DOW/US30 - PERFECT TIME FOR LONG ENTRYTeam, i hope you all making millions on SHORT BOTH SETUP UK100 AND GER30 today
However there is no perfect time to entry LONG DOW/US30 now
please follow the guideline and entry..
target 1st is 150-200 points
2nd target between 300-500 points.
we expect this swing will take tomorrow and next day for the recovery.
US30 trade ideas
DOW JONES: Looks to extend gains to 43,500Dow Jone remains bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.492, MACD = 410.840, ADX = 32.007) as it maintains the medium term bullish trend inside its 1 month Channel Up. Since the index kept the 4H MA50 intact, it established it as its Support and is now halfway on the new bullish wave. The 2 prior rose by +4.30%, which gives a clear technical target (TP = 43,500)for the next HH.
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"US30/DJI" Index Market Bullish Robbery (Swing Trade Plan)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Correction and a push up US30 has been gradually climbing but this growth may have to correct a bit before continuing up. After reaching the 41,800 gap, the indice rose a bit, but may have ran out of steam to further go up. The nearest support will be the likely area where the indice may find buying pressure, if price action remains above the support barriers.
US30 Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 42,620.8.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 45,530.9 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
sell US30 / US30 Analysis – 60MPrice has retested the VAL (Value Area Low) after breaking down from the volume structure.
VAL: price retested and showed weakness
📌 A failure to reclaim the POC may lead to a drop toward the next demand zone at 42,160–42,000.
Volume profile shows a clear shift in control to sellers. Reclaim of POC = possible bullish shift. Hold below = continuation lower.
Signs of Selling Pressure (Absorption of Buys at Highs)🧠 Quick Terminology Refresher:
Absorption = Large volume hitting the book with little price movement (strong limit orders halting progress).
Exhaustion = Declining volume near highs/lows, indicating a potential reversal or lack of continuation.
Delta = Net buying/selling pressure (positive = aggressive buyers, negative = aggressive sellers).
Imbalance zones = Strong activity favoring one side of the market — high-probability interest areas.
🔎 Breakdown of Key Zones (Right Side of the Chart – May 20–21):
🔴 Signs of Selling Pressure (Absorption of Buys at Highs)
May 20 Candle:
Delta: -1.37K on 80.27K volume = net sellers present.
Upper wick shows buy volume at the highs being absorbed by resting sell orders.
Price fails to close above 42,300, the same level it touched multiple times (look left), reinforcing it as resistance.
The cluster of buying at the highs followed by price dropping suggests buying exhaustion + absorption by sellers.
🔻 May 21 Candle (Early):
Delta: -387 on low volume (21.68K) — early in the session.
Low delta but presence of symmetric buy/sell volume suggests a balance day or low conviction.
However, failure to break back above the previous POC zone (around 42,200–42,300) + no aggressive buying continuation = bearish bias.
🔵 Prior Bullish Activity (May 15–19):
May 15: Strong positive delta (+3.84K) with 99.68K total volume — clear initiative buy pressure.
May 16–19: Successive candles show diminishing delta and heavy total volume with:
Imbalance blocks shifting down.
Lower highs and failed follow-through after May 15 = exhaustion of buyers.
Especially May 19: delta of -1.14K, and large wick + failed upside = absorbed buys, followed by rejection.
🧱 High-Volume Nodes (Support/Resistance):
Resistance Zone: 42,270–42,300
Multiple failed closes above, heavy sell volume absorbed buyers.
Support Zone: 42,000–42,100
Yellow highlight zone — recent volume nodes + last remaining absorption candle May 14–15.
But current candles are testing this zone, and not bouncing with strength.
📉 Conclusion: Sell Bias Based on Footprint Behavior
✅ Reasons to Lean Bearish / Sell:
Absorption at highs (May 19–20).
Exhaustion of buying delta after May 15–16.
Lower highs and lower volume follow-through.
Price failing at POC/resistance zones (42,300) repeatedly.
No new aggressive buying footprints in current bars.
⚠️ Not a Blind Sell – Wait For:
Break and hold below 42,100, ideally confirmed by:
Negative delta + rising total volume.
Sell imbalances near lower levels.
Signs of no strong passive buyer absorption at 42,000.
🛠 Suggested Strategy:
📉 Short Bias: Target zone: 41,850–41,900
📈 If price reclaims 42,300 with positive delta spike, exit shorts or flip long (failed breakdown = trap).
🎯 Watch Volume Profile: Large nodes mean congestion — avoid taking new trades in the middle of these zones.
US30 Breakdown May 19thWhy shouldn't you write with a broken pen? Because it's pointless. Just like your life if you don't stay focused on your purpose. Ok let's get to work!
Price is on a beautiful uptrend and right now it's on a retracement down to 42650 area. I believe price will continue to push up to the 42870 Level.
