US100 CFD forum
The market are , and have been always either bullish or bearish in trend"
"Economic reports are important since the market maker maker investment are based on economy and financial reports".
There are billions $ business based on informing trader and market maker...bloomberg sells 20k terminal for professional trader to get info by the seconds! why ? if TA is all you need?
Today NAS100 just started to go down and surprised all the overtly bullish retail traders. BBB was approved jobs was good.. why down? Tariffs letter baby!
Bear RSI divergence exists. yesterday we had one (see charts) but offcourse the bull don't see it . the only see the bull one..
Any ATH brings a drop that is a fact, 3000 last summer, 1000 in dec, 5000 in april..our job is to recognize when is time to switch and NOT just put the head in the sand and say the market is bullish I dont want to hear anything else

The pull run after this gigantic pull flag should be good.
Waiting for the confirmation and to 23000 we shall go.
Anyone with the same analysis?

I do not push or encourage anyone to take specific trades. I share insights and offer my perspective — nothing more. The reason is simple: trading with your own money demands full responsibility. No one else is accountable for your trades, so blindly copying someone else’s approach is not only risky — it’s unwise. While I understand that some people do it, I strongly disagree with that mindset.
What I don’t appreciate are individuals who comment on strategies they don’t understand — especially when their opinions are built on vague clichés like “trade the trend” or “just trade what you see.” The problem is, seeing is subjective. Unless you’re applying a structured, methodical strategy, we’re simply not speaking the same language. This is where I understand the critique — and even the frustration — that more experienced traders express, sometimes to the point of being banned from platforms. Over time, it becomes clear: one should not critique a strategy they haven’t taken the time to genuinely study or grasp.
I’m also fully transparent about the fact that my strategy isn’t foolproof. I can and do experience drawdowns. But what makes my approach effective is its emphasis on minimising losses and refining entries in areas where the probability of profitability is highest. That level of structure and discipline far surpasses the oversimplified approaches like “trust me, it’s bullish/bearish.”
I also trade my strategy on lower margin — because I’ve learned not to overleverage, especially when it comes to swing setups. You will almost never catch the exact top or bottom of a move, nor the crème de la crème entry. Lower exposure allows me to manage risk more effectively, remain objective, and hold positions with greater clarity, even in high-volatility environments.
Based on my analysis, we are at risk of breaking below the yearly level. The yearly candle could close bearish — unless we sweep the low beforehand. To me, this presents a high-probability swing trade opportunity. What adds confluence is that we’re sitting at an extreme yearly sell level. While there may still be room for price to stretch further, the broader structure supports a downside scenario.
The upper imbalance was filled cleanly at 22,820, which I consider sufficient. The next significant imbalance lies at 22,288 — a sharp potential drop from current levels. If you also examine the trendline that has supported the uptrend since its beginning, you’ll notice we are now at a critical inflection point. The structure resembles a dangerous n-shaped reversal. Any prolonged hesitation at this level increases the risk of breaking that trendline, which could trigger a new leg down — either into a HL or a new low.
My indicator projects a target around 15,376. And no — it’s not “just because my indicator says so.” It’s based on a model I developed from manually calculating extreme price zones where high-probability moves tend to originate. These levels have consistently shown strong performance when approached with the right confluence, structure, and risk management.
At the end of the day, I’m not here to sell certainty. I’m here to stay accountable to a strategy that works for me which I also published through my indicators. If that offers someone else insight or a fresh perspective, that’s a bonus. But unless you’ve taken the time to understand the framework behind a strategy, it’s best to refrain from commenting on it.
As usual you should trade your own strategy and ignore the noise.