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US100 trade ideas

QQQ vs S&P500Today we are looking at a ratio chart from TradFi. We are plotting the ratio of Nasdaq100 vs S&P 500. Even if both charts observed separately tell us the same story. That we are in a bullish uptrend on the daily chart for the past 1 year. But the ratio chart clearly shows Nasdaq100 peaked out relative to S&P 500 on Aug 2024 just prior to the unravelling of Yen carry trade. Since then, the ratio has not broken to the upside and registered an ATH even if the tech stocks have been doing exceptionally well recently. The ratio of QQQ vs SPX is within a local uptrend but still within the upward sloping Fib Retracement level between 0 and 0.618. The tech heavy QQQ can and will claim leadership once we break out of the range in the upward sloping Fib retracement level and break above the 0.618 levels.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by RabishankarBiswal
NAS100 | Currently leans bullishThe price is showing signs of consolidation after a significant recovery, with bullish momentum evident. The recent movements indicate that NAS100 is attempting to retest key resistance levels while holding above critical support zones. Key Observations: 1. Trend Structure: • The price is currently trading within an ascending channel or trend, with higher highs and higher lows. • The bullish momentum is supported by the 50-period (blue) and 200-period (red) moving averages, which are trending upwards and acting as dynamic support. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: • Resistance: • 21,750–21,800: The upper boundary of the channel and a strong resistance zone to watch. This level aligns with recent swing highs. • Support: • 21,500: A key support level and a recent consolidation area. Holding above this strengthens the bullish case. • 20,766: A major structural support zone that aligns with a previous low. A break below would signal a potential trend reversal. 3. MACD (Momentum Indicator): • The MACD is relatively flat, suggesting the market is in consolidation with reduced momentum. A bullish crossover would confirm a continuation higher, while a bearish crossover could signal retracement. 4. Moving Averages: • The 50-period MA (blue) is close to the current price and acting as a short-term support level. • The 200-period MA (red) is further below and aligns with the 21,200–21,300 support zone, providing stronger dynamic support for the medium-term trend. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: • If the price holds above 21,500, the next target is a retest of the 21,750–21,800 resistance zone. • A breakout above 21,800 could drive the price toward 22,200, the next psychological and structural resistance. Bearish Scenario: • If the price fails to hold 21,500, it could drop toward the 21,200–21,300 support zone. • A break below 21,200 might trigger a deeper correction toward 20,766, aligning with the previous low. Trading Plan: 1. For Long Trades: • Entry: Above 21,600, ideally after a retest or breakout with momentum. • Target: 21,750–21,800 and potentially 22,200. • Stop Loss: Below 21,500. 2. For Short Trades: • Entry: Below 21,500 with a clear break and retest. • Target: 21,300, then 20,766. • Stop Loss: Above 21,600. Conclusion: The market currently leans bullish, but the resistance zone around 21,750–21,800 is critical. A breakout above this level confirms continuation higher, while failure to break could lead to a pullback. Use caution with entries until momentum or volume confirms a direction.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by AutoMarkets
Nasdaq a complété ses 5-VaguesAreas labeled as "Liquidity" and "Lots of Liquidity" represent price zones where stop-loss orders or pending orders may cluster. These zones are likely points of interest for reversals or breakouts. Support and Resistance: A horizontal yellow line marks a potential key support level around 21,000. The upper horizontal lines indicate resistance levels near 21,447 and 21,676, respectively. A bearish move is predicted to complete Wave 6, targeting the support zone near 21,000 (specifically around 0.72 Fibonacci retracement level). Following this, an upward movement is projected towards the liquidity zone near 21,802. Potential Upside: The target at 21,802 represents a significant upward liquidity grab after the predicted downward move.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by GoldHeister2025
20-1 Nass100:Despite the fact that today was a holiday in the US, the developments in the Middle East and the US itself do have an impact on the stocks including the tech stocks. Our signal system gives a neutral / long signal with a Score of +7 consisting of Cot Data 0, Retail sentiment -2, Seasonality 2, Trend reading 1, GDP 1, Manufacturing PMI 1, Services PMI 1, Retail Sales -1, Inflation 1, Employment change 1, Unemployment Rate 1, Interest Rates 1. We expect the Nas to come back to where it has been in the past year. We have set up a buy range from 21500.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Probeleg
NAS100 Buy Opportunity: Technical and Market AnalysisNAS100 Buy Opportunity: Technical and Market Analysis Technical Analysis 1. Breakout Above Trend Line: • The NAS100 has successfully broken out of a long-term descending trend line, signaling a reversal from bearish momentum to bullish strength. • This breakout is further supported by sustained bullish candles, confirming a shift in market sentiment. 2. Key Resistance Levels Breached: • The price recently broke above a significant resistance level at 21,500, turning it into a support zone. • With this key resistance cleared, the next target levels are 21,750 and 22,000 in the short term. 3. Support Levels: • Strong support is visible around 21,400, which aligns with the trendline retest and consolidation area. • The 21,150 level provides additional downside protection, serving as a critical pivot. 4. Momentum Indicators: • Stochastic Divergence: Momentum remains bullish, with no signs of overbought conditions, suggesting room for further upward movement. • Volume Surge: The breakout was accompanied by increased volume, validating the strength of the upward move. Market Analysis 1. Trump’s Presidential Inauguration: • Markets often react positively to pro-business policies, which are historically associated with Trump’s administration. • Investor sentiment today is driven by expectations of renewed focus on technology growth, infrastructure spending, and potential tax cuts. These policies directly benefit tech-heavy indices like NAS100. 