Looking symmetricalDefinitely not an exact science, but I am bullish on VIX. FED is supposedly going for recession. I think they are, just they try to have a "soft landing". I would even argue it's smart to have soft landing, if the leverage would unwind on a single day the financial system would stop existing as we know it.
VXX trade ideas
Synthetic Short Against the Box with TQQQ & SPXS?I created this chart to illustrate the price action of leverage ETF in relation to VIX.
The purpose is to determine whether it's possible to create synthetic version of shorting against the box, where you never short and long the shares of the same stock.
Instead someone is only ever long the shares on TQQQ with a protective PUT, and short the shares of SPXS with a call to cover.
Then using the wheel strategy as a means to generate reliable credit.
I'm very interested to so other people's observations/thoughts...
DGSTACC: VIX PREDICTION!!!!DESCRIPTION: The chart above is an analysis of the VIX and it current pattern formation of a SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE FORMATION .
POINTS:
1. Strong Support for VIX at 19.50 with current Demand Pocket Ceiling for FIB is at 25.
2. Move should occur by the 9th of January as price action would have to compress a lot more by then.
3. Current overall trend is a down trend that we have been seeing for VIX since early October.
SCENARIO #1: If break of Symmetrical Triangle occurs towards the downside expect a bounce at 19.50 .
SCENARIO #2: If break of Symmetrical Triangle occurs towards the upside expect resistance at 25 .
*NOTE: NO RECESSION HAS EVER ENDED WITHOUT A VIX SPIKE TO 45 AT LEAST.
TVC:VIX
VIX - idea is still clear2008 didn't repeat 1:1, but history tend to rhyme - and so it is doing right now.
VIX dropped lower than it should - very likely manipulation - but is holding a certain level - when I checked for any curve that could be adjusted to it - I noticed a small detail - 2021 fakeout.
2021 was the last push to the upside - the one that broke VIX trend - but now is holding to it once again. The channel is now clear and we are at the bottom of it.
Not bullish at all for stocks.
Vix likely to bounce up soon.
Warning VIX model is now set up to SOAR My work posted a few days back call for a drop to below 20 .Today we saw this and I was 85 % plus net long goint into this morning in trow spy qqq smh aapl and calls I HAVE SOLD EVERYTHING net gain 3.5 to 4.6 % I am now back to 100 % cash the net gain for 2022 is now back above 64.2 % . I stated this rally would be very strong into jan 3/10 2023 see 1973 chart dec 15 . The issue is now that the VIX did not get up to mid 24 /27 as I had hoped . So what is next well we had 4 days below the bb bands which on odds rallies min back into it and we saw that today . I do NOT like the pattern in the vix see the arrows and this formation the last 4/5 times the VIX SOARED > I am flat and I will not short . I am NOT SURE with this setup I must PROTECT GAINS as everyone else takes losses of min 20 % see forecast dec 2021 model min drop 20% for 2022 well 2023 I think we will see another 16.8 to 21 % drop I am working on the cycles as well as the SPIRALS . best of trades WAVETIMER
DGSTACC: VIX MACRO ANALYSIS / CONFIRMED CHANNELS & RESISTANCEIn the chart above I have provided the following:
1. Channel confirmation on the daily timeframe.
2. Current downtrend channel in VIX that appears to be coming to an end that should definitely expire by January 24th.
3. Resistance marker at 25 from previous tests can indicate strong support for SPY in return as it can force VIX to stay in demand zone.
VIX BULL$VIX is creating a Bullish 1-2-3 Pattern at its previous market structure bottom (Support marked by the grey box). Price is currently consolidating at support and what historic price action tells us is that price usually has a period of consolidation known as a pullback or "Retracement" before it continues in its overall direction. I have price returning to an older higher-low Level @25.50 and beyond.
Market Update 12/18/2022TimeStamps:
VIX 0:00
APPL 1:03
NDQ,DJI,SPY 5:12
BTC 6:24
DOGE 8:38
HD 10:50
DKNG 14:00
META 15:18
PYPL 16:18
Just an overview since the last video and some thoughts moving forward.
I hope you all are doing well. Sorry for not being on as much as I used to. I hope to be on more in the future.
VIX is gonna MIX it UP UP UP!!Please refer to last weeks post.
Market has shown its hand, I seen enough strength in daily volume profiles supporting my composites zones.
Will it RIP to the upside next week and into the new year?
There is a much higher probability on the facts I have seen.
FEAR not only has crept in - but now I see it!!
Keep SL's tight its gonna get crazy!
Nuf said peace out!