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SOLUSD trade ideas

Sol searching, for an entry. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! The Elliottician’s Paradox: 12-12 or Zigzag? Bias Is the Key Ever stare at a chart and ask, “Is that a 12-12 or a classic zigzag?” Yeah… welcome to the paradox we Elliotticians live in. Pattern recognition’s a blessing and a curse because context is everything, but confidence can get you wrecked. This one’s got me on the edge. What’s Happening Here We’re currently watching a move that could be either: - A corrective zigzag (5-3-5), or - A 1-2, 1-2 setup, gearing up for a blastoff That’s the core dilemma — two valid options, both technically legal. So what tips the scales? Bias. The Line in the Sand: 152 Here’s what I’m watching for: Key Level: 152 - That’s the bull/bear line for me. - A strong impulsive reclaim above 152 flips the script. I’d reconsider the bearish view if price surges with intent. - But if we return to 152 in a sluggish, corrective way? I’ll be eyeing continuation lower, aligned with a more traditional zigzag structure. Elliott View This is where the paradox plays out: If we’re looking at a 1-2, 1-2 setup, expect: - A powerful Wave 3 soon (should not be shy) If it’s a Zigzag ABC: - Then we should expect a corrective internal retracement and continuation to the down side, at minimum past the origin of the initial move. The chart will speak loudest. But structure and strength of this next leg will confirm the story. Final Thoughts Trading isn’t about being right. It’s about managing scenarios — and this one’s a classic fork-in-the-road moment. I’ve got a plan for both directions. 152 is my trigger. Stay below it and fade the rally. Break above it impulsively, and I’ll flip my bias with it. The Elliottician’s paradox isn’t a trap — it’s an invitation to stay sharp. Your Turn How are you reading this structure? Do you favor the zigzag or the 1-2 setup? Drop a comment and let me know. Trade safe, trade clarity!
COINBASE:SOLUSDShort
by CryptoKnee
SOL – Compression at ResistanceAfter retracing up toward the 50% Fib level (around 154.3–154.4 on the daily chart), SOL/USDT has now stalled beneath key resistance and is rolling back into the reaction range. A close look at both the 1D and 2H charts reveals a clear case of a failed swing high rather than a trend reversal. 1. Structural Context SOL remains inside its broader downtrend channel (green lines). The bounce off the June low carved out a higher low, but the subsequent rally ran into: The daily descending trendline (red) from the June high The 50% Fib retracement of the June down-leg (154.3–154.4) A sell-side order block (red volume bars on the left VPVR) The daily 20-period SMA and upper Bollinger Band Because price could not clear these layers, the move shows the characteristics of a lower high inside a downtrend rather than a genuine breakout. 2. Multi-Timeframe Confirmation Daily (1D) Chart Retracement: Peaked at 50% Fib then reversed. Volume Profile: Thick VPVR node at 154–156 acted as a supply shelf. Bollinger Bands: Upper band contained the rally. RSI: Pulled back from ~55 and printed a lower high as price challenged 50%. PVT: Flat, indicating no real net buying during the bounce. 2-Hour (2H) Chart Trendlines: A shorter-term red downtrend line capped the local rally near 154. Order Blocks: Green buy-block around 137–140 held the low; red sell-block around 154–157 limited upside. RSI: Printed a lower high on the second leg up, even as price revisited prior highs. Volume: Tapered off on the approach into the 50% Fib zone, then increased on the pullback — a sign of distribution. 3. Key Levels & Next Moves Immediate Support: 152.2–152.5 (38.2% Fib) 151.1–151.9 (23.6% Fib & daily BB midline) Structural Support Zones: 146.1–144.6 (prior consolidation & lower Bollinger band) 141.5–140.9 (secondary order block) 134.0–137.0 (major demand cluster) Immediate Resistance: 154.3–154.4 (50% Fib + daily trendline + SMA) 156–158 (78.6–100% Fib band + higher-timeframe supply) If SOL fails to hold 152.2–152.5, look for a retest of the 146–144 zone. A breach below 144 opens the path back toward the 137–134 order block. Conversely, a sustained reclaim of 154.4 on volume would be needed to shift the short-term bias neutral. 4. Conclusion This sequence—bounce into 50% Fib, capped by overlapping resistance, followed by divergence in momentum and rising volume on the pullback—confirms another lower high in SOL’s downtrend. Until price can clear 154.4 with conviction, the path of least resistance remains downward.
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by Apedapp
Getting close to go long! Solana bullish momentum is building up from both technical and fundamental perspectives. Daily chart: 1) A daily candle decisively moved and closed above EMA21 on Sat 28th June. 2) RSI and MACD are still in the bear zone but the lines are crossed and now moving upwards. 3) RSI line is now above 50. When the RSI line moves above 50 and EMA21 closes above 21 at the same time, it is often (not always) an early sign of bullish momentum (see blue vertical lines in daily chart). 4H chart: 1) EMA21>EMA55, but EMA200 is still moving horizontally. 2) All momentum indicators have entered the bull territory. However, when the candle finally broke outside the descending parallel channel and broke and closed above EMA200, momentum indicators reached the overbought territory. It means the price is likely to consolidate first before taking off. I plan to open a long position when: 1) Wait for the momentum indicators to come down and flip to the upside in the 4H chart. 2) A candle to retest, either EMA 21, 55 and/or 200 and forms a strong green (bullish) candle in the 4H chart. 3) A candle stays above EMA 21 in the 4H chart.