2. Tech Sector Performance: • The NAS100 heavily relies on major tech companies, which are likely to see increased investment flows due to optimism about innovation and deregulation. 3. Speculative Sentiment: • Political transitions fuel short-term speculative buying, further adding to the index’s upside momentum. Buy Opportunity 1. Entry Zone: • Current price levels around 21,500–21,550 present a strong buying opportunity, as this zone has become a solid support after the breakout. 2. Target Levels: • Short-term target: 21,750. • Medium-term target: 22,000, aligning with psychological resistance and historical price zones. 3. Stop Loss: • Place a stop loss below the support level at 21,400, allowing room for minor pullbacks while limiting downside risk. Conclusion The NAS100 is positioned for further upside due to the trendline breakout, strong technical setup, and positive market sentiment fueled by Trump’s inauguration. Buyers should focus on buying dips near support zones to capitalize on the ongoing bullish momentum.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by US30EMPIRE
NASDAQ100 Long The anticipated red W-iii top came and went, and the red W-iv has most likely also been completed. Note that these levels align with what we already anticipated in late November, showing the forecasting power one can enjoy using the EW. Thus, contingent on holding at least above $20800, the orange warning level for the Bulls, and especially above the January 13 low at $20538, we should expect the index to reach the red W-v’s ideal target zone at $22825-23400. The red arrow shows the standard W-v = W-i level at $23025. Meanwhile, we have penciled in a standard Fibonacci-based impulse pattern with the green W-1? through W-5? for this red W-v. However, since we’re most likely dealing with an Ending Diagonal from the August 2024 low, which comprises a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern, we may see short-term deviations, i.e., an a-b-c advance from the January 13 low. Regardless, and since the short-term is always the most variable and, therefore, the least certain, we keep our eyes on the price: $22825-23400.
BLACKBULL:NAS100Long
by Daniel_Thompson
NAS100 - Nasdaq index path, after the inauguration!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zone, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq being in the supply range will provide us with the conditions to sell it. As markets prepare for Donald Trump’s inauguration, the dollar has weakened slightly. Early signals suggest that no significant changes in tariff policies are imminent, leading to a minor dip in the dollar’s value. Over the weekend, Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping had a positive conversation. Following the call, Trump tweeted, “Just had an excellent conversation with Xi Jinping of China. This was very good for both China and the U.S. I expect us to solve many issues together, and we’ll start immediately.” Meanwhile, the correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq Technology Index has reached its highest level in two years. Bloomberg data shows the 30-day correlation index between the world’s largest cryptocurrency and the Nasdaq stands at approximately 0.70, indicating closely aligned movements between the two assets. On another front, Jared Bernstein, head of Joe Biden’s Council of Economic Advisers, has warned that the incoming Trump administration’s potential interference in Federal Reserve interest rate policies could risk a resurgence in inflation. Bernstein emphasized the importance of maintaining the Fed’s independence and noted that executive actions should not influence interest rate decisions. TD Securities predicts that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady during the first half of this year. However, it expects rate cuts to resume in the second half, with the terminal rate reaching the low 3% range. This strategy reflects the economy’s need to digest Trump’s new policies, particularly on tariffs and immigration. This week’s economic calendar is relatively light.Both the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq will be closed on Monday, January 20, 2025, in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day. Later in the week, key economic data will be released. On Thursday, the U.S. weekly jobless claims report will be published, followed by preliminary S&P Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data and existing home sales figures on Friday. Bank of America forecasts that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield will reach 4.75% this year, with the potential to surpass 5% depending on Federal Reserve decisions. However, it sees a low probability of yields exceeding 5.25%. The bank cites a strong macroeconomic backdrop and a hawkish Federal Reserve, suggesting that any rate hikes will depend on inflation data. Bank of America also notes that yields near 5% could represent a compelling buying opportunity, provided the Consumer Price Index remains stable or declines slightly.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
NASDAQ Trendline support and resistant- price action Trend lines, support, and resistance levels are crucial in a 1-hour chart because they help traders identify key price levels and market trends: 1. **Trend Lines**: These lines connect significant highs or lows, showing the overall direction of the market. They help traders spot the trend (uptrend, downtrend, or sideways) and make informed decisions about entry and exit points. 2. **Support Levels**: These are price levels where a downtrend could pause due to increased buying interest. Identifying support helps traders predict potential bounce points, reducing the risk of entering a trade too early. 3. **Resistance Levels**: These are price points where an uptrend may pause or reverse due to selling pressure. Recognizing resistance helps traders identify potential profit-taking levels or where a trend might reverse. Overall, these tools provide critical insights into market behavior, improving trade accuracy and risk management.
