended price movements, imbalances, and potential short setups using the daily and 4-hour timeframes. Perfect for traders looking to refine their strategies in indices trading! 💡 💬 Share your thoughts and trading ideas in the comments below!
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
NAS100 - Nasdaq is setting a new ATH!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the marked trend line, which is also intersecting the demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq. At the start of the week, the U.S. dollar strengthened significantly after President Donald Trump announced a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports. He also stated that any country imposing tariffs on American products would face reciprocal tariffs from the U.S. Later, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, in his congressional testimony, emphasized that the central bank is in no hurry to implement further rate cuts. Additionally, data from the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January came in higher than expected, further supporting the dollar. Although the dollar experienced a slight correction on Thursday and Friday, these factors, combined with a strong non-farm payroll report for January, led investors to anticipate a rate cut of only 30 basis points for the year. This outlook is more hawkish than the Federal Reserve’s own forecast of a 50-basis-point reduction. In other words, traders in financial markets have fully priced in just a single 0.25% rate cut by December. Kevin Hassett, Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, revealed in an interview with CBS’s Face The Nation that he meets regularly with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. He stressed that these meetings are not intended to influence interest rate policy and that Powell’s independence is respected, although the President’s views are still conveyed. Hassett also pointed out that long-term yields have declined, with a 40-basis-point drop in the 10-year Treasury yield, indicating market expectations of lower inflation. Retail sales data showed a 0.9% decline following an upwardly revised 0.7% increase in December. Out of 13 reported categories, nine recorded declines, with the largest drops observed in automobiles, sporting goods, and furniture stores. Following a tense week filled with impactful economic news, the upcoming week is expected to be quieter and shorter, as U.S. markets will be closed on Monday in observance of Presidents’ Day. Key economic events for the week include the release of the Empire State Manufacturing Index on Tuesday, the minutes from the latest Federal Reserve policy meeting, and U.S. housing starts and building permits data on Wednesday. On Thursday, weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index will be released. Finally, Friday will see the publication of preliminary S&P Flash PMI reports and existing home sales data.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
1
US100 - Strong uptrend will probably continueThe Nasdaq 100 has demonstrated remarkable strength in its recent uptrend, pushing to new highs above 22,100. However, the current price action suggests the market may be slightly overextended in the short term, making a pullback to the marked support zone around 21,800-21,900 a potential opportunity for more favorable entry points. Given the overall bullish market structure and momentum, any retracements should be viewed as buying opportunities rather than trend reversals. The upward trajectory remains intact, with higher highs and higher lows, suggesting that after a healthy pullback, the index could continue its ascent toward new highs above 22,300. Traders should watch for price action confirmation and potential bullish setups around the marked support level.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by financialflagship
NAS100The Nasdaq Stock Market is one of the largest stock exchanges in the world, known for its focus on technology and growth-oriented companies. It was the first electronic stock market and continues to be a leader in innovation and trading efficiency. The Nasdaq Composite Index tracks nearly all stocks listed on the exchange, while the Nasdaq-100 includes the largest non-financial companies. Trading on Nasdaq follows regular U.S. market hours, with extended pre-market and after-hours sessions available. Investors closely watch the Nasdaq for trends in the tech sector and overall market performance.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Short
by HavalMamar
2
USNAS100 | Breakout Confirmed! Will ATH Hold or Push Higher?📊 NASDAQ 100 (USNAS100) – Technical Analysis (4H Chart) 🔹 Market Overview: The price has broken the key resistance zone and stabilized above it, confirming bullish momentum. The bullish volume pushed the price up quickly to reach ATH at 22,100 before facing some resistance. 🔹 Current Price Action: A correction toward 21,900 is likely before another push higher. As long as price trades above 21,900 and 21,807, the market remains bullish and can target 22,292 next. 🔥 Potential Bullish Scenario: ✅ As long as price holds above 21,900 - 21,807 → bullish continuation expected! 📌 Targets: 📍 22,100 (ATH Retest) 📍 22,292 (Key Resistance Target) 📍 22,412 (Major Resistance Level & Channel Top) ⚠️ Potential Bearish Scenario: ❌ A 4H close below 21,807 would signal a short-term pullback. 📌 Support Targets: 📍 21,900 (first support zone) 📍 21,807 (critical pivot area, potential bounce zone) 🔑 Key Levels: 📍 Pivot Zone: 21,900 - 21,807 📍 Resistance: 22,100 | 22,292 | 22,412 📍 Support: 21,900 | 21,807 | 21,570 📌 Conclusion: ✅ Bullish bias remains intact while price holds above 21,900. 🚀 Break above 22,100 = new bullish leg toward 22,292+. ⚠️ Failure to hold 21,807 could lead to a drop toward 21,570. 💬 Do you think we break 22,100 or correct first? Drop your thoughts below! 👇👇
