SOLUSDT trade ideas
SOLANA BEAR SEASONCurrently i believe that Solana already confirmed bear season last month.
Monthly candles show us that price retest completed to previous 3 candles and turned direction down.
In my opinion highly likely $295 was all-time-high for this cycle and price will continue to drop until the end of year.
SOL Harmonic Setup — $95 Sweep May Precede Rally Toward $200 +Solana may be forming a rare bullish harmonic pattern, suggesting a possible sweep of the $95 low before a reversal targets the $200 region. Critical resistance levels remain key in the short term.
Solana is showing early signs of a high-probability harmonic setup that could lead to a powerful bullish reversal — but not before a potential sweep of the recent $95 low. From a technical perspective, price is currently trading near the point of control, battling resistance layers that may trigger the next corrective leg in the pattern. If confirmed, this harmonic could produce a textbook C-to-D leg completion before launching a move toward the $200+ zone.
Key Technical Points:
- Point of Control Battle: Price is currently testing the POC with weak momentum
- Resistance at Value Area High + 0.618 Fib: Confluence zone could trigger rejection
- C-Leg Completion Around $95: Potential low before bullish harmonic activates toward $200+
Solana’s price action has entered a critical zone of decision. Price is hovering near the point of control — the highest volume-traded level in the current range — and is now contending with a strong confluence of resistance just above. This includes the value area high and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, both of which have historically produced strong rejections.
If Solana fails to break through this resistance cluster with conviction, it increases the probability of a C-leg rejection within the emerging bullish harmonic pattern. This corrective move could send SOL back down toward the $95 region, sweeping the previous low and completing a technical bottom.
Such a move — while bearish in the immediate short term — would not invalidate the bullish thesis. In fact, a sweep of $95 could act as the final leg (D) completion of what may evolve into a textbook “godly harmonic” pattern. These structures are rare and powerful, typically resulting in sharp reversals when key conditions align. The eventual upside target for this move lies in the $200+ region, in line with the prior macro swing highs and high time frame resistance levels.
Until this scenario is confirmed or invalidated, Solana remains range-bound between major high time frame levels. Traders should stay alert for signs of rejection at current resistance — or, conversely, a volume-backed breakout above the value area high that would negate the harmonic setup.
#SOL Update #3 – July 8, 2025🟠 #SOL Update #3 – July 8, 2025
Solana, much like Litecoin, is still undergoing corrections following its latest impulsive move. While it currently holds above a strong support level, two significant resistance zones are ahead.
The market is undecided, and Solana's direction remains uncertain, making it one of the riskiest assets to trade today.
If the $145 support fails, the price may drop toward $137. Conversely, a daily close above $159 could trigger a move toward $167. For now, it's best to stay on the sidelines and monitor the price action closely.
Monday, 7 July 2025 - SOL/USDT.P ShortTrading Journal Entry: SOL/USDT SHORT
Date of Entry: July 8, 2025
Asset: SOL/USDT Perpetual Futures
Position: SHORT
Entry Price: $149.40
Stop Loss: $153.50
Take Profit: $141.20
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.00:1
Setup Grade: A+
1. Core Thesis
The trade is a high-confluence short position designed to capitalize on a probable breakdown of a key support level, driven by overwhelming bearish sentiment and a clear liquidity-based objective. The core thesis is that the market, having failed to show strength at a critical resistance point within a larger downtrend, is incentivized to purge the liquidity resting at the bottom of the local range.
2. High-Timeframe Context (The Strategic Landscape)
My analysis began with a top-down approach to understand the broader market environment.
Weekly Context: The market is in a multi-month corrective phase after a significant long-term uptrend. This indicates that the primary bullish momentum has stalled, making the market susceptible to deeper corrections and range-bound activity. Trading between major HTF zones is the governing dynamic.
Daily Context: The immediate trend on the daily chart is clearly bearish, defined by a series of lower highs and lower lows. This downtrend brought the price to a pivotal support zone identified by the Volume Profile Point of Control (POC) around $140-$145. This created the central conflict: a dominant bearish trend meeting a significant historical support level.
3. Order Flow & Sentiment Analysis (The Deciding Factor)
This layer of analysis was the key to resolving the trend vs. support conflict and solidified the bearish bias.
Liquidation Analysis: The liquidation maps revealed a very large and proximate pool of long liquidations concentrated around $145. This liquidity cluster acts as a powerful magnet for price, providing a clear, logical target for a downside move.
Funding Rate Analysis: Funding rates across the majority of major exchanges were negative. This provided clear evidence that derivative traders were predominantly positioned short and were willing to pay a premium to maintain those positions. In this context of price failing at resistance, it signaled strong bearish conviction and a market leaning heavily in one direction.
Synthesis: The presence of a large downside liquidity target (the "magnet") combined with dominant bearish sentiment (the "conviction") created a high-probability scenario for a breakdown. The path of least resistance was for the market to resolve the consolidation by pushing down to trigger the liquidity pool below.
4. Tactical Execution (The Entry Trigger)
With a firm directional bias, the final step was to find a low-risk entry.
4-Hour Structure: The price action leading into the entry was weak. The 4H chart showed a low-volume, corrective bounce that failed to decisively reclaim its Point of Control around $150. This lack of a strong rejection from the lows was a critical sign that buyers lacked control and that the support was fragile.
