Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US 100 Cash CFD (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 20,780
Value Area Low (VAL): 20,020
Point of Control (POC):
Recent: 20,066.23
Historical: 19,824.71
High-volume nodes: Dense volume around 19,820–20,070 suggests strong accumulation
Low-volume gaps: 20,200–20,400 and 20,600–20,780 (rapid price movement zones)
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stops likely clustered:
Below 20,070 (last breakout support)
Above 20,800 (recent intraday high)
Absorption zones: Near 20,066 – notable price base before rally; high delta confirms buying interest
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 20,808 – fresh high with slowing momentum, possible exhaustion
Swing Low: 19,824.71 – firm bottom established, high volume zone pre-breakout
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Strong uptrend confirmed by consistent CVD rise and price breakout
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20 with DI+ > DI- – Confirmed bullish trend
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD + sustained price breakout = strong buyer demand in the rally leg
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
20,066.23 (POC and structural breakout base)
19,824.71 (historical accumulation and value base)
Resistance:
20,808 (recent high)
21,000 (psychological level + projected target zone)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Swing Low (Gann): 19,824.71
Retracement Levels from 20,808 High:
1/2: 20,316
2/3: 20,482 (key support if price dips)
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bullish trend established (confirmed by CVD & ADX)
b) Notable Patterns:
Breakout from consolidation with volume near 20,066
Parallel ascending channel forming – healthy trend structure
Price currently testing upper boundary of channel – watch for breakout or pullback
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 20,320 – 20,400 (pullback into Gann retracement zone)
Targets:
T1: 20,808 (prior high)
T2: 21,100 (channel projection + round level)
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,020 (below VAL + swing low support)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 20,800 – 20,850 (if rejection pattern forms with falling CVD)
Target:
T1: 20,066 (volume base)
Stop-Loss (SL): 21,100
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade, based on distance from entry to SL
US100 trade ideas
NASDAQ Bullish Breakout Above Channel;📈 Technical Analysis Overview
1. Breakout from Downtrend Channel
The price has clearly broken out of a descending channel, confirmed by a clean breakout above the upper trendline.
This is a bullish signal, indicating the end of the prior downtrend and the start of a possible uptrend or reversal.
2. Moving Averages (EMA 50 & EMA 200)
EMA 50 (Red): 18,965
EMA 200 (Blue): 19,409
Price is currently trading above both EMAs, which is another strong bullish indicator.
A bullish crossover (where EMA 50 crosses above EMA 200) is likely imminent if upward momentum continues—this would form a Golden Cross, further confirming bullish sentiment.
3. Structure and Market Behavior
After the breakout, price retested the breakout zone and showed a bounce, forming a higher low, which is characteristic of a bullish structure.
The chart includes projected price action with higher highs and higher lows—suggesting a bullish continuation pattern.
4. Volume & Momentum (Not shown but implied)
Breakouts are typically validated by volume. Although volume is not shown, the sharp upward movement and breakout above resistance suggest strong buying pressure.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 20,000 psychological level; above that, 20,500–21,000 may act as resistance.
Support: 19,400 (near EMA 200), and 18,965 (EMA 50); a break below may invalidate the bullish setup.
📊 Conclusion
The chart shows a clear breakout from a descending channel, supported by the price moving above both key EMAs. The structure favors bullish continuation, especially if price holds above the 19,400–19,500 support zone. Upside targets lie around 20,500 to 21,000.
Nasdaq Bullish Reversal in Play !!📈 NASDAQ Outlook: Bullish Momentum Builds Up
✅ Breakout Confirmed: Price action has broken above the descending channel, signaling a reversal from the previous downtrend.
📊 EMA Crossover: The 50 EMA is crossing above the 200 EMA (a golden cross), historically a bullish indicator.
🔼 Momentum Strong: Price is accelerating above EMAs with a steep upward trajectory, suggesting buyers are in control.
🔮 Potential Target: With sustained momentum, price could aim for the 21,000+ region in the short term.
If the price sustains above the 19,500 zone, dips could be considered buying opportunities in the current bullish structure.
Nasdaq100/UsTech100 Higher Timeframe Analysis
Here we have my view, this is my first TV idea so don't butcher me please LMAO.
You can see on the chart we have had significant price moves to the upside over the past days after a huge decline in the index.
This decline was mostly driven by tarrif uncertainty to my understanding, followed me a huge panic sell off which spiraled the index further down.
However, with tarrifs seemingly easing and other factors driving the price increase, we will see 1 of 2 directions (Obviously).
Over the last few days we have been stuck in a major key level where buyers and sellers had a great fight. We have now broken that zone to the upside. I expect the index to have some sell pressure take over at around the 21,000 area give or take some points targeting the lower zone of 20,300 area.
This is where buyers had control pre tarrif implementation (21,000 PTS). Using the old saying of support becomes resistance and vice versa I expect the index to either stagnate in this zone for a while before breaking higher. Or it will simply sink back down to the lower key levels.
As it currently stands, The uptrend is back in tact on a higher time frame from what I can see. I am not saying here is a great place to long but with good risk management (For swing longs) this might be the confirmation we needed (Break of zone below) to enter long posistions with an SL of 20,000 area and TP of ATH giving a positive RRR trade.
I am personally a scalper hence why I do not post ideas. Usually the setup is done and dusted before I could even type it up XD.
Let me know what you think of the idea, Remember this is not financial advice. I am not liable for any losses incurred if you base your trades off my idea.
Remember trade what you see, not what you think.
$NAS100 / $QQQ – The 200 SMA Breakout... or Bull Trap?📈 Nasdaq just charged through the 200-day moving average like it wasn’t even there. But if you zoom out, this level has acted as a brick wall before — and we may be walking straight into a trap.
🔍 Key Observations:
The last failed breakout above this zone led to a major rejection.
We're back at horizontal resistance from prior tops.
Price action resembles a Rope-a-dope move — run up, suck in longs, then rug pull.
⚠️ No real breakout without confirmation + volume. Don’t let the short-term green candles distract you from the macro ceiling above.
Silver Bullet 10am-11amPrior to previous idea shared. Setup to go long and fill FVG in 1hr-30min 930 Est. With no key level sweep, it was clear but risky as price needs to be balanced before challenging the highs or lows. As there was not clear Bearish BOS in NY. The NY low made after 930 used as sweep to enter and challenge FVG.
Trade managed well, secured profits at CE of 30min FVG in NY
5min IFVG in leg of sweep + counter FVG confirming bulls stepping in wit lows being manipulated. +- 1:2 secured.
Tomorrow same thing...$$$ ;)
NASDAQ broke above its 1D MA200 after 2 months! Target 22000.Nasdaq (NDX) broke today above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since March 06), following the U.S. - Chine trade deal. This trend-line also had the March 26 rejection under its belt, which initiated the most aggressive part of the 'Trade War' correction.
The last time the index broke above its 1D MA200 on a similar pattern was when it was recovering after the bottom of the 2022 Inflation Crisis. The February 01 2023 break-out produced an instant rise to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before a short-term correction to re-test the 1D MA200.
As a result, we expect 22000 (1.382 Fib ext) to come as early as this week before any discussions can be made for a new pull-back.
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X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Short - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Short for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Bearish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap Done🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Bearish
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Liquidity Sweep 20720
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap).
☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence.
☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure.
☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level.
🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed.
🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window
Target: Next 15M demand zone / 1:3+ RR
Status: trade active 👌
NASDAQ Fall? US100 AnalysisHello everyone.
We had a volatility at stock market last 2 month, it looks like market had good correction and found new buyer. BUT I DON'T THINK LIKE THAT.
After MR. Trump inauguration we saw bear market signals, it was like hedge funds dumped stocks, but after strong sell new buyers came at market and show us pretty good market correction but what will be next? The last 2 months brought intense volatility post-Trump’s inauguration. Hedge funds sold off heavily (S&P 500 dropped ~8% from its December high), but buyers stepped in, pushing a 5% retracement. RSI on SPY shows oversold conditions fading, yet I’m skeptical of this bounce.
Why? Bearish signals linger. VIX remains elevated (>20), and volume on up days is weaker than selloffs. Plus, geopolitics could derail this rally. Over the weekend, Ukraine and Russia discussed a 30-day ceasefire. If talks fail, the West’s new sanctions could spike oil prices (Brent crude already testing $80) and hammer energy-heavy indices like XLE or European markets (DAX).
I’m watching SPY’s 200-day MA (~510) as key support. A break below could signal a deeper pullback to 480. Energy and tech (QQQ) look vulnerable if sanctions hit. What’s your take—buying this dip or bracing for more downside?
Here is my 2 scene what i am expect from market, for me Scene and technical view scene 2 is more logical bur we will see what will be next step for stock market.
For collaboration text me in DM!!!
Always make your own research!!!
NAS100USD: Is this a False Break?Greetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe sustained bullish volatility, indicating that the institutional order flow remains decisively bullish. As such, our objective is to align with that momentum and seek opportunities to position ourselves accordingly.
Current Market Context:
Now entering the New York session, we can anticipate continued upward movement. A key technical development is the recent liquidity sweep—price action took out a set of sell stops, creating the appearance of a potential bearish break of structure. However, this movement aligns with a classic “Turtle Soup” scenario, where a false break is engineered to trap liquidity before the market resumes in its dominant direction.
Institutional Insight:
This sweep suggests that institutions have likely order paired against willing sellers, using their stops as entry liquidity. With that liquidity now absorbed and price rejecting lower levels, we look for bullish confirmations to join the smart money narrative.
Trading Focus:
We are now monitoring for lower-timeframe confirmation entries to validate bullish setups, ideally supported by institutional arrays or bullish order blocks that hold as support.
Let the market reveal the footprints of smart money—our role is to read and respond with discipline.
Regards,
The Architect
Trade Idea - possible to outcomes2 potential scenarios. If the price action closes below the 1st dotted red line(MSS), we would expect the 30min iFVG to be respected as resistance, which would serve as our MSS + Displacement. The subsequent candle would then provide confirmation regarding the validity of the candle at 9am NY Time in relation to the next FVG to trade off to London Low.