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
NAS100USD / TRADING ABOVE SUPPORT ZONE /4HHELLO EVERYONE The price has changed direction and is now trading within an ascending channel, which increases the likelihood of a continued bullish trend. However, today’s CPI data release is expected to create market sensitivity and lead to strong price movements. Technically, as long as the price remains above 21,570, the bullish momentum is likely to continue, with the next target at 21,930 and, if broken, further upside potential toward 22,120. On the other hand, if the price breaks below 21,570 and closes a 4-hour candle beneath this level, a bearish trend could begin, signaling a shift in market sentiment. Given the impact of economic data, increased volatility is expected, and traders should look for confirmation before making decisions.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
2
NASDAQ Technical AnalysisTrade Setup Overview Entry Price: 21,530.33 Target Price: 22,232.41 Stop Loss: 21,297.97 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 Trade Type: Long Position Suggested Position Size: 0.25-0.5% of capital Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart Position Sizing and Risk Analysis Conservative position sizing (0.25-0.5%) indicates proper risk management Total Risk per Position: 232.36 points (Entry - Stop Loss) Potential Reward: 702.08 points (Target - Entry) Maximum capital risk at 0.5% position size provides buffer for market volatility Technical Timeframe Considerations 4-Hour chart setup suggests a swing trading approach Longer timeframe reduces noise and false signals Allows for proper development of price action and trend confirmation Consider holding position through multiple sessions if needed Catalyst Analysis Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Impact Scenarios Positive NFP Scenario: Strong jobs data could accelerate upward momentum Consider trailing stop adjustment on strong move Watch for potential extension beyond initial target Negative NFP Scenario: Have preset stop loss in place No emotional attachment to position Accept defined risk and move on to next opportunity Trade Management Strategy Entry Execution Enter at specified price of 21,530.33 Consider scaling in if market provides opportunity Maintain discipline on entry price Position Management Initial stop loss at 21,297.97 (non-negotiable) Consider partial profit taking at 1:1 risk-reward Trail stop loss after significant movement in favor Maximum hold time based on 4H chart context: 5-7 trading days Exit Strategy Primary target: 22,232.41 Consider market context at target approach Use price action at target level for exit timing Don't force trades beyond technical invalidation Risk Management Rules Strict adherence to position sizing (0.25-0.5%) No averaging down on losing positions Respect stop loss level - no exceptions Consider market hours volatility Account for pre/post market gaps Technical Price Levels Entry Zone: 21,530.33 Critical Support: 21,297.97 Psychological Levels: 21,500 22,000 22,200 Target Zone: 22,232.41 Session Considerations Monitor pre-market sentiment Watch correlated markets (S&P 500, DOW) Consider reduced position size during high-impact news Be aware of market hours volatility spikes Trade Invalidation Clear invalidation below 21,297.97 Technical structure breaks Significant shift in market sentiment Unexpected negative catalyst impac t Key Reminders "Live to trade another day" - maintain emotional discipline NFP is a known catalyst - plan accordingly 4H timeframe requires patience Stick to planned position size Monitor correlated tech sectors for confirmation Remember: Trading success comes from consistent execution of a well-defined plan, not from any single trade outcome.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by FXCapitalClub
Learn why the Nasdaq 100 could be about to soarThe Nasdaq 100 is showing an ascending triangle pattern, suggesting a breakout toward 23,100. Trade war concerns with Mexico and Canada have eased, while China has worked around tariffs by shifting production to other countries. A break above 21,962 could push prices up 5.3%, but rising inflation near 2.9% might force the Fed to consider rate hikes. Jerome Powell’s testimony tomorrow will give us a better idea of what’s next for markets. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Long
by ThinkMarkets
6
Ready to break out of consolidation and aim for 24,600Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.119, MACD = 45.480, ADX = 25.617) as it is trading sideways for the last 2 months. The 2 year Channel Up is intact and such consolidation patterns have broken out aggressively in the past to the new HH. As long as the 1W MA50 is supporting, the long term bullish trend will stay intact and we can aim for a total of +43% price increase (TP = 24,600) from the last HL, a -4% drop rate from the last one.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Disco-Dave