1-Hour Entry Pattern: I identified the perfect entry trigger on the 1H chart.
Price formed a tight consolidation pattern, building a clear support base around the $149.50 - $150.00 level.
The volume throughout this consolidation was visibly declining, indicating a coiling of energy before a volatile move.
My entry at $149.40 was a stop-limit order placed to trigger on a confirmed breakdown of this immediate support, allowing us to join the move with momentum.
5. Risk Management (The Trade's Foundation)
Stop Loss ($153.50): The SL was not an arbitrary price but a logical invalidation point. It was placed just above the structural high of the 1-hour consolidation range. A move to this level would have proven the breakdown thesis incorrect and signaled that buyers had absorbed the selling pressure.
Take Profit ($141.20): The TP was chosen for two reasons:
Rule Compliance: It mathematically secured my required 2:1 risk/reward ratio.
Strategic Placement: It sits just above the major daily support zone and the daily POC, increasing the probability of a fill before a significant HTF reaction and potential bounce.
This trade represents a textbook example of our strategy: using high-timeframe analysis to build a directional bias, confirming it with order flow and liquidity data, and executing with precision on a low-timeframe pattern, all while adhering to strict, non-negotiable risk management rules.
#SOL/USDTSOLANA →
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a support area at the lower limit of the channel at 142, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
Entry price: 144
First target: 146
Second target: 149
Third target: 152
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Solana (SOL) Flag & Pole Breakout (1D)BINANCE:SOLUSDT broke out of a textbook falling wedge two days ago, and is now retesting the former resistance as support.
Key Technicals
• Falling channel with clean structure and multiple touches
• Resistance trendline broken
• Price now retesting the breakout zone (~$148)
• Overhead supply zone at $238–$260
• Measured Target: $240, within supply
Why This Setup Matters
• Clear breakout followed by a retest, which can often precede the next leg up if support holds
• Falling channel retracement aligns with 0.618 Fib, a common reversal area
What to Watch
• Daily close above the previous resistance trendline
• Push above the local $160 high for full confirmation
SOL Fractal long-term set up: 100% upside📈 SOL/USDT Long-Term Setup: Potential for 100%+ Upside or 16% Downside
This chart presents a Fibonacci-based technical outlook on Solana (SOL/USDT) on the daily timeframe.
🔍 Key Highlights:
Current price: $150.65
Major resistance zones: $177.12, $183.22, and $199.05
Fibonacci retracement levels (from $294.75 high):
0.618 at $171.32
0.5 at $200.08
0.382 at $222.42
Strong support at $137.97, $131.16, and $122.56
Downside risk to $126.99 (0.886 Fib) or even $105.40 (1 Fib)
Bullish target: $301.64 (+105.25%)
Bearish scenario: $126.99 or lower (-16.53%)
📊 The chart includes harmonic structures and descending/ascending channels suggesting consolidation, but the current structure could pivot into a bullish continuation if key resistances are broken.
🎯 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Favorable for Bulls: The setup offers a potential 105% upside against a 16% downside, making it attractive for medium- to long-term traders.
⚠️ As always, manage your risk appropriately and consider macroeconomic factors.
SOL is missing only one thing for the price to explode⚡️ Hello everyone! I decided to update my idea a little and take a closer look at the 4-hour timeframe on SOL.
After closing the gap from below, the price is now trying to consolidate at key levels of 141-150. If it fails, the nearest strong support is at 133.
📈 At the same time, the price has entered the buying range. This is a signal for position traders to accumulate positions.
⚙️ Metrics and indicators:
Money Flow - divergence with price. While the price fell from 300 to 140, liquidity remained virtually unchanged and is in a neutral zone.
Liquidity Depth - there is increasing liquidity at the top. On the daily timeframe, there is already an almost 5-6 times overweight in shorts. On the 4-hour timeframe, it is currently almost x2. And as we know, the price moves from one liquidity zone to another.
📌 Conclusion:
SOL continues to see liquidity inflows and huge demand. However, there is still one catalyst missing for a powerful price breakout: an ETF on SOL.
Institutional inflows into SOL are precisely the factor that could be the key piece of the puzzle for the next leg of the trend.
Have a great weekend, everyone!
SOL/USDT – Breakout Play in Progress | Accumulation Before ExpaN📍 Overview:
SOL has successfully broken out of a major descending trendline that has been acting as resistance since mid-June. Price is now consolidating above that line, forming a tight accumulation zone — a classic pre-breakout setup.
🔍 What I'm Watching:
Price is currently holding within a sideways range (highlighted in purple).
The previous downtrend line may now act as support — I'm watching closely for a retest of that trendline.
Moving averages are curling upward, signaling a shift in trend.
Volume has declined during consolidation — which often precedes a strong move.
📈 Potential Setup:
A breakout from this accumulation box could trigger a strong bullish continuation, possibly toward the next supply zone around $150–$154.
If price breaks down from the box, I’ll look for a trendline retest as a second chance long entry.
HolderStat┆SOLUSD above the supportBINANCE:SOLUSDT reclaimed the $140 level after a wedge breakout and is now forming a stair-step recovery structure. The price is targeting the mid $150s with higher lows supporting the bullish thesis. Previous consolidations and wedge formations suggest buyers are regaining control. Continued strength above $140 reinforces the move.