VIX Simple Chart AnalysisVix supported as well. If things continue to fall at US market, it will revisit 28 to 34 area again till CPI data day. All this chart index is our key to monitor the movement of bull & bear.
VXX trade ideas
VIX - what what what ?!What Do I see here ?! The Double Top Neck didn't get retested (red circle)
Ladies and gentlemen.... this means only one thing - if a retest hasn't appeared yet, it is more than likely to reverse the other way in the near future - and that is no surprise to me.
So far VIX has been following my lines - and I expect nothing else for the next months. We are now at support, ofcourse consolidation may happen but overall this should be the local bottom and we should start going up - and from here - in theory - sky is the limit. Anything can happen any time. And sadly it won't happen when expected so just keep monitoring. Yesterday's FOMC was really bearish and gave no hope for bulls.
Now stocks and risk-on assets have a pretty open highway to the downside.
Vix (Wake up) Somebody hit this with some Narcan!
Support is now resistance (Yellow line)
We are bouncing off of 25.50 but can't get anywhere. The vix is running out of room because it's caught between Yellow line and white; one or the other will give out.
If we break below 25 we're headed towards 23.74 or 24 (Purple line).
If you look at your RSI on the daily time frame and place a horizontal bar at around 36.30 you'll see we're at support. With that being said the next 2 trading sessions will be interesting
VIX - Will the FED spark another rally in the volatility index?On 18th October 2022, we warned investors that our short-term price target of 35 USD would be pushed further into the future if the market rallied until the FED meeting. Now, we are growing increasingly bullish on the index and expect it to return above 30 USD and then continue toward our short-term and medium-term price targets.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
VIX Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022 VIX Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022
Currently the volatility for this week is around 12.11% , up from expected 8.8% last week.
According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 10th percentile.
Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is :
BEAR : 9.4% from the opening point of the weekly candle
BULL : 11.6% from the opening point of the weekly candle
At the same time, currently there is 22.8% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to
break and close either above or below the next channel:
TOP: 29.3
BOT: 24.5
Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a :
35% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high
60% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low
VIX Next MoveVolatility Index moving in down trend since 13 October. Index reached important level (Daily EMA 200 and MA 200 )and now it's time to decide which direction.
VIX vs BTCOkay can someone explain this to me ? I guess not, Because I know that this can't be explained - and worst is - mathematicians have proofs of life being a "thing" made out of fractals - literally everywhere and between everything.
Well, back to markets - here We can See the Daily chart BTC fractal on the 1h timeframe of BTC - and also on the 1h timeframe of VIX - vis has played out nicely ( have posted about this fractal last week)
Now let's see if it leads us to low 19k on BTC.
VIX - Sentiment's unchangedVIX has been replicating 2008's sentiment 1:1. And has now retested the bottom - Ofcourse it can still consolidate or visit some local new lows but overall the idea is to keep this range - and go for the final blow.
Bearist for stocks.
Vix bounce to 28Closed in on 25 support area.
I'm displaying the BBands to show how it's candle is outside, you'll have to go back to Aug 2020 . If the vix bounces the market tanks. SIMPLE
VIX: Double Top + Broken Trend LineThe volatility index looks bearish in my view.
Bearish divergence on the daily
Double top
Cross down on the MACD
Broke the diagonal uptrend level of support
Targets that I am looking at are 23 and 20.
Getting closer to end of the triangleAlmost to the end of the triangle which ends in early 2023. Im sure it will break out before that as Fed continues to increase interest rates until something breaks. Looks like it is forming an inverted head and shoulders within the triangle.
Risk for Stocks increasing again $VIX $DJI
$VIX in middle of range, normal for now
RSI RARELY oversold
Maybe 1x per year & we're @ lower end
$DJI Comparison to last peak
In overbought territory
"2.5% upside" - ??? downside
Reducing longs
Our LARGEST position $TWTR = cash now
As we go higher raising more cash again
VIX Bullish ContinuationThe study of volatility is one of the most important factors of market analysis. I predict we will see more volatility breakdown for a short period of time until we fall to the RSI support zone. This support zone goes all the way back to March 2022.
After this we will retest the highs of around 34. A new analysis will be completed if this target is hit.
I think I have cracked the code for the action on the VIX!This idea illustrates a repetitive pattern which occurs during recession/bear markets. First sign is the VIX keeps basing higher and higher then you get a well defined resistance line going back to the base line BEFORE the crash which coincides with the end of the bear market. Then you get multiple retracements on the VIX which are all shorting opportunities!!
I hope you benefit from this idea!
Peace
VIX - Look look !Well.. actually nothing to see here. All goes 100% as expected and expecting a bounce up from the circled area. Additionally I have underlined TrendExhaustion and RSi as they are showing signs of exhaustion - Bearish for stocks !!!
Vix to 25 Falling wedge has turned into a bear channel. Has some support at 27 where we might dead cat before heading to 25
VIX interesting fractalI have checked the amount of days from Mar 2020 first spike to the main low of this VIX smile, its 491d
If counting from the same low day 491d it comes to Nov 2nd! give it plus one day in case I should of start from the following day of the mid low.
Very interesting timing.
Also week of Nov 7th is a cycle panic week...
Im only looking up in VIX
2X 4HR VIX ANALYSIS (200 EMA) (NEXT STOP BEFORE RUN !?)The Vix is the end all be all for stock once it spikes up. AS we look at previous cycles and price action we can see The vix is at a key level where it took off from october 22nd and september 22nd. If we get a reject or bullish confirmation look for the market to sell off because if volatility stays above 35 mark off buy areas for your favorite stocks and get ready to load puts stocks will discount way more!
VIX - Still in the gameVIX is consolidating at very high levels - bounced off of the double top neck - possibly will plan to fill the weekend gap now - If we break to the downside - then 2008's scenario is still in the game and we revisit double top's target.
If we keep going uip and break that htf and ltf curve - we head into unknown territory with sky being the limit.
VIX at potential reversal zone, yet NASDAQ/BTC/SPX looks bullishThe VIX is at a potential reversal zone, which is alarming, considering the NASDAQ is confidently bullish presently.
VorheesIn July I posted a prediction that VIX would break down August 1st and my target at the time was 14-15. However, it is known that the V is for Vorhees, he doesn't stay down and controlled for long, bullish Navaro200 nested in larger bullish Navaro - as well as harmonic on the stochastic (and severely oversold) - indicates we will see a spike in the coming weeks to the 0.618... Expectations:
- Activation level is 21.18, if closes above that expect explosive spike to 24 minimum but likely 29-30
- If fails to activate then it could continue down to 14-16 level but that would be awkward with the SPY showing signs of near-term pullback on a wave 4 following this local blowout top (should see the downside begin early to mid week (16th seems most likely)
- If activates and hits 29-30, will likely bullback to retest 24 in sychronicity with SPY wave 5 late August/early Sep.
- After this it has the setup to breakout temporarily through the equilibrium point where supply = demand (around Sep 26 2022) - this would be in syncronicity with an ABC corrective wave in the SPY before it begins larger degree wave II
- Depending on the extent of SPY ABC (i.e. 0.5 or 0.618, or 0.786), VIX goal target in early October is 36-47 (possibly even 51).. It will die again from there like Friday the 13th and likely around Halloween.
Last part is a joke but the rest is no cap.
Playing Aug 26 VXX calls for exposure to this move, will sell when VIX hits 29-30 and then re-enter October calls upon a realized bounce at 24 end of August.
#NoTfInAnCiAlAdViCe
Vix on life supportStill showing a falling wedge but yesterday Close beneath the daily 21ema and out of uptrend which is bearish.
Also the falling wedge would then turn into a double top if we break support wedge support or purple line.
If Vix is a double top and it breaks support then the vix is heading to 25 white line. Which means the Markets could have a bear rally through next week.