FULL TRADE-ABLE SET UPS FOR NASDAQ 100 1. Macro & Market Overview Strong U.S. Economic Backdrop: • The United States is outpacing other major economies, with ~3% GDP growth and inflation moderating near 2.9%, supporting a “soft landing” scenario. This underpins bullish sentiment for U.S. equities, including the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100. Monetary Policy & Earnings: • The Federal Reserve has paused rate hikes, maintaining a tight-but-on-hold stance (Fed Funds ~4.25–4.50%). Markets expect no immediate cuts but anticipate eventual easing later in the year, keeping rate-sensitive growth stocks afloat. • Nasdaq 100 earnings remain solid thanks to big tech’s strong profits; hedge funds retain net long exposure in Nasdaq futures, though they are more defensive overall. Institutional Sentiment & Positioning: • Hedge funds are selectively bullish on technology, while also hedging broader market risks. Retail investors remain optimistic, reinforcing tech’s upward bias. • Global liquidity is no longer “superabundant,” yet no severe credit stress exists; interest rates remain high but stable, which still supports equity valuations for high-quality growth names. Key Macro Risk Factors to Watch: • Potentially hotter-than-expected inflation data could spark another wave of rate-hike concerns, pressuring high-valuation tech stocks. • Any major escalation in trade policy (e.g. tariffs on key tech components) could weigh on the Nasdaq 100, given many constituents’ global supply chains. Overall, the macro backdrop leans positive for large-cap U.S. tech, though caution persists due to high valuations and geopolitical uncertainties. 2. Technical & Institutional Flow Perspective • Hedge Fund Positioning: Futures positioning shows hedge funds net long the Nasdaq 100, reflecting conviction in secular growth themes (AI, cloud), even as they hedge other parts of the equity market. • Liquidity Conditions: There is no acute repo or funding stress, which generally supports risk assets. However, flows into money market funds signal that institutions are keeping some “dry powder” to buy dips. • Options & Gamma: A positive gamma environment often stabilizes equity prices, yet heavier put buying late in the week signals an increasing desire to hedge. If put volume continues to rise, short-term volatility could pick up quickly. 3. US100 Price Action & Key Technical Levels Overall Trend: • Long-term (Weekly) and medium-term (Daily) trends remain bullish, with higher highs and higher lows since 2023. • Recent price action is range-bound between roughly 21,400–21,500 (support) and 21,800–22,000 (resistance). Consolidation Zone: • The Nasdaq 100 (US100) has been coiling just under strong resistance at ~22,000. Price repeatedly bounces off the 21,400–21,500 region intraday, indicating institutional buying interest. Momentum Indicators: • On daily and 4-hour charts, RSI hovers in neutral territory (50–55 region), and MACD is near the zero line. This confirms a sideways consolidation within a larger uptrend. • No significant bearish divergences have formed; momentum has simply cooled, awaiting fresh catalysts to drive a breakout. Key Zones to Watch: • Support: 21,400–21,500 (short-term intraday floor), then 21,000–21,200 (deeper daily support). • Resistance: 21,700–22,000. A clear break above 22,000 could open upside targets (e.g. 22,500+). 4. Potential Trade Setups Below are three sample strategies—one aiming for a range breakout, one for a pullback entry, and one for a range fade—depending on how price reacts around the current consolidation zone. A) Bullish Breakout Trade Rationale: • The primary trend is bullish, macro data remain supportive, and hedge funds hold net long exposure in tech. A strong push above established resistance (~22,000) could trigger momentum buying. Entry Trigger: • Wait for a decisive breakout above 22,000 on a daily closing basis (or a strong intraday move with higher volume). • Look for volume expansion and a clear candle close above the resistance band to confirm that buyers have absorbed supply. Stop-Loss Placement: • Set an initial stop just below the breakout zone, e.g. 21,700–21,800, to avoid whipsaws if the breakout fails. • For extra caution, place stops under the last swing low near 21,400 if a wider stop is preferred. Target Objectives: • First target: ~22,500 (a minor psychological/round level). • Potential second target: ~23,000–23,200 if bullish momentum accelerates and fundamentals remain supportive. Trade Management: • Consider trailing the stop if price quickly moves 1:1 or 1.5:1 in your favor, and lock in partial profits if momentum stalls near 22,500. B) Buy the Pullback (Support Bounce) Rationale: • Institutions appear to defend the 21,400–21,500 region. If price dips back into that area without a major macro deterioration, it may offer a favorable reward-to-risk entry in line with the longer uptrend. Entry Trigger: • Look for a pullback to the 21,400–21,500 area, followed by bullish rejection candlesticks (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing on 1-hour/4-hour charts), or an oversold intraday RSI. Stop-Loss Placement: • Place a tight stop just below 21,400 (e.g. 21,350), as a break below may signal a deeper correction. Target Objectives: • Aim for a retest of the 21,800–22,000 resistance zone, capturing the move from the mid-21,400s to around the 21,900s. Trade Management: • If price fails to bounce