SPREADEX:NDX
by CFDPROPTRADER
NASDAQ EVEN BETTER THAN PLANNEDThe new blue line is our new ideal forecast, staying in between the possibilities the green and lower blue lines give, but wow this is even bigger than we thought. We caught a good one. Technical Analysis: The NASDAQ 100 index has shown strong upward momentum, recently breaking out above a key resistance level at 15,000. It is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling a sustained uptrend. The RSI is trending higher but remains below overbought levels, indicating further upside potential. MACD has crossed into bullish territory, confirming positive momentum. Immediate resistance lies at 15,500, with a break above this level potentially targeting 16,000, the year’s high. On the downside, 15,000 now acts as key support, with additional support at 14,700. The index remains in a solid uptrend, supported by higher lows and strong buying pressure on dips. Fundamental Analysis: The NASDAQ is benefiting from a favorable macroeconomic environment and strong earnings reports from major tech companies. Optimism around artificial intelligence and innovation continues to drive investor interest, with tech stocks leading the charge. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s signal that it may pause further rate hikes due to cooling inflation has supported growth stocks, which are highly sensitive to interest rate changes. Lower yields also make tech valuations more attractive, fueling buying interest. Additionally, the U.S. economy has shown resilience, with solid GDP growth and a strong labor market. This combination of steady economic conditions and a less aggressive Fed has created a favorable environment for the NASDAQ. Key Catalysts to Watch: Upcoming earnings reports, especially from major tech companies. Federal Reserve updates, including comments on interest rate policy. U.S. economic data, such as inflation and GDP figures. Sentiment around innovation sectors like AI, semiconductors, and cloud computing.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by edl75
NASDAQ WILL GO HIGHER, BUY AFTER PULLBACKFundamentals Recent economic data indicates mixed sentiments in the tech sector, with rising interest rates and concerns about valuations weighing on growth stocks. However, optimism surrounds potential technological advancements, such as AI and renewable energy sectors, driving long-term bullish expectations. Technicals After the bullish spike following the CPI inflation reading, the price is expected to retrace to the 20,865–20,968 range, which corresponds to two key Fibonacci levels. The 20,968 level also aligns with a demand zone. Entry levels are: 20,865 (conservative) or more aggressive at 20,968. Before entering long, it is important to see confirmation of bullish pressure... In terms of target, I think we will see new highs, but take profit partially and sistematically along the way.. Follow me to receive updates on this idea, including confirmations for entries, stop losses, and profit targets. Don’t miss out—hit that follow button now!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by zito82
LONG in NASDAQHello Fellow Traders, I wanted to update you on my recent activity in the markets. As mentioned in the USDCAD short idea update, I successfully opened a long position in BTC. Today, I’ve identified another excellent opportunity, this time in NASDAQ. This morning, NASDAQ rebounded following a lower-than-expected PPI report, showing initial strength. However, the momentum faded, and the index is currently down by 0.16%. Given this setup, I’m opening a long position at 20,739 with: Stop Loss (SL): 20,619 Take Profit (TP): Targeting the range of 21,000–21,200 Let’s see how this trade unfolds. Stay disciplined and manage your risks effectively. Good luck trading!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by khongorzul0317