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by EbonyFalcon
SOL/USDT - Visible double top formationAfter hitting the projected reversal zone near 144–145, SOL/USDT has now formed a clean double top, reinforcing the bearish thesis initially outlined by the harmonic pattern. The second peak failed to break the macro descending trendline, and the price is now trading back below the 100% Fibonacci retracement of the XA leg. This double top adds structural confirmation to the harmonic C-point rejection: Volume remained lower on the second peak RSI on the 30m chart printed a lower high while price matched previous highs — a textbook bearish divergence PVT continues to flatten despite price volatility, suggesting a lack of bullish conviction Price is now slipping below 143, and bearish momentum is building.
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by Apedapp
1
SOL Ready To Breakout?SOL had a decent move this weekend overcoming descending resistance and now testing as support. Price appears to have a completed a wave (2) at the .618 Fibonacci retracement and S1 daily pivot and a larger degree wave 2 at the channel bottom, High Volume Node support and .618 Fibonacci retracement. If a wave (3) of 3 is underway then we should expect a strong move sooner rather than later with an initial target of the swing high resistance a/ R2 daily pivot $208-$216 range Safe trading.
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
SOL/USDT – Bearish Harmonic Completion Near 144–145The 2H chart shows an extended X‑A‑B‑C‑D harmonic structure (an extended Bat/ABCD). Leg XA was the initial down-leg (from the recent swing high down to A), AB was a corrective pullback, and BC retraces sharply into the 88.6–100% zone of XA (around $144–$145). In a classic Bat/ABCD, the CD leg often completes near an 88.6% retracement of XA, so this C zone is a potential reversal point (PRZ). Importantly, C also sits on the chart’s long-term red descending trendline – a confluence of fib and trendline. A break below this level would “validate the bearish harmonic pattern,” with the downtrend line amplifying selling pressure. The projected D-point is ~$122.63 (late June/early July), which coincides with the lower green channel support on the chart. Harmonic pattern (2H SOL/USDT): XA and AB moves set up a deep BC up into the 88.6–100% fib zone (around $144–145) at C. This confluence of fib levels and the macro descending trendline makes C a strong Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). The CD leg targets ~122.63, aligning with lower channel support (green). Across timeframes the momentum is waning into point C. RSI is rolling over – price made a lower high while RSI failed to confirm (a classic bearish divergence). Meanwhile, the PVT (Price Volume Trend) line has flattened even as price crept higher, indicating the rally is not supported by volume. Volume patterns also signal distribution: rallies into C have occurred on declining volume, a textbook sign that buying interest is drying up. Wyckoff distribution theory notes that as a top forms, “rallies during this stage often show lower volume” and ensuing drops on higher volume. In short, weakening RSI, a flat PVT, and thinning volume all confirm the selling pressure around $144–$145, consistent with a bearish reversal at C. Momentum and volume (15m SOL/USDT): RSI has peaked lower while price nears $145, and PVT has flattened (highlighted). Rallies into C come on lower volume, matching Wyckoff distribution cues. These divergences suggest the upward move into C is exhausted. Trade Plan & Risk Management Entry: Short initiated at $145.00 (near the PRZ around C). Stop Loss: $146.20 (just above the red trendline and invalidation of point C). Take Profit Targets: TP1 : $129.00 (minor fib support, ~61.8% retrace of the last swing). TP2: $122.63 (harmonic D projection and channel support). TP3: $120.00 (extension to lower channel boundary). Confirmation: Watch for a break of the short-term support at ~$139.50 for added conviction before letting profits run. Note: A short position was opened at $145. This outline is for informational purposes – it is not financial advice. Trade with proper risk management. Each target corresponds to technical levels (fib retracements and channel support). The first target aligns with a ~61.8% retracement (common fib TP level), and the final targets sit on the longer-term channel floor. If price breaks under $139.50, it would further confirm the bearish thesis.
COINBASE:SOLUSDShort
by Apedapp
Daily EMA 55 needs to move above EMA 200!! My general bias for Solana is bullish.  However, the current setup is very similar to the setup in Feb-Apr 2022 before Solana started a macro bear trend.  (see blue rectangular box) I am still waiting for a long trade opportunity. I am not looking for a short trade. I just need to sit tight and see how the price is going to unfold in the next few months in the daily chart. The 2022 setup (see blue rectangular box in the chart): 1) EMA55 crossed below EMA 200 on 16th Feb 2022.   (red vertical line in the chart) 2)The price found the temporary floor around $80 and sharply moved above both EMA55 and 200.   (see light blue rectangular box) 3) It was the dead cat bounce. It was the beginning of the macro down trend.   4)The price spent months and months under $40 in 22 and 23, however, the price eventually broke above both EMA 55 and 200 and when EMA55 crossed above EMA 200 in Oct 2023 (red vertical line in the chart), the macro bull trend started.   The current setup (see orange rectangular box in the chart): 1) EMA 55 crossed below EMA 200 on the 4th March 2025. 2) The price moved down to $95 area and sharply moved above both EMA 55 and EMA200.  However, it failed to stay above them.    3) The price has been oscillating between $140 and  $18. The price is still below EMA55 and EMA200.  (see orange rectangular block) In order to start a strong bull trend,  1) the price needs to close and stay above EMA 55 and EMA200. 2) EMA 55 needs to cross and stay above EMA 200.    EMA55>EMA200 3) MACD and RSI need to enter the bull zone.   EMA55 and EMA200 do not cross easily (I mean decisively cross). It only happened three times since 2022, however, when they cross, the price moves very aggressively in one direction.    I think Solana is bullish fundamentally. I am not suggesting it is going to start the macro bear cycle. I am pointing out the price is still not showing a clear direction. From a technical analysis point of view, it might take some time before the trend forms. For now, it is only testing my patience!
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by EbonyFalcon
2
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COINBASE:SOLUSDShort
by ydnldn