and closes below 21,400, exit quickly to reduce downside exposure. Reassess lower supports near 21,000–21,200. C) Range Fade / Mean Reversion (Short at Resistance) Rationale: • If macro data or headlines (e.g., tariffs) resurface concerns, the Nasdaq 100 may struggle to break 22,000 and continue chopping sideways. A short near the upper range resistance can work if the index keeps rejecting that zone. Entry Trigger: • Watch for a bearish candlestick pattern or repeated intraday rejections around 21,800–22,000. Confirm with short-term momentum rolling over (for example, a 1-hour RSI crossing below 50 from an overbought reading). Stop-Loss Placement: • Set a stop above 22,000 (e.g. 22,050–22,100), as a decisive break would invalidate the fade thesis. Target Objectives: • First target around the midrange near 21,600, and a second target near the lower bound at 21,400–21,500. • This approach is suited for short-term traders who anticipate more sideways chop. Since it is counter to the main uptrend, be nimble with your exits. Trade Management: • If price breaks above 22,000 with force, cut short positions promptly to avoid a breakout squeeze. 5. Risk & News Catalysts to Monitor 1. Inflation / Fed Guidance: • Surprise inflation prints or hawkish Fed comments can spike bond yields, pressuring highly valued growth stocks in the Nasdaq 100. 2. Earnings Releases (Late Q4 & Q1 2025): • Watch guidance from top Nasdaq constituents (mega-cap tech). Strong outlooks can fuel upside, while cautious forward guidance may keep the index stuck under resistance. 3. Trade Policy Headlines: • Any tariff announcements aimed at tech supply chains or key trading partners could weigh heavily on the Nasdaq, especially if margins for chipmakers or consumer electronics are threatened. 4. Dollar Strength or Weakness: • A sharp dollar rally can sometimes hamper multinational tech earnings. Conversely, a softer dollar could boost foreign revenue translation, favoring further Nasdaq gains. 6. Final Perspective • Macro Take: A late-cycle expansion with cooling inflation, decent consumer demand, and stable rates supports the tech sector’s growth story. • Institutional Flows: Hedge funds remain net long Nasdaq futures, while retail sentiment is still positive for AI and tech. This tilt underpins potential rallies but is balanced by heightened hedging. • Technical Backdrop: The US100 sits in a bullish consolidation, with strong support near 21,400–21,500 and key resistance at ~22,000. Momentum is neutral, awaiting the next catalyst to break out (or fail) from the range. Bottom Line: • The long-term uptrend remains intact. • Near-term price action is range-bound. • Watch for either a bullish breakout above 22,000 for a continuation trade, a pullback buy at 21,400–21,500 if support holds, or a range fade short if the index keeps rejecting the 21,800–22,000 region. Always manage positions with clear stops and stay alert to macro data releases or sudden geopolitical news, as either can ignite volatility in the Nasdaq 100.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by EliteMarketAnalysis
1
NAS100USD: Retracement to Target Sell Stops Below Support ZoneGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, while the market is currently showing bullish momentum, there are clear signs that we may experience a retracement toward the downside. This move would likely target the discount sell stops below the illustrated support zone, providing an opportunity to align with institutional order flow. KEY OBSERVATIONS: Institutional Resistance Zone: A strong order block has formed, creating a significant resistance level that price may struggle to break through. This order block, coupled with the Fair Value Gap (FVG) beneath it, strengthens the bearish case. These two institutional resistance zones suggest a higher likelihood of a retracement. Premium Price Zone: Price is currently trading in a premium range, a favorable area to monitor for potential selling opportunities upon confirmation. Liquidity Target : Our primary target is the discount sell stops resting below an engineered support zone. This zone is a key draw on liquidity, where we anticipate significant institutional interest. TRADING PLAN: Entry Strategy : Wait for confirmation before entering short positions at the current premium price level. Targets : Focus on the liquidity pools below the support zone, particularly the discount sell stops, as these represent the main draw on liquidity. Patience and precision are crucial. By following institutional clues, we can effectively position ourselves for high-probability trades. Happy Trading! The Architect 🏛📊
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
1
Nas100NAS100 is approaching a key resistance level at 22,000—a strong barrier that has held firm in the past. 🔹 If price breaks above 22,000, we look for a confirmed breakout and take an entry. 🔹 If it gets rejected, our first support zone is 21,830 to 21,850. Why is this level important? ✅ The 9 EMA aligns as support ✅ It previously acted as a key resistance twice before turning into support If price drops further, our next key support is 21,820, and below that, we have a strong buy zone at 21,650. Why? ✅ It aligns with the trendline support ✅ The 20 EMA adds confluence By watching these levels closely, we can react accordingly and position for high-probability trades!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Sharpshane