How I'll enter
I am going to wait for price to get down to the 42650 level
Wait for a break of structure as confirmation for a buy (on a 1min)
Then Buy
But like my ex, price does whatever it wants, so be careful and always wait for a break and retest or a break of structure near the key areas.
Have fun. And trade responsibly
US30 – Supply Zone Hit & Rejection | Is the Rally Over?US30 has just tapped a strong supply zone around 42,752, followed by immediate rejection. With price sitting at a critical turning point, here’s how I’m preparing to trade the Dow this week.
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Chart Breakdown:
1. Supply Zone (42,600 - 42,800):
Price aggressively entered this area and got rejected fast. Historically, this zone has caused sharp moves down, and the reaction today aligns with that pattern.
2. Key Support (42,288.87):
Watch this level closely. A clean break and retest below here would confirm bearish momentum, potentially triggering a selloff.
3. Demand Zone (41,767 - 41,900):
This orange zone has previously fueled strong bullish rallies. If price dips back here, look for a bounce or bullish confirmation setup.
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Bearish Plan (Short Bias):
Entry: Break + retest of 42,288
TP1: 42,012
TP2: 41,767
SL: Above 42,800 (supply high)
Bullish Alternative:
If price holds above 42,288 and forms a higher low, a retest of the 42,750s could be in play. But for now, the supply reaction suggests caution.
---
What to Watch:
US economic data (jobless claims, inflation)
FOMC or Fed speakers
Risk sentiment shifts (S&P/Nasdaq correlation)
---
Your Take?
Do you think this was a false breakout or the start of a deeper pullback? Comment your setup or target below!
---
#US30 #DowJones #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #IndicesTrading #TradingView #US30Forecast
US30 (Dow Jones) – 16 May 2025 Update📊 US30 (Dow Jones) – 16 May 2025 Update 🚨
Dow Jones just bounced cleanly off the 20 EMA and is now attempting to break through 42,400 resistance 📈
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
📍 Current Price: 42,338
🧭 Key Resistance: 42,400
✅ Strong bounce from 41,800 zone
📊 EMAs sloped up, confirming bullish momentum
This looks like a bullish retest and continuation setup 🔁. Price had a healthy pullback, tapped dynamic support, and now buyers are stepping back in.
🔥 Key Scenarios:
Bullish case 🟢:
Break + close above 42,400 = potential leg up toward 42,600–42,800
EMAs in bullish alignment = trend continuation likely
Bearish case 🔴:
Rejection + close back below 42,200 = retest of 41,800–41,600 support
Would still be a buy-the-dip zone for now
🧠 Pro Tip:
➡️ Don’t short a trending market just because it “looks high”
➡️ Let structure guide you, not emotion
➡️ Tight consolidations near highs = strength 💪
US30 Recently will breakoutUS3O A new forecast a new downtrend zone
Forecast from Mr Martin11 Date 14 May 2025
US30 Bearish Pattern Analysis Currently showing a bearish structure The price appears to be nearing a breakout to the downside.
Targets to watch
1st Target 40,500
2nd Target: 39,500
if the bearish breakout confirms (possibly with strong volume and a close below recent support), the price may push toward these lower support levels. If you'd like, I can help you with a chart annotation or deeper technical analysis (e.g., support/resistance levels, RSI, MACD, Fibonacci retracement).
you may find more details in the Chart Thanks Good Luck Traders.
US30: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 42,259.4 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DOW/US30 - PLEASE FOLLOW THE STRATEGY ACCORDINGLYTeam, two are set up on LONG position for DOW/US30.
if you have seen my video, how I trade and how much I made, you would notice the difference.
With strategy 1, you make 10-15% profit on your capital, depending on how much risk you take. Please add your entry slowly. Do not trade plan one aggressively.
also, follow the target range accordingly, make sure trail stop loss to BE once the first target is reached and take 50% partial
With strategy 2, if the market allows, this is where we would kill the market. But we need to be patient. As you can see, in the last 2-3 days, I did not trade the DOW/US30 because I prefer to enter at a certain level and price action.
Please follow the plan accordingly; once it hits target 1, take 30% and bring stop loss to BE
I hope you understand my strategy. Let's make millions together.
Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is poised to begin a significant decline, potentially as early as today, May 15, 2025, targeting a retest of the price low from April 7, 2025 (~36,611.78), and possibly lower. This movement is driven by renewed trade tensions, disappointing economic data, and bearish market sentiment.
1. Fundamental Factors Driving Potential Decline
Fundamental factors provide the macroeconomic and policy-driven rationale for the anticipated downturn in the Dow Jones.
1.1. Renewed Uncertainty in Trade Policy
The Dow’s rally on May 12–13, 2025, was fueled by optimism over a temporary U.S.-China tariff reduction agreement (90-day truce) announced after talks in Switzerland on May 11, 2025. However, as of May 15, 2025, investor confidence is faltering due to a lack of progress in ongoing U.S.-China trade negotiations.
Trigger for May 15: A Reuters report from May 14, 2025, notes that U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent are meeting with Chinese officials, but no new agreements have been confirmed. If today’s talks fail to deliver positive outcomes or if President Trump escalates tariff rhetoric, the Dow could plummet, as seen in early April when tariffs triggered a 5.5% single-day drop. The Dow, with its heavy weighting of multinational corporations, is particularly vulnerable to trade war fears, which could drive it toward the April 7 low as investors price in higher costs and slower global growth.
1.2. Disappointments in Economic Data
CPI Reaction: The April 2025 Consumer Price Index (CPI), released on May 14, 2025, showed inflation at 2.3% annually, below the expected 2.4%. However, the Dow’s decline (-0.6%) on May 14 suggests investors expected a lower figure to support Federal Reserve rate cuts, reflecting skepticism about inflation cooling further.
Producer Price Index (PPI) Release on May 15: The PPI for April 2025, due at 8:30 AM ET (2:30 PM CEST) on May 15, 2025, is critical. A higher-than-expected PPI, potentially driven by tariff-related cost pressures, could signal rising consumer prices, reducing hopes for Fed easing and triggering a sell-off. Consensus expects a 0.2% monthly increase; a reading above 0.3% could echo the April market reaction when GDP contraction fears pushed the Dow to 36,611.78.
Consumer Sentiment: The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May 2025, released on May 14, likely showed continued weakness (April: 52.2, a multi-year low). A further decline could heighten concerns about reduced consumer spending, impacting Dow components like Walmart and Home Depot.
1.3. Concerns Over Federal Reserve Policy
On May 7, 2025, Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited “elevated uncertainty” due to trade policies, with markets expecting 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2025, starting in July. If today’s PPI or Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) indicate persistent inflation or economic weakness, rate cut expectations could fade, increasing borrowing costs and pressuring Dow valuations, mirroring the April 7 recession fears.
2. Technical Analysis
The Dow’s initial decline in April was approximately -19.00%, with a second impulse of similar magnitude. Technical indicators suggest a bearish setup for May 15, 2025:
Current Level: The Dow closed at 42,051.06 on May 14, 2025, down 0.6%, testing support at 42,000.
Bearish Signals: A 12-hour timeframe analysis indicates alignment for a decline, with potential bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing) and overbought RSI (70). A break below 42,000 could target the 200-day moving average (40,500) and the April 7 low of 36,611.78.
Price Targets:
Retest of April 7, 2025, low: ~36,611.78
Secondary target: ~35,970.70 (based on Fibonacci extensions and prior support zones).
3. Market Sentiment and Behavioral Factors
Fragile Optimism: The Dow’s 15% recovery from April lows was driven by trade truce hopes and select stock strength. Bloomberg’s May 14, 2025, report notes Wall Street’s rebound is “showing signs of exhaustion” due to trade risks. The Dow’s May 14 weakness, led by an 18% UnitedHealth drop, could spread if negative news emerges today.
Global Correlation: Mixed Asian market performance on May 14 (e.g., Nikkei up 1.43%, India’s Nifty 50 down 1.27%) suggests vulnerability. A lower Asian open on May 15, driven by U.S. declines or trade news, could amplify selling pressure on the Dow.
4. Evidence-Based Framework for the Forecast
4.1. Catalysts for Today’s Decline (May 15, 2025)
PPI Data (8:30 AM ET): A PPI reading above 0.3% could signal sticky inflation, reducing Fed rate cut odds and sparking a sell-off.
Trade Talk Updates: Negative U.S.-China trade comments (e.g., no Geneva deal) could reignite fears, mirroring April 7.
Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Claims above 220,000 (vs. prior 211,000) could signal labor market weakness, fueling recession concerns.
4.2. Dow Scenario
Expect a wave-like decline with corrections. The Dow could fall below 36,611.78, potentially reaching ~35,970.70 if trade and economic pressures intensify. Extreme caution is advised in 2025.
4.3. Global Scenario for S&P 500
I anticipate a wave-like decline with intermittent corrections. I wouldn’t be surprised if the S&P 500 falls below 4,700, potentially reaching 4,200. Extreme caution is warranted this year. There’s even a theory that, starting in 2025, the U.S. dollar could lose 50% of its purchasing power.
Idea:
New Screenshot:
4.4. Oil and Geopolitical Outlook
I expect oil (Brent) to decline to the $50+/- range, from which an upward trend may begin, potentially tied to future military conflicts:
· Europe vs. Russia
· India vs. Pakistan
· Iran vs. Israel
Brent (UKOIL):
Natural Gas:
Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 41,309.98
1st Support: 40,778.41
1st Resistance: 42,730